2025Q3 公司归母净利润同比下滑 23.1%，整体业绩有所承压公司发布三季报：2025Q1-Q3 实现营收 26.0 亿元（同比-7.3%，下同）、归母净利润 1.4 亿元（-17.2%）；其中单三季度实现营收 8.1 亿元 （-8.0%）、归母净利润 0.3 亿元（-23.1%） 。我们认为公司聚焦妆药同源，以"5+N"核心科技矩阵为 引擎，深度整合研发资源与市场优势，未来业绩有望改善。我们维持盈利预测不变，预计公司2025- 2027 年归母净利润为 2.46/2.87/3.29 亿元，对应 EPS 为0.24/0.28/0.32 元，当前股价对应 PE 为 32.5/27.9/24.3 倍，维持"买入"评级。 化妆品和医药业务略有下滑，原料业务增速亮眼，盈利能力相对稳健2025Q1-Q3，化妆品：营收15.7 亿 元（-8.2%）、毛利率61.2%（-1.1pct），颐莲、瑷尔博士营收分别为7.9 亿元（+19.5%）/ 6.5 亿元 （-28.9 %），颐莲表现亮眼。 此外，2025Q1-Q3 公司综合毛利率为51.5%（-0.4pct），销售/管理/研发费用率分别为 36.4%/4.9%/4.5 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a decline in net profit of 23.1% year-on-year for Q3 2025, with total revenue for the first three quarters at 2.6 billion yuan, down 7.3% year-on-year. The focus on "cosmeceuticals" and the "5+N" core technology matrix is expected to drive future performance improvements [7] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 246 million, 287 million, and 329 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.24, 0.28, and 0.32 yuan [7] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is projected to be 32.5, 27.9, and 24.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.57 billion yuan in the cosmetics segment, down 8.2%, with a gross margin of 61.2%. The pharmaceutical segment generated 310 million yuan, down 17.5%, while the raw materials segment saw revenue of 280 million yuan, up 11.2% [8] - The overall gross margin for the first three quarters was 51.5%, with stable expense ratios for sales, management, and R&D [8] - The company’s brand value has significantly increased, with the "Yilian" brand achieving a valuation exceeding 12 billion yuan, and the launch of new products contributing to sales growth [9] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 4.06 billion yuan for 2025, 4.41 billion yuan for 2026, and 4.76 billion yuan for 2027, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 1.9%, 8.5%, and 8.0% respectively [10] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 246 million yuan, with a slight increase to 287 million yuan in 2026 and 329 million yuan in 2027 [10] - The company’s gross margin is expected to remain stable, with projections of 52.5% for 2025, 53.1% for 2026, and 53.6% for 2027 [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][8] Core Insights - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for Q3 2025, with total revenue of 2.597 billion yuan, down 7.3% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 142 million yuan, down 17.2% year-on-year [8] - The gross margin has decreased, and the expense ratio has increased, leading to a decline in net profit margin [8] - The company is focusing on three main business segments: cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and raw materials, with varying performance across these areas [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 3.871 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 2.8% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 219 million yuan in 2025, down 10.2% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin is forecasted to be 51.7% in 2025, with a gradual increase to 58.3% by 2027 [7] Business Segment Performance - The cosmetics segment reported revenue of 1.569 billion yuan for Q1-3 2025, down 8.2% year-on-year, while the high-value brand Yilian saw a revenue increase of 19.5% [8] - The pharmaceutical segment's revenue decreased by 17.46% to 305 million yuan [8] - The raw materials segment showed resilience with a revenue increase of 11.2% to 276 million yuan [8] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively participating in various industry events to expand its market presence and enhance its product offerings [8] - Research and development remain a key focus, with the launch of an ideal skin data platform and the establishment of industry standards [8] - The company aims to build a comprehensive health industry chain, leveraging its R&D capabilities [8]

化妆品板块，前三季度营业收入15.69亿元，毛利率61.24%。颐莲品牌继续保持增长，1—9月实现销售 收入7.86亿元，同比增长19.50%；瑷尔博士品牌主动求变，成功举办第六届微生态健康大会，1—9月实 现销售收入6.46亿元；珂谧品牌继续保持高速增长，1—9月实现销售收入7719万元，第二季度环比增长 82%，第三季度环比增长138%。 有关券商表示，福瑞达美妆业务聚焦主力品牌迭代与渠道优化，叠加高性价比定位，具备持续增长潜 力。从行业层面看，国货崛起与功能性护肤热潮形成共振，公司"玻尿酸+胶原蛋白"双技术引擎布局， 精准契合市场需求，而抖音自播GMV飙升210%、私域积累380万铁粉等渠道优势，进一步放大了技术 转化效率。(齐和宁) 值得注意的是，近日，珂谧正式获得尚谱咨询授予的"全球穿膜透皮胶原护肤品首创者"认证，这是全球 唯一通过"技术定义+功效实证"双核验认可。这场以"穿膜胶原"为核心的创新，不仅让中国美妆技术站 上全球抗衰竞争的制高点，更重新定义了行业对"有效护肤"的认知——从"看得见的宣传"到"可验证的 功效"，中国企业正在用自主研发改写全球美妆科技的规则。 10月27日晚，福瑞达（6002 ...

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