Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 国泰君安期货·能源化工 纸浆周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 日期：2026年1月11日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情数据 02 基本面数据 03 本周观点总结 04 行业资讯 行情走势 基差与月差 现货价格 供给 库存 需求 本周观点总结 行业资讯 行业资讯 1 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 4 资料来源：中纸网，隆众资讯 1.【常熟港纸浆库存统计】截至2026年1月8日，中国纸浆常熟港库存52.5万吨，较上周期下降2.3万吨，环比下降4.2%。本周常熟港库存呈现去库走势。 2.【青岛港纸浆库存统计】截至2026年1月8日，中国青岛港港内及港外仓库纸浆库存134.2万吨，较上周上涨0.3万吨，环比上涨0.2%。本周期青岛港库存周期内呈 现累库的走势。 3.【高栏港纸浆库存统计】截至2026年1月8日，中 ...

行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635727 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员:李捷,CFA（原油沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅多晶硅） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃su ...

国泰君安期货·能源化工 纸浆周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 日期：2025年12月14日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情数据 02 基本面数据 03 本周观点总结 04 行业资讯 行情走势 基差与月差 现货价格 供给 库存 需求 本周观点总结 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行业资讯 1.【常熟港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年12月11日，中国纸浆常熟港库存53.2万吨，较上周期下降3.4万吨，环比下降6.0%。本周常熟港库存呈现去库走势。 2.【青岛港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年12月11日，中国青岛港港内及港外仓库纸浆库存136.2万吨，较上周下降3.3万吨，环比下降2.4%。本周期青岛港库存周期内 呈现去库的走势。 3.【高栏港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年12月11日，中国纸浆高栏港库存5.4万吨，较上周上涨0.9万吨，环比上涨20.0%。本周期高栏港库存呈现累库的 ...

