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(第八届进博会)进博会与会专家探讨严峻挑战下全球贸易重构
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-07 06:49
Core Insights - The global trade landscape is undergoing significant restructuring due to various challenges, including rising trade protectionism and geopolitical tensions [1][2]. Group 1: Global Trade Challenges - Trade protectionism is increasing, raising global production costs and threatening the stability of global supply chains [2]. - Experts noted a trend towards diversification and fragmentation in global trade, with a shift in trade destinations from the U.S. to the EU, RCEP countries, and Belt and Road Initiative nations [2]. - Companies are adopting diversified strategies to mitigate risks associated with geopolitical issues and trade frictions [2]. Group 2: Emerging Growth Areas - New technologies, particularly artificial intelligence, are reshaping the future of global economy and international trade [3]. - The global digital trade export scale is projected to grow from $4.59 trillion in 2020 to $7.23 trillion by 2024, with an annual growth rate of 12.1%, surpassing the overall global trade growth rate of 9.7% [3]. - Digital transformation is driving structural adjustments in global trade product chains, with significant potential in service trade areas like cloud computing and big data [3]. Group 3: Strengthening Multilateral Trade Systems - A rules-based multilateral trade system is essential for providing stability and predictability in global trade, and reforms are necessary to keep the system relevant [4]. - The World Trade Organization (WTO) must continue to play a crucial role in global trade by promoting reforms and balancing efficiency, fairness, and security [4]. - China is committed to expanding high-level openness and deepening reforms, countering unilateralism and protectionism [4]. Group 4: Role of Developing Countries - Developing countries, particularly those in the "Global South," are becoming key drivers of global multipolarity, transitioning from passive rule-takers to active participants and leaders in global economic governance [5].
中国稀土出口管制如何影响外贸?李成钢回应
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-10-31 04:17
Core Viewpoint - The recent export control measures on rare earths by the Ministry of Commerce are primarily focused on security issues, emphasizing the relationship between safety and development in the context of green technology products' foreign trade [1] Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce's export control measures aim to address safety concerns [1] - The concept of "green" is framed as a development philosophy, highlighting its importance in trade [1] - The relationship between safety and development is underscored, suggesting that ensuring safety is essential for achieving better development outcomes [1]
诚通证券研究所李宗光、钟山:激活消费潜能 构筑高质量发展新格局
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-10-22 22:17
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government emphasizes boosting consumption as a key task for 2025, recognizing it as a long-term strategic choice for economic security, industrial upgrading, and improving people's livelihoods [1] Group 1: Importance of Consumption - Consumption is the most fundamental and stable pillar of economic growth, providing solid support for long-term development [2] - Current structural issues include imbalances in supply and demand, insufficient consumption, and low industrial prices, necessitating a shift towards a consumption-driven growth model [2][3] - The transformation of consumption patterns reflects a shift from quantity to quality, with increasing demand for high-quality goods and services [2][3] Group 2: Supply-Side Response - The shift in consumption structure is driving supply-side responses, prompting companies to innovate in technology, business models, and resource allocation [3] - This "demand-driven supply" cycle is essential for optimizing industrial structure and nurturing new productive forces [3] Group 3: Market Potential - China's consumption market has significant growth potential, supported by a large population and a relatively low share of consumption in GDP compared to developed countries [5][6] - The current service consumption share is 46.1%, lower than Japan and the U.S., indicating room for improvement [6] Group 4: Addressing Consumption Barriers - The core issues in the consumption market include both demand-side and supply-side constraints, such as unstable income expectations and insufficient quality supply [7] - A systematic approach is needed to activate consumption, focusing on income stability, environmental improvements, supply upgrades, and infrastructure development [7][10] Group 5: Strategies for Growth - To promote stable income growth, measures include enhancing employment opportunities and reforming income distribution to increase residents' share of national income [8][9] - Creating a safe and friendly consumption environment is crucial to eliminate consumer hesitance [9] - Innovations in service consumption and the development of new consumption scenarios are essential to stimulate consumer willingness [9][10]