기술 消息面 1/27 美国官员： 美国总统特朗普完全赞同以色列总理内塔尼亚胡的声明，即在哈马斯实现非军事化和解除武装之前，加沙的重建不会开始。 1/27 美国总统特朗普表示 因为他向该地区派遣了 伊朗局势 "瞬息万变 - 支 "庞大的舰队" 但他认为伊朗确实想要达成协议 1/27 黎巴嫩真主党：不会对针对伊朗的军事行动袖手旁观。 伊朗对美发出警告：若遵军事打击将袭击美航母。 1/26 以色列民航局称本周末进入敏感时期。当地时间1月25日，以色列民航局向多家外国航空公司发出通知称，以色列可能在本月30日（本周 -且安全评估显示无法确保合理安全水平，以色列将立即关闭领空，届时将优先保障外国航班离境。 天内即可对伊朗动武。26日，一名不愿公开姓名的美国官员表示，美国海军 "亚伯拉罕·林肯" 号 "敏感时期" 通知强调 , 五）前后进入 号航母打击群- —两天内即可对伊朗动武。 号航空 1/27 美官员: "林肯' 母舰打击群已经驶入美军中央司令部在西印度洋的责任区。如果白宫下令打击伊朗，理论上，该航母打击群在 -两天内"就能发起军事行动. EC主力合约价格走势 EC远期曲线 1800 6000 1700 5000 ...

Week5: MSK开舱2450 (环比-300) , PA2400 (特价2200) , OA2500-2700美金。中枢2500美金, 折盘1750点, 消息面 Week6: MSK开舱2050 (环比-400) , PA2200附近, MSC2340, OA2400-2500美金, 中枢2320美金, 折盘1625点, | | | | | | | 研究中心能化团队 | | | 2026/1/26 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 合约 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 昨日成交量 | | 昨日持仓量 | 持色变动 | | | EC2602 | | 1717.7 | 0.59% | 236.5 | 532 | | 4401 | -280 | | | EC2604 | | 1138.3 | 0.05% | 815.9 | 30781 | | 41149 | 379 | | | EC2606 | | 1412.9 | 0.99% | 541.3 | 4476 | | 5791 | 908 | | | ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - For contracts after 02, the focus is on spot trends. It's difficult to predict the peak height, time, and subsequent price - drop rhythm of January freight rates. At the current level, entry is not recommended [2][7]. - The 04 contract is moderately over - valued, but there is short - term upward risk (due to factors like capital position transfer, geopolitical reversal, pre - holiday position reduction, and price increase notices after reaching the bottom). The strategy is to short on rallies [2][7]. - Far - month contracts are greatly affected by geopolitics. Under the long - term logic of expected resumption of shipping and the off - season, the strategy for the 10 contract is to short on rallies [2][7]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Contract Data - **EC Contracts**: EC2512 had a 0.31% change, with a price of 1613.0 and a decrease of 23.8. EC2602 had a 1.38% change, with a price of 1824.5 and a decrease of 235.3. Other contracts also had their respective price and change data [2][7]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: For example, EC2512 - 2504 had a spread of 458.2, with a change of - 19.8 compared to the previous period [2][7]. 3.2 Index Data - **SCEIS**: It had a 5.21% change this period and a 0.10% change compared to the previous period, with a value of 1509.10 as of 2025/12/22, updated weekly [2][7]. - **SCFI (European Line)**: It had a 10.24% change this period and a - 0.33% change compared to the previous period, with a value of 1690 dollars/TEU as of 2025/12/26, updated weekly [2][7]. - **CCFI**: It had a 3.06% change this period and a 0.23% change compared to the previous period, with a value of 1519.06 as of 2025/12/26, updated weekly [2][7]. - **NCFI**: It had a 7.22% change this period and a 0.30% change compared to the previous period, with a value of 1144.37 as of 2025/12/26, updated weekly [2][7]. 3.3 European Line Spot Situation - **Week 52**: MSK opened at 2300 dollars, and other companies generally followed Week 51's rates. The central rate was 2500 dollars, equivalent to about 1750 points on the futures market [2][7]. - **Week 1**: MSK opened at 2500 dollars, OA at 2700 - 2800 dollars (EMC's partial routes at 2500+ dollars), and PA at 2800 dollars (with a volume - related rate of 2600 dollars). The central rate was 1950 dollars, equivalent to about 1950 points on the futures market [2][7]. - **Week 2**: MSK kept the rate at 2500 dollars, but the rate at Hamburg Port was 2600 dollars (a 100 - dollar increase from the previous period) [2][7]. 3.4 Related News - On 12/28, there were significant differences between the US and Israel on the Gaza issue. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu visited the US, aiming to persuade the US to accept a tougher stance on the Gaza cease - fire agreement [2][7]. - On 12/27, the rift in the Gulf region deepened as Saudi Arabia attacked a faction in Yemen supported by the UAE [2][7].