Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to perform positively in the fourth quarter, supported by favorable external conditions from overseas markets and resilient domestic consumption data during the recent holiday [1][2]. Group 1: Overseas Market Influence - The overall performance of overseas markets during the holiday has boosted investor sentiment in the A-share market, with private equity firms noting a positive emotional momentum [2]. - Factors such as the U.S. government shutdown, geopolitical developments, and record-high gold prices are seen as having a generally positive impact on the A-share market [2][3]. Group 2: Domestic Economic Indicators - The recent Golden Week holiday showcased strong consumer resilience, with impressive travel and consumption data, which adds warmth to the economic fundamentals [1][2]. - The stable release of domestic policies and economic data around the holiday is expected to lack major variables that could significantly impact the market [2]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Private equity firms are adopting a balanced approach to stock selection, emphasizing the importance of both aggressive and defensive strategies [4]. - Some firms are increasing their positions and optimizing their portfolios, anticipating a recovery in market sentiment post-holiday [4][5]. Group 4: Focus on Technology and Growth Sectors - The technology growth sector remains a focal point for many private equity firms, with expectations for significant opportunities in areas such as artificial intelligence and high-end manufacturing [5][6]. - The upcoming third-quarter earnings reports are anticipated to present opportunities for stocks that performed well [5][6]. Group 5: Market Trends and Opportunities - The market is expected to maintain its focus on key themes such as the internet, domestic semiconductor industry, and innovative pharmaceuticals [6]. - There is a belief that both technology growth and value stocks will perform well, with potential for revaluation in consumer and cyclical sectors [6][7].

随着国庆长假的落幕，A股市场于10月9日迎来四季度首个交易日。这个假期，全球金融市场并不平 静：海外股市普遍小幅走强，为A股提供了积极的外部环境；与此同时，国际金价历史性突破4000美元/ 盎司关口，彰显出全球资金的避险需求。国内层面，刚刚过去的黄金周展现消费韧性，出行人次与部分 核心消费场景的亮眼数据，为经济基本面注入暖意。在此背景下，私募人士普遍表示，海外市场走强与 国内积极因素叠加，有望共同支撑A股后市表现。 ● 本报记者 王辉 海外市场向好提振投资情绪 长假期间海外市场的整体表现，成为私募研判后市行情的重要依据。多家私募机构表示，海外市场的稳 健走势，为A股积累了积极的情绪动能。域秀资产研究总监许俊哲表示，外盘表现中规中矩，港股半导 体板块涨幅较好，对节后A股形成情绪上的支撑。他进一步分析，美国政府停摆、地缘局势进展及黄金 价格创历史新高等信息总体对A股影响偏正面，市场有望继续震荡上行。 星石投资副总经理方磊的观察更为细致，他认为长假前因避险情绪而走弱的A股交投情绪有望得到修 复。畅力资产董事长宝晓辉则从影响因素的结构性角度出发，表示外部变量十分重要。她认为，长假前 后国内政策与经济数据发布节奏相对平 ...

Core Insights - Global risk appetite has shown signs of recovery, creating a favorable macro environment for the A-share market post-holiday [1][3] - The focus during the holiday period was on resource and AI sectors, with significant developments in the AI industry expected to drive growth in technology stocks in October [2][4] Market Performance - During the holiday, global stock markets experienced a broad rally, with the US, European, and Japanese markets all posting gains; the Nikkei 225 index rose over 6% [2] - Precious metals saw strong price increases, with COMEX gold futures surpassing $4000 per ounce, marking a new historical high [2] Sector Trends - The AI industry is expanding from enterprise-level applications to consumer-level, indicating a potential surge in demand for hardware and applications [2][4] - Key sectors expected to perform well include AI computing, innovative pharmaceuticals, robotics, and high-end equipment manufacturing, as these areas are at a critical breakthrough point [4][5] Investment Outlook - Analysts predict a "red October" for A-shares, driven by positive liquidity and risk appetite, alongside the upcoming third-quarter earnings reports which may attract more investment [3][5] - The current market is expected to favor sectors with strong industrial trends and lower valuations, particularly in technology and resource safety [3][5]