行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 12 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635727 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员:李捷,CFA（原油沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅多晶硅） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 每日报告 一、行情回 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - The pulp market is expected to oscillate and consolidate after the realization of positive factors in the short term. The pulp futures market strengthened this week, driven by supply - side news of international pulp mills exiting the market and concerns about the reduction of warehouse receipts. However, the market fundamentals have not changed fundamentally, with high - level port inventories and a loose supply - demand pattern continuing. The downstream paper mills' procurement remains rational and based on rigid demand, and the low processing profit of base paper cannot provide incremental support for pulp prices [96]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industry News - As of December 4, 2025, the inventory of pulp in major Chinese ports showed a de - stocking trend. The inventory in Changshu Port was 566,000 tons, down 0.6 million tons (1.0% MoM); in Qingdao Port, it was 1.395 million tons, down 34,000 tons (2.4% MoM); and in Gaolan Port, it was 45,000 tons, down 15,000 tons (25.0% MoM). The total inventory of major port samples was 2.101 million tons, down 71,000 tons (3.3% MoM) [5][6]. - Domtar will permanently close its Crofton factory in Canada, reducing its annual pulp production by about 380,000 tons of NBSK softwood pulp [6]. - Fenlin Group's Joutseno pulp mill will resume operation on December 8, 2025, and its Rauma pulp mill will start a one - month production shutdown on December 15, 2025, and plan to gradually resume production by department from January 7, 2026 [7]. - Shandong Bohui Paper plans to invest about 1.701 billion yuan to expand its chemical wood pulp project. After completion, its chemical wood pulp production capacity will increase from 95,000 tons/year to 320,000 tons/year [8]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Trends - On December 5, 2025, the basis of silver star was 150 yuan/ton, down 25.74% MoM and 67.67% YoY; the basis of Russian needle was - 50 yuan/ton, down 78.57% MoM and 457.14% YoY; the price difference between silver star and Russian needle was 200 yuan/ton, down 13.04% MoM and 55.56% YoY [16]. - On December 5, 2025, the 01 - 03 month - spread was - 16 yuan/ton, up 11.11% MoM; the 03 - 05 month - spread was - 24 yuan/ton, up 25.00% MoM [21]. 3.3 Fundamental Data 3.3.1 Price - The import profit of softwood and hardwood pulp has recovered. On December 5, 2025, the import profit of silver star softwood pulp was 83.65 yuan/ton, up 170.04% MoM and 140.60% YoY; the import profit of star hardwood pulp was 122.95 yuan/ton, up 516.27% MoM and 226.39% YoY [30]. - The spot price of imported softwood pulp increased significantly this week. On December 5, 2025, the prices of silver star, Kalip, Beimu, Lion, and Russian needle were 5600 yuan/ton, 5750 yuan/ton, 5850 yuan/ton, 5750 yuan/ton, and 5400 yuan/ton respectively, with MoM increases of 3.70%, 1.77%, 0.86%, 1.77%, and 4.45% [33]. - The spot price of imported hardwood pulp increased. On December 5, 2025, the prices of goldfish, star, bird, and broadleaf were 4600 yuan/ton, 4600 yuan/ton, 4550 yuan/ton, and 4500 yuan/ton respectively, with MoM increases of 4.55%, 3.37%, 3.88%, and 5.88% [37]. - The prices of natural color pulp and chemimechanical pulp showed different trends. On December 5, 2025, the price of Venus natural color pulp was 5150 yuan/ton, up 0.98% MoM and down 4.63% YoY; the price of Kunhe chemimechanical pulp was 3800 yuan/ton, up 2.70% MoM and 7.04% YoY [40]. 3.3.2 Supply - The wood chip purchase price of some paper enterprises in East China decreased this week. On December 5, 2025, the purchase price of eucalyptus wood chips by Liansheng Pulp and Paper was 1180 yuan/ton, down 1.67% MoM [44]. - The supply of chemimechanical pulp increased this period. On December 4, 2025, the weekly production of domestic chemimechanical pulp was 87,300 tons, up 1.99% MoM and 1.51% YoY [49]. - In October 2025, the pulp inventory in European ports decreased MoM, and the global pulp departure volume decreased seasonally MoM [52]. - In August 2025, the W20 softwood pulp shipment was at a low level with high inventory, while the hardwood pulp shipment remained at a high level with low inventory days [54]. - In August 2025, the total softwood pulp exports of Canada, Chile, Finland, and the United States to China decreased MoM and were at a low level YoY. In September, Finland's exports to China increased significantly both MoM and YoY. In October, Chile's softwood pulp exports to China continued to increase MoM but decreased YoY [60]. - In October 2025, the total hardwood pulp exports of Brazil, India, Uruguay, and Chile to China decreased both MoM and YoY. In November, Brazil's hardwood pulp exports to China decreased significantly MoM, and Uruguay's exports decreased both MoM and YoY [61]. - In October 2025, China's pulp imports were divided. Softwood pulp imports increased 0.06% MoM, hardwood pulp imports decreased 2.77% MoM, and the imports of natural color pulp and chemimechanical pulp increased significantly MoM [65]. 3.3.3 Demand - The price of offset paper remained stable this period. The industry's supply was abundant, but the demand was weak, and the production pressure of factories increased due to the rising pulp price [69]. - The price of coated paper remained stable. The market supply changed little, and the demand was weak. The profitability of the industry continued to narrow, and factories were more willing to support prices [73]. - The price of white cardboard increased slightly. Paper mills announced price increases, but the terminal orders were not significantly improved, and the actual price increase was restricted [77]. - The price of household paper increased slightly. The market trading activity did not change much, and the demand was weak. The cost of household paper was strongly supported by the rising pulp price [81]. - In October 2025, the retail sales of cultural and office supplies, cosmetics, and daily necessities increased significantly YoY, while the dairy production decreased significantly both MoM and YoY [85]. 3.3.4 Inventory - On December 5, 2025, the total number of pulp warehouse receipts was 208,900 tons, a decrease of 0.42% MoM and 39.53% YoY [88]. - The port inventory was at a medium - level within the year and continued to show a de - stocking trend. On December 5, 2025, the total inventory of major port samples was 2.101 million tons, down 3.27% MoM and up 14.12% YoY [93].

国泰君安期货·能源化工 纸浆周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 日期：2025年12月7日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情数据 02 基本面数据 03 本周观点总结 04 行业资讯 行情走势 基差与月差 现货价格 供给 库存 需求 本周观点总结 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行业资讯 1.【常熟港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年12月4日，中国纸浆常熟港库存56.6万吨，较上周期下降0.6万吨，环比下降1.0%。本周常熟港库存呈现去库走势。 2.【青岛港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年12月4日，中国青岛港港内及港外仓库纸浆库存139.5万吨，较上周下降3.4万吨，环比下降2.4%。本周期青岛港库存周期内 呈现去库的走势。 3.【高栏港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年12月4日，中国纸浆高栏港库存4.5万吨，较上周下降1.5万吨，环比下降25.0%。本周期高栏港库存呈现去库的趋势。 ...

