"预计2026年中期盈利将大幅上修，因为对锂市场收紧的数据驱动信心正在增强。"他补充道，对许多北 美普通投资者而言，美国雅保是"唯一可用以表达锂观点的可行大盘股"。 全球锂金属市场呈现显著的触底反弹态势，产业链相关股票价格强劲上涨。截至周一收盘，美国雅保 (ALB.US)股价上涨4.98%，Lithium Argentina AG(LAR.US)涨幅达7.31%，双双创下多年新高。此前，加 拿大丰业银行将两家锂生产商的评级由"与行业持平"上调至"跑赢行业"，并分别设定目标价为200美元 和7.75美元。与此同时，该行同步将智利矿业化工(SQM.US)评级调至同等水平，并在报告中强调当前 锂价上涨"仅是多年供应紧张周期的第一轮"。 丰业银行分析师本.艾萨克森指出，该行模拟的多数锂市场供需情景均指向中期供应趋紧态势——即便 电动车需求增长略低于预期，或储能系统(BESS)发展未达预期，市场拐点的支撑因素依然充分。他进 一步预测，2030年锂需求总量将达280万吨，悲观至乐观情景下的需求区间为250-320万吨;在基准情景 下，未来五年锂需求的复合年增长率约为14%，区间为12%-17%。 艾萨克森指出，市场对美国 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic market is increasingly recognizing the valuation of precious metals and non-ferrous resource stocks, with significant inflows of capital driving a strong upward trend in related assets [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On November 13, 2023, the A-share market saw a comprehensive surge in precious metals and non-ferrous metals, with gold stocks ETF (159562) rising by 3.07% and non-ferrous metals ETF (516650) increasing by 4.06%, significantly outperforming the market [1]. - As of the close on November 13, domestic gold and silver futures rose by 1.56% and 5.48%, respectively, with silver reaching a historical high of 12,588 yuan per kilogram [4]. - The lithium metal sector led the A-share market with a 7.03% increase, while other non-ferrous metals like lead, zinc, nickel, and cobalt also saw gains of over 4% [6]. Group 2: Economic Drivers - The recent bullish trend in resource metals is supported by a favorable international macroeconomic environment, domestic policies, and industry factors, including the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the U.S. trade protectionism [11][12]. - The World Gold Council reported that 95% of surveyed central banks plan to increase their gold holdings in the next 12 months, indicating a strong demand for gold as a "super-sovereign currency" [12]. Group 3: Sector Growth - The lithium battery sector has experienced explosive growth, with domestic sales of new energy vehicles reaching 11.196 million units in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34.55% [16]. - The copper market is projected to face a supply shortage, with demand expected to reach 27.29 million tons by 2025, while supply growth lags behind at only 1.1% [17]. - The aluminum sector is characterized by China's dominance, accounting for over 60% of global production and consumption, which provides a significant cost advantage for Chinese aluminum companies [18]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The non-ferrous metals ETF (516650) has seen a substantial inflow of funds, with a net inflow of 1.755 billion yuan from August 14 to October 17, 2023, and a year-to-date share increase of 900.76% [24]. - The gold stock ETF (159562) has also performed well, with a year-to-date increase of 86.98%, benefiting from the rising gold prices and favorable tax policies for virtual gold investments [26]. - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector has been outstanding, with 60 out of 90 non-ferrous concept stocks in the A-share market rising over 50% this year [19].

Core Viewpoint - Ford is delaying its lithium metal purchase from Liontown Resources due to a decline in electric vehicle sales, impacting future lithium supply for electric vehicle batteries [1] Group 1: Ford's Actions - Ford will not receive any lithium resources from Liontown's Kathleen Valley project in 2027 and 2028 [1] - The future delivery volume to Ford will be halved to 256,250 tons, and Liontown will postpone the repayment of a $300 million loan due to Ford by one year [1] Group 2: Liontown Resources' Strategy - The change in the procurement agreement allows Liontown to release more ore to the market, including selling additional quantities on the spot market to promote transparent pricing and seek new strategic partnerships [1] Group 3: Electric Vehicle Tax Incentives - Ford has altered its plan regarding a $7,500 tax incentive for electric vehicle leasing, stating it will not apply for the incentive but will maintain competitive leasing rates in the market [1] - General Motors announced a similar initiative on the same day [1]

国金证券近日发布电力设备与新能源行业研究：广大特材发布中报业绩预告，Q2业绩同 环比增长230%/69%，拉开风电板块强势半年报大幕，关注量价齐升背景下零部件业绩弹性 释放；国内5月新增风电装机26.3GW，同比+801%，环比+393%，看好下半年风电需求继续 强势。 本周重要行业事件： 风光储：《三北沙漠戈壁荒漠地区光伏治沙规划（2025-2030年）》、《上海市海洋产 业发展规划（2025-2030）征求意见稿》印发；光伏/风电5月新增装机高增；国信大丰 850MW海风项目首批机组成功并网；大金重工公告筹划赴港上市。 以下为研究报告摘要： 子行业周度核心观点： 风电：广大特材发布中报业绩预告，Q2业绩同环比增长230%/69%，拉开风电板块强势 半年报大幕，关注量价齐升背景下零部件业绩弹性释放；国内5月新增风电装机26.3GW，同 比+801%，环比+393%，看好下半年风电需求继续强势。本周我们发布风电板块中期策略， 当前时点风电板块具备值得坚定看好的短、中、长期三重逻辑，持续重点推荐。 锂电：关注液相法锂金属、液相法硫化锂环节变化。锂金属工艺路线除了压延、蒸镀 外，还有液相熔融法，相较压延法，其能制 ...