Core Viewpoint - The performance of Seres this year reflects a "stagflation" situation, indicating that its rigid costs may limit its growth potential [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Seres has become the largest domestic vehicle listing company this year, surpassing Chery Automobile, but did not achieve the expected "opening red" upon its debut in the Hong Kong stock market [2]. - The company completed two significant expenditures this year: acquiring Longsheng New Energy Super Factory for over 8.1 billion yuan and purchasing a 10% stake in Yingwang Company for 11.5 billion yuan, which supports its future growth expectations [3]. Group 2: Sales and Financial Performance - For the first ten months of 2025, Seres' cumulative sales reached 356,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 1%, with the Wanjie series contributing 325,000 units, showing a decline of 0.6% [4]. - The revenue and profit structure for the first three quarters showed a revenue of 110.5 billion yuan with a gross margin of 29.4% and a net margin of 5.1%, indicating a significant improvement in profitability despite stagnant sales growth [4]. Group 3: Profitability and Cost Structure - Seres' gross margin has been increasing, recorded at 27.6%, 28.9%, and 29.4% for the first quarter, half-year, and first three quarters respectively, while the average vehicle price has also risen [4]. - The sales expense ratio has been increasing, with significant components being advertising and service fees, which may indicate a strategic focus on brand building despite rising costs [4][5]. Group 4: Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The pricing strategy for the new M7 model reflects a continued increase in prices, contrasting with the competitive landscape where other brands are lowering prices [5]. - Seres' production capacity is expected to reach one million units by 2027, which is crucial for achieving its sales targets, but the current high capacity utilization may limit pricing flexibility [5][6]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The company may face limitations in expanding its model categories due to the competitive environment and its reliance on the Huawei intelligent driving system, which could hinder its growth in the electric SUV segment [6]. - If Seres cannot achieve annual growth rates of around 40% in sales and revenue over the next two years, its profit structure may reach a marginal point, impacting its future valuation [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid progress of Seres in its Hong Kong IPO process, highlighting its potential to become the first "A+H" listed new energy vehicle company, driven primarily by its AITO brand, which has become a significant revenue contributor [4][5][8]. Group 1: IPO and Market Position - Seres has accelerated its Hong Kong listing process, with the board approving the global offering shortly after passing the Hong Kong Stock Exchange hearing [4]. - If successful, Seres is expected to surpass Chery Automobile, which currently holds a market capitalization of HKD 176.2 billion, making it the largest car IPO in Hong Kong this year [5]. - As of October 17, 2023, Seres has a market capitalization exceeding RMB 250 billion in the A-share market [5]. Group 2: AITO Brand Performance - The AITO brand has become the main performance driver for Seres, with sales projected to grow from 78,000 units in 2022 to 389,000 units by 2024 [8]. - In the first half of 2023, AITO's sales reached 152,000 units, solidifying its market presence [8]. - AITO has successfully covered the SUV market from RMB 200,000 to RMB 600,000, with four models launched: M5, M7, M8, and M9 [9]. Group 3: Revenue Structure - AITO's revenue contribution is expected to rise dramatically, with projections indicating it will account for over 90% of Seres' total revenue by 2024, up from 60% in 2022 [10][12]. - Other brands under Seres are being strategically reduced, with the Blue Electric brand showing weak sales of only 11,000 units in the first half of 2023 [11]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Risks - Seres has a deep partnership with Huawei, which has significantly influenced its product development and market positioning [16][17]. - The company's reliance on Huawei is substantial, with procurement payments to Huawei expected to reach RMB 42 billion in 2024, constituting about 30% of total revenue [21][22]. - This dependency poses risks, as any disruption in the relationship could adversely affect Seres' business and financial performance [18][22]. Group 5: Future Growth and Diversification - Seres is diversifying its business model beyond vehicle sales, including a recent acquisition of Longsheng New Energy for RMB 8.164 billion to enhance its production capabilities [25]. - The company is also expanding its charging network, with over 12,000 charging stations established nationwide, contributing to a second growth curve [25]. - A partnership with ByteDance's Volcano Engine aims to integrate AI technologies into its offerings, enhancing its market differentiation [26]. Group 6: Valuation and Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that Seres' valuation could reach a PE ratio of 31 times by 2025, significantly higher than traditional automotive parts companies [26]. - The company's ability to maintain its sales momentum for the AITO brand will be crucial for its overall valuation and growth prospects [27].

Core Insights - Huawei is making significant moves in the embodied intelligence sector, recently launching the Huawei Cloud Embodied Intelligence Industry Joint Innovation Center in Shenzhen, which has attracted nine well-known companies, including six listed firms, to establish subsidiaries in this field [1][10] - The Huawei Developer Conference 2025 introduced the CloudRobo embodied intelligence platform, aiming to transform all connected entities into embodied intelligent robots, marking a strategic shift in the AI landscape [3][4] - The Chinese government has recognized "embodied intelligence" as a key component of future industries, indicating its importance in national strategic planning [3][4] Industry Trends - The market for embodied intelligence is projected to grow significantly, with expectations to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2026, driven by advancements in large model technologies [5][10] - Major companies like NVIDIA and Tesla are also investing in "large model + embodied intelligence" robotics, viewing intelligent robots as a second growth curve for their businesses [5][10] Huawei's Strategy - Huawei's approach mirrors its strategy in the automotive sector, focusing on providing a technological foundation and ecosystem collaboration rather than manufacturing end products [6][8] - The company aims to replicate the success of its automotive partnerships, such as with Seres, which transformed from a loss-making entity to one of China's top three car manufacturers with a market value exceeding 200 billion yuan [6][10] Regional Development - Shenzhen's Bao'an district is positioning itself as China's first "embodied intelligence port," fostering the growth of potential "unicorn" companies in this field [11][15] - The Huawei Cloud Embodied Intelligence Industry Joint Innovation Center is strategically located near significant tech hubs, enhancing collaboration and innovation within the industry [10][11] Collaborative Efforts - Huawei is engaging in partnerships with various companies to develop comprehensive solutions across different applications, including smart sorting, energy management, and intelligent healthcare [13][15] - The center has successfully attracted a diverse range of companies, from manufacturers to component developers, indicating a robust ecosystem for embodied intelligence [10][13]