Gisela Young AC +1-212-816-8349 gisela.young@citi.com Vi e w p o i n t | 17 Feb 2026 16:14:10 ET │ 10 pages US Economics Bank balance sheet – Loan growth drives asset growth CITI'S TAKE Total assets on bank balance sheets increased by around $1.1 trln in year over year terms as of February 4th. Most of the growth in assets came from loans and leases which increased by $838 bln over the year. Looking within the loan categories, the largest increase was in loans to non-depository financial institutions which ...

ARMOUR Residential REIT (NYSE:ARR) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 19, 2026 09:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsDave Storms - Director of Equity ResearchDesmond Macauley - Co-Chief Investment OfficerEric Hagen - Managing DirectorGordon Harper - CFOScott Ulm - CEOSergey Losyev - Co-Chief Investment OfficerConference Call ParticipantsTimothy D'Agostino - Research AnalystTrevor Cranston - Equity Research AnalystOperatorGood day. Welcome to the ARMOUR Residential REIT's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. ...

ARMOUR Residential REIT (NYSE:ARR) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 19, 2026 09:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsDave Storms - Director of Equity ResearchDesmond Macauley - Co-Chief Investment OfficerEric Hagen - Managing DirectorGordon Harper - CFOScott Ulm - CEOSergey Losyev - Co-Chief Investment OfficerConference Call ParticipantsTimothy D'Agostino - Research AnalystTrevor Cranston - Equity Research AnalystOperatorGood day. Welcome to the ARMOUR Residential REIT's fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. ...

