[Table_Reportdate] 2025年09月30日 公 司 简 评 报告原因：业绩点评 蓄代理费率调整效果显现 ——公司简评报告 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 公 司 研 究 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 王鸿行 S0630522050001 whxing@longone.com.cn | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2025/09/29 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 5.83 | | 总股本(万股) | 12,009,505 | | 流通A股/B股(万股) | 6,712,240/0 | | 资产负债率(%) | 93.73% | | 市净率(倍) | 0.61 | | 净资产收益率(加权) | 5.46 | | 12个月内最高/最低价 | 6.44/4.94 | [Table_QuotePic] -18% -11% -3% 5% 12% 20% 27% 35% 24-09 24-12 25-03 25-06 邮储银行 沪深300 [相关研究 Table_Report] 《邮 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the banking industry [3] Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the asset-liability structure and interest margin changes of 42 A-share listed banks during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, highlighting a shift towards corporate loans on the asset side and a stronger retail focus on the liability side [12][14] - The asset-liability structure indicates a significant increase in the proportion of corporate loans, rising from 57.02% to 63.22% from the end of 2020 to mid-2025, while the proportion of demand deposits decreased from 41.94% to 30% [12][14] - The report notes a decline in both asset yield and interest margin, with the yield on interest-earning assets dropping from 4.43% to 3.32% and the net interest margin decreasing from 2.23% to 1.53% during the same period [14][15] Summary by Sections Overall Asset-Liability Structure and Interest Margin Changes - The asset-liability structure shows an increase in loan-to-earning asset ratio from 54.19% to 56.49%, with corporate loans making up a larger share of total loans [14][15] - The average yield on interest-earning assets decreased significantly, with the loan yield falling from 5.34% to 3.82% [15] - The net interest margin for listed banks remains higher than that of commercial banks, despite a decline [14][15] Changes in Each Banking Sector's Asset-Liability Structure and Interest Margin - City commercial banks experienced a more significant increase in the proportion of corporate loans, with their interest margin narrowing less compared to other banks [18] - The report highlights that the proportion of deposits in interest-bearing liabilities for state-owned banks decreased, while it increased for rural commercial banks [18] - The decline in interest-bearing liabilities' cost rate was most pronounced in city commercial banks, leading to a smaller reduction in their interest margin [18]

Core Viewpoint - Harbin Bank reported a net profit of 915 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.96%, despite facing challenges such as a declining net interest margin and a relatively high non-performing loan ratio [1][2][6]. Financial Performance - The bank achieved an operating income of 7.386 billion yuan, up 2.59% year-on-year, and a net profit of 999.2 million yuan, reflecting a 17.28% increase [2]. - The average return on total assets was 0.22%, an increase of 0.02 percentage points year-on-year, while the average return on equity rose to 2.07%, up 0.57 percentage points [2]. - Interest income decreased significantly, with net interest income at 4.413 billion yuan, down 11.4% year-on-year [2]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 2.83%, only slightly down by 0.01 percentage points from the previous year, which is notably higher than the average of 1.76% for city commercial banks [1][6]. - The bank's non-performing loan balance was 11.27 billion yuan, with a provision coverage ratio of 209.95%, up 7.36 percentage points year-on-year [6]. Capital Adequacy - As of June 30, 2025, the core tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 8.52%, down 0.16 percentage points from the end of the previous year, indicating pressure on capital replenishment [7]. - The total assets reached 927.528 billion yuan, a 1.23% increase from the end of the previous year, while customer loans and advances rose by 4.87% to 397.566 billion yuan [5]. Future Outlook - The bank anticipates continued pressure on net interest margin and net interest yield due to external uncertainties and intense competition [3]. - Harbin Bank plans to enhance its capital management and diversify its profit channels to improve its internal capital generation capacity [7].

截至发稿，中远海发市值为347亿元。 每经AI快讯，中远海发（SH 601866，收盘价：2.63元）9月16日晚间发布公告称，公司第七届第三十一 次董事会会议于2025年9月16日以书面通讯表决方式召开。会议审议了《关于调整公司高级管理人员的 议案》等文件。 2025年1至6月份，中远海发的营业收入构成为：集装箱制造占比89.43%，航运及相关产业租赁占比 29.8%，金融投资占比0.13%，分部间抵销占比-19.36%。 （记者 王晓波） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——海拔4306米现"秦始皇密令"，获官方"身份认定"！古文字学家刘钊：秦人 寻仙采药足迹确至青藏高原 ...