Group 1: Report Information - Report title: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Report date: October 29, 2025 [2] - Research team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [3] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 3: Core View - The pulp market is in a low - level wide - range oscillation, waiting for the boost of peak - season demand. The downstream paper market shows a differentiated performance, and the demand side of the pulp market has a gentle increase, with the traditional peak season starting slowly [7] Group 4: Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp futures contract 01: The previous settlement price was 5238 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5226 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.23% [7] - Shandong wood pulp market: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp was 4830 - 6500 yuan/ton, remaining stable. The price of Shandong Yinxing was 5500 yuan/ton [7] - Arauco's October offer: Softwood pulp Yinxing was 680 US dollars/ton, a decrease of 20 US dollars/ton from last month; unbleached pulp Jinxing was 590 US dollars/ton, unchanged from last month; hardwood pulp Mingxing was 540 US dollars/ton, unchanged from last month [7] - European wood pulp inventory in September: 722,300 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3% and a year - on - year increase of 16.1% [7] - European wood pulp consumption in September: 813,200 tons, a month - on - month increase of 16.3% and a year - on - year decrease of 1.6% [7] - Main regional and port pulp inventory as of October 23, 2025: 1,958,000 tons, a 1.23% increase from last week [7] - Downstream paper market: The performance of downstream base paper was still differentiated, the demand side of the pulp market increased gently, and the traditional peak season started slowly. The social demand for offset paper was average, and the market was generally concerned about the publishing tender situation, with limited demand improvement at present. The cumulative year - on - year decline in the total profit of the papermaking and paper products industry continued to narrow in September [7] 2. Industry News - From January to September 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China was 5.3732 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.2% [8] - From January to September 2025, the operating income of the papermaking and paper products industry was 1.03757 trillion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 2.1%; the operating cost was 916.95 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 2.1%; the total profit was 27.12 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 15.6% [8] 3. Data Overview - Multiple data charts are presented, including import softwood pulp spot price in Shandong, pulp futures price, pulp spot - futures price difference, needle - broadleaf price difference, inter - period price difference, warehouse receipt volume, domestic main port pulp inventory, European main port wood pulp inventory, paper price and price difference, and USD - CNY exchange rate [14][16][18][20][26][28]

Report Overview - The report is a pulp morning report released by the Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center on September 25, 2025 [2] SP Main Contract Closing Price - On September 24, 2025, the SP main contract closing price was 5044.00, with a 0.71885% increase from the previous day. The converted US dollar price was 618.06. The Shandong Yinxing basis was 566, and the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai Yinxing basis was 581 [3] Import Profit Calculation - With a 13% VAT calculation, the import profit for Canadian Golden Lion was -145.57, for Canadian Lion was -533.29, and for Chilean Yinxing was -91.92. The previous day's exchange rate was 7.12 [4] Price Averages - From September 18 - 24, 2025, the national average prices for softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, natural pulp, and chemimechanical pulp remained unchanged at 6073.75, 4810.75, 5415.00, and 3686.25 respectively. The Shandong regional average prices also remained unchanged [4] - The prices of cultural paper (double - offset index, double - copper index), packaging paper (white card index), and living paper (living index) remained unchanged from September 19 - 24, 2025 [4] Profit Margins - The double - offset profit margin on September 24, 2025, was 1.9642%, the double - copper profit margin was 15.6172%, the white card profit margin was - 12.6135%, and the living paper profit margin was 6.7258%, with a 0.0382 change compared to previous data [4] Price Spreads - On September 24, 2025, the softwood - hardwood price spread was 1370.00, the softwood - natural price spread was 210, the softwood - chemimechanical price spread was 1785, and the softwood - waste paper price spread was 4034 [4]