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current valuation of 02 is high, and its future performance mainly depends on the spot market trend. In the short term, due to the improvement in the spot market, the market sentiment is positive. However, it is difficult to predict the peak height and time of the freight rate in January and the subsequent price - decline rhythm. Therefore, entry at the current level is not recommended. [2][8] - The valuation of 04 is moderately high, but in the short term, it may follow the spot market or recover the basis. Attention should be paid to shorting opportunities in the near - term continuous high. The far - month contracts are greatly affected by geopolitical factors. Shorting off - season contracts is safer than shorting peak - season contracts. Overall, a positive spread strategy should be adopted, and attention should be paid to shorting opportunities in the 10 contract. [2][8] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalog Futures Contract Data - EC2512: Yesterday's closing price was 1606.0, down 1.53% or 16.8, with a trading volume of 281 and an open interest of 1890, a decrease of 11 in open interest. [2][8] - EC2602: Down 3.48%, trading volume of 35004, closing price of 1806.6, down 217.4, open interest of 41660, down 0.75%. [2][8] - EC2604: Trading volume of 7754, open interest of 20867, closing price of 1158.0, up 431.2. [2][8] - EC2606: Up 0.89%, closing price of 1331.7, up 257.5, open interest of 372, trading volume of 2187. [2][8] - EC2608: Trading volume of 141, open interest of 1199, closing price of 1480.0, up 109.2. [2][8] - EC2610: Down 0.85%, closing price of 1052.0, up 537.2. [2][8] Month - to - Month Spread Data - EC2512 - 2504: The spread was 448.0, with a daily decline of 16.2 and a weekly decline of 52.1. [2][8] - EC2512 - 2602: The spread was - 200.6, with a daily decline of 40.2 and a weekly decline of 104.4. [2][8] - EC2502 - 2604: The spread was 648.6, with a previous value of 705.0 and a previous - two - period value of 591.0. [2][8] Index Data - SCEIS: Up 5.21%, updated every Monday. The current value is 1589.20, the previous value was 1510.56, and the previous - two - period value was 1509.10, announced on 2025/12/22. [2][8] - SCFI (European line): Up 9.86%, updated every Friday. The current value is 1400 dollars/TEU, the previous value was 1533, and the previous - two - period value was 1538, announced on 2025/12/19. [2][8] - CCFI (European line): Up 1.59%, the current value is 1473.9 points, the previous value was 1470.55, and the previous - two - period value was 1447.56, announced on 2025/12/19. [2][8] - NCFI: Up 9.98%, the current value is 1067.29 points, the previous value was 1064.13, and the previous - two - period value was 967.55, announced on 2025/12/19. [2][8] European Line Spot Market Situation - Week 52: MSK opened bookings at $2300 (a decrease of $100 compared to the previous week). Other companies mainly continued to use the rates of Week 51. The central price was $2500, equivalent to about 1750 points on the futures market. All shipping companies announced price increases for January bookings. [2][8] - Week 1: MSK opened bookings at $2500 (an increase of $200 compared to the previous week), waiting for other shipping companies to open bookings. [2][8] - Week 2: MSK mainly maintained the same price, quoting $2500 (high - cube containers at $2600). [2][8] Related News - On 12/23, the Suez Canal Authority: The Jacques Saadé and Adonis of CMA CGM passed through the canal on Tuesday. One was a return vessel with a previous statement, and the other was on a regular route with a precedent. [2][8]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The current valuation of the 02 contract is high, and future performance depends on spot cargo trends. Short - term sentiment is positive due to spot improvement, but it's difficult to predict the peak height and time of January freight rates and subsequent price - drop rhythms. It's not recommended to enter the market at the current level [3]. - The valuation of the 04 contract is moderately high. It may follow the spot market or recover the basis in the short term. Attention should be paid to short - selling opportunities [3]. - Far - month contracts are greatly affected by geopolitical factors. Short - selling off - season contracts is safer than short - or long - selling peak - season contracts. An overall positive spread strategy should be adopted, and attention should be paid to short - selling opportunities for the 10 contract [3]. 