Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment ratings for the industry segments [2]. Core Insights - The overall strategy emphasizes the evolution of the supply side in the new energy sector, focusing on innovation and avoiding "involution" in the market [3][5]. - The new energy vehicle supply chain is entering a new cycle, with companies like CATL benefiting from collaborations with tech giants like Xiaomi and Huawei [3][21]. - The lithium battery sector is expected to see a positive outlook, with production forecasted to exceed 130 GWh in July, marking a nearly 40% year-on-year increase [4][35]. - The photovoltaic industry is facing challenges due to overcapacity and competition, but recent government measures aim to optimize supply and stabilize the market [5][25]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicle Supply Chain - The downstream landscape is evolving, with companies like CATL collaborating with automakers to enhance production efficiency and shorten delivery times [3][27]. - The launch of Xiaomi's YU7 has exceeded expectations, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards valuing emotional and intelligent experiences in vehicles [21][22]. Lithium Battery Sector - The lithium battery production is projected to grow, with significant investments in high-end products and solid-state technologies [4][35]. - Companies like Fulin Precision and Enjie are expanding their production capabilities, focusing on high-performance lithium iron phosphate and solid-state battery materials [4][31]. Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic sector is expected to confirm a mid-term bottom as supply-side optimization measures are implemented [5][25]. - Major glass manufacturers in the photovoltaic industry plan to reduce production by 30% starting in July to address overcapacity issues [5][25]. Offshore Market Opportunities - Leading companies like EVE Energy are investing in overseas projects, such as a new energy storage project in Malaysia worth up to 8.654 billion yuan [4][22]. - The establishment of independent pricing systems and production capacities in overseas markets is seen as a strategy to enhance profitability [4][22]. AI and New Energy Integration - The integration of AI with new energy sectors is highlighted, with companies exploring innovative applications and market breakthroughs [8][21]. - The report notes the acceleration of controlled nuclear fusion technology, with companies like CFS partnering with Google for future energy supply [8][34].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the collaboration between Fulian Precision and Chuanfa Longmang in the lithium iron phosphate (LFP) sector, focusing on high-pressure dense LFP technology and its market implications [4][5][6]. Group 1: Event Overview - The 2025 Fifth Start Point Two-Wheeled Vehicle Battery Swap Conference and Lightweight Power Battery Technology Summit will be held on July 11, 2025, in Shenzhen [2]. - The event is sponsored by various industry leaders, including Yadi Technology Group, Tailin Group, and others [2]. Group 2: Collaboration Details - Fulian Precision and Chuanfa Longmang signed a cooperation framework agreement to collaborate on equity and capital, LFP projects, and precursor projects [4]. - They plan to establish a joint venture for a 100,000 tons/year high-pressure dense LFP project and another for a 100,000 tons/year lithium dihydrogen phosphate precursor project [4][5]. Group 3: Market Position and Performance - Fulian Precision has seen significant growth, with a revenue of 8.47 billion yuan in 2024, a 47.02% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 397 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [9][10]. - The company’s high-pressure dense LFP production capacity is expected to increase from 215,000 tons to 300,000 tons within the year [11]. Group 4: Industry Dynamics - The high-pressure dense LFP market is characterized by a few key players, including Fulian Precision and Hunan Youneng, with increasing production capabilities and product offerings [14][19]. - Companies like Defang Nano and Longpan Technology are also advancing their high-pressure dense LFP products, indicating a competitive landscape with diverse technological approaches [15][18].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) market is experiencing a downward price trend while witnessing a surge in large orders from major companies like Longpan Technology, Wanrun New Energy, and Fulian Precision Engineering, with industry giants such as CATL and BYD actively expanding their positions in the market [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The recent large orders are driven by strong market demand and the current low prices of lithium iron phosphate, which highlight cost advantages [3]. - From January to May this year, the cumulative installation of power batteries in China increased by 50.4%, with LFP batteries accounting for 81.4% of the total [3]. - In 2024, LFP batteries are expected to represent 92.5% of global energy storage batteries [3]. Group 2: Company Collaborations - Fulian Precision Engineering's subsidiary signed a supplementary agreement with CATL, where CATL prepaid 500 million yuan to support capacity construction, and Jiangxi Shenghua committed to prioritize CATL's needs from 2025 to 2029, with a promise to purchase no less than 80% of the committed capacity annually [3]. - Wanrun New Energy will supply approximately 1.3231 million tons of lithium iron phosphate to CATL from May 2025 to May 2030, with a total transaction amount exceeding 40 billion yuan [3]. - Longpan Technology signed a supply agreement for 150,000 tons with Chuangneng New Energy in May, with an expected amount exceeding 5 billion yuan, and another sales agreement exceeding 5 billion yuan with EVE Energy's overseas subsidiary [3]. Group 3: Product Development and Industry Trends - The collaboration between Wanrun New Energy and CATL aims to advance the iteration and mass production of high-voltage dense lithium iron phosphate products [4]. - Longpan Technology's fourth-generation high-voltage dense lithium iron phosphate cathode material is expected to gradually ramp up production in the second half of the year, with a price premium of 2,000 to 3,000 yuan per ton compared to standard third-generation products [4]. - Industry experts predict that while LFP prices may remain weak in the short term, the industry will shift from price competition to value competition, leading to the accelerated exit of outdated production capacities [4].

Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in registered capital of Fulin Precision Engineering Co., Ltd. from approximately 1.2 billion RMB to about 1.7 billion RMB, a 40% increase, indicates shareholder confidence in the company's future prospects [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Fulin Precision was established in November 1997 and is primarily involved in the research, production, and sales of automotive engine components, intelligent electric control for new energy vehicles, lithium battery cathode materials, and robotics [2]. - The increase in registered capital suggests that the company is planning to expand its business scale, with a focus on high-pressure lithium iron phosphate and robotics [3]. Group 2: High-Pressure Lithium Iron Phosphate Market - High-pressure lithium iron phosphate has become a key direction in the "fast charging competition" among battery companies, with demand projected to reach 730,000 tons by 2025 [5]. - The current production methods for high-pressure lithium iron phosphate mainly include the phosphoric acid method and the oxalic acid iron method, with the latter being led by Fulin Precision [7]. Group 3: Production Capacity and Technology - Fulin Precision's subsidiary, Jiangxi Shenghua, currently has a production capacity of 215,000 tons of high-density lithium iron phosphate cathode materials, which is expected to increase to 300,000 tons within the year [7][8]. - The oxalic acid iron method offers advantages such as finer and more uniform particles, improved material density, and lower energy consumption compared to traditional methods, despite being 2,000 RMB per ton more expensive [7].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery cathode sector is undergoing significant changes due to technological advancements, impacting the industry landscape and company strategies [3][4]. Company Developments - Fulin Precision announced a 500 million yuan prepayment from CATL to support its expansion projects, indicating a deepening strategic partnership [3][5]. - Jiangxi Shenghua, a subsidiary of Fulin Precision, is set to produce 75,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate annually by 2025, with CATL committing to purchase at least 140,000 tons annually from 2025 to 2027 [4][5]. - Longpan Technology has secured a contract to supply 152,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate to Eve Energy, with a total contract value exceeding 5 billion yuan [5][6]. - Wanrun New Energy has also signed a significant supply agreement with CATL, committing to deliver approximately 1.32 million tons of lithium iron phosphate from 2025 to 2030, potentially generating around 80 billion yuan in revenue [5][6]. Industry Trends - The price of lithium iron phosphate is closely linked to the prices of raw materials like lithium carbonate, which have been declining, leading to low margins and losses for many companies [3][6]. - High-density lithium iron phosphate products (≥2.6 g/cm³) are in short supply, with only a few manufacturers capable of mass production, indicating a potential supply-demand imbalance [4][7]. - The overall market for lithium iron phosphate is expected to remain weak in the short term, but high-density products may see stable prices due to tight supply [7][8]. Performance Insights - Fulin Precision reported a 71.99% increase in revenue from lithium battery cathode materials in 2024, driven by high-density products achieving full production and sales [6][7]. - Other leading companies in the sector, such as Hunan Youneng and Longpan Technology, have faced declining revenues and profits, highlighting the competitive pressures in the industry [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The signing of a supplementary agreement between Fulin Precision and CATL allows for the early locking of additional lithium iron phosphate (LFP) production capacity, indicating a strategic move to strengthen long-term cooperation in the LFP sector [2][10]. Group 1: Agreement Details - The supplementary agreement revises the original business cooperation agreement, increasing the production capacity supported by CATL from 7.5 million tons per year to 16 million tons per year at the Jiangxi base and 20 million tons per year at the Sichuan Phase III [2][6]. - CATL will make a one-time prepayment of 500 million yuan to support