本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 查看完整报告 点击注册小程序 特别申明： 2025H1，公司销售毛利率、净利率分别为42.49%、22.13%，同比-2.15pcts、-8.05pcts。分产品来看，碳纤 维及织物、碳梁毛利率分别为60.32%、24.93%，分别同比+1.71pcts、+2.68pcts。整体毛利率下滑主因风 电碳梁业务毛利率相对较低但营收占比提升、包头项目折旧同比增加5000多万。此外，公司研发投入加 大，公司24年承接一批新项目，主要是针对碳纤维在不同领域、应用场景的扩大应用，包括航空航天、工 业用领域以及国家对碳纤维技术成熟度的评定，25H1公司研发费用为1.13亿元，同比+37.11%。 大合同保障增长确定性，新领域应用不断拓展 2025年6月，全资子公司威海拓展与客户A签订补充物资 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of RMB 36.00 [1][4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 1.201 billion for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.87%, but a net profit of RMB 269 million, which is a year-on-year decrease of 26.85%. The decline in net profit is attributed to increased R&D expenses, depreciation from the Baotou project, and intensified competition in the civilian fiber industry [1][2]. - The company expects future growth driven by large contract orders and contributions from the Baotou project, maintaining a positive outlook despite current pressures [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 1.201 billion, with a net profit of RMB 269 million, reflecting a decrease in net profit compared to the previous year [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue was RMB 635 million, down 1.40% year-on-year but up 12.42% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q2 was RMB 115 million, down 45.69% year-on-year and down 25.97% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. Business Segments - The carbon fiber and fabric segment saw a revenue decline of 6.9% year-on-year to RMB 636 million, impacted by supply-demand imbalances and price declines [2]. - The carbon beam segment's revenue increased by 48% year-on-year to RMB 370 million, while the prepreg segment's revenue decreased by 5.2% year-on-year to RMB 110 million [2]. Contracts and Growth Potential - The company successfully signed a large contract worth RMB 3.664 billion in December 2024, with an execution rate of 16% for 2024. Additionally, a new procurement contract worth RMB 658 million was signed in June 2025 [3]. - The successful verification of new production lines for key carbon fiber products is expected to enhance the company's competitive strength and contribute to revenue growth [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted downwards due to increased R&D expenses and competition, but the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged. The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 750 million, RMB 1 billion, and RMB 1.121 billion, respectively [4][9]. - The target price is set at RMB 36.00, based on a 40x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting a slight increase from the previous target price of RMB 35.02 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][15]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from long-term demand in the aerospace sector, with new carbon fiber products and production lines achieving verification and acceptance [15]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 29.43 billion, 34.30 billion, and 40.60 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 8.97 billion, 10.58 billion, and 12.53 billion [15]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.50% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.24% [10]. - The net profit for Q1 2025 was 1.55 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.58% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.75% [10]. - The company's sales gross margin for Q1 2025 was 47.50%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.53 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.17 percentage points [10]. Business Segments - In Q1 2025, the revenue from the fiber expansion segment was 3.61 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.15% [11]. - The energy new materials segment generated 1.10 billion in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 13.07% [11]. - The precision machinery segment saw a significant increase in revenue, achieving 0.19 billion, a year-on-year increase of 193.70% [11]. Market Structure - In 2024, the aerospace, aviation, and new energy sectors were the largest contributors to the company's revenue, totaling 21.34 billion, accounting for 87.12% of total sales [8]. - The aviation business contributed 11.72 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.48% [8]. - The new energy-related business saw a revenue increase of 16.66%, contributing 6.99 billion [8]. Product Development - The company has made significant advancements in research and development, including the successful development of T1100-grade carbon fiber and new high-model fibers that have improved wear resistance and reduced production costs [12]. - The GW300 carbon fiber has been approved for use in civil aviation and low-altitude equipment, with revenue from this segment increasing by 495% [12]. Major Contracts - The company has signed significant contracts, including a 20.98 billion contract for carbon fiber and related materials, with 2.95 billion fulfilled in 2024 [13]. - Another contract worth 36.64 billion is in progress, with 6.03 billion fulfilled in 2024 [14].