Core Viewpoint - The operational performance of most small and medium-sized banks in the first half of the year shows a continued trend of differentiation and competition, with notable changes emerging in the landscape [1] Group 1: Performance of Listed Banks - The total asset scale of 42 A-share listed banks reached approximately 321 trillion yuan, with 27 city commercial banks and rural commercial banks accounting for about 36 trillion yuan, an increase of over 3 trillion yuan compared to the end of last year [2] - City and rural commercial banks have seen their asset share in listed banks rise from less than 11% at the end of last year to approximately 11.21% [3] - Jiangsu Bank has overtaken Beijing Bank to become the new leader among city commercial banks, with an asset scale of 4.79 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 21.16%, the highest among all listed banks [3][4] - The top six city commercial banks achieving over 10 billion yuan in net profit include Jiangsu Bank, Ningbo Bank, Beijing Bank, Nanjing Bank, Shanghai Bank, and Hangzhou Bank [5] Group 2: Financial Metrics and Risks - The net interest margin (NIM) among listed city and rural commercial banks shows significant differentiation, with a gap of 150 basis points between the highest and lowest [7] - Some banks have reported non-performing loan (NPL) ratios exceeding 21%, particularly in the real estate sector, with individual banks experiencing extreme cases of low NIM and high NPL ratios [1][7] - As of the end of the first half, the NPL ratio for listed banks showed that four city commercial banks and one rural commercial bank had the highest ratios, with Lanzhou Bank at 1.81% [8][10] Group 3: Non-Listed Banks and Overall Trends - Non-listed small and medium-sized banks have also shown varied performance, with some experiencing significant asset declines, such as Ningbo Yinzhou Rural Commercial Bank, which saw a 15.45% drop [12] - The reliance on financial investments has increased among banks, particularly rural commercial banks, with some having over 45% of their assets in financial investments [12] - The overall trend indicates that while many banks maintain positive growth, challenges remain in asset quality and profitability, with only one-fifth of banks achieving an increase in NIM [13]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the five leading city commercial banks in the Yangtze River Delta region listed on A-shares showed growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but the growth rate has generally slowed compared to the previous year, with significant differentiation among them [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Jiangsu Bank led with a revenue of 44.86 billion yuan and a net profit of 21.06 billion yuan, maintaining its top position [3][4]. - Nanjing Bank surpassed Shanghai Bank in revenue, dropping Shanghai Bank to fourth place, while net profit rankings remained consistent [2][3]. - All five banks reported year-on-year growth in net profit, with Hangzhou Bank achieving the highest growth rate of 16.7% due to a reduction in credit impairment losses [5][12]. Group 2: Revenue and Profit Growth Rates - Revenue growth rates for the five banks showed a decline compared to last year, with Hangzhou Bank experiencing the largest drop from 9.6% to 3.9% [4][5]. - Jiangsu Bank and Ningbo Bank had revenue growth rates around 8%, while Shanghai Bank and Hangzhou Bank lagged behind with growth rates around 4% [4][5]. Group 3: Interest Income and Non-Interest Income - All five banks saw an increase in net interest income, with Nanjing Bank achieving the highest growth rate of 22.13% [5][6]. - Non-interest income showed mixed results, with four banks reporting growth while Shanghai Bank experienced a decline of 6% [7][11]. Group 4: Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios remained low, with only Shanghai Bank exceeding 1% at 1.18% [12][13]. - Jiangsu Bank's core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio fell below 9%, the lowest among the five banks, while Shanghai Bank led with a ratio of 10.78% [14]. Group 5: Financial Investment and Loan Composition - Financial investment assets accounted for a significant portion of total assets, with Hangzhou Bank having the highest ratio at 46.8% [8][9]. - Jiangsu Bank's financial investment assets grew at a rate nearly double that of its loan assets, indicating a shift in asset allocation strategy [10][11].

Core Viewpoints - Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) reported a stable performance in H1 2025, with revenue, PPOP, and net profit growth rates of 0.85%, 0%, and 2.66% respectively, showing improvements compared to Q1 2025 [1] Group 1: Performance Metrics - The total asset growth rate rebounded, with a 5.34 percentage point increase in interest-earning asset growth to 11.60% in Q2, primarily driven by short-term liquidity assets [2] - Loan growth remained stable at 9.63% year-on-year, while financial investment growth slowed to 12.35%, aligning with government bond balance growth [2] - Deposit growth recovered to 8.29% year-on-year, with a significant increase of 5.21 percentage points from Q1, although it still lags behind total asset and loan growth [2] Group 2: Income and Quality - Non-interest income growth turned positive in Q2, with a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, driven by a recovery in capital market activities [3] - Other non-interest income grew by 23.2% year-on-year, indicating a return to average levels [3] - Asset quality remained stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.28% at the end of Q2, unchanged from the previous quarter, and a coverage ratio of 295% [3] Group 3: Dividends and Future Outlook - The company announced an interim dividend of 1.195 yuan per 10 shares, representing 30% of net profit [4] - The bank's asset quality is superior to its peers, and if deposit and non-interest income continue to improve, the fundamental advantages will further enhance [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Agricultural Bank of China (601288.SH) [5][9]. Core Views - The bank's total asset growth rate rebounded, with stable growth in loans and investments. In Q2, the growth rate of interest-earning assets increased by 5.34 percentage points to 11.60%, primarily driven by short-term liquidity assets [2]. - Deposit growth has recovered, with a year-on-year increase of 8.29% in the first half of the year, showing significant improvement compared to the first quarter [3]. - Non-interest income growth turned positive, with a 10.1% year-on-year increase in Q2, supported by a recovery in capital markets [3]. - Asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.28% at the end of Q2, unchanged from the previous quarter [4]. - The bank announced an interim dividend of 1.195 yuan per 10 shares, accounting for 30% of net profit [4]. Summary by Sections Performance - In the first half of 2025, the bank's operating income, pre-provision operating profit (PPOP), and net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 0.85%, 0%, and 2.66% year-on-year, respectively [1][15]. - The growth rates for total assets, loans, and deposits were 11.60%, 9.63%, and 8.29%, respectively, indicating a stable performance [15]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income saw a year-on-year growth of 23.2% in the first half, with significant contributions from various services such as agency sales and custody [3][16]. Interest Margin and Asset-Liability Management - The bank's net interest margin has shown a slight decline, with a reported value of 1.32% [15]. The bank's strategy of asset expansion in a high-interest environment has been effective, although future asset growth may need to align with deposit growth [2][4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.28%, with a provision coverage ratio of 295% [4]. The bank has effectively managed the increase in retail non-performing loans, which rose by 15 basis points to 1.18% [4]. Capital and Shareholder Returns - The bank's interim dividend reflects a commitment to returning value to shareholders, with a payout ratio of 30% of net profit [4]. The bank's capital adequacy ratios remain strong, supporting its growth strategy [15].

