机构：中金公司 短剧流水高增，26 年AI、短剧投入加大。公司预计FY25 创新业务收入中值对应7.5 亿元，相比24 年加 速，其中短剧收入快速成长，根据Sensor Tower，公司短剧App用户、流水同比延续翻倍增长。展望26 年，公司预计创新业务收入有望同增超30%，新游戏或贡献弹性。此外，公司预计26 年短剧、AI投入 量级会有所加大，此前推出的AI创意内容社区Aippy移动端已上线。 主力产品利润率优化有望对冲新业务投入。公司预计新业务投入或对26 年利润产生一定负面影响，但 SUGO、TopTop等主力产品经营利润率持续提升；且AI工具（如内部Agent"思语"）全面赋能产品开 发、内容生成，营销投放ROI与整体经营效率持续优化。我们维持26 年Non-IFRS归母净利润12.6 亿元 的判断。 盈利预测与估值 我们维持25 和26 年收入和Non-IFRS净利润预测，新引入27 年收入和Non-IFRS净利润预测98 亿元和14 亿元。维持跑赢行业评级，维持港股目标价14.5 港元，对应14 倍的26 年Non-IFRS市盈率，较当前有7% 的上行空间（当前交易于13 倍/11 倍26/27 ...

创新业务健康发展，社交电商、游戏、短剧多点开花。公司创新业务维持高速增长的健康发展趋势，得 益于公司的流量变现、社交电商、精品游戏业务的稳健发展，以及公司积极投入的短剧业务贡献的收 入。其中，精品游戏业务自24Q4 起开启回收周期，旗舰游戏已进入长线运营阶段，年内ARPU 值显著 提高，同时多款储备游戏进展良好；短剧业务方面，公司自研及收购项目进展良好，2026 年将提升短 剧内容产能，短剧收入有望实现加速增长。 AI 技术内部赋能公司运营，同时向外部用户推出内容创意社区Aippy。公司持续深化AI 技术探索，一 方面不断深化AI 在核心业务中的应用，一方面积极布局AI+社交娱乐创新产品（1）AI 技术已深入业务 各关键环节，自研多模态算法模型Boomiix 可以在社交推荐、智能运营、广告投放、安全风控、素材设 计等核心场景持续深化AI 应用，同时公司推出思语AI 智能数据中台，可通过自然语言交互高效完成数 据查询与分析、报告生成等任务；（2）公司上线的AI 创意内容社区Aippy通过整合AIGC 技术，大幅降 低互动内容制作门槛，用户可以通过自然语言轻松生产小游戏等创意互动内容。 投资建议：我们预计2025 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，维持赤子城科技(09911)25和26年收入和Non-IFRS净利润预测， 新引入27年收入和Non-IFRS净利润预测98亿元和14亿元。维持跑赢行业评级，维持港股目标价14.5港 元，对应14倍的26年Non-IFRS市盈率，较当前有7%的上行空间(当前交易于13倍/11倍26/27年Non-IFRS 市盈率)。 中金主要观点如下： 预测2H25赤子城科技收入同比增长32% 该行预计2H25赤子城科技收入同比增长32%至37亿元：社交业务收入同比增长30%至33亿元，创新业务 同比增长52%至4亿元。该行预期公司2H25 Non-IFRS归母净利润为5亿元。 泛人群社交增长态势延续 公司预计FY25社交收入中值对应61亿元(同增33%)，符合该行此前预期，该行测算4Q25社交收入同增 28%。4Q25公司社交业务MAU达3,528万(环增4%，同增11%)，社交应用累计下载量达9.7亿次(环增 6%)，环比增速均有加速。据Sensor Tower，4Q25 SUGO、TopTop月活、流水持续高增，且SUGO于12 月有所加速；此外，老产品MICO月活和流水环比企稳。展 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhizi City Technology (09911.HK), anticipates a significant revenue increase for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with total revenue expected to be between RMB 6.76 billion and RMB 7.00 billion, representing a growth of 32.8% to 37.5% compared to the previous year [1]. Group 1: Social Business Performance - Social business revenue is projected to be approximately RMB 6.03 billion to RMB 6.23 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 30.4% to 34.8% [2]. - The substantial growth in social business revenue is attributed to the company's utilization of AI technology to drive diverse social products, with platforms like SUGO and TopTop being key growth engines [3][4]. - In the Middle East and North Africa, the company has established a competitive advantage, with SUGO ranking 6th in revenue among social networks in the region [4]. Group 2: Innovation Business Growth - The innovation business is expected to generate revenue between RMB 730 million and RMB 770 million, with a year-on-year increase of 55.7% to 64.2% [2]. - The growth in the innovation business is driven by robust performance in traffic monetization, social e-commerce, and contributions from short drama business and premium games [5]. - The flagship game has entered a long-term operational phase, with a significant increase in ARPU, and the company has successfully shortened the game development cycle [5]. Group 3: AI Technology Integration - The company has deepened its exploration of AI technology, integrating it into core business operations and launching innovative products like the AI creative content community Aippy [6][7]. - The AI technology has enhanced user experience and operational efficiency across various key business areas, including social recommendations and intelligent operations [7]. - A strategic partnership with Tencent Cloud aims to explore the potential of "AI + global social entertainment" [7]. Group 4: Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company ranked 4th in the "China Non-Gaming Companies Overseas Revenue Ranking," indicating a strong development momentum [5]. - The company has developed unique competitive advantages through deep user insights, refined service experiences, and diversified monetization models [5]. - The social e-commerce business has shown steady growth, with the launch of innovative insurance solutions for HIV patients [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhiyu City Technology, anticipates a significant revenue growth for the year 2025, driven by its social and innovative business segments, with a strong emphasis on AI technology integration to enhance user experience and commercial efficiency [1][9]. Group 1: Revenue Projections - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, the company expects total revenue to be between RMB 67.6 billion and RMB 70.0 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.8% to 