| 3 月金股组合 | | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | | 0119.HK | 保利置业集团 | | 000099.SZ | 中信海直 | | 601872.SH | 招商轮船 | | 600352.SH | 浙江龙盛 | | 002409.SZ | 雅克科技 | | 002709.SZ | 天赐材料 | | 300760.SZ | 迈瑞医疗 | | 605338.SH | 巴比食品 | | 1579.HK | 颐海国际 | | 601888.SH | 中国中免 | | 689009.SH | 九号公司-WD | | 688630.SH | 芯碁微装 | 证券研究报告——晨会聚焦 2026 年 3 月 5 日 证券分析师：王军 中银晨会聚焦-20260305 ■重点关注 【宏观经济】2025 年 CPI 权重更新*张晓娇 朱启兵。2026 年开始到 2030 年 的五年，将使用 2025 年作为对比基期；统计局公布了八个大类的权重，我 们以 2025 年数据为主、2022 年-2024 年数据为辅，计算 2025 年 CPI 各中类 的权重；我们预计 2026 年 CPI 同比 ...

股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 (6.3) (10.8) 10.9 54.9 相对上证综指 (9.7) (11.3) 3.5 32.1 发行股数 (百万) 480.16 流通股 (百万) 436.38 总市值 (人民币 百万) 82,703.58 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) 705.66 主要股东 ACM Research, Inc. 73.49% (13%) 9% 32% 55% 77% 100% Feb-25 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 盛美上海 上证综指 资料来源：公司公告， Wind ，中银证券 以 2026 年 2 月 27 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 电子 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2026 年 3 月 4 日 688082.SH 增持 原评级：增持 市场价格:人民币 172.24 板块评级:强于大市 《盛美上海》20250304 《盛美上海》20240812 《盛美上海》20220430 中银国际证券股份有限公司 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a robust growth in performance, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 29.4% for Q1-Q3 2025, reaching 5.15 billion yuan, driven by strong demand in the Chinese semiconductor equipment market and successful expansion into new customers and markets [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period rose by 67.0% to 1.27 billion yuan, while the non-recurring net profit increased by 49.5% to 1.11 billion yuan [1] - The company maintained high R&D investment, with R&D expenses amounting to 870 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.9% [2] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.88 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.0% [1] - The net profit for Q3 was 570 million yuan, up 81.0% year-on-year and 26.9% quarter-on-quarter, while the non-recurring net profit was 430 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.4% [1] - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 49.5%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 24.6%, up 5.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on a platform-based approach in cleaning, electroplating, and coating development equipment, which is expected to benefit from the new cleaning and electroplating demands in HBM [3] - The company has achieved over 30% market share in domestic single wafer cleaning equipment, with its cleaning technologies reaching international leading levels [3] - The company has delivered over 1,500 electroplating chambers, with its 3D stacking electroplating equipment capable of handling high aspect ratio copper plating for advanced semiconductor structures [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.82 billion, 2.24 billion, and 2.55 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting an increase from previous estimates [4] - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic P/E ratios of 46, 37, and 33 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, maintaining an "overweight" rating [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [1] Core Views - The company continues to experience high growth in its performance, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 29.4% in Q1-Q3 2025, reaching 5.15 billion yuan, driven by strong demand in the semiconductor equipment sector [8][9] - The company's net profit for Q1-Q3 2025 increased by 67% year-on-year, amounting to 1.27 billion yuan, indicating robust operational performance [8][9] - The company is focusing on a platform-based strategy, successfully expanding its product offerings in cleaning, electroplating, coating, and etching equipment, which positions it well to benefit from the growing demand in the HBM sector [3][9] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the total revenue is projected at 3.888 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 35.34% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 910.52 million yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.21% [1] - The company maintains a high gross margin of 49.5% for Q1-Q3 2025, with a net profit margin of 24.6%, showing improved profitability [8][9] - The R&D investment for the company reached 870 million yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 41.9%, highlighting its commitment to innovation [8][9] Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is adjusted to 1.82 billion yuan for 2025, 2.24 billion yuan for 2026, and 2.55 billion yuan for 2027, reflecting strong growth expectations [9] - The projected P/E ratios for the current stock price are 46 for 2025, 37 for 2026, and 33 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [9]

Group 1 - The company, Shengmei Semiconductor Equipment (Shanghai) Co., Ltd., reported a total order amount of 907,153.57 million yuan as of September 29, 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.10% compared to the same period last year [1] - The company specializes in the research, manufacturing, and sales of critical semiconductor manufacturing equipment, including single wafer and slot wet cleaning equipment, electroplating equipment, and plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition equipment [1] - The semiconductor equipment demand in China has been robust since 2025, allowing the company to continuously deepen its existing market and expand into new markets, leading to steady revenue growth [1] Group 2 - The company completed the issuance of 38,601,326 new shares at a price of 116.11 yuan per share, raising a total of approximately 4.48 billion yuan [9][15] - The newly issued shares account for 8.04% of the total share capital after the issuance, which will not change the actual control of the company [7][34] - The funds raised will enhance the company's financial strength and optimize its capital structure, providing effective support for future development [35]

