Core Viewpoint - The launch of the China Securities Energy and Chemical Industry Index series fills a gap in the domestic authoritative commodity index system and promotes the development of off-exchange derivatives in the commodity sector [1][4]. Group 1: Index Characteristics - The index series includes the China Securities Energy and Chemical Industry Futures Index, the China Securities Energy Chemical Finished Product Futures Index, and the China Securities Organic Chemical Product Futures Index, designed to meet diverse needs [2]. - The indices focus on different segments: the finished product index targets downstream products like fuel oil and polypropylene, the industry index covers the entire supply chain including crude oil and thermal coal, and the organic chemical index emphasizes high-value organic chemicals [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Impact and Usage - The index series is closely linked to macroeconomic factors and is highly correlated with the Producer Price Index (PPI), serving as a "barometer" for economic trends [3]. - Manufacturing companies can use the index to anticipate changes in raw material costs and adjust procurement and pricing strategies accordingly [3]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The index series provides a foundation for developing specialized energy and chemical-themed ETFs, enhancing the diversity of commodity index fund products in China [3][4]. - Financial institutions can create various products linked to the index, such as commodity futures index ETFs, structured deposits, and public fund of funds (FOF) to meet diverse investor needs [4].

Group 1 - The public FOF (Fund of Funds) market is experiencing a significant increase in new issuance, with 31 new FOF products launched this year, surpassing the total issuance scale of 115.98 billion from 38 products in 2024 [2][3] - As of the end of Q2, the total net asset value of FOF funds reached 168.76 billion, marking a year-to-date increase of 26.74% and hitting a high point since September 2023 [2][3] - The growth in FOF scale is driven by both new issuances and performance improvements of existing FOFs, supported by a stabilizing A-share market and expanding personal pension fund listings [2][4] Group 2 - The majority of new FOF products are mixed-type, with 23 out of 31 being mixed FOFs, and several "popular" FOFs have raised over 60 billion in initial offerings, setting new records for single product fundraising in the past three years [3][4] - The average return for FOFs in the first half of the year was 3.11%, with some aggressive FOFs achieving returns over 14% by investing in thematic ETFs and overseas assets [4][5] Group 3 - Despite the growth in new FOF products, many existing FOFs are facing pressure due to small asset sizes, with 57 funds having net asset values below 50 million, and 170 funds below 200 million, leading to 13 funds being liquidated this year [5][6] - The small size of many FOF products is attributed to poor historical performance, inadequate risk management, and high levels of product homogeneity, which have resulted in low investor acceptance [6][7] Group 4 - Industry experts suggest that FOF products need to clarify their positioning, objectives, and investment strategies, while also enhancing investor engagement to improve the overall investment experience [7][8] - The FOF market is expected to continue evolving towards diversified asset allocation, with a focus on incorporating various investment tools such as ETFs and optimizing product structures to reduce competition among similar products [8]

本文首发于6月9日的《中国证券报》 "我上学时就不是一个擅长考试的人，很多太复杂的公式我不愿意背，而是选择在考场上推算出来。"中泰 资管FOF基金经理唐军这样回忆自己的学生时代，"直接背诵并套用这些公式当然是最省力的办法，但可 能我这个人比较较真，我就是想弄懂公式背后的深层逻辑，想明白公式的每一部分对整体来说究竟意味着 什么。" 这"打破砂锅问到底般的"较真"，或许在一定程度上影响了唐军后续的投研路径。纵观唐军的从业经历： 量化、基金评价、宏观研究……据他所述，扎根宏观，是因为宏观研究可以使他从更加深刻的视角看待经 济世界的起起落落。在交流过程中，记者也感受到，再高深的宏观名词，都能被唐军用"接地气"的逻辑解 构，晦涩难懂的经济理论被他剥丝抽茧后，或许映射出来的不过是日常生活中再熟悉不过的小事儿。 回过头来看，唐军的不少操作都颇具前瞻性。当2025年大家都在讨论黄金的配置价值时，我们发现，唐军 早在2023年上半年开始管理公募FOF产品之处便开始重仓黄金；当年初可转债的走强引发业内热议时，我 们发现，可转债ETF早在2024年年末成为了唐军的首只重仓基……近日，唐军在接受中国证券报记者采访 时表示，A股、港股 ...