3. Detailed Summaries Futures Contracts - **Contract Prices and Changes**: EC2512 closed at 1631.0 with a 0.06% increase; EC2602 at 1871.8 with an 8.84% increase; EC2604 at 1166.8 with a 3.37% increase; EC2606 at 1320.0 with a 2.46% increase; EC2608 at 1486.2 with a 2.27% increase; EC2610 at 1061.0 with a 1.02% increase. The trading volumes were 100, 52704, 11708, 587, 256, and 1449 respectively, and the open interests were 1956, 36510, 20471, 2184, 1197, and 5401 respectively, with changes of - 27, 5003, 1634, - 36, - 91, and 466 [2]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: For example, EC2512 - 2504 was 464.2, with a day - on - day change of - 37.1 and a week - on - week change of - 79.8; EC2512 - 2602 was - 240.8, with a day - on - day change of - 151.1 and a week - on - week change of - 213.0; EC2502 - 2604 was 705.0, with a day - on - day change of 114.0 and a week - on - week change of 133.2 [2]. Spot Market - **Spot Indexes**: The TEU index updated on 2025/12/22 was 1589.20, up 5.21% from the previous period. SCF on 2025/12/19 was 1533 dollars/TEU, down 0.3% from the previous period. CCFI on 2025/12/19 was 1473.9 points, up 0.23% from the previous period. NCFI on 2025/12/19 was 1067.29 points, up 0.30% from the previous period [2]. - **European Line Spot Situation**: In Week 52, MSK's opening price was 2300 dollars (down 100 dollars from the previous week), and other companies mainly followed Week 51 prices. The central price was 2500 dollars, equivalent to about 1750 points on the futures. All shipping companies are raising prices for January cabins. In Week 1, MSK's opening price was 2500 dollars (up 200 dollars from the previous week), and the prices of other shipping companies are yet to be announced [4]. News and Geopolitical Factors - The US plans to hold a Gaza reconstruction conference to promote a new round of cease - fire. The meeting may be held as early as next month, and Washington is a potential venue. Egypt and other locations are also being considered. The meeting is likely to be held after the "Peace Committee" is established [4]. - The Turkish Foreign Minister expects the second phase of the Gaza cease - fire agreement to start early in the new year [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The EC2512 contract is approaching the delivery logic, with P1 around 1,550 - 1,600 points. P2 and P3 are benchmarked against the second - half of December cabin positions, expecting a stable - to - rising trend. [3][11] - The EC2602 contract is undervalued. The core of going long is to wait for the signal of cargo capacity explosion. The cargo volume on the European route is strong this year. Considering factors such as the late Chinese New Year, the incomplete start of pre - holiday concentrated shipments, and the positive impact of December price cuts on January price increase implementation, if the peak season is gradually realized, EC2602 may have more upside potential. [3][11] - For the EC2604 contract, a short - selling approach on rallies is still recommended. [3][11] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - EC2512: Yesterday's closing price was 1,631.1, with a change of 1.13% and 6.07% (unclear). The basis was 8.3, the trading volume was 1,737, the open interest was 4,501, and the open interest change was - 7/31 - 2,857. [2][10] - EC2602: Yesterday's closing price was 1,471.9, the basis was 167.5, the trading volume was 41,467, and the open interest was 40,111. [2][10] - EC2604: Yesterday's closing price was 1,072.2, with a change of 1.67%. The basis was 567.2, the trading volume was 7,369, the open interest was 18,743, and the open interest change was 42. [2][10] - EC2606: Yesterday's closing price was 1,215.2, with a change of 2.11%. The basis was 424.2, the trading volume was 519, and the open interest was 2,254. [2][10] - EC2608: Yesterday's closing price was 1,339.0, with a change of 2.15%. The basis was 300.4, the trading volume was 257, the open interest was 1,630, and the open interest change was - 20. [2][10] - EC2610: Yesterday's closing price was 1,021.0, with a change of 0.87%. The basis was 618.4, the trading volume was 954, the open interest was 3,975, and the open interest change was 2,715. [2][10] Month - to - Month Spreads - EC2512 - 2504: The previous day's spread was 558.9, with a daily change of 0.6 and a weekly change of - 53.8. [2][10] - EC2512 - 2602: The previous day's spread was 159.2, with a daily change of - 66.0 and a weekly change of 14.5. [2][10] - EC2502 - 2604: The previous day's spread was 399.7, with a daily change of 66.6 and a weekly change of - 68.3. [2][10] Spot Market Indicators (European Route) - SCHIS: Updated weekly on Mondays. As of November 24, 2025, it was 1,639.37 points, with a current - period increase of 20.75% and a previous - period decrease of 9.78%. [2][10] - SCFI: Updated weekly on Fridays. As of November 28, 2025, it was 1,404 dollars/TEU, with a current - period increase of 2.71% and a previous - period decrease of 3.55%. [2][10] - CCFI: Updated weekly on Fridays. As of November 28, 2025, it was 1,449.34 points, with a current - period increase of 1.14% and a previous - period increase of 2.09%. [2][10] - NCFI: As of November 28, 2025, it was 1,024.64 points, with a current - period increase of 7.671% and a