英大证券研究所证券研究报告 观点： 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 周二晨报提醒，虽然周一 A 股延续强势，不过，仍存结构性隐忧。驱动行情 的是"政策预期"与"情绪修复"，而非扎实的"基本面改善"。上行中可能还有震荡， 市场走势如我们预期，周二沪深三大指数涨跌不一，个股涨少跌多，整体维持弱 势震荡格局。 金 点 策 略 晨 报 2025 年 12 月 10 日 密切关注两大因素 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 密切跟踪美联储议息会议与国内重要会议的进展，根据政策信号动态调整持 仓结构：若出现超预期利好，可适度提升仓位参与结构性机会；若政策不及预期 或海外风险升温，则应进一步收缩防线，聚焦核心资产。 操作上，轻指数，重个股。踏准板块轮动节奏，采取均衡配置、高抛低吸或 是占优策略。无论是科技成长方向（半导体芯片、泛 AI 主题及机器人行业等）， 还是顺周期行业（光伏、电池、储能、化工、煤炭、有色等），亦或是红利股（银 行、公用事业、"大象股"等），尽量选择有业绩支持的标的逢低布局，远离缺乏业 绩支撑的高 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index successfully reclaimed the 3900-point mark, driven by strong performance in insurance and brokerage stocks, although overall market participation remains low with a trading volume of approximately 1.7 trillion yuan [1][15] - Key upcoming events include the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 10, which may influence global liquidity expectations, and an important domestic meeting that will set the tone for China's economic policy in the coming year [1][15] Sector Performance - The CPO (Co-packaged optics) sector saw significant gains, driven by increased demand for high-speed data transmission components in AI data centers [7] - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a surge, supported by new demand opportunities in aluminum due to the global data center construction boom and potential supply constraints [8] - The commercial aerospace sector continued its upward trend, bolstered by recent policy clarifications and significant market potential following the establishment of dedicated regulatory bodies [9] - The robotics industry remains active, with substantial growth observed since early January, supported by strong internal growth dynamics and favorable government policies [10] - The consumer electronics sector showed signs of activity, with a focus on innovative products such as smart home devices and wearable technology [11] - The industrial mother machine concept gained traction, benefiting from government support for high-precision manufacturing and technology development [12] - Financial stocks, particularly brokerages and insurance companies, rallied due to positive regulatory signals aimed at enhancing capital market frameworks [13] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a focus on individual stocks rather than indices, recommending a balanced approach to sector rotation and emphasizing the selection of fundamentally sound stocks while avoiding overvalued ones lacking earnings support [2][16]

Market Overview - On May 28, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.02%, the CSI 300 fell by 0.08%, the STAR 50 dropped by 0.23%, the CSI 1000 declined by 0.4%, the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.31%, and the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.51% [3][4] - The best-performing industries on May 28 were textiles and apparel (+1.17%), environmental protection (+0.89%), coal (+0.74%), transportation (+0.71%), and communications (+0.62%). The worst-performing industries were basic chemicals (-0.79%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (-0.78%), national defense and military industry (-0.72%), automotive (-0.72%), and real estate (-0.68%) [3][4] - The total trading volume of the A-share market on May 28 was 10,338.73 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 3.578 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [3][4] Key Recommendations - The report highlights the deep dive into Robotech (300757), which has successfully acquired ficonTEC, a global leader in coupling packaging equipment, positioning itself in the silicon photonics and CPO (Chip-on-Package) market, projected to be worth hundreds of billions [2][5] - The recommendation logic indicates that the accelerating penetration rates of silicon photonics modules and CPO technology will drive the demand for precision coupling packaging equipment, benefiting the company from industry upgrades [5] - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 1,218 million yuan in 2025 to 1,724 million yuan in 2027, with a revenue growth rate of 10.1%, 26.8%, and 11.7% respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to grow from 136 million yuan in 2025 to 317 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 112.9%, 87.7%, and 24.2% respectively [5]