21世纪经济报道记者 易妍君 广州报道2025年上半年A股正式收官，从市场表现来看，主要股指全线上 涨。其中沪指涨2.76%，北证50指数大涨39.45%一度创出历史新高。从板块来看，上半年题材概念获资 金追捧，DeepSeek概念、人形机器人、创新药等多个热点轮番活跃，市场结构性机会不断。 在上半年A股结构性行情背后，股票型基金发行规模大幅上升。据Wind统计，截至6月30日，今年上半 年公募基金行业一共新成立了663只基金（以基金成立日为准，下同），同比增长6.25%；发行份额合 计达到5267.68亿份，同比下滑20.18%。虽然总发行规模不及去年同期，但局部回暖态势已现。今年前6 个月，股票型基金的发行数量、发行规模分别同比增长了67.5%、180.2%，其中，ETF、指数增强等被 动产品贡献了绝大部分增量。 "2025年以来，公募基金发行市场呈现出股票型基金，尤其是指数产品强势崛起的趋势，基金公司加速 布局细分主题指数产品，但单只基金募集规模则趋于压缩。同时，公募FOF与REITs等特色产品持续扩 容，QDII基金发行规模翻倍。"晨星（中国）基金研究中心总监孙珩向21世纪经济报道记者指出。 2025 ...

Group 1 - Public Fund of Funds (FOF) has gained significant popularity among investors in 2025, with a market size increase of 26.7 billion yuan, representing over 20% growth compared to the end of the previous year [1] - A total of 21 new FOF products were launched in 2025, raising 23.04 billion yuan, which is more than a fourfold increase year-on-year, with an average fundraising of 1.097 billion yuan per product [1] - The growth in the FOF market is driven by multiple factors, including a favorable A-share market, resource allocation from distribution channels, and the expansion of personal pension fund listings [1] Group 2 - As of May 28, 2025, 421 out of 498 pension FOFs achieved positive returns, accounting for nearly 85%, with an average net value growth of 1.3% [2] - The top-performing pension FOF is the ICBC Credit Suisse Pension 2050, managed by Xu Xinyuan, which has delivered a 7% return year-to-date [2] Group 3 - Xu Xinyuan, a relatively young fund manager with 9 years of experience, has successfully managed several notable products, including the ICBC Pension 2050, showcasing effective investment strategies [3][4] - The ICBC Pension 2050 has balanced investments between A and H shares, with a focus on reducing exposure to high-performing sectors while increasing allocations to pharmaceuticals, non-bank financials, and real estate [4] Group 4 - The ICBC Pension 2055, also managed by Xu Xinyuan, has shown competitive performance with a 10.58% return since its management began in January 2024, ranking 24th among 182 similar funds [4][5] - The fund's strategy includes dynamic adjustments to asset allocations, focusing on growth and dividend assets, which has contributed to its long-term stability [5] Group 5 - ICBC Credit Suisse has developed a comprehensive pension product matrix, including target date, target risk, and passive tools, catering to various retirement needs [8] - The firm has established a robust investment process that emphasizes strategic and tactical asset allocation, as well as fund selection, to optimize risk-adjusted returns [8] Group 6 - The overall assets of ICBC Credit Suisse's FOF products have increased from 1.274 billion yuan at the end of 2021 to 2.482 billion yuan by the first quarter of 2025, demonstrating steady growth in the pension FOF segment [7] - The company has been at the forefront of pension financial product innovation, launching several products that have been included in the personal pension fund list [7][8] Group 7 - The regulatory environment is fostering a "value revolution" in public fund products, with FOFs expected to leverage their advisory-like attributes to generate alpha returns, becoming a key growth driver for fund companies [9]

基金管理人年内自购权益类基金超20亿元 在二季度以来的震荡行情中，基金公司加大了自购力度，10多家基金管理人宣布自购旗下权益类基金。 据统计，今年以来基金管理人自购旗下权益类基金合计超过20亿元。在多位业内人士看来，基金管理人 作为专业投资机构，真金白银出手，积极自购权益类基金，有利于提振市场信心。（上海证券报） 清盘潮又起 一批公募FOF规模大考临近 截至5月18日，月内至少有7只公募FOF发布了可能清盘的提示性公告。加上年内已经清盘的6只（以清 算结束日计），FOF清盘的数量继续增加。具体看来，发起式FOF的清盘原因均为成立满三年后规模不 足2亿元，契约开放型FOF产品风险提示原因均为连续20个工作日规模低于5000万元。此外，部分产品 虽业绩跑赢基准，但也因规模增长难而"遗憾谢幕"。据分析，权益市场长期震荡是FOF规模萎缩的主要 因素，权益市场轮动速度加快等因素，对于偏配置思路的FOF产品短期影响较大。 (第一财经) "聪明贝塔"扎堆上市 ETF突围战冰火交织 在ETF市场竞争日益加剧的当下，一场差异化"突围战"激烈打响。5月以来，8只自由现金流ETF已经上 市，更多类似的"聪明贝塔"策略ETF也将发行 ...