Group 1 - The global risk appetite has shown signs of recovery, creating a positive macro environment for the A-share market post-holiday [1][3] - Major global risk assets, including US stocks, Japanese stocks, and gold, reached historical highs during the holiday period, indicating a strong performance in the global market [2][3] - The focus of market trends during the holiday was primarily on the resource and AI sectors, with significant developments in the AI industry expected to drive growth in technology stocks in October [2][4] Group 2 - The A-share market is anticipated to experience a "red October," supported by favorable liquidity and risk appetite conditions, as well as the upcoming third-quarter earnings reports [3][5] - The traditional calendar effect suggests that markets tend to rise after holidays, and early trading activity indicates a positive sentiment among investors [3][4] - The technology growth style, particularly in AI, is expected to continue to perform well, with sectors such as AI computing, innovative pharmaceuticals, and high-end equipment manufacturing being highlighted as key areas of focus [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to perform positively after the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, supported by favorable external markets and domestic consumption recovery [1] Market Outlook: External Factors Boost Confidence - The overall positive performance of external markets during the holiday period creates a favorable environment for the A-share market [2] - The Hong Kong stock market, particularly the semiconductor sector, has shown strong performance, providing emotional support for A-shares [2] - Improved trading sentiment is anticipated as global asset classes have generally risen, reducing uncertainties affecting Chinese assets [2] - Domestic macroeconomic stability and high service consumption during the holiday are expected to attract risk-averse funds back to the A-share market [2] - Collaborations in the tech sector, such as OpenAI and AMD, may catalyze related A-share sectors like computing power and AI applications [2] Strategic Response: Balanced and Selective Investment - Multiple private equity firms emphasize the importance of balanced allocation and selective stock picking in the upcoming trading period [3] - A proactive investment strategy is recommended, with an increase in positions and optimization of portfolios, as historical data suggests a recovery in A-share sentiment post-holiday [3] - The trend of household savings flowing into equity markets is expected to continue, indicating significant long-term upside potential for A-shares [3] - A combination of high-position operations and balanced holdings is advised, focusing on technology growth and high-end manufacturing while also including low P/B and high dividend assets for risk mitigation [3] Investment Themes: Consensus on Tech Growth - The technology growth sector is unanimously favored by five private equity firms, alongside opportunities in consumer recovery and undervalued sectors [5] - Continued optimism for technology stocks is noted, particularly in computing power, storage, and AI infrastructure-related sectors [5] - The upcoming third-quarter earnings reports are expected to present opportunities for well-performing sectors [5] - Specific areas of interest include internet giants, domestic semiconductor supply chains, and innovative pharmaceuticals [5] - Focus areas post-holiday include AI, humanoid robotics, high-end manufacturing, and potential recovery in financial and cyclical sectors [5] - Market style is expected to become more balanced, with investment opportunities across various asset classes, including technology, consumer, and cyclical sectors [5] Key Sectors of Interest - Emphasis on graphics processors and humanoid robotics, along with identifying oversold weight sectors for investment [6]

Core Viewpoint - The private equity industry holds an optimistic outlook for the A-share market post-holiday, driven by favorable external markets and domestic consumption recovery, with a focus on structural opportunities in technology growth sectors [1][2]. Market Outlook - The overall positive performance of external markets during the holiday period creates a favorable environment for the A-share market's reopening [2]. - The Hong Kong stock market, particularly the semiconductor sector, has shown strong performance, providing emotional support for the A-share market [2]. - There is an expectation of improved trading sentiment in the A-share market, as global asset classes have generally risen, reducing uncertainties for Chinese assets [2]. - Domestic macroeconomic stability and a surge in service consumption during the holiday are likely to attract risk-averse funds back to the A-share market [2]. - Collaborations in the tech sector, such as between OpenAI and AMD, may catalyze related sectors in the A-share market [2]. Strategic Response - Private equity firms emphasize the importance of balanced allocation and selective stock picking in their investment strategies [3]. - A proactive investment strategy is recommended, with an increase in positions and optimization of portfolios, as historical data suggests a recovery in A-share sentiment post-holiday [3]. - There is a long-term trend of household savings flowing into equity markets, indicating significant upside potential for the A-share market [3]. - The investment strategy post-holiday includes maintaining a strategic optimism with a combination of high positions and balanced holdings, focusing on technology growth and high-end manufacturing assets [3][6]. Investment Themes - The technology growth sector is widely recognized as a key area of opportunity, with a consensus among private equity firms [5]. - There is a continued positive outlook for technology stocks, particularly in areas related to computing power and artificial intelligence infrastructure [5][6]. - The upcoming third-quarter earnings reports are expected to present opportunities for sectors with strong performance [5]. - Specific sectors of interest include internet giants, domestic semiconductor supply chains, innovative pharmaceuticals, and solid-state battery development [6]. - The market is anticipated to become more balanced, with investment opportunities across various asset classes, including consumer and cyclical sectors [6].