Group 1: Report Title and Date - The report is titled "Continued Weakness, Focus on Demand Stabilization - Guoxin Futures Pulp Weekly Report" and was released on September 5, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Performance - The main pulp futures contract SP2511 showed a slight rebound but remained in a weak overall trend [7] Group 3: Fundamental Analysis Pulp Market Prices - As of September 4, the weekly average price of imported softwood pulp was 5,652 yuan/ton, down 0.44% from the previous week, with the decline narrowing by 0.69 percentage points. The weekly average price of imported hardwood pulp was 4,210 yuan/ton, up 0.48% from the previous week, turning from a decline to an increase [11] Cumulative Pulp Imports from January to July - In July 2025, China imported 2.877 million tons of pulp, with an import value of 1.7652 billion US dollars and an average unit price of 613.56 US dollars/ton. The cumulative import volume and value from January to July increased by 6.5% and 3.4% respectively compared to the same period last year [15] Port Inventory - As of September 4, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major Chinese regions and ports such as Baoding, Tianjin Port, Rizhao Port, Qingdao Port, Changshu Port, Shanghai Port, Gaolan Port, and Nansha Port was 2.0574 million tons, up 0.52% from the previous week, turning from a decline to an increase [19][34] European Pulp Consumption and Inventory in July - In July 2025, the total European port inventory decreased by 1.91% month-on-month and increased by 19.19% compared to July 2024. Only the port inventories in the Netherlands/Belgium/France/Switzerland increased by 1.72% month-on-month, while the port inventories in the UK, Germany, Italy, and Spain decreased by 26.03%, 6.96%, 1.45%, and 7.22% respectively [22] Downstream Pulp Utilization Rates - Wastepaper pulp accounts for 63% of China's total pulp consumption, wood pulp accounts for 31%, and imported wood pulp accounts for 21%. Non-wood pulp accounts for 6%. As of September 4, the operating rate of double-coated paper remained flat, that of offset paper decreased by 0.47 percentage points, that of white cardboard increased by 0.19 percentage points, and that of tissue paper decreased by 0.38 percentage points [27] Group 4: Future Outlook - The pulp inventory in major Chinese regions and ports increased by 0.52% from the previous week, turning from a decline to an increase. Some major hardwood pulp producers have raised their prices. The recent weak rebound in the market did not prompt the pulp market to follow suit. Downstream paper mills have limited acceptance of high prices and mainly purchase at low prices. The market showed a slight rebound. It is recommended to wait and see and focus on the stabilization of demand [34]

Group 1: Report Information - Report title: Pulp Morning Report [2] - Report date: August 22, 2025 [2] - Research team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center [2] Group 2: SP Main Contract Information - Closing price on August 21, 2025: 5130.00 [3] - Closing price trends from August 15 - 21, 2025: Decreased from 5306.00 to 5130.00 [3] - Dollar - converted price trends from August 15 - 21, 2025: Decreased from 645.15 to 623.85 [3] - Daily price change rates from August 15 - 21, 2025: - 0.22565%, - 1.01772%, - 1.40899%, - 0.81112%, - 0.11682% [3] - Shandong Yinxing basis trends from August 15 - 21, 2025: Increased from 544 to 670 [3] - Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai Yinxing basis trends from August 15 - 21, 2025: Increased from 579 to 685 [3] Group 3: Pulp Price and Profit Information - Canadian Lion brands (Golden Lion, Lion) and Chilean Silver Star price, import profit: Golden Lion (CFR, port price 780 dollars, Shandong price 6350 yuan, profit - 48.45 yuan); Lion (CFR, port price 730 dollars, Shandong price 5500 yuan, profit - 442.78 yuan); Silver Star (CFR 90 - day letter of credit, port price 720 dollars, Shandong price 5800 yuan, profit - 111.65 yuan) [4] Group 4: Pulp and Paper Product Price and Margin Information - National and Shandong regional pulp average prices from August 15 - 21, 2025: No change in all types of pulp (coniferous, broad - leaf, natural color, chemimechanical) [4] - Paper product index (cultural, packaging, living paper) from August 18 - 21, 2025: No change [4] - Paper product profit margin trends from August 18 - 21, 2025: Double - offset paper margin increased from 4.8673% to 5.0306%; Double - copper paper margin increased from 22.6786% to 22.8214%; White - card paper margin increased from - 13.4568% to - 13.3333%; Living paper margin increased from 6.8022% to 7.4515% [4] Group 5: Pulp Price Difference Information - Coniferous - broadleaf, coniferous - natural color, coniferous - chemimechanical, coniferous - waste paper price differences from August 15 - 21, 2025: Coniferous - broadleaf price difference decreased from 1650 to 1620; Coniferous - natural color price difference decreased from 450 to 400; Coniferous - chemimechanical price difference decreased from 2025 to 1975; Coniferous - waste paper price difference decreased from 4274 to 4224 [4]