37.5% compared to 2024 [1]. - The social business segment is projected to generate approximately RMB 60.3 billion to RMB 62.3 billion, reflecting a growth of about 30.4% to 34.8% year-on-year [1]. - The innovative business segment is expected to achieve revenue between RMB 7.3 billion and RMB 7.7 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 55.7% to 64.2% [1]. Group 2: Social Business Growth - The social business segment has shown substantial growth, primarily due to the integration of AI technology, which has facilitated the development of diverse social products [3]. - Key platforms such as the companionship social platform SUGO and the gaming social platform TopTop have experienced explosive growth, becoming significant drivers of the social business's rapid expansion [3]. - In the Middle East and North Africa market, the company has established a strong competitive advantage, with SUGO ranking 6th in the Sensor Tower revenue chart for social networks in the region [3][4]. Group 3: Competitive Positioning - The company has improved its market competitiveness, ranking 4th in the "China Non-Gaming Companies Overseas Revenue Ranking" published by Diandian Data in December 2025, indicating a strong development momentum [4]. - The company's localization capabilities are crucial for building competitive barriers, supported by deep user insights and diverse monetization strategies [8]. Group 4: Innovative Business Development - The innovative business segment has demonstrated robust growth, driven by revenue from social e-commerce and the successful launch of premium games, which have entered a long-term operational phase [10]. - The company has introduced China's first critical illness insurance specifically for HIV patients, showcasing its commitment to innovative solutions in health services [10]. Group 5: AI Technology Integration - The company has intensified its exploration of AI technology, integrating it into core business operations and launching innovative products like the AI creative content community Aippy, which has received positive user feedback [11]. - The introduction of the "Siyu AI Intelligent Data Platform" allows for efficient data querying and analysis through natural language interaction, highlighting the company's advancements in AI applications [11]. Group 6: Global Strategy and Share Buyback - In June 2025, the company established its global headquarters in Hong Kong, marking a new phase in its globalization strategy [12]. - The company has conducted share buybacks totaling over HKD 80 million, reflecting management's confidence in the company's long-term value and growth prospects [12].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhizi City Technology, is a leading global social entertainment platform in China, focusing on diverse social experiences for users from various cultural backgrounds, particularly in the MENA region and Southeast Asia [1][2]. Group 1: Business Overview - Zhizi City Technology's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 3.181 billion yuan, marking a 40% year-on-year growth, with SUGO and TopTop revenues growing over 100% [1]. - The company's core business, mass social networking, is expected to account for over 70% of total revenue by 2024, utilizing a "bush" product matrix strategy that includes live, voice, and game social products [2]. - The company has established over 20 operational centers globally, employing around 800 local team members to drive localized execution [2]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The acquisition of Blue City Brothers has strengthened the company's position in the diverse social networking sector, with Blue City Brothers achieving approximately 7.45 million MAU and a 47% DAU/MAU ratio as of 2024 [2]. - The company is developing a second growth curve through innovative businesses, including premium mobile games, social e-commerce, and AI-driven content communities [2]. - The mobile game "Alice's Dream: Merge Games" has seen over 60% year-on-year revenue growth, with nearly 10 million USD in revenue in May 2024 [2]. Group 3: Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 6.9 billion, 8.41 billion, and 9.7 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 950 million, 1.24 billion, and 1.49 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 97.0%, 31.3%, and 19.7% respectively [3]. - As a leading player in the overseas social sector, the company has been assigned a target price of 14.5 HKD and a "buy" rating [3].

