机构：光大证券 研究员：付天姿/杨朋沛 Dream:MergeGames》。24 年该游戏流水同比增长超过60%，24 年5 月流水近千万美金；公司计划将该 游戏的成功经验迁移到新产品，打造长生命周期爆款。2）社交电商是公司在"社交+"场景下的重要探 索。从垂直深耕阶段收购蓝城兄弟旗下蓝城大健康，到拓圈发展阶段的荷尔先生，用户群体不断丰富。 3）赤子城科技通过自研布局AIAgent 并推出AI 内容社区Aippy，积极探索AI 驱动的下一代社交娱乐形 态；短剧业务已初见成果，初步面向东南亚与美洲市场。 盈利预测、估值与评级：赤子城科技作为中国非游戏厂商出海收入榜前10 名的公司，通过精细的本地 化运营，凭借成功的"产品+国家"复制战略，实现了对新兴社交娱乐市场（尤其是中东北非地区和泛东 南亚地区）的广泛布局；此外，公司通过创新业务实现收入来源多元化，短中期收入&利润增长确定性 较高。我们预计25-27 年公司实现营业收入69.0/84.1/97.0 亿元人民币，实现归母净利润9.5/12.4/14.9 亿 元，同比增速分别为97.0%/31.3%/19.7%。公司作为出海社交龙头企业，首次覆盖，给予目标价14 ...

光大证券发布研报称，赤子城科技(09911)作为出海社交龙头企业，首次覆盖，给予目标价14.5港元，给 予"买入"评级。赤子城科技作为中国非游戏厂商出海收入榜前10名的公司，通过精细的本地化运营，凭 借成功的"产品+国家"复制战略，实现了对新兴社交娱乐市场(尤其是中东北非地区和泛东南亚地区)的 广泛布局。 光大证券主要观点如下： 赤子城科技是中国领先的全球化社交娱乐平台 公司以泛人群社交业务为主，为以中东北非地区为主的全球不同文化背景的用户提供多样化精细化的社 交体验。2022年以来公司通过整合并购与内部孵化双轮驱动，在社交赛道取得显著进展，并进一步拓展 游戏等创新业务。25H1公司实现营收31.81亿元，同比增长40%，SUGO与TopTop收入同比增速均超 100%;盈利能力同步提升，25H1公司实现归母净利润4.89亿元，对应净利率15.4%。 公司社交业务覆盖泛人群与多元人群两大领域 1)泛人群社交业务是公司核心主营业务，2024年该业务收入占总收入比重超70%。公司采用"灌木丛"产 品矩阵策略，通过布局直播社交、语音社交、游戏社交等多元化产品(MICO、YoHo、TopTop以及 SUGO)，针对本 ...

光大证券主要观点如下： 赤子城科技是中国领先的全球化社交娱乐平台 智通财经APP获悉，光大证券发布研报称，赤子城科技(09911)作为出海社交龙头企业，首次覆盖，给予 目标价14.5港元，给予"买入"评级。赤子城科技作为中国非游戏厂商出海收入榜前10名的公司，通过精 细的本地化运营，凭借成功的"产品+国家"复制战略，实现了对新兴社交娱乐市场(尤其是中东北非地区 和泛东南亚地区)的广泛布局。 公司以泛人群社交业务为主，为以中东北非地区为主的全球不同文化背景的用户提供多样化精细化的社 交体验。2022年以来公司通过整合并购与内部孵化双轮驱动，在社交赛道取得显著进展，并进一步拓展 游戏等创新业务。25H1公司实现营收31.81亿元，同比增长40%，SUGO与TopTop收入同比增速均超 100%;盈利能力同步提升，25H1公司实现归母净利润4.89亿元，对应净利率15.4%。 公司社交业务覆盖泛人群与多元人群两大领域 创新业务为公司第二增长曲线 以精品手游为支柱，结合社交电商，AI与短剧赛道，构建了协同发展的多元化业务生态。1)公司精品手 游以"合成+"为核心策略，成功打造出爆款产品《Alice's Dream:M ...

