公司动力电池市场份额稳步提升，商用车市场开拓成果显著。2025H1 公司动力电池业务实现营收 106.62 亿元，同比+10%；动力电池装车量21.8GWh，同比+23%。2025H1 公司在全球动力电池市场出 货排名第四、国内动力电池市场出货排名第三。乘用车市场，公司在国内市占率创新高，2025 年7 月单 月市占率达到8.25%。公司与大众、现代、丰田、奥迪、小鹏、零跑、长安等国内外头部企业深入合 作，交付产品类型日益丰富。商用车市场，公司2025H1 国内新能源商用车电池装机量同比增长超 310%，单月排名进入前三。2025H1 公司实现新能源商用车新车公告230 款以上，同比增长33%，实现 各领域车型全面覆盖。公司与欧洲Volvo、奇瑞、吉利、徐工、三一等客户合作密切，份额稳中向好。 公司储能业务实现快速增长。2025H1 公司储能系统产品及其他业务实现营收57.57 亿元，同比+110%， 储能电芯出货量进入全球前四。公司314Ah 电芯产品实现大批量稳定交付；392Ah 电芯作为6.25MWh 系统最优解决方案、已实现批量交付。公司新一代600Ah+储能大电芯能量密度达到440Wh/L 以上，助 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年09月10日 中创新航（03931.HK） 优于大市 动储电池市场份额稳步提升，盈利能力持续改善 资料来源：Wind、国信证券经济研究所预测 注：摊薄每股收益按最新总股本计算 核心观点 公司研究·海外公司财报点评 公司2025H1 实现归母净利润4.66 亿元、同比+87%。公司2025H1 实现营收164.19 亿元，同比+32%；实现净利润（含少数股东权益）7.53 亿元，同比+81%；实现 归母净利润 4.66 亿元，同比+87%；毛利率为 17.53%，同比+1.91pct；净利率为 4.59%，同比+1.24pct。 公司动力电池市场份额稳步提升，商用车市场开拓成果显著。2025H1 公司动力 电池业务实现营收 106.62 亿元，同比+10%；动力电池装车量 21.8GWh，同比+23%。 2025H1 公司在全球动力电池市场出货排名第四、国内动力电池市场出货排名第 三。乘用车市场，公司在国内市占率创新高，2025 年 7 月单月市占率达到 8.25%。 公司与大众、现代、丰田、奥迪、小鹏、零跑、长安等国内外头部企业深入合作， 交付产品类型日益丰富。商用车市场，公司 2 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][24]. Core Views - The company has shown a steady increase in market share in the power battery sector, with significant growth in commercial vehicle markets and a notable improvement in profitability [2][3]. - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 164.19 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 32%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.66 billion CNY, up 87% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company is ranked fourth globally and third domestically in power battery shipments, with a record market share of 8.25% in the passenger vehicle segment as of July 2025 [2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 17.53%, an increase of 1.91 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 4.59%, up 1.24 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company's energy storage system products and other businesses generated revenue of 57.57 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 110% year-on-year growth [3]. - The forecasted net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is expected to be 13.76 billion CNY, 21.18 billion CNY, and 30.28 billion CNY, representing year-on-year growth rates of 133%, 54%, and 43% respectively [3][4]. Market Expansion and Strategic Partnerships - The company has established deep collaborations with leading domestic and international firms such as Volkswagen, Hyundai, Toyota, and others, enhancing its product offerings [2]. - The company is expanding its global footprint with new production bases in Thailand and Europe, which will improve its international delivery efficiency [3]. - Strategic partnerships with domestic clients like State Power Investment Corporation and China Nuclear Energy are being deepened to support rapid business growth [3].

Core Viewpoint - Guochuang Innovation (03931) is rated "outperform" by Guoxin Securities, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 expected to grow significantly, indicating strong future performance [1] Financial Performance - The company expects net profits of 1.376 billion, 2.118 billion, and 3.028 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 133%, 54%, and 43% [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 466 million yuan, up 87% year-on-year, with total revenue of 16.419 billion yuan, a 32% increase [1] - The gross margin was 17.53%, an increase of 1.91 percentage points, while the net margin was 4.59%, up 1.24 percentage points year-on-year [1] Battery Business - In the first half of 2025, the company's battery business generated revenue of 10.662 billion yuan, a 10% increase year-on-year, with a battery shipment volume of 21.8 GWh, up 23% [2] - The company ranked fourth globally and third domestically in battery shipments, achieving a record market share of 8.25% in July 2025 for passenger vehicles [2] - The company has established deep collaborations with major automotive manufacturers, enhancing product delivery diversity [2] Energy Storage Business - The energy storage system and other businesses generated revenue of 5.757 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 110% year-on-year increase, with battery cell shipments entering the global top four [3] - The company has successfully delivered large quantities of its 314Ah battery cells and is set to mass-produce a new generation 600Ah+ battery cell with a density exceeding 440Wh/L by Q4 2025 [3] - The company is expanding globally, with a production base in Thailand and a new facility in Europe under construction, enhancing international delivery capabilities [3]

