证券研究报告 2026年度半导体设备行业策略： 看好存储&先进逻辑扩产， 设备商国产化迎新机遇 首席证券分析师：周尔双 执业证书编号：S0600515110002 zhouersh@dwzq.com.cn 13915521100 证券分析师：李文意 执业证书编号：S0600524080005 liwenyi@dwzq.com.cn 18867136239 2026年2月27日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 ⚫ AI驱动先进逻辑与存储扩产，资本开支进入新一轮上行周期。在AI算力需求爆发背景下，全球半导体设备市 场规模持续创新高。先进逻辑端，FinFET向GAA/CFET演进，5nm及以下制程单位产能设备投资额显著提升 ，单万片/月产能投资额较28nm提升数倍；存储端，HBM带动DRAM高阶制程升级，3D NAND向400层以上 堆叠演进，单万片产能投资额同步提升。中国大陆晶圆产能全球占比仍低于销售占比，逻辑与存储龙头资本 开支维持高位，叠加两大存储厂商上市融资在即，扩产动能具备持续性，支撑前道设备景气度中长期上行。 ⚫ 制程迭代推动设备结构升级，刻蚀与薄膜沉积价值量提升。先进制程结构复杂化带动图形 ...

A股硬科技赛道迎来强势回暖行情，半导体设备板块成为领涨先锋，其中半导体设备ETF（159516）盘中大幅拉升，单日涨幅突破5%，成交额显著放大，资 金入场迹象明显。这一轮强势反弹并非短期情绪推动，而是行业周期复苏、AI算力爆发、国产替代加速与政策资金共振的结果，背后蕴藏着清晰且扎实的 产业逻辑。 再者，AI算力、先进封装、存储芯片涨价等多重催化不断，行业景气度持续上行，设备企业业绩兑现能力强，盈利确定性不断提升。 最后，机构配置需求旺盛，半导体设备具备高壁垒、高景气、高成长特征，是公募、社保等长期资金重点配置方向，资金面支撑强劲，为板块长期走势提供 坚实保障。对于普通投资者而言，半导体设备赛道技术壁垒高、个股研究难度大、波动风险较高，直接投资个股容易面临选股难题与踩雷风险，而通过ETF 布局则是更为高效、稳健的选择。 半导体设备ETF（159516）紧密跟踪中证半导体材料设备主题指数（931743），精准聚焦半导体设备与材料两大核心赛道，覆盖刻蚀、薄膜沉积、量测、清 洗、硅片、特种气体、光刻胶等芯片上游关键环节，是布局半导体设备赛道的核心工具。该ETF持仓纯度极高，一键打包北方华创、中微公司、拓荆科技、 华海 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes the importance of technological differentiation and continuous product innovation to maintain its competitive edge in the cleaning equipment market [1] Group 1 - The market for cleaning equipment is characterized by ongoing competition [1] - The company is committed to long-term and stable R&D investment, which provides strong support for technological innovation [1] - The company's core technologies are protected by patents, making them non-replicable [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes the importance of expanding into overseas markets and adheres to a development strategy focused on "technological differentiation, product platformization, and global customer base" [1] Group 1: Market Expansion Strategy - The product matrix includes cleaning equipment, electroplating equipment, advanced packaging wet process equipment, vertical furnace tube series equipment, coating and developing equipment, PECVD equipment, and panel-level equipment, all possessing global independent intellectual property rights [1] - The company has gained attention and recognition from several international clients for its self-developed differentiated core equipment, with products already entering the Singapore market this year and four units sold to the U.S. market last year [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company is actively pursuing expansion into overseas markets such as Taiwan and South Korea, with an expectation that the pace of overseas market development will accelerate in 2026 compared to 2025 [1] - The ongoing global customer strategy aims to increase overseas market sales share and support overall revenue growth while contributing to the development of the global semiconductor industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a balanced growth between storage and logic customers, with a strong performance in both segments, aiming for comprehensive coverage of cleaning equipment and processes by 2026 [1] Group 1: Customer Segmentation - The overall proportion of storage customers is slightly higher than that of logic customers, with minimal differences between the two [1] - Some customers have procurement shares exceeding 50% for the company's products [1] Group 2: Future Goals - By 2026, the company aims to achieve full coverage of cleaning equipment types and processes [1] - The company is actively promoting the expansion of mature processes while continuously enhancing market share in advanced processes [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Shengmei Shanghai (688082.SH), has indicated that its storage customers slightly outnumber logic customers, with strong growth observed in logic customer segments [1] Group 1: Customer Segmentation - The overall proportion of storage customers is slightly higher than that of logic customers, with minimal differences between the two segments [1] - Some customers have procurement shares exceeding 50% for the company's products, indicating strong customer loyalty and reliance [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - By 2026, the company aims to achieve full coverage of cleaning equipment types and processes, actively expanding its market presence in mature processes while also enhancing market share in advanced processes [1]

