报告中称，公司创新业务多元化发展并带来利润率提升。以预计的中位数值计算，2025年第三季度集团 的创新业务录得1.9亿元人民币收入，创单季纪录，表现极为理想。增长主要来自于流量变现与社交电 商业务的拓展。精品游戏如Alice's Dream继续推动整体利润率提升，鉴于集团在复制变现模式和新游戏 玩法方面具相当的能力，巩固了该业务的中期增长前景。 社交网络业务持续的变现势头。社交网络业务增长稳健，月流水均超过1,000万美元的旗舰应用程式 Sugo和TopTop对收入增长形成有力支撑。自有AI运营工具Boomiix显著提升用户在线时长、付费转化及 ARPU等关键指标，对拓展新市场及提升产品社交匹配效率尤为重要。 西牛证券发布研报称，维持赤子城科技(09911)"买入"评级及每股13.20港元目标价，反映对公司基本业 务韧性及未来复苏的信心。尽管财务及营运表现持续稳健，集团股价近期因法律争议出现显著调整，市 场对集团治理及股权摊薄产生关注。该行认为相关挑战属于短期性，营运基本面及全年收入目标未受影 响。集团重申2025财年总收入目标为68亿元人民币至70亿元人民币。 截至2025年9月底止九个月，赤子城科技预计社 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from West Cow Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhi Zi Cheng Technology (09911) with a target price of HKD 13.20, reflecting confidence in the company's business resilience and future recovery despite recent stock price adjustments due to legal disputes [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company has reaffirmed its total revenue target for the fiscal year 2025 to be between RMB 6.8 billion and RMB 7.0 billion [1] - For the nine months ending September 2025, the expected revenue from the social networking business is approximately RMB 4.38 billion to RMB 4.44 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of about 34.5% to 36.4% [1] - The average monthly active users for the social networking business in Q3 2025 are expected to reach approximately 34.08 million, a 0.7% increase from the previous quarter [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The innovative business segment is projected to generate revenue of approximately RMB 530 million to RMB 550 million, with a year-on-year growth of about 69.9% to 76.3% [1] - The flagship applications Sugo and TopTop have contributed significantly to revenue growth, with monthly revenue exceeding USD 10 million [1] - The self-developed AI operational tool Boomiix has notably improved key metrics such as user online duration, payment conversion, and ARPU, which are crucial for expanding new markets and enhancing product social matching efficiency [1] Group 3: Profitability and Growth Drivers - The innovative business has diversified and improved profit margins, with an expected revenue of RMB 190 million in Q3 2025, marking a record for a single quarter [2] - Growth in the innovative business is primarily driven by traffic monetization and the expansion of social e-commerce [2] - Premium games like Alice's Dream continue to enhance overall profit margins, supported by the company's capability to replicate monetization models and new gameplay [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Zhi Zi Cheng Technology (09911) has achieved strong growth in both revenue and shareholder profit, with a target price raised to HKD 13.20 and a "Buy" rating maintained [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a total revenue increase of 40.0% year-on-year to RMB 3.18 billion, with social business revenue growing by 37.0% to RMB 2.83 billion and innovative business revenue rising by 70.5% to RMB 350 million [1] - The gross profit margin significantly improved to 55.8% due to reduced streamer revenue sharing and increased contributions from premium games [1] Group 2 - The company's social business is performing well, with Sugo and TopTop being the main growth drivers, each recording over 100% year-on-year revenue growth, contributing nearly half of the group's total revenue [2] - Sugo has shown outstanding performance in the Middle East and North Africa markets and is actively expanding into Latin America and Europe, while TopTop's monthly revenue has surpassed USD 10 million for the first time [2] - The integration of AI technology, particularly the Boomiix model, has significantly enhanced user engagement metrics such as average online duration, payment rates, and ARPU, which is crucial for market expansion and product efficiency [2] Group 3 - The innovative business segment also showed strong growth, with the premium game "Alice's Dream" being a key driver for revenue increase [2] - The incorporation of AI technology has shortened product development cycles and improved ARPU and user retention rates, allowing for faster launches of new flagship games [2] - The launch of the AI creative content community Aippy enables users to create interactive content through natural language, with future monetization expected through a subscription model [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights that Zai Lab (09911) has achieved strong growth in both revenue and shareholder profit, with a target price raised to HKD 13.20 and a "Buy" rating maintained [1] - For the first half of 2025, Zai Lab reported a total revenue increase of 40.0% year-on-year to RMB 3.18 billion, with social business revenue growing by 37.0% to RMB 2.83 billion and innovative business revenue rising by 70.5% to RMB 350 million [1] - The gross profit margin significantly improved to 55.8% due to reduced streamer revenue sharing and increased contributions from premium