动力电池方面，2025H1公司动力电池业务实现营收106.62亿元，同比+10%;动力电池装车量21.8GWh， 同比+23%。2025H1公司在全球动力电池市场出货排名第四、国内动力电池市场出货排名第三。乘用车 市场，公司在国内市占率创新高，2025年7月单月市占率达到8.25%。公司与大众、现代、丰田、奥 迪、小鹏、零跑、长安等国内外头部企业深入合作，交付产品类型日益丰富。商用车市场，公司 2025H1国内新能源商用车电池装机量同比增长超310%，单月排名进入前三。2025H1公司实现新能源商 用车新车公告230款以上，同比增长33%，实现各领域车型全面覆盖。公司与欧洲Volvo、奇瑞、吉利、 徐工、三一等客户合作密切，份额稳中向好。 储能业务方面，2025H1公司储能系统产品及其他业务实现营收57.57亿元，同比+110%，储能电芯出货 量进入全球前四。公司314Ah电芯产品实现大批量稳定交付;392Ah电芯作为6.25MWh系统最优解决方 案、已实现批量交付。公司新一代600Ah+储能大电芯能量密度达到440Wh/L以上，助力20尺集装箱带 电量达到6.8MWH+，将于2025Q4实现量产。公司与国家 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid development and challenges of large-capacity battery cells in the energy storage industry, emphasizing the need for cost reduction and efficiency improvement as the global energy structure shifts towards renewable sources [2] Group 1: Large Cell Layout - Nearly 20 battery cell companies have launched or planned 500Ah+ large cell products, with the iteration process accelerating significantly [3] - The transition from 280Ah to 300+Ah took about 3 years, while the leap to 500Ah and 600Ah occurred in just 2 years [3] - Companies like CATL and Sungrow are leading the market with innovative designs and high-capacity standards, but market validation of large cells is still needed [3][4] Group 2: Reasons for Large Cells - Large battery cells are crucial as they represent the highest value segment of the energy storage system, directly impacting system configuration and integration [3] - Increasing cell capacity reduces the number of batteries and components needed, thereby lowering overall investment costs for energy storage stations [3][4] Group 3: Technical Challenges of Large Cells - As cell capacity exceeds 500Ah, technical challenges arise, such as increased thickness of electrode sheets and potential safety risks like thermal runaway [6] - Manufacturing challenges include the need for high precision in coating and welding processes, which can affect the consistency and reliability of large cells [6][7] Group 4: Manufacturing Processes - Two main manufacturing processes for 500Ah+ cells are winding and stacking, each with its own advantages and disadvantages [8][9] - Stacking offers higher energy density and better safety but requires more precise equipment, while winding is simpler and cheaper but may compromise performance [8][9] Group 5: Specification Unification vs. Differentiation - The market is moving towards a unified framework for battery specifications while allowing for differentiated innovations [10] - Different market demands are leading to a competitive landscape where various capacities coexist, with 314Ah and 392Ah cells dominating shorter-duration storage and 500Ah+ cells focusing on longer-duration applications [10][11] Group 6: Future Trends - The development of large cells must consider investor acceptance and should focus on reducing Levelized Cost of Storage (LCOS) through technological innovations [12] - The future of large-capacity cells remains uncertain, as the industry must navigate technical limits and market needs to determine which cell types will prevail [12]

Core Viewpoint - The SNEC exhibition reflects a cooling trend in the global renewable energy industry, with reduced attendance, smaller exhibition booths, and fewer new products showcased, indicating a shift in market dynamics and product trends [1][3]. Group 1: Battery Cells - The most discussed battery cells include 314Ah, 392Ah, 587Ah, and 684Ah, each serving different container specifications, with 314Ah being the most widely used for 5MWh systems [4]. - The 314Ah cell is entering mass production in May 2024, with prices dropping to around 0.24 yuan/Wh, achieving a balance of cycle life, safety, and cost [4]. - The 587Ah cell has improved energy density to 434Wh/L, a 10% increase over previous generations, while the 392Ah cell achieves 415Wh/L and 12,000 cycles [5][6]. - The 587Ah cell is expected to become the optimal solution for 6.25MWh systems, similar to the 314Ah cell's role for 5MWh systems [6][7]. Group 2: Energy Storage Systems - Despite various large-scale container announcements (7.8MWh to 20MWh), the 6.25MWh container has not yet become mainstream due to production constraints of the 587Ah cell [8]. - The 6.9MWh container, developed by companies like 中车 and 阳光电源, may compete strongly with the 6.25MWh container by lowering system costs and expanding supplier options [8][9]. - The 6.9MWh container faces challenges in project integration and transportation weight limits, which may require innovative solutions for logistics [9]. Group 3: Industry Collaborations - Major system manufacturers are focusing on integrating resources across the supply chain to promote healthy industry development, as seen in partnerships at the SNEC exhibition [10]. - 海博思创 emerged as a key player with over ten strategic agreements, emphasizing its "Energy Storage + X" strategy across various sectors [11][13]. - The collaboration aims to shift the industry focus from price competition to value creation, highlighting the necessity for innovation and strategic partnerships to navigate market pressures [13].