报告摘要 赤子城科技是中国领先的全球化社交娱乐平台 公司以泛人群社交业务为主，为以中东北非地区为主的全球不同文化背景的用户提供多样化精细化的社交 体验。2022 年以来公司通过整合并购与内部孵化双轮驱动，在社交赛道取得显著进展，并进一步拓展游戏 等创新业务。25H1 公司实现营收 31.81 亿元，同比增长 40%，SUGO 与 TopTop 收入同比增速均超 100%；盈利能力同步提升，25H1 公司实现归母净利润 4.89 亿元，对应净利率 15.4%。 公司社交业务覆盖泛人群与多元人群两大领域 1）泛人群社交业务是公司核心主营业务，2024 年该业务收入占总收入比重超 70%。公司采用"灌木丛"产 品矩阵策略，通过布局直播社交、语音社交、游戏社交等多元化产品（MICO、YoHo、TopTop 以及 SUGO），针对本地用户需求进行有针对性的覆盖。公司顺应特定市场的文化与社会变迁，通过"产品复制 +国家复制"模式推进全球化，形成中东北非+东南亚两大核心市场。构建了多元且高效的高度本地化运营 团队体系：在全球 20 多个国家设立运营中心，本地化团队规模约 800 人，采取"中方统筹方向、本地驱动 执行"的协 ...

2025 年 12 月 17 日 公司研究 出海社交龙头，聚焦"灌木丛"产品矩阵策略 ——赤子城科技（9911.HK）首次覆盖报告 要点 赤子城科技是中国领先的全球化社交娱乐平台。公司以泛人群社交业务为主， 为以中东北非地区为主的全球不同文化背景的用户提供多样化精细化的社交体 验。2022 年以来公司通过整合并购与内部孵化双轮驱动，在社交赛道取得显著 进展，并进一步拓展游戏等创新业务。25H1 公司实现营收 31.81 亿元，同比 增长 40%，SUGO 与 TopTop 收入同比增速均超 100%；盈利能力同步提升， 25H1 公司实现归母净利润 4.89 亿元，对应净利率 15.4%。 公司社交业务覆盖泛人群与多元人群两大领域。1）泛人群社交业务是公司核心 主营业务，2024 年该业务收入占总收入比重超 70%。公司采用"灌木丛"产 品矩阵策略，通过布局直播社交、语音社交、游戏社交等多元化产品（MICO、 YoHo、TopTop 以及 SUGO），针对本地用户需求进行有针对性的覆盖。公司 顺应特定市场的文化与社会变迁，通过"产品复制+国家复制"模式推进全球 化，形成中东北非+东南亚两大核心市场。构建了多元 ...

"安永企业家奖"2025获奖名单正式公布，十二位来自中国内地和中国香港/澳门的杰出企业家获得了"安永企业家奖"2025殊荣。 让我们来认识一下科技业获奖企业家。 安永企业家奖2025获奖者 科技业 张世龙博士是典型的"技术派"企业家，是中国模拟芯片产业的开拓者和领军人物之一。 李平主导了赤子城科技两次关键战略决策：2013年带领公司出海发展，以Solo Launcher等产品收获亿级用户；2014年布局海外开放式社交市场，构建了覆 盖上百个国家的社交娱乐生态，组建本地化团队深耕中东北非等高文化壁垒区域，积累资本用于战略性收购与创新孵化，打造了多元、稳健、可持续的业 务结构。 赤子城科技构建了多元化产品矩阵，拥有MICO、YoHo、SUGO等全球化社交平台及Blued、HeeSay等多元人群社交产品，年营收突破50亿元人民币，市 值超180亿元人民币，展现强劲发展态势。赤子城科技全球总部落户香港科学园，持续以香港为支点升级全球布局，吸引全球顶尖人才，强化技术创新。 李平始终践行赤子城科技"创造美好情绪价值"的使命，未来将继续带领赤子城科技在社交娱乐全球市场中前进。 推荐阅读 怀着"打造一家世界级的模拟芯片公司" ...

Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities has upgraded the rating of ZhiZi City Technology (09911) to "Buy" based on its diversified product matrix and significant AI-driven business growth, projecting continued revenue and profit growth in the coming years [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, ZhiZi City Technology reported a revenue of 3.181 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.0% [1] - The social business segment generated approximately 2.834 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.0% [1] - The adjusted EBITDA for the first half of 2025 reached 650 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.0% [2] Group 2: Product and Market Development - The company has seen over 100% revenue growth in the SUGO product, driven by enhanced user engagement and content supply [1] - The flagship game, "Alice's Dream: MergeGames," has entered a long-term operational phase, marking the beginning of its profitability recovery period [2] - The company has launched an AI creative content community, Aippy, which allows users to generate interactive content using natural language [3] Group 3: Strategic Expansion - ZhiZi City Technology is actively expanding its market presence in the Middle East and North Africa, with a reported business scale growth of over 60% in these regions [3] - The establishment of regional headquarters in Riyadh and a global headquarters in Hong Kong signifies the company's commitment to its globalization strategy [3] - The company is focusing on deepening the integration of AI technology with business scenarios to enhance its market development efforts [3]