Core Insights - The company reported a robust growth in performance with a 57% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025, driven by strong demand in the semiconductor equipment sector and successful expansion into new markets [1] Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.27 billion yuan, a 35.8% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 700 million yuan, reflecting a 57% increase [1] - The Q2 2025 revenue was 1.96 billion yuan, up 32.2% year-on-year and 50.1% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 450 million yuan, representing a 23.8% year-on-year increase and an 82.5% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 50.7%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 21.3%, up 2.9 percentage points year-on-year [1] Cost Management - The company demonstrated strong cost control with a total expense ratio of 24.4%, down 5.7 percentage points year-on-year, including a sales expense ratio of 8.2%, a management expense ratio of 4.2%, and a research and development expense ratio of 12.7% [1] Contract Liabilities and Cash Flow - As of the end of Q2 2025, the company's contract liabilities stood at 860 million yuan, a decrease of 17.3% year-on-year, while inventory was 4.39 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% [2] - The operating cash flow for Q2 2025 was -225 million yuan, indicating a negative shift primarily due to the cyclical nature of equipment receivables and increased employee compensation related to company expansion [2] Product Development and Market Position - The company is strategically positioned in the semiconductor equipment market, focusing on cleaning, electroplating, and coating development, with a significant market share in single wafer cleaning equipment exceeding 30% [3] - The company has successfully delivered over 1,500 electroplating chambers and is actively validating various equipment types, including LPCVD and PECVD, with clients [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is expected to maintain growth in its core business and expand its product offerings, with projected net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.55 billion yuan, 1.87 billion yuan, and 2.07 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic price-to-earnings ratios of 33, 27, and 24 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, maintaining an "overweight" rating [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the strong performance of Shengmei Shanghai in the first half of 2025, driven by robust demand in the semiconductor equipment sector and successful expansion into new markets and clients [2][5]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.27 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.8% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 700 million yuan, up 57% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 670 million yuan, reflecting a 55.2% increase [2]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 1.96 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 32.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.1% [2]. - The Q2 net profit attributable to shareholders was 450 million yuan, up 23.8% year-on-year and 82.5% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Profitability and Cost Control - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 50.7%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 21.3%, up 2.9 percentage points [2]. - The expense ratio decreased to 24.4%, down 5.7 percentage points year-on-year, with reductions in sales, management, and R&D expenses [2]. Contract Liabilities and Cash Flow - As of the end of Q2 2025, the company's contract liabilities stood at 860 million yuan, a decrease of 17.3% year-on-year, while inventory was 4.39 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% [3]. - The operating cash flow for Q2 was -225 million yuan, indicating a negative shift due to slower equipment payments and increased employee compensation related to company expansion [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on a platform-based approach in its equipment offerings, including cleaning, electroplating, and coating development, which are expected to benefit from new HBM cleaning and electroplating demands [4]. - The company has established a strong market presence in various equipment categories, with over 30% market share in single wafer cleaning equipment and successful validation of advanced technologies [4]. Earnings Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains a positive outlook with projected net profits of 1.55 billion yuan, 1.87 billion yuan, and 2.07 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic price-to-earnings ratios of 33, 27, and 24 times for the respective years, with a maintained "buy" rating [5].

Core Insights - Wang Hui, the founder of Shengmei Shanghai, has successfully led the company to become a leading player in the semiconductor equipment industry with a market value of 54 billion yuan [2][17] - The company has achieved remarkable growth, with a net profit of 1.153 billion yuan in 2024, representing over a sevenfold increase since 2019 [2][15] - Shengmei Shanghai is planning a private placement to raise 4.482 billion yuan, primarily for research and development [3][21] Company Development - Wang Hui's journey began with his education in precision instruments at Tsinghua University, followed by advanced studies in Japan and the United States, where he gained significant technical expertise [6][10] - After returning to China in 2005, he identified the market potential in the semiconductor sector and founded Shengmei Shanghai, focusing on localizing technology to fill market gaps [9][10] - The company developed the world's first SAPS single-wafer megasonic cleaning technology, breaking foreign monopolies and entering the supply chain of major clients like Hynix [11][12] Financial Performance - Shengmei Shanghai's revenue grew from 254 million yuan in 2017 to 5.618 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit increase from approximately 10.86 million yuan to 1.153 billion yuan in the same period [14][15] - The company has seen a 6.42-fold increase in revenue and a 7.54-fold increase in net profit over the past five years [15] - As of the first quarter of 2025, the company's total assets reached 12.638 billion yuan [16] Market Position and Strategy - Shengmei Shanghai has established itself as a leading provider of semiconductor cleaning equipment, holding a 23% market share in China and 6.6% globally, ranking fifth [12][16] - The company emphasizes a strategy of technological differentiation and innovation, with over 1,520 invention patents and 468 authorized patents [12] - Wang Hui aims to position Shengmei Shanghai as a comprehensive semiconductor equipment supplier, with plans to cover a market worth approximately 20 billion US dollars through seven major product lines [18][19][21] Future Outlook - The company is focused on global expansion, aiming to compete with international giants by offering advanced equipment for AI chip development and other high-precision applications [20][21] - Wang Hui's vision is to ensure that Chinese semiconductor equipment holds a significant place in the global supply chain [21]