Core Viewpoint - Everbright Securities initiates coverage on Zhiyu City Technology (09911), setting a target price of HKD 14.5 and a "Buy" rating, highlighting its leadership in the overseas social sector and successful localization strategy [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhiyu City Technology is a leading global social entertainment platform from China, focusing on diverse social experiences for users from various cultural backgrounds, particularly in the Middle East, North Africa, and Southeast Asia [1] - The company achieved revenue of RMB 3.181 billion in H1 2025, representing a 40% year-on-year growth, with SUGO and TopTop revenues both exceeding 100% growth [1] Group 2: Social Business Segments - The core business of the company is its mass social segment, expected to account for over 70% of total revenue by 2024, utilizing a "bush" product matrix strategy to cover diverse social needs through products like MICO, YoHo, TopTop, and SUGO [2] - The company has established operational centers in over 20 countries, with a localized team of approximately 800 people, employing a collaborative model of "Chinese direction, local execution" [2] - The acquisition of BlueCity Brothers enhances the company's position in the diverse social segment, with BlueCity's MAU reaching approximately 7.45 million and a DAU/MAU ratio of 47% [2] Group 3: Innovation and Growth - The company is developing a diversified business ecosystem centered around premium mobile games, social e-commerce, AI, and short dramas, with a focus on collaborative growth [3] - The flagship mobile game, "Alice's Dream: Merge Games," saw over 60% year-on-year revenue growth in 2024, with nearly USD 10 million in revenue by May 2024 [3] - The company is exploring AI-driven social entertainment through its self-developed AIAgent and the AI content community Aippy, while initial results in the short drama sector are promising, targeting Southeast Asia and the Americas [3] - Revenue and profit growth are expected to be robust, with projected revenues of RMB 6.9 billion, 8.41 billion, and 9.7 billion for 2025-2027, and net profits of RMB 0.95 billion, 1.24 billion, and 1.49 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 97.0%, 31.3%, and 19.7% respectively [3]

Core Viewpoint - Everbright Securities has initiated coverage on Zhibocheng Technology (09911), a leading overseas social enterprise, with a target price of HKD 14.5 and a "Buy" rating, highlighting its successful localization strategy and extensive layout in emerging social entertainment markets, particularly in the Middle East, North Africa, and Southeast Asia [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhibocheng Technology is a leading global social entertainment platform from China, primarily focusing on diverse social experiences for users from various cultural backgrounds, especially in the Middle East and North Africa [2] - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 3.181 billion in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40%, with SUGO and TopTop revenues growing over 100% [2] - The net profit for H1 2025 reached RMB 489 million, corresponding to a net profit margin of 15.4% [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The company's core business is the mass social segment, expected to account for over 70% of total revenue by 2024, utilizing a "bush" product matrix strategy to cover diverse social products like MICO, YoHo, TopTop, and SUGO [3] - Zhibocheng Technology has established operational centers in over 20 countries, with a localized team of approximately 800 people, employing a collaborative model of "Chinese direction and local execution" [3] - The acquisition of BlueCity Brothers has strengthened the company's position in the diverse social segment, with BlueCity's MAU reaching approximately 7.45 million and a DAU/MAU ratio of 47% [3] Group 3: Innovation and Growth - The company is developing a diversified business ecosystem centered around premium mobile games, social e-commerce, AI, and short dramas, with a focus on collaborative growth [4] - The premium mobile game "Alice's Dream: Merge Games" has seen over 60% year-on-year revenue growth in 2024, with nearly USD 10 million in revenue in May 2024 [4] - Zhibocheng Technology is exploring AI-driven social entertainment through its self-developed AIAgent and the AI content community Aippy, while initial results in the