【邀请诺贝尔奖、图灵奖得主、两院院士、各行业专家，请联系五洲名家智库】 在当今全球金融格局中，稳定币浪潮正席卷而来，成为各国亟待解决的重要课题。稳定币作为一种新兴支付工具，其高效、低成本的支付优势使其在全球支 付体系中的重要性不断提升，但同时也带来了诸多潜在风险。对于中国而言，如何在稳定币浪潮中顺势而为，推动人民币国际化进程，是一个值得深入探讨 的问题。刘晓春的见解为我们提供了重要的思路和方向。 一、稳定币的现实需求与风险并存 刘晓春指出，稳定币是现实需求的产物，其在虚拟资产交易、链上交易等新兴经济领域具有不可替代的作用，传统支付方式难以满足这些领域的支付结算需 求。然而，稳定币的匿名性和便捷性也使其成为灰色产业和非法交易的工具，例如泰达币（USDT）与美元币（USDC）多次被指责涉及非法金融活动。因 此，为稳定币立法，既是创新的需要，更是金融安全的保障。 二、稳定币支付的性质与法定货币的关系 稳定币的支付只是支付结算的一个环节，其最终目的是实现以法定货币体现的价值转移。刘晓春强调，只有收款人最终获取法定货币，结算才算真正实现。 因此，稳定币的使用必须与法定货币的流通紧密结合，而监管的介入则是确保这一过程安全 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise of stablecoins is becoming a critical issue globally, with countries needing to address the potential negative impacts on their financial systems while also seizing opportunities for currency globalization [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of Stablecoins - Stablecoins have surpassed a market size of $250 billion globally, indicating their growing significance in the payment system [2]. - Visa's data predicts that by June 2025, adjusted stablecoin payment transactions will reach 1.6 billion, with a transaction value of $7.3 trillion [2]. - Citibank estimates that stablecoin market value could reach $3.7 trillion by 2030 under optimistic scenarios [2]. - Stablecoins offer advantages over traditional payment methods, such as fewer payment steps, shorter processes, and lower costs, especially in cross-border payments [2][3]. Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The U.S. and Hong Kong have enacted legislation to regulate fiat-backed stablecoins as payment tools, emphasizing the need for compliance and anti-money laundering measures [1][2]. - Countries like the UK and South Korea are also incorporating stablecoins into their legislative frameworks [1][2]. - The regulation aims to protect and promote fiat currency sovereignty while addressing risks posed by foreign stablecoins linked to local currencies [3][4]. Group 3: Implications for the Renminbi - The internationalization of the Renminbi is being supported by the development of Renminbi stablecoins, which could enhance its global competitiveness [1][4]. - The potential risks from foreign stablecoins linked to the Renminbi necessitate regulatory measures to mitigate impacts on the domestic financial system [4][6]. - The issuance of Renminbi stablecoins should focus on supporting emerging economic development rather than competing directly with U.S. dollar stablecoins [4][5]. Group 4: Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) and Stablecoins - The People's Bank of China is leveraging CBDC to address challenges in cross-border payments, with the CBDC bridge project processing payments in 6 to 9 seconds, significantly reducing costs [5]. - CBDCs and stablecoins serve complementary roles, with stablecoins primarily used for cross-border settlements and CBDCs for domestic transactions [5][6]. - The development of offshore Renminbi stablecoins could enhance the use of Renminbi in international payments, particularly in transactions involving non-Chinese enterprises [5][6].

在布雷顿森林体系下，在黄金尚未出现兑付危机之前，国际市场上美元购买力的有效兑付首先来自美国的工业生 产能力，其次才是黄金储备 在缺乏有效贵金属和生产能力支撑的背景下，国际化的美元发行需要寻找新的"锚"。美国通过"石油美元"重新奠 定了美元国际化的根基，同时将美元与其他大宗商品交易挂钩，目的是不断创造"美元国际交易需求"，并由此改 写了自金本位以来的美元国际化底层逻辑 在"石油美元"模式下，全球大宗商品和其他国际贸易的扩张加大了对美元的需求。美元国际交易需求的增长，使 美元发行找到了新的锚定物。其实，这种需求的本质，是全球工农业生产能力的相互交易需求在"石油美元"模式 下产生的"美元需求幻觉" 既有的一些具有想象力的美元"锚"并不具备大规模交易基础，难以形成相当于"石油美元"的锚定物规模，美国在 相关产业领域的生产能力或产业链控制能力也并不突出，因此，换"锚"方案恐将无解 文 | 王玉柱 美元指数自2025年1月初达到近三年高点后，近期持续走低。越来越多的投资者正在考虑从美元和美元资产中撤 离，国际市场对美元币值及美元资产贬值的预期短期内难以改变；部分大型投资机构已迈出"离开美国"的关键一 步，或将拉开长期结构 ...