ARMOUR Residential REIT (NYSE:ARR) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 19, 2026 09:00 AM ET Speaker4Good day. Welcome to the ARMOUR Residential REIT's fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - As of December 31, GAAP book value was $13.20 per share, and economic book value was $13.75 per share, both showing modest increases from the end of September [21] - Total economic return for the fourth quarter was 3.1% and 9% for the full year of 2025, with total shareholder return for the year at 6% [11][21] - GAAP earnings for the fourth quarter were $54.3 million, or $0.42 per basic common share, with net interest income at $55.5 million, a decline from $56.8 million in the third quarter [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the fourth quarter, the company acquired $1.9 billion of loans and securities, including $1.2 billion of agencies and $443 million of non-QM loans [13] - The agency portfolio grew by over 50% to $3.3 billion during the quarter, with significant investments made before spreads tightened [29] - Distributable earnings for the fourth quarter were approximately $27.8 million, or $0.27 per share, an increase from $0.20 per share in the third quarter [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Bloomberg US Aggregate Index was up 7.3% in 2025, following a decline of 7.1% over the previous three years [6] - Treasury rates declined, with 2-year yields dropping 77 basis points and 10-year yields dropping by 39 basis points [7] - The MOVE Index, which measures bond market volatility, ended the year at just under 64, down from above 100 for most of the previous three years [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on increasing earnings and growing return on equity (ROE) through strategic initiatives, including deploying excess cash into target assets [12] - The company plans to relaunch multifamily lending and has hired 45 new salespeople at Lima One, indicating a push for growth in 2026 [14] - The company is also working on resolving delinquent loans, with over $150 million resolved in the fourth quarter, unlocking capital for redeployment [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the macroeconomic environment, citing favorable conditions for the mortgage market due to lower rates and government support for housing affordability [9][10] - The company expects to see the results of its strategic initiatives reflected in financials in 2026, with a focus on enhancing earnings and ROEs [20] - Management noted that while the delinquency rate across the loan portfolio ended the year at just over 7%, it is expected to remain elevated in the legacy portfolio as it winds down [35] Other Important Information - The company reported a decline in general and administrative (G&A) expenses, totaling $119 million for 2025, down from $132 million in 2024 [25] - Approximately 40% of the 2025 common dividends were treated as a tax-deferred return of capital, enhancing after-tax yield for shareholders [21][22] - The company has reauthorized a stock buyback program, utilizing proceeds from preferred stock issuance to repurchase common stock at a discount [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the run rate ROE on your EAD once loss provisions are through? - Management indicated that DE on a lossless basis was in the 8%-9% range, expected to rise to 10-11% in the back half of 2026 [44] Question: Can you discuss the re-entry into the multifamily market? - The company is targeting higher quality loans with larger average amounts, focusing on an originate-to-sell model [46] Question: How do you think about the potential deals that could be called? - Management noted that several deals could unlock $50 million-$100 million of capital for redeployment [51] Question: What are your expectations for margins and total volumes throughout the year? - The company anticipates healthy spreads and significant growth potential, particularly in the back half of the year [68]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - As of December 31, GAAP book value was $13.20 per share, and economic book value was $13.75 per share, both showing modest increases from the end of September [21] - Total economic return for the fourth quarter was 3.1% and 9% for the full year of 2025, with total shareholder return for the year at 6% [11][21] - GAAP earnings for the fourth quarter were $54.3 million, or $0.42 per basic common share, with net interest income at $55.5 million, a slight decline from $56.8 million in the previous quarter [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the fourth quarter, the company acquired $1.9 billion of loans and securities, including $1.2 billion of agencies and $443 million of non-QM loans [13] - The agency book grew by over 50% to $3.3 billion during the quarter, with a focus on low pay-up spec pools [29] - Lima One originated $226 million of new loans in the fourth quarter, including various types of loans, contributing to $5.7 million of mortgage banking income [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Bloomberg US Aggregate Index increased by 7.3% in 2025, following a decline of 7.1% over the previous three years [6] - Treasury rates declined, with 2-year yields dropping 77 basis points and 10-year yields dropping by 39 basis points, leading to a steepening of the 2-10 spread from 32 basis points to 70 basis points [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on increasing earnings and return on equity (ROE) through strategic initiatives, including deploying over $100 million of excess cash into target assets [12] - The company plans to relaunch multifamily lending and has made investments in technology and sales force at Lima One to enhance growth [14][15] - The company is optimistic about 2026, expecting supportive government policies and favorable market conditions to drive growth [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that 2025 felt like an exit from a challenging period for fixed income investors, with lower rates and volatility creating a favorable environment for the mortgage market [5][9] - The company expects to see the results of its strategic initiatives reflected in financials in 2026, with a focus on resolving delinquent loans and reducing expenses [17][20] Other Important Information - The company reported a decline in general and administrative (G&A) expenses to $119 million in 2025 from $132 million in 2024, achieving a reduction of approximately 9.5% [25] - Approximately 40% of the 2025 common dividends were treated as a tax-deferred return of capital, enhancing the after-tax yield for shareholders [21][22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the run rate ROE on your EAD once loss provisions are through? - Management indicated that DE on a lossless basis was in the 8%-9% range, expected to rise to 10-11% in the back half of 2026 [44] Question: Can you discuss the re-entry into the multifamily market? - The company is targeting higher quality loans with larger unit sizes and an originate-to-sell model to capture fees [46] Question: How do you think about the potential deals that could be called? - Management noted that several deals could unlock $50 million-$100 million of capital for reinvestment [52] Question: How should we think about capital allocation going forward? - The expectation is to initially increase investments in the agency portfolio before transitioning to non-QM and BPL asset classes [55] Question: What are your expectations for margins and total volumes throughout the year? - The company anticipates healthy spreads and significant growth potential, particularly in the back half of the year [70]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - As of December 31, GAAP book value was $13.20 per share, and economic book value was $13.75 per share, both showing modest increases from the end of September [14] - For the fourth quarter, MFA generated GAAP earnings of $54.3 million, or $0.42 per basic common share, with net interest income at $55.5 million, a slight decline from $56.8 million in the previous quarter [15][16] - Distributable earnings for the fourth quarter were approximately $27.8 million, or $0.27 per share, an increase from $0.20 per share in the third quarter [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the fourth quarter, MFA acquired $1.9 billion of loans and securities, including $1.2 billion of agencies, $443 million of non-QM loans, and $226 million of new business purpose loans [10] - The agency book grew by over 50% to $3.3 billion during the quarter, with a focus on low payout spec pools [20] - Lima One originated $226 million of new loans in the fourth quarter, including various types of loans such as new construction and rehab loans [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Bloomberg US Aggregate Index was up 7.3% in 2025, following a decline of 7.1% over the previous three years [5] - Treasury rates declined, with 2-year yields dropping 77 basis points and 10-year yields dropping by 39 basis points [5] - The delinquency rate across the entire loan portfolio ended the year at just over 7%, down from 7.5% a year ago [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - MFA is focused on increasing earnings and growing return on equity (ROE) through strategic initiatives, including deploying excess cash into target assets [9] - The company is excited about 2026, starting the year with favorable market conditions and government support for housing affordability [6][7] - MFA plans to relaunch multifamily lending and has made investments in technology and sales force to enhance operational efficiency [11][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the mortgage market due to lower rates, reduced volatility, and a positively sloped yield curve [6] - The company expects to see results from its strategic initiatives in 2026, with a focus on resolving delinquent loans and reducing general and administrative expenses [12][13] - Management anticipates that distributable earnings will reconverge with the common dividend in the latter half of 2026 [30] Other Important Information - MFA paid a common dividend of $0.36 for the fourth quarter and $1.44 for the full year, with approximately 40% of dividends treated as a tax-deferred return of capital [14] - The company has rolled out several technology platforms to enhance borrower experience and drive operational efficiencies [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the run rate ROE on your EAD once loss provisions are through? - Management indicated that DE on a lossless basis is expected to be in the 8%-9% range, potentially reaching 10-11% in the back half of next year [29] Question: Can you discuss the re-entry into the multifamily market? - The company is targeting higher quality loans with larger unit sizes and an originate-to-sell model to capture fees [31] Question: How do you think about the potential deals that could be called? - Management expects to unlock $50 million-$100 million of capital that can be redeployed, with several deals anticipated in the coming quarters [36] Question: How should we think about capital allocation going forward? - The expectation is to initially increase investments in the agency portfolio before transitioning to non-QM and BPL asset classes as capital is freed up [40] Question: What are your expectations for margins and total volumes throughout the year? - The company anticipates healthy spreads and significant growth potential, particularly in the back half of the year as new channels come online [54]