Core Viewpoint - Shengmei Shanghai has evolved into a platform company in the semiconductor equipment industry, aiming to become a leading global player by leveraging its innovative technologies and expanding its product offerings [1][3]. Group 1: Company Development and Achievements - Shengmei Shanghai was founded in 2005 and developed the world's first SAPS technology in 2008, achieving profitability since 2013 and experiencing exponential growth in equipment sales since 2017 [1]. - The company has successfully maintained a profitable status and has seen rapid growth in financial metrics since its listing on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1][2]. - As of 2024, Shengmei Shanghai's cleaning equipment covers 95% of cleaning process steps, ranking fourth globally with an 8% market share [2]. Group 2: Technological Innovations - The company has developed proprietary technologies such as SAPS and TEBO, addressing global challenges in the application of megasonic technology in semiconductor cleaning equipment [2]. - Shengmei Shanghai has filed a total of 1,526 patents by the end of 2024, with 470 granted patents, showcasing its commitment to original innovation [4]. - The Tahoe cleaning equipment, developed by the company, reduces sulfuric acid consumption by up to 75%, aligning with national energy-saving policies [5]. Group 3: Strategic Expansion - The company aims to expand its product portfolio beyond cleaning equipment to include electroplating, advanced packaging, and other semiconductor manufacturing equipment [3]. - Shengmei Shanghai is actively pursuing a global market strategy, targeting a balanced order volume from domestic and international clients [6]. - The company has established a local presence in South Korea to enhance service and support for its clients in that market [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is focused on continuing its path of differentiation and innovation, aiming to transition from an industry innovator to a standard setter in the semiconductor equipment sector [7]. - Shengmei Shanghai plans to leverage its dual capital market presence to enhance its competitive advantage and expand its global footprint [6].

Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: 盛美上海 (ACMR) - **Industry**: Semiconductor Equipment Key Points and Arguments Industry Insights - Global semiconductor equipment spending is projected to reach **$117.1 billion** in 2024, with China leading at **$49.6 billion**, a **35%** year-on-year increase [2][4] - By 2026, China's **300mm wafer capacity** is expected to account for **26%** of global capacity, with domestic self-sufficiency projected to reach **26.6%** by 2027 [2][5] - The semiconductor cleaning process is critical, accounting for over **30%** of all chip manufacturing steps, with increasing complexity driving demand for advanced cleaning technologies [15] Company Performance - 盛美上海 is a leading domestic player in semiconductor cleaning and plating equipment, with a **7%** global market share, ranking fifth worldwide [3][17] - Revenue for 2024 is projected at **5.6 billion yuan**, a **49%** increase year-on-year, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of **54%** from 2020 to 2024 [12] - The company aims for revenue between **6.5 billion to 7.1 billion yuan** in 2025, reflecting a **16% to 26%** growth [3] Technological Innovations - The company has developed the **SUBS Tibo ultrasonic cleaning technology**, suitable for processes at **28nm** and below, aiming to cover over **95%** of cleaning needs [2][6] - New product lines include high-temperature single wafer SPM and single wafer slot combination cleaning technologies [2][6] - The introduction of **plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (PECVD)** equipment is expected to enhance processing capabilities while reducing footprint [11] Market Strategy - 盛美上海 is expanding its product portfolio to include five major series: cleaning, plating, advanced packaging wet processes, vertical furnace tubes, and coating development [2][7] - The company plans to capture **55% to 60%** of the domestic machine equipment market [4][17] - Continuous investment in R&D has increased from **140 million yuan** in 2020 to **729 million yuan** in 2024, enhancing its competitive edge [14] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for cleaning equipment are **4.8 billion**, **5.3 billion**, and **5.7 billion yuan** for 2025-2027, respectively [26] - Other semiconductor equipment revenues are projected at **1.6 billion**, **2.2 billion**, and **2.8 billion yuan** for the same period [26] - Advanced packaging wet process equipment is expected to generate revenues of **320 million**, **380 million**, and **460 million yuan** [26] Important but Overlooked Content - The company has a strong leadership team, with founder Dr. Wang Hui holding an **81%** stake in ACMR, providing stability and direction for technological advancements [8] - The company has successfully reduced reliance on major clients from over **80%** in 2020 to around **50%** in 2024, indicating improved supply chain stability [13] - Risks include potential downturns in downstream demand, increased domestic competition, and the impact of policy changes on operations [27][28] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's strategic positioning, financial performance, and market dynamics within the semiconductor equipment industry.