the construction of the expanded production capacity [6][7]. - The agreement ensures that the production lines at Jiangxi Shenghua will prioritize the production of LFP required by CATL, with a commitment to meet CATL's production requirements by June 30 [7][10]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Jiangxi Shenghua's revenue for 2022, 2023, and 2024 was 4.879 billion yuan, 2.808 billion yuan, and 4.829 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 288 million yuan, -1.053 billion yuan, and -283.6 million yuan [10]. - As of June 5, Fulin Precision's stock price was 12.88 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 22.02 billion yuan [8]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The LFP market is experiencing a reshaping of its competitive landscape, with CATL signing long-term agreements with multiple leading LFP companies, which is expected to accelerate the industry's "elimination race" [2][10]. - The traditional LFP market is becoming increasingly competitive, with some outdated capacities likely to be phased out, while high-density LFP materials are gaining traction among leading companies [16][10].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) industry is experiencing a significant downturn, with many companies halting or terminating projects due to oversupply, while leading firms are securing large orders, indicating a bifurcation in the market dynamics [2][3][4]. Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The LFP industry is currently in a down cycle, with companies like Zhongke Titanium White announcing the termination of their LFP projects due to severe oversupply conditions [2][3]. - The price of lithium iron phosphate has plummeted from 166,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 46,000 yuan/ton by year-end, reflecting a drastic decline in market conditions [3]. - Despite many companies pausing expansion, some capacity is still being released, leading to continued price declines, with current market prices for power-type LFP ranging from 31,750 to 34,750 yuan/ton [4]. Group 2: Major Contracts and Market Trends - Leading companies like Longpan Technology and Wanrun New Energy have recently signed significant contracts, with Longpan securing agreements worth over 5 billion yuan for LFP sales to major battery manufacturers [6][8]. - The demand for LFP is increasing, with a projected shipment of 2.46 million tons in 2024, representing a 49% year-on-year growth, capturing nearly 74% of the total cathode material shipments [9]. - The utilization rate of LFP production capacity is currently around 55%-60%, with improvements expected due to strong demand in energy storage and favorable policies [9]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The industry is shifting towards high-pressure dense LFP products, which are becoming the mainstream due to their superior performance and efficiency [12][13]. - Only a few companies, such as Hunan Youneng and Fulin Precision, have mastered the technology for fourth-generation high-pressure dense LFP, indicating a significant technological barrier in the market [12]. - The market is expected to see a further concentration of production capacity among leading and low-cost firms, as traditional LFP competition remains intense [13]. Group 4: Supply and Demand Outlook - The overall capacity in the LFP market has reached 5.2985 million tons, with a projected demand of 3.1867 million tons by 2025, indicating a significant oversupply situation [14]. - Analysts predict that supply and demand will reach a balance by 2027, with a gradual recovery in capacity utilization rates expected thereafter [14]. - The price of LFP is anticipated to remain under pressure in the short term, primarily influenced by the declining prices of lithium carbonate [15].

在储能市场及新能源汽车强劲需求驱动下，锂电池产业链正进入产能优化与价值重构新阶段。行业头部 企业如万润新能(688275)正加速一体化及全球化布局，以迎接新一轮产业机遇期。 量价齐升格局确立产业链盈利修复可期 3月11日，中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟发布2月动力电池月度信息。1—2月，我国动力电池累计装车 量73.6GWh，累计同比增长46.5%。其中三元电池累计装车量15.0GWh，占总装车量20.4%，累计同比下 降23.3%；磷酸铁锂电池累计装车量58.6GWh，占总装车量79.6%，累计同比增长199.9%，磷酸铁锂市 场份额进一步提升。 集邦咨询预计，2025年，全球储能新增装机有望达到221GWh，同比增长36%。预计2025年重点区域市 场格局不变，中国、欧洲、美洲仍为主要市场，储能新增装机占全球的85%，继续引领全球储能需求增 长。 据悉，万润新能美国项目相关土地和厂房已于去年底完成交割，目前正按原计划推进施工建设，同时公 司正在与意向客户进行接洽。美国项目是万润新能推进海外战略的重中之重，公司将继续把握先发优 势，加大项目资源投入，推动项目有序平稳落地，从而提高全球市场竞争力。（胡敏） 校对 ...