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities reported better-than-expected results for the first half of 2025, with significant growth in revenue and net profit, driven by a recovery in light asset business and strong investment performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, CITIC Securities achieved operating revenue of 33.04 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.72 billion, up 29.8% year-on-year [1]. - The weighted average ROE (unannualized) for 1H25 was 4.91%, an increase of 0.95 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company's main revenue from securities reached 32.60 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 21.2% [2]. Business Segments - Breakdown of main revenue in 1H25: brokerage (6.40 billion, +31.2%), investment banking (2.10 billion, +20.9%), asset management (5.44 billion, +10.8%), other fees (0.88 billion, +82.7%), net interest (0.22 billion, -80.1%), and net investment income (17.23 billion, +27.1%) [2]. - In 2Q25, the company reversed impairment losses of 0.61 billion, contributing to profit growth [2]. International Business - CITIC Securities made significant strides in international business, with overseas revenue reaching 6.91 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, accounting for 20.9% of total revenue [3]. - By the end of 1H25, the company's overseas asset scale reached 421.9 billion, up 12.9% from the beginning of the year, representing 23.3% of total assets [3]. - CITIC Securities International achieved revenue of 1.49 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 52.8%, and a net profit of 0.39 billion USD, up 65.9% [3]. Investment and Asset Management - As of the end of 2Q25, total assets were 1.8077 trillion, an increase of 5.7% year-to-date, with net assets of 305.4 billion, up 4.2% [4]. - The investment asset scale was 918.6 billion, with an investment return rate of 3.77%, up 0.30 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company expanded its derivatives business, with nominal principal of equity derivatives reaching 559.1 billion, up 3.3% [4]. Wealth Management - The company is steadily advancing its wealth management transformation, with total clients exceeding 16.5 million, an increase of 4.0% year-to-date [5]. - In 1H25, net income from agency buying reached 5.06 billion, up 41.7% year-on-year, while overseas wealth management product sales and revenue doubled [5]. Investment Banking - CITIC Securities maintained its leading position in domestic investment banking, completing 36 A-share underwriting projects with a total underwriting scale of 148.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 366% [6]. - The company also completed 30 overseas equity projects with an underwriting scale of 2.99 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 132% [6]. Fund Management - Huaxia Fund, in which CITIC Securities holds a 62.2% stake, reported revenue of 4.26 billion, up 16.1%, and net profit of 1.12 billion, up 5.8% [7]. - By the end of 1H25, Huaxia Fund's non-monetary AUM reached 1.3 trillion, an increase of 7.0% year-to-date [7].

Core Viewpoint - Bohai Bank reported a growth in both revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven primarily by financial investment income, despite facing challenges in asset quality and scale [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Bohai Bank's operating income reached 14.215 billion yuan, an increase of 8.14% year-on-year; net profit was 3.830 billion yuan, up 3.61% year-on-year [1][2]. - The growth in net profit was attributed to increased operating income and ongoing cost reduction efforts [2]. Asset Quality and Scale - As of the end of June, the total assets of Bohai Bank amounted to 1.8238 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.09% from the end of the previous year [2]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio rose to 1.81%, an increase of 0.05 percentage points from the end of the previous year [2]. Revenue Composition - Interest income for the first half was 8.046 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.43% year-on-year; the net interest margin was 1.20%, up 0.04 percentage points [3]. - Non-interest income reached 6.169 billion yuan, a significant increase of 21.81% year-on-year, primarily driven by a 61.16% rise in financial investment income [3]. Loan Quality - As of June, the non-performing loan balance for corporate loans increased by 468 million yuan, with a non-performing rate of 1.12% [5]. - Personal loan non-performing balance rose by 319 million yuan, with the non-performing rate increasing from 4.15% to 4.43% [5]. Regional and Sectoral Performance - The highest non-performing loan rates were observed in Central and Southern China at 3.10%, with increases noted in the real estate and construction sectors [5]. - The bank disposed of 3.742 billion yuan of non-performing assets through various methods by the end of June [6].