previous - period decrease of 2.83%. [2][10] Recent European Route Spot Situation - The average price in Week 49 was 2,360 dollars, equivalent to 1,650 points on the futures market. The price increase in early December failed. In Week 50, MSK's opening price dropped to 2,200 dollars, setting the tone. OA was at 2,300 - 2,400 dollars, PA was at 2,100 - 2,200 dollars, with a current central price of 2,270 dollars, equivalent to 1,580 points on the futures market. MSC plans to raise the price of second - half of December cabin positions to 3,500 dollars, and ONE to 2,800 dollars. Shipping companies are expected to announce price increases for January cabin positions in early December. [4][12] Related News - On November 26, the mediators of the Gaza cease - fire agreed to stop violations and implement the second phase of the agreement. [5][13] - On November 29, Hezbollah in Lebanon stated that it would retaliate against Israel for the attack on its senior commander. [5][13]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - In the context of tariff news and the afternoon MSK surcharge, the Wednesday futures market rose significantly. Affected by the previous congestion at European ports in the second half of November, 4 ships will have difficulty returning to Shanghai in time, which may lead to a tight fundamental situation in November. The market's neutral expectation for the freight rate in November is between $2000 - $2200 (1400 - 1540 points). Currently, the valuation of the December contract is moderately high. Driven by multiple positive factors such as subsequent price increases and long - term agreement signings from November to December, it is recommended to adopt a low - buying strategy. The 02 contract is more difficult to value accurately with high uncertainty, and it is expected to follow the trend of the December contract in the next month. The 04 contract is a off - season contract, which fluctuates within a narrow range under the current peak - season logic. Considering the greater supply pressure next year, it is recommended to adopt a high - selling strategy [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Contract Data - **EC Futures Contracts**: The closing prices of EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 are $1871.0, $1606.0, $1194.4, and $1422.9 respectively, with daily increases of 4.62%, 3.70%, 2.73%, and 3.56%. The trading volumes are 34539, 8665, 2935, and 1 respectively, and the open interests are 31906, 15885, 14394, and 1410 respectively, with open - interest changes of 3006.8, 1975, 115, and 0 [2]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The spreads of EC2512 - 2504, EC2512 - 2602 are 676.6 and 265.0 respectively, with month - on - month increases of 51.0 and 25.4, and week - on - week increases of 71.1 and 53.9 [2]. Index Data - **SCFI (European Route)**: Updated on October 24, 2025, the value is $1246/TEU, with a month - on - month increase of 8.82% and a previous - period increase of 7.21% [2]. - **CCFI (European Route)**: Updated on October 24, 2025, the value is 1293.12 points, with a month - on - month increase of 1.99% and a previous - period decrease of 1.49% [2]. - **NCFI**: Updated on October 24, 2025, the value is 822.3 points, with a month - on - month increase of 2.38% and a previous - period increase of 14.96% [2]. Recent European Route Quotations - **Week 44**: The offline quotations are PA $1400, GEMINI $1600, and OA $1800 [3]. - **November Price Increase Announcements**: Shipping companies announced price increases mostly between $2500 - $2700, with an average equivalent to about 1800 points on the futures market. MSK opened at $2350, which met expectations, and then shipping companies adjusted the price to between $1900 - $2300, with a central value of $2100 [3]. Shipping Company Price Adjustments - **Monday**: HMM reduced the price to $1900, HPL to $2335, ONE to $2135, and MSC to $2265 [4]. - **Tuesday**: MSK reduced the price to $2200, OOCL to $2150, and YML reduced the price of a single route to $1900 [4]. - **Wednesday**: MSK announced a peak - season surcharge of $300/FEU for long - term agreements, and YML reduced the price of a single route to $1850 [4]. Related News - On October 29, the Israeli military stated that it had resumed the implementation of the Gaza cease - fire agreement [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - SCFIS (European Line) significantly exceeded expectations, potentially driving the market up today [1]. - As of now, cargo volume shows no obvious signs of improvement, but shipping companies have implemented many suspension operations. The