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【环球财经】美国染指委内瑞拉石油资源的心机与困境
Xin Hua She· 2026-01-06 06:43
新华财经北京1月6日电(记者汪平) 美国总统特朗普日前表示,将让美国大型石油公司前往委内瑞拉 投资,维修该国石油基础设施并为美国"创造收益"。这一表态进一步显露美方染指委内瑞拉石油资源的 企图。消息人士透露,特朗普计划本周晚些时候召集美国石油巨头高管,商讨提高委内瑞拉石油产量事 宜。 分析人士认为,美方强力干预委内瑞拉局势,既有获取委内瑞拉重质原油的短期目的,也有借控制委石 油资源推动实现"能源霸权"的长期图谋。然而,受委基础设施老化、全球能源市场供应格局变化等多重 因素制约,美国染指委石油资源并将其迅速变为"提款机"的企图面临诸多现实困境。 英国《经济学人》报道,委内瑞拉拥有的重质原油是美国炼油厂长期短缺的资源。长期以来,美国主要 从加拿大进口这类重质原油,但目前美加关系紧张,令这类供应面临不确定性风险。 美国能源信息局数据显示,委内瑞拉拥有约3000亿桶已探明原油储量,占全球储量的约17%,位居世界 第一。通过控制这片"黑色金矿"并调整其产能,美国可以获得更大的国际油价定价权。 然而,委内瑞拉石油工业现状给特朗普政府的企图泼了一盆冷水。 首先,委内瑞拉石油基础设施破败不堪。美国成品油零售价格信息服务机构" ...
后院的“油”戏(国金宏观赵宏鹤、厉梦颖)
雪涛宏观笔记· 2026-01-04 15:39
临近中选,打击马杜罗政府有利于巩固和提升基本盘的支持。 多年以来,特朗普致力于塑造马杜罗政 府向美国大量输送非法移民和毒品的形象,MAGA群体对此类叙事尤为买账。另外,美国拉丁裔过往 常年支持民主党,2024年大选因通胀等原因倒向共和党,但是过去一年对特朗普的支持率又快速下 降。以古巴裔和委内瑞拉裔为代表的右翼拉丁裔广泛分布在得克萨斯州、佛罗里达州等地,打击马杜罗 政府将提升这部分群体的好感。 最好的情况是,如果能在委内瑞拉扶植起亲美政权,将有利于特朗普压低油价。 与2024年大选相同, 2026年中选的"题眼"依然是物价。对物价控制不力、底层民众生活成本上升,是特朗普中选面临的最 主要减分项。因此,无论是去年夏天的以伊冲突,还是此次委内瑞拉行动,特朗普都极力避免攻击能源 设施,而是寻求短期性价比最大化,利用美国在情报、渗透、武器等方面的优势,直取要害、扬长而 去。 巩固MAGA基本盘声望和拉动右翼拉丁裔的初级目标已经实现,"强势介入"委内瑞拉石 油产业、释放石油储备潜力的高级目标则遥遥无期。 文:国金宏观宋雪涛/赵宏鹤、厉梦颖 特朗普与马杜罗政府的恩怨由来已久。 特朗普在第一任期就表现出门罗主义倾向,对西半 ...
委内瑞拉局势如何影响油价
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2026-01-04 14:59
基本内容 特朗普在第一任期就表现出门罗主义倾向,对西半球不够亲美的国家政权在意识形态等方面存在天然的个人好恶。临 近中选,打击马杜罗政府更有利于巩固和提升基本盘的支持。最好的情况是,如果能在委内瑞拉扶植起亲美政权,将 有利于特朗普压低油价。从全球能源版图来看,委内瑞拉拥有极其显著的资源战略地位。然而,由于设施老化和国际 制裁等原因,委内瑞拉的实际产出与储量潜力严重脱节。考虑到委内瑞拉拥有较高的原油释放潜能,不难理解为何特 朗普声称将"强势介入"委内瑞拉石油产业,然而这一愿景首先要依托于美国对委内瑞拉政府的影响力。其次,在"美 国对委内瑞拉影响力显著上升"的假设下,更现实的介入方式并非直接接管油田资产,而是通过规则与交易结构实现 对"可出口原油"的事实控制。如果美国推动"美企控盘式"的委内瑞拉增产,短期油价更可能被"风险溢价+OPEC+ 控制供给节奏"托住甚至回升,而非因增产预期迅速下跌。中期来看,即便委内瑞拉出现"修复型增产",OPEC+仍有 较大空间通过放缓增产或减少其他地区增量进行对冲,从而使全球基准油价的下行幅度受到抑制。 风险提示 1)事件发生时间较短,委内瑞拉国内政治局势尚不明朗,美委关系走向存在较 ...
江化微: 江阴江化微电子材料股份有限公司2025年度以简易程序向特定对象发行A股股票募集资金使用可行性分析报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-22 10:18
Core Viewpoint - Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics Materials Co., Ltd. plans to raise funds through a simplified procedure for the issuance of A-shares to enhance its capital strength and profitability, with a total fundraising amount not exceeding 300 million yuan [1][17]. Fundraising Plan - The total amount of funds raised will not exceed 30,000.00 thousand yuan, and the net amount after deducting issuance costs will be fully invested in specific projects [2]. - The company may use self-raised funds for project progress before the fundraising is completed and will replace these with raised funds once available [2]. Investment Project Details - The main project involves an annual production capacity of 37,000 tons of ultra-pure wet electronic chemicals, with a total investment of 288,827.9 thousand yuan [2][3]. - The project will be implemented by Jianghua Micro (Zhenjiang) Electronic Materials Co., Ltd. and is located in the Zhenjiang New District Green Chemical New Materials Industrial Park [2][3]. Industry Context - The semiconductor industry is a strategic and foundational sector for national economic development, with a global market size projected to grow from $515 billion in 2023 to $1.3 trillion by 2032, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 10% [3]. - The Asia-Pacific region holds 60% of the global semiconductor market share, with China being the largest market, accounting for nearly 40% [3]. Market Demand and Growth - The demand for wet electronic chemicals is expected to grow significantly, with the Chinese semiconductor wet chemical market projected to reach 7.93 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.9% [11]. - The company has established a strong customer base in the semiconductor, display, and solar energy sectors, including notable clients such as Silan Microelectronics and BOE Technology Group [12]. Competitive Advantage - The company is one of the leading domestic enterprises in the wet electronic chemicals industry, focusing on R&D, production, and sales, with a complete production process for high-purity wet electronic chemicals [7][14]. - The company has a professional R&D team of 118 people and has developed production formulas that meet international standards, holding 147 patents, including 56 invention patents [14]. Strategic Alignment - The project aligns with national industrial policies and the company's strategic development direction, providing a favorable market development outlook and economic benefits [16][17]. - The implementation of the fundraising project is expected to enhance the company's profitability and core competitiveness, positioning it as a leading provider of electronic chemicals [8][17].