6只已清算，FOF清盘数量继续增加 5月以来，又一批FOF基金密集发布清盘提示。 第一财经据Wind统计，截至5月18日，月内至少有7只公募FOF发布了可能清盘的提示性公告。加上年内已经清盘的6只（以清算结束日计），FOF清盘的数 量继续增加。 具体看来，发起式FOF的清盘原因均为成立满三年后规模不足2亿元，契约开放型FOF产品风险提示原因均为连续20个工作日规模低于5000万元。 此外，部分产品虽业绩跑赢基准，但也因规模增长难而"遗憾谢幕"。盈米基金研究院量化研究员张琦炜分析，权益市场长期震荡是FOF规模萎缩的主要因 素，权益市场轮动速度加快等因素，对于偏配置思路的FOF产品短期影响较大。张琦炜建议，FOF需要找好产品定位，优化考核标准。部分灵活型、股债平 衡型产品更应该发挥仓位灵活择时等优势，将不同产品的定位差异化，形成不同特色。 规模增长难题 具体看来，这批集中清盘的发起式FOF成立时间为2022年5月。 根据相关规定，养老FOF基金在合同生效三年后，必须保持资产净值不低于2亿元，否则将面临清算并终止的命运。这一规定使得FOF基金的三年运营期被 称为"三年大考"，不少产品选择"弃考"。 例如5月16日， ...

Group 1 - The personal pension fund Y share has surpassed 10 billion yuan for the first time, reaching 11.39 billion yuan, with a growth of over 20% compared to the end of last year [1][2] - The number of personal pension funds has expanded to 288, indicating a steady growth in the market [2][3] - The introduction of low-cost, high-transparency tools like index funds is expected to enhance asset allocation efficiency in personal pension accounts, attracting more long-term capital into the market [1][4] Group 2 - The regulatory body has optimized the admission mechanism for index funds, allowing more broad-based indices and suitable long-term value investment indices to be included in personal pension products [3][4] - Index funds are highly compatible with the needs of pension investors, providing stable returns and lower management fees, which aligns with the core demand for "steady appreciation" of pension funds [4][5] - The inclusion of index funds is anticipated to guide more medium to long-term capital into the market, creating a virtuous cycle of "long money and long investment" [4][5]

报 告 摘 要 一、公募FOF基金2025年一季度概览 截至 2025Q1 ，全市场已成立 FOF 产品数量 512 只，合计规模为 1510.79 亿 元，相比 2024Q4 增加 13.47% 。根据穿透后权益资产占比将 FOF 划分为偏 债型 FOF 、平衡型 FOF 和偏股型 FOF ， 2025Q1 规模分别为 766.59 亿 元、 326.02 亿元、 418.18 亿元， 2025 年一季度收益中位数分别为 0.44% 、 1.57% 、 2.64% 。 二、 2025年一季报中FOF配置最多的基金 为了能更好地观察 FOF 基金经理的投资偏好，本文就市场关注度较高的几类基 金分别统计了 FOF 重仓数量最多和重仓规模最大的基金。 在主动权益基金中，重仓该基金的 FOF 数量最多的三只基金是 大成高鑫 A 、富 国稳健增长 A 、华夏创新前沿 ；重仓规模最大的三只基金是 华夏创新前沿、大 成高鑫 A 、易方达信息行业精选 C 。 在债券型基金中，重仓该基金的 FOF 数量最多的三只基金是 广发纯债 A 、易方 达安悦超短债 A 、富国纯债 AB ；重仓规模最大的三只基金是 易方达安悦超短 债 ...

2020 年春，李迅雷给唐军派发了一个艰巨的课题：预测疫情拐点。 作为非流行病学专业人员，时任中泰证券金工首席的唐军有些困惑，这与投资有什么直接联系？但又很巧合， 大学期间的 唐军参加数学建模比赛 前 曾拿 2003 年非典练手，传染病传播模型 还有印象 。 唐军根据 封锁前 武汉迁出 到各省的 人数和 之后 各省上报 的确诊 人数，反推 当时 武汉感染人群数量，再根据疫情起始时间反推传播系数， 这一数据处理 上产生的效果远超模型精度本身。 最终经过测算，唐军预测对了感染高峰到来的时间。 有了经验后，美国疫情开始扩散，李迅雷又派发了一个艰巨的课题：美国能不能控住疫情？ 这一次，唐军意识到自己研究的课题，并不是与投资风马牛不相及。唐军知道人员流动性降到平时 30% 才能稳住疫情不扩散，「美国根本降不到，一定会 严重挤兑，即使医疗资源翻一倍也会挤兑。」 随后，唐军提示了做空原油，那年美油期货价格首次跌到负数。 这两次研究成果收录在李迅雷公众号，至今还能搜索到。三年后，唐军担任中泰资管组合投资部首席投资经理 ， 并开始管理公募 FOF 产品 ，李迅雷的指 导和这些与投资并不直接关联的研究，拓宽了他宏观的视野，潜移默 ...