Core Insights - The SNEC exhibition reflects a cooling trend in the renewable energy sector, with reduced attendance, smaller exhibition booths, and fewer new products showcased compared to previous years [4][6] - The most popular exhibit was the PowerTitan3.0 Plus (12.5MWh) from Sungrow, indicating a focus on larger energy storage solutions [4] Energy Cell Insights - Key energy cells discussed include 314Ah, 392Ah, 587Ah, and 684Ah, each serving different container sizes and applications [7] - The 314Ah cell is set to enter mass production in May 2024, with prices dropping to approximately 0.24 yuan/Wh, making it the most widely used cell in the market [7] - The 587Ah cell, with a 10% increase in energy density to 434Wh/L, is expected to become the optimal solution for 6.25MWh storage systems, while the 392Ah cell offers competitive production costs and efficiency [8][9] System Manufacturer Insights - Despite the introduction of larger systems (7.8MWh to 20MWh), the 6.25MWh container remains the market's mainstream product due to production constraints of the 587Ah cell [12] - The 6.9MWh container, developed by CRRC and Sungrow, may challenge the 6.25MWh container by offering lower system costs and more supplier options, although it faces logistical challenges [13] Industry Collaboration Insights - Major system manufacturers are focusing on integrating resources across the supply chain to promote healthy industry development, as seen in numerous partnerships formed during the exhibition [14][16] - Haibo Shichuang emerged as a leader in signing strategic agreements, emphasizing the importance of a "Storage + X" strategy to drive innovation and collaboration across various sectors [18]

Group 1 - The 2025 Pearl River Delta and Guangdong East-West North Economic Cooperation Investment Conference was held in Guangzhou, resulting in 661 investment projects across various sectors, totaling an investment amount of 302.2 billion yuan [1] - 21 key projects were selected for on-site signing, with a total investment amount of 40.9 billion yuan [1] - Companies such as Zhongchuang Innovation and BYD shared their investment experiences in Guangdong, highlighting the efficient government services and supportive policies that facilitate rapid project execution [1] Group 2 - Ningbo Gaoqi Enterprise Management Consulting Co., Ltd. organized over 30 companies to explore investment opportunities in Guangdong, emphasizing the region's market access and resource advantages [2] - The largest investment project being negotiated by the companies is over 70 billion yuan, indicating strong interest in the region [2] - Yongdao Holdings Group plans to invest 2 billion yuan in building an environmental manufacturing base in Guangdong, citing the region's rich agricultural resources and supportive policies as key factors [2]

根据 ICC 储能数据库不完全统计分析， 2025 年 Q1 国内交流测系统中标总量为 10.76GWh （统计数据仅计算锂电储能交流测中标项目），排 名前 10 的企业分别是新源智储、中车株洲所、许继电气、天诚同创、中能建储、运达能源、许继电科、海博思创、亿纬动力、采日能源）。 一季度中标排名情况 注：该排名仅统计国内交流测中标项目，非公开招标中标项目不列入其中。 一季度系统价格情况 | -广告 | | --- | 关注公众号，点击公众号主页右上角" ··· "，设置星标 "⭐" ，关注 鑫椤储能 资讯~ 根据 ICC 鑫椤储能数据库数据统计， 2025 年一季度国内储能中国中标总规模达到 99.25GWh ，同比增长 339.25% 。 从中标项目来看，集采 型项目是一季度中标规模较高的主要原因， 占比超过 60% 。中石油、中广核、华能、华电、中电建、中能建等业主均完成了今年的部分框采工 作，业内多数企业均参与其中。 其未来会成为主流规格。 587 电芯需要新建产线，周期更长，但是对于系统成本的降幅更大。 反观 392Ah 电芯由于与 314Ah 电芯尺寸相当， 仅通过产线技改便可实现，也可以实现一定程 ...