short drama business are emerging in Southeast Asia and the Americas [4] - Revenue and profit growth are expected to be robust, with projected revenues of RMB 6.9 billion, 8.41 billion, and 9.7 billion for 2025-2027, and net profits of RMB 950 million, 1.24 billion, and 1.49 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 97.0%, 31.3%, and 19.7% respectively [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth and diversification of Chiwan Technology, emphasizing its strong performance in social entertainment and innovative business sectors, particularly in the MENA and Southeast Asian markets [4][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - Chiwan Technology is a leading global social entertainment platform focusing on diverse social experiences for users from various cultural backgrounds, primarily in the MENA region [4]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.181 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40%, with SUGO and TopTop revenues growing over 100% [4]. Group 2: Social Business Segments - The core business of Chiwan Technology is its mass social business, projected to account for over 70% of total revenue by 2024, utilizing a "bush" product matrix strategy [5]. - The company has established a localized operational team of approximately 800 people across over 20 countries, implementing a collaborative model of "Chinese direction and local execution" [5]. - The acquisition of BlueCity Brothers has strengthened the company's position in the diverse social sector, with BlueCity's MAU reaching approximately 7.45 million and a DAU/MAU ratio of 47% [5]. Group 3: Innovative Business Growth - Chiwan Technology is developing a diversified business ecosystem centered around premium mobile games, social e-commerce, AI, and short dramas [6]. - The flagship mobile game, "Alice's Dream: Merge Games," saw over 60% year-on-year revenue growth in 2024, with nearly 10 million USD in revenue by May 2024 [6]. - The company is exploring AI-driven social entertainment forms through its self-developed AIAgent and has initiated short drama projects targeting Southeast Asia and the Americas [7].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 14.5, compared to the current price of HKD 10.54 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company, Chi Zi Cheng Technology, is a leading global social entertainment platform from China, focusing on diverse social experiences for users from various cultural backgrounds, primarily in the Middle East and North Africa [1][15]. - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with a 40% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching RMB 3.181 billion, and a net profit of RMB 489 million, corresponding to a net profit margin of 15.4% [1][25]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Chi Zi Cheng Technology has transitioned from a tool-based application to a diversified social product matrix, focusing on global social entertainment [15][16]. - The company has established a strong localized operational team with around 800 members across more than 20 countries, implementing a "China-led, local-driven" collaborative model [2][19]. Social Business Strategy - The company's core social business, which is expected to account for over 70% of total revenue by 2024, employs a "bush" product matrix strategy, including products like MICO, YoHo, TopTop, and SUGO [2][35]. - The company has successfully integrated acquisitions, such as Blue City Brothers, to enhance its presence in the diverse social market, with Blue City's MAU reaching approximately 7.45 million [2][3]. Innovative Business Growth - The company is developing a second growth curve through innovative businesses, including premium mobile games and social e-commerce, with the flagship game "Alice's Dream: MergeGames" showing over 60% revenue growth in 2024 [3][4]. - The social e-commerce segment is expanding, with acquisitions enhancing user demographics and engagement [3][4]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 69.0 billion, 84.1 billion, and 97.0 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of RMB 9.5 billion, 12.4 billion, and 14.9 billion, reflecting growth rates of 97.0%, 31.3%, and 19.7% [4][5]. - The report highlights the company's strong localization strategy and successful "product + country" replication strategy, positioning it well in emerging social entertainment markets [4][5].