近日，国泰君安国际（1788.HK）正式获得香港证监会的批准，拿下虚拟资产交易"全牌照"，成为国内 首家可提供全面虚拟资产交易的中资券商。此后国泰君安国际的客户，将不仅可以通过在该券商开设的 证券账户买卖比特币（BTC）和以太币（ETH）等基础性加密货币，也可以交易泰达币（USDT）和美 元币（USDC）等稳定币，以及狗狗币（DOGE）和瑞波币（XRP）等支付与特定场景的代币。 此次国泰君安国际在中国香港试点所透露的信号非常重要，所以在消息公布之后的第二个交易日，国泰 君安国际股价以大涨198.39%收盘，这充分说明了虚拟货币发展潜力早已被市场所认可。 毕竟数字技术的深度互联，已经从根本上改变了我们所熟知的物质世界和生产生活方式。在金融领域， 由于数字支付方式的日益普及导致流通中现金减少，传统货币乘数在解释当前货币供给对基础货币的倍 数关系方面捉襟见肘。货币与支付结算系统的数字化，正在倒逼央行货币投放和监管方式的多项转型。 从风险角度看，基于数字技术的加密货币出现之后，对一国货币主权、金融安全、信息透明度和跨境资 本流动的全方位冲击已不可避免。高度重视加密货币，并试图通过发行法定加密货币，抢占未来国际金 融规 ...

Core Insights - The United States is striving to become the global "cryptocurrency capital" through comprehensive regulatory reforms and policy adjustments, which will significantly impact the global financial landscape and the dominance of the US dollar [1][8] Regulatory Environment - A clear and appropriate regulatory environment is crucial for the transition of digital assets from niche innovations to mainstream applications [1] - The US Congress is advancing two key legislative proposals: the GENIUS Act in the Senate and the STABLE Act in the House, aimed at creating a regulatory framework for payment stablecoins [7] - The SEC's recent actions, including the withdrawal of lawsuits against major cryptocurrency companies, indicate a shift towards a more favorable regulatory environment [10] Role of Stablecoins - Stablecoins play a central role in digital finance, with the total trading volume projected to approach $28 trillion by 2024 [3] - The dominance of the US dollar in the stablecoin market is evident, with 99% of stablecoin market value pegged to the dollar, reinforcing its status as a reserve currency in digital finance [7][8] Market Dynamics - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has reached $3.5 trillion, with Bitcoin ETF assets exceeding $100 billion and global cryptocurrency users numbering 659 million [1] - Stablecoins, such as Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC), dominate the market, accounting for 67% and 26% of stablecoin market value, respectively [3] Advantages of the US - The US has unique competitive advantages in the race to become the global cryptocurrency center, including a significant share of institutional investment and a strong technological infrastructure for blockchain development [8] - The US accounts for 36% of global Bitcoin mining activity, further solidifying its position in the cryptocurrency landscape [8] Challenges and Competition - Despite its advantages, the US faces significant challenges, including regulatory complexity and potential legislative gridlock, which could hinder its ability to establish a suitable regulatory framework for digital assets [12] - International competition is intensifying, with regions like the EU, Singapore, and the UAE actively creating favorable regulatory environments for the cryptocurrency industry [12]

以下文章来源于玉渊谭天 ，作者谭主 玉渊谭天 . 简单逻辑看复杂世界 2025.06. 25 本文字数：4179，阅读时长大约7分钟 来源 | 玉渊谭天 封面图来源 | 玉渊谭天 当地时间6月17日，美国参议院以68票赞成、30票反对的结果通过 《指导与建立美国稳定币国家创 新法案》 ，制定了与美元挂钩的稳定币监管规则。 当法案以压倒性优势通过时，共和党参议员比尔·哈格蒂振臂宣称："美国正迈向加密货币之都！" 2500亿美元市场规模的稳定币进入了美国国家法律框架的视野，而华尔街的交易终端上，美债收益 率曲线微微颤动。 当稳定币正式登上美国金融的舞台，一场金融实验，也就此拉开帷幕。 01 稳定币，怎么"稳"？ 今年3月，特朗普的加密货币项目"世界自由金融"（World Liberty Financial）公司推出了一种与 美元 挂钩的代币，名为USD1。 和金融市场上的其他加密货币不同，像USD1这类加密货币有法定货币和现实资产作为支撑。这就意 味着，与比特币相比，它的币值波动更稳定，所以便被称为"稳定币"。 事实上，稳定币的出现并非偶然，而是加密货币发展演化的结果。 比特币的诞生背景与2008年金融危机密切相 ...