格隆汇1月29日丨盛美上海(688082.SH)近日接受特定对象调研时表示，整体来看，存储客户占比略高于 逻辑客户，整体差异不大，逻辑客户增长也很强劲。具体客户的采购份额会有所差异，部分客户采购公 司产品的比例达到了50%以上。2026年，公司期待实现清洗设备的种类全覆盖、工艺全覆盖，积极推进 成熟工艺继续扩大市场，在先进工艺上也将持续提升市场占有率。 ...

格隆汇1月29日丨盛美上海(688082.SH)近日接受特定对象调研时表示，公司高度重视海外市场的拓展， 始终坚持"技术差异化、产品平台化、客户全球化"的发展战略，产品矩阵已覆盖清洗设备、电镀设备、 先进封装湿法设备、立式炉管系列设备、涂胶显影设备、PECVD设备和面板级设备等，且所有设备均 拥有全球自主知识产权、具备差异化的市场竞争优势，持续提升了国际市场的客户认可度。目前，公司 自主研发的差异化核心设备已获得多家国际客户的关注与认可，今年公司已经有产品进入新加坡市场， 去年也有四台设备进入美国市场，同时也在推进中国台湾、韩国等海外市场的扩张，预计2026年海外市 场开拓速度相对2025年会加速。未来公司将持续推进客户全球化战略，积极推进产品出海，扩大海外市 场销售份额，不断将具有差异化竞争优势的产品更多推向海外市场，为整体营收攀升提供支撑，更为全 球半导体的工业发展贡献力量。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing strong growth driven by the continuous advancement of its product platform, with a revenue guidance for 2026 projected between 82 billion to 88 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.94% to 29.79% compared to the expected revenue for 2025 [3][5]. - As of September 29, 2025, the total order amount on hand is 9.072 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.10% [3]. - The company is effectively expanding its global customer base and enhancing its market presence, which is expected to support steady revenue growth [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 68 billion, 84 billion, and 100 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 15 billion, 20 billion, and 25 billion yuan [5][9]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow from 2.40 yuan in 2024 to 5.23 yuan in 2027, indicating a strong upward trend in profitability [9][12]. - The projected EBITDA for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 1.868 billion, 2.402 billion, and 3.056 billion yuan respectively, showcasing significant growth potential [9][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing strong growth, with a projected revenue increase for 2025 of 18.91% to 22.47%, reaching between 6.68 billion to 6.88 billion yuan. This growth is attributed to the ongoing platformization of products and improved technology levels [3]. - As of September 29, 2025, the company has a total order backlog of 9.072 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.10% [3]. - The company is expanding its global market presence while deepening cooperation with existing clients, which is expected to further enhance revenue growth [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 68 billion, 84 billion, and 100 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 15 billion, 20 billion, and 25 billion yuan [5]. - The company anticipates a revenue range of 8.2 billion to 8.8 billion yuan for 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.94% to 29.79% [3]. - The financial metrics indicate a steady increase in earnings per share (EPS), projected to be 3.19 yuan in 2025 and 4.13 yuan in 2026 [12]. Market Position and Equipment Development - The company is making significant advancements in new equipment, particularly in the high-temperature and mid-low temperature sulfuric acid markets, which are expected to drive demand in the storage and logic sectors [4]. - The introduction of innovative equipment, such as the Ultra ECP ap-p for large panel markets, is expected to enhance production capabilities and cost advantages for clients [4].