Earnings Presentation FOURTH QUARTER 2025 Forward-looking statements When used in this presentation or other written or oral communications, statements that are not historical in nature, including those containing words such as "will," "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "plan," "continue," "intend," "should," "could," "would," "may," the negative of these words or similar expressions, are intended to identify "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of ...

Core Insights - AGNC Investment and Ares Capital offer significantly high dividend yields, with AGNC at over 12.5% monthly and Ares at 9.6% quarterly, both substantially above the S&P 500 yield of around 1.1% [1] AGNC Investment - AGNC Investment is a mortgage REIT that invests in Agency MBS, which are low-risk fixed-income investments backed by government agencies [2] - The company employs a leverage ratio of 7.2 times to enhance returns, which can be lucrative as long as returns exceed the cost of capital [2][3] - AGNC has maintained its monthly dividend since 2020, with an average annualized total return of 11.8% since its IPO in 2008, primarily driven by dividends [3][4] Ares Capital - Ares Capital is the largest BDC, focusing on direct loans to middle-market companies with annual revenues between $100 million and $1 billion [5] - The company’s portfolio had a weighted-average yield of 9.3% at the end of 2025, indicating higher returns compared to Agency MBS [5] - Ares Capital maintains a modest debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08, ensuring a strong balance sheet and ample liquidity for portfolio expansion [6]

Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500's dividend yield is currently around 1.1%, near an all-time low, driven by rising stock prices and a reduced focus on dividends by many companies. However, there are notable exceptions with high dividend yields, including three significant stocks offering yields up to 12.5% [1]. Group 1: AGNC Investment - AGNC Investment leads with a 12.5% dividend yield, paying dividends monthly, which enhances its appeal for passive income [4]. - The company invests in Agency MBS, a $9.2 trillion market, leveraging these fixed-income assets to boost returns [5]. - Current strong market conditions for Agency MBS, along with falling interest rates, suggest AGNC can maintain its high monthly dividend [6]. Group 2: Ares Capital - Ares Capital has a 10% dividend yield, providing direct loans to middle-market companies, which generates interest income to support its dividend [7]. - The company has maintained or increased its dividend for over 16 consecutive years, with core earnings exceeding dividend payments, providing a cushion for potential earnings dips [8]. - Ares Capital's strong financial profile and record level of new investments position it well for continued dividend support [9]. Group 3: Western Midstream Partners - Western Midstream Partners currently yields 8.9%, operating a portfolio of energy midstream assets, including pipelines and processing plants [11]. - The majority of its assets generate stable cash flow through long-term, fixed-fee contracts, contributing to its dividend sustainability [11].