国海证券指出，展望2026年，欧洲部分装置有望加速退出，中国化工行业推行反内卷，化工有望迎来景 气上行周期。反内卷有望重估中国化工行业，后续措施有望使全球化工行业产能扩张大幅放缓。中国化 工行业具有充沛的经营活动现金流量净额，一旦扩张放缓，潜在股息率将大幅提升，有望实现从吞金兽 到摇钱树的转变；同时，供给端的改变将带来景气度的止跌回升，化工标的有望兼具高弹性和高股息的 优势。从全球范围看，中国化工优势企业的成本和效率优势已经非常稳固，龙头企业已经进入了业绩长 周期向上的阶段。同时，对于部分供给端受限的行业，随着需求的回升，这部分行业的景气度有望持续 提升，值得重点关注。 化工ETF国泰（516220）跟踪的是细分化工指数（000813），该指数从沪深市场中选取涉及化学制品、 化学纤维等领域的代表性上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映精细化工、新材料等相关上市公司证券的 整体表现。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

（责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 化工龙头ETF（516220）跟踪的是细分化工指数（000813），该指数从市场中选取涉及精细化工、 新材料等特定化学工业领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映细分化工领域相关上市公司证券的整 体表现。 风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供 参考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构 成投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产 品要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 每日经济新闻 天风证券指出，基础化工行业正经历"供需逆转、价值重估、产业重构"的深刻变化。2025年政策与 资本开支拐点已现，"反内卷"的提出为后续行业盈利改善与长期健康发展提供了预期。供需 ...

化工龙头ETF（516220）跟踪的是细分化工指数（000813），该指数从沪深市场中选取涉及化学原 料、化肥与农药、涂料油墨颜料等细分领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映化工行业特定子领域 相关上市公司证券的整体表现。 天风证券指出，氨纶行业供应快速增长导致竞争加剧，使得尾部及落后产能面临退出预期，预计有 部分产能将遭淘汰出清。当前行业集中扩产临近尾声，未来新增产能集中于头部企业，行业供给持续向 具备竞争优势的头部集中，供给格局持续优化。与此同时，下游需求有望逐步回暖，2026年伴随中美贸 易关系阶段性缓和，叠加国内外纺服有望开启新一轮补库周期，氨纶消费量增速有望同比提高。产品价 格与企业盈利有望实现同比修复。 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供 参考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成 ...

Group 1 - The polyester industry chain is strengthening overall, with PX prices rising due to high demand for toluene/xylene and gasoline, leading to tighter PX supply [1] - PTA production is declining due to unexpected shutdowns and reduced operating rates, supporting the supply side [1] - The polyester filament industry is implementing self-discipline to reduce production and maintain prices, resulting in significant inventory reduction [1] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized the need to address "involution" competition by 2026, aiming to curb low-price and low-quality competition, which is expected to further optimize the supply-demand structure in the chemical industry [1] - The chemical sector ETF (516220) tracks a specialized chemical index (000813) that focuses on high-growth and innovative chemical enterprises, reflecting the overall performance of the industry [1]