games [1] Group 2 - The company's social business showed impressive performance, with Sugo and TopTop being the main growth drivers, each recording over 100% year-on-year revenue growth, contributing nearly half of the group's total revenue [2] - Sugo performed particularly well in the Middle East and North Africa, while also expanding into Latin America and Europe, with TopTop's monthly revenue surpassing USD 10 million for the first time [2] - The integration of AI technology, particularly the Boomiix model, has significantly enhanced user engagement metrics such as average online duration, payment rates, and ARPU, which is crucial for market expansion and product efficiency [2] Group 3 - Zai Lab's innovative business also showed strong growth, with the premium game "Alice's Dream" being a key driver for revenue increase [2] - The incorporation of AI technology has shortened product development cycles and improved ARPU and user retention rates, allowing for faster launches of new flagship games [2] - The launch of the AI creative content community Aippy enables users to create interactive content through natural language, with potential future monetization through a subscription model [2]

Group 1: Social Business Performance - The social business revenue of Zhi Zi Cheng Technology (09911.HK) grew by 39.1% year-on-year to approximately 44.3 million in Q1 2025, driven by the application of artificial intelligence and optimization of social recommendation algorithms [1] - Despite facing temporary headwinds in March and April due to the Ramadan holiday, the business rebounded quickly in May, with the main social product Sugo achieving a monthly revenue of about 24 million and approximately 4 million monthly active users [1] - The strong growth trend continued into June, with minimal impact from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1] Group 2: Innovative Business Growth - Zhi Zi Cheng Technology's innovative business also showed satisfactory progress in Q1 2025, achieving a year-on-year growth of 66.7% to 88.2%, driven by boutique games and social e-commerce platforms [1] - The success of Alice's Dream is seen as a positive signal for this business segment, with expectations that new boutique games will achieve breakeven faster and provide higher investment returns [1] Group 3: Global Headquarters and Growth Potential - Zhi Zi Cheng Technology has established its global headquarters and AI research center in Hong Kong, leveraging the international business environment, mature capital markets, and top talent resources to enhance AI applications in operations [2] - The company has shown robust growth in revenue and attributable profit, with products like Sugo, TopTop, and Blued expected to continue growing, providing substantial returns to shareholders [2] - The company’s strong cash reserves enable it to acquire potential businesses like Lan Cheng Brothers, and macroeconomic factors such as the recovery of valuations for Chinese companies and peak risk-free interest rates are expected to positively impact the company's valuation [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index within the next six months [4]. Core Insights - The company has exceeded profit expectations, driven by its self-developed multimodal AI algorithm models that enhance commercialization efficiency [1]. - The social business segment continues to grow rapidly, with significant contributions from products like MICO, YoHo, and SUGO, the latter expected to see over 200% revenue growth in 2024 [2]. - The premium game "Alice's Dream" has entered a profit phase, contributing to the company's second growth curve [3]. - The company has repurchased approximately 43 million shares, reflecting confidence in its operations and market sentiment [3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 33.08 billion CNY in 2023 to 62.43 billion CNY in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 22.5% [1][8]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 4.76 billion CNY in 2024 to 9.86 billion CNY in 2026, with a notable growth rate of 71.6% in 2025 [1][8]. - The company's P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 13.1 in 2024 to 6.3 in 2026, indicating improved valuation metrics [1][8]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to stabilize around 29% by 2026, reflecting strong profitability [1][8]. Business Strategy and Market Position - The company is committed to its "bush" strategy, focusing on AI empowerment and diversifying its product offerings to cover more segments in the global social entertainment market [8]. - The self-developed multimodal algorithm model Boomiix is expected to enhance operational efficiency across various business functions, significantly improving user engagement and monetization [2]. - The company aims to strengthen its position in the Middle East while exploring growth opportunities in Southeast Asia, Japan, South Korea, and North America [2].