Core Insights - The report highlights the increasing investment from insurance funds in the environmental sector, particularly in water and waste management companies, indicating a strong investment value in this sector [2][10][13] - The government policies are expected to further enhance the investment capacity of insurance funds, providing a stable influx of capital into the market [2][10] - The environmental sector is characterized by stable cash flows and strong profitability, driven by essential municipal services and favorable operating models [2][10][13] Summary by Sections Investment Trends - Insurance funds have been actively increasing their stakes in environmental assets, with notable investments in companies like Green Power and China Water Affairs [2][10][13] - The report notes that since 2023, several insurance companies have made significant investments in various water and environmental firms, showcasing the sector's attractiveness [2][10] Financial Performance - The water and waste management sector is described as having stable demand and revenue, with costs primarily related to depreciation and labor, leading to consistent profitability [2][10][13] - The report anticipates improvements in cash flow and dividend payouts as the sector matures, with capital expenditures (Capex) significantly decreasing [3][10][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several A-share and H-share companies in the environmental sector, including Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Everbright Environment, citing their strong profit certainty and improving cash flows [3][10][13] - It emphasizes that investments in environmental assets can yield multiple benefits, including dividends, earnings per share (EPS) growth, and valuation increases [3][10][13]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - The company is a leading social media company focused on overseas markets, transitioning from mobile tools to social applications, with a strong presence in the Middle East and North Africa, as well as expansion into Southeast Asia, Europe, and North America [5][17]. - The company has a diversified product matrix, including MICO, YoHo, TopTop, and SUGO, with significant growth in innovative gaming and AI-driven products [7][19]. - The financial forecast indicates substantial revenue growth, with expected revenues of RMB 69 billion in 2025, representing a 35% year-on-year increase [6][60]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is recognized as a pioneer in social media, focusing on enhancing social entertainment experiences globally [5][17]. - It has successfully transitioned to social applications, with key products contributing to its revenue base [5][19]. 2. Market Potential - The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region presents a lucrative market due to its young population and high GDP per capita, with significant potential for social media consumption [31][32]. - The company is leveraging local market insights to enhance product offerings and operational efficiency [35][38]. 3. Business Segments - The company operates in three main segments: general social, diverse social, and innovative business, with the general social segment being the primary revenue driver [26][28]. - The diverse social segment, particularly through the acquisition of Blued, targets the LGBTQ+ community, which is characterized by high income and spending power [46][49]. 4. Financial Performance - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44% from 2020 to 2024, primarily driven by its social business [26][28]. - The forecast for net profit indicates a significant increase, with expected profits of RMB 9.5 billion in 2025 [6][8]. 5. Innovation and AI Integration - The company is focusing on innovative business models, including gaming and social e-commerce, with flagship games showing promising revenue growth [52][53]. - AI technology is being integrated into product operations to enhance user experience and operational efficiency, exemplified by the launch of the AiPPY platform [56][57].

Group 1: Social Business Performance - The social business revenue of Zhi Zi Cheng Technology (09911.HK) grew by 39.1% year-on-year to approximately 44.3 million in Q1 2025, driven by the application of artificial intelligence and optimization of social recommendation algorithms [1] - Despite facing temporary headwinds in March and April due to the Ramadan holiday, the business rebounded quickly in May, with the main social product Sugo achieving a monthly revenue of about 24 million and approximately 4 million monthly active users [1] - The strong growth trend continued into June, with minimal impact from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1] Group 2: Innovative Business Growth - Zhi Zi Cheng Technology's innovative business also showed satisfactory progress in Q1 2025, achieving a year-on-year growth of 66.7% to 88.2%, driven by boutique games and social e-commerce platforms [1] - The success of Alice's Dream is seen as a positive signal for this business segment, with expectations that new boutique games will achieve breakeven faster and provide higher investment returns [1] Group 3: Global Headquarters and Growth Potential - Zhi Zi Cheng Technology has established its global headquarters and AI research center in Hong Kong, leveraging the international business environment, mature capital markets, and top talent resources to enhance AI applications in operations [2] - The company has shown robust growth in revenue and attributable profit, with products like Sugo, TopTop, and Blued expected to continue growing, providing substantial returns to shareholders [2] - The company’s strong cash reserves enable it to acquire potential businesses like Lan Cheng Brothers, and macroeconomic factors such as the recovery of valuations for Chinese companies and peak risk-free interest rates are expected to positively impact the company's valuation [2]