Core Insights - China places significant emphasis on the development of the chemical industry, being the world's highest in chemical capital intensity and the largest in chemical R&D investment [1] - In 2023, China's chemical capital expenditure and R&D expenses accounted for 43% and 32% of the global total, respectively, indicating a strong leading position [1] - High levels of capital investment are driving the enhancement of chemical production capacity, strengthening economies of scale, and deepening industry chain collaboration, which is gradually establishing a solid cost moat for China's chemical industry and reshaping the global competitive landscape [1] Industry Overview - The Chemical Leaders ETF (516220) tracks a specialized chemical index (000813) that focuses on sub-sectors within China's chemical industry [1] - This index includes key segments such as chemical raw materials, fertilizers and pesticides, and coatings, inks, and pigments [1] - The index selects representative listed companies within the industry as constituent stocks to reflect the overall performance and market trends of related listed companies in the chemical sub-sectors [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the ongoing "anti-involution" policies that are driving the elimination of outdated production capacity, which in turn is contributing to a narrowing decline in the Producer Price Index (PPI) year-on-year [1] - The cyclical layout suggests focusing on sectors such as the textile and apparel chain, agricultural chemicals chain, export chain, and areas benefiting from "anti-involution" [1] - The agricultural chemicals chain shows stable demand, supported by an increase in cultivated land area for fertilizers and the rising penetration rate of genetically modified crops for pesticides [1] Group 2 - On the macroeconomic front, expectations of improved supply-demand dynamics in crude oil are strengthening the bottom support for oil prices, while coal prices are expected to oscillate at a long-term bottom, and natural gas import costs may decline [1] - The chemical leader ETF (516220) tracks a specific chemical index (000813), which selects listed companies from various sub-sectors such as chemical products, chemical fibers, fertilizers, and pesticides to reflect the overall performance of the chemical industry [1] - This index is characterized by high industry concentration and representativeness, providing an effective reference tool for investors interested in the dynamics of the chemical industry [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the basic chemical industry is expected to undergo structural optimization on the supply side due to domestic policies emphasizing "anti-involution" and overseas raw material cost increases leading to shutdowns and capacity exits in European and American chemical companies [1] - Short-term geopolitical tensions are increasing uncertainty in overseas supply, while in the long term, China is leveraging its cost advantages and technological strength to fill gaps in the international supply chain, potentially reshaping the global chemical landscape [1] - The chemical leader ETF (516220) tracks a segmented chemical index (000813), which selects high-quality securities from sub-industries such as fertilizers, pesticides, coatings, and plastics to reflect the overall performance and trends of related listed companies in the chemical industry [1] Group 2 - The segmented chemical index components have strong market representativeness, providing important references for investors focusing on investment opportunities in the chemical industry [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the moment for synthetic biology has arrived, with fossil-based materials facing potential disruptive impacts due to energy structure adjustments, while low-energy consumption products and industries are expected to have a longer growth window [1] - Traditional chemical companies will compete based on energy consumption and carbon tax costs, with leading firms utilizing green energy alternatives, integration, and scale advantages to reduce energy costs, or shifting new capacity to larger overseas markets to achieve dual reduction goals [1] - The cost of bio-based materials is decreasing, and breakthroughs in "non-food" raw materials for bio-based products are anticipated to lead to a demand explosion, creating a high-growth sector with potential for both profit valuation and performance improvement [1] Group 2 - The chemical leader ETF (516220) tracks a specialized chemical index (000813) that focuses on sub-sectors within the chemical industry, including chemical raw materials, fertilizers, and pesticides [1] - The constituent stocks are representative companies in their respective niche markets, reflecting the overall performance and development trends of the chemical industry's sub-sectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The supply side is expected to undergo structural optimization, with domestic policies frequently emphasizing the need to "reduce internal competition" and international chemical companies facing uncertainties due to rising raw material costs and capacity exits [1] Group 1: Domestic and International Factors - Domestic policies are increasingly focused on supply-side reforms, particularly the concept of "reducing internal competition" [1] - Internationally, chemical companies in Europe and the U.S. have experienced shutdowns and capacity exits due to rising raw material costs and competition from Asian production [1] Group 2: Long-term Outlook for China's Chemical Industry - In the long term, China's chemical industry holds a competitive advantage due to significant cost benefits and ongoing technological advancements, positioning Chinese companies to fill gaps in the international supply chain [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The chemical sector leader ETF (516220) tracks a specialized chemical index (000813) that includes listed companies in fine chemicals and new materials, reflecting the overall performance of high-growth and high-tech segments within the chemical industry [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai Zhongzheng Sub-Sector Chemical Industry Theme ETF Connect C (012731) and A (012730) for exposure to this sector [1]

Group 1 - The basic chemical and chemical products industry is experiencing a trend of diversification, with synthetic biology entering a pivotal moment and fossil-based materials facing disruptive challenges [1] - The demand for bio-based materials is expected to surge due to cost reductions and breakthroughs in "non-food" raw materials [1] - Electronic specialty gases, as a core component of the electronics industry, have significant domestic substitution potential driven by the demand from semiconductors, panels, and photovoltaics [1] - The third-generation refrigerants are entering a high prosperity cycle, with a continuous reduction in supply and stable demand growth leading to an expanding supply-demand gap and rising prices [1] - Light hydrocarbon chemicals are becoming a global trend, with raw material lightening driving changes in the olefin industry, aligning with carbon neutrality goals [1] - The industrialization of COC polymers is accelerating, with domestic breakthroughs expected, and optical performance advantages driving applications in consumer electronics and new energy vehicles [1] - The MDI industry is seeing an improved supply structure, characterized by high technical barriers and oligopolistic features, making it a resilient chemical product [1] - Potash fertilizer prices have bottomed out, with international giants reducing production and an increase in grain planting intentions improving supply-demand relationships and driving industry recovery [1] Group 2 - The chemical leader ETF (516220) tracks the sub-sector chemical index (000813), which selects listed companies involved in the manufacturing of chemical products and fibers to reflect the overall performance of representative enterprises in the chemical industry [1] - The index employs a balanced industry distribution strategy aimed at accurately capturing market dynamics and industrial upgrade trends in the chemical field [1]