market currently expects the freight rate in January to potentially reach between 2000 - 2200 US dollars (1400 - 1540 points) [1]. - Overall, with subsequent positive drivers, adopt a "buy on dips" strategy for contracts EC2512 and EC2602, and a "sell on rallies" strategy for EC2604 [1]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Futures Contract Information | Contract | Yesterday's Closing Price | Change (%) | Yesterday's Volume | Yesterday's Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2510 | 1130.9 | -0.61 | 1377 | 3428 | -864 | | EC2512 | 1775.0 | -3.06 | 27748 | 27995 | -2254 | | EC2602 | 1571.6 | -1.84 | 6174 | 13138 | 1629 | | EC2604 | 1178.8 | -0.07 | 2045 | 14146 | -78 | | EC2606 | 1387.1 | -0.77 | 109 | 1371 | -6 | [1] Month - to - Month Spread Information | Month Spread | Previous Day | Two Days Ago | Day - on - Day Change | Week - on - Week Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2510 - 2512 | -644.1 | -693.2 | 49.1 | -9.8 | | EC2512 - 2602 | 203.4 | 230.0 | -26.6 | 2.1 | [1] Index Information | Index | Update Frequency | Announcement Date | Unit | Current Period | Previous Period | Two Periods Ago | Current Period Change | Previous Period Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TTN | Weekly | 2025/10/27 | Points | 1312.71 | 1140.38 | 1031.80 | 15.11% | 10.52% | | SCFI (European Line) | Weekly | 2025/10/24 | US dollars/TEU | 1246 | 1145 | 1068 | 8.82% | 7.21% | | CCFI (European Line) | Weekly | 2025/10/24 | Points | 1293.12 | 1267.91 | 1287.15 | 1.99% | -1.49% | | NCFI | Weekly | 2025/10/24 | Points | 822.3 | 803.21 | 698.67 | 2.38% | 14.96% | [1] Recent European Line Quotation Information - Currently, downstream is booking space for early November (Week 45). - Week 44 offline quotes: PA 1400, GEMINI 1600, OA 1800 US dollars. - November price increase announcements: Shipping companies announced price increases mostly between 2500 - 2700 US dollars, with an average equivalent to about 1800 points on the disk. MSK opened at 2350 US dollars, in line with expectations. Online, HMM reduced to 1900 US dollars, OOCL reduced to 2300 - 2400 US dollars (one route reduced to 2100 US dollars), and HPL reduced to 2335 US dollars [2]. Related News - On October 28, the Israeli military stated that it will not stop attacking Hamas until all hostages are returned. - On October 28, the Israeli government spokesman said that Israel will maintain full security control over the Gaza Strip. - On October 27, Israel announced the lifting of the emergency state in southern Israel for the first time in more than two years [3].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The recent market has been strong due to shipping companies' additional sailings cancellations and good cargo receipts on multiple routes at the end of October. The current valuation of the December contract is high, but due to multiple expected price increase nodes and the upward drive during the long - term contract signing season, the logic of going long on dips for the December contract remains unchanged. There may be short - term downward disturbances, and attention should be paid to possible price cuts by shipping companies in early November. Against the backdrop of geopolitical uncertainties, the February contract may have more upside potential with the arrival of the peak season, but there are also geopolitical fluctuations. The April contract maintains the view of shorting on rallies, but it may follow the near - term contracts and fluctuate strongly during the peak season from November to January and can be gradually short - positioned [2][22]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs EC Futures Contract Information - EC2510: Yesterday's closing price was 1137.8, up 0.15%, with a direct difference of 2.6, yesterday's trading volume was 817, yesterday's open interest was 4292, and open interest decreased by 526 [2][22]. - EC2512: Yesterday's closing price was 1831.0, up 2.11%, with a direct difference of - 690.6, yesterday's trading volume was 35117, yesterday's open interest was 30249, and open interest increased by 1335 [2][22]. - EC2602: Yesterday's closing price was 1601.0, up 1.20%, with a direct difference of - 460.6, yesterday's trading volume was 3971, yesterday's open interest was 11509, and open interest increased by 971 [2][22]. - EC2604: Yesterday's closing price was 1179.6, up 0.67%, with a direct difference of - 39.2, yesterday's trading volume was 1726, yesterday's open interest was 14224, and open interest increased by 170 [2][22]. - EC2606: Yesterday's closing price was 1397.9, up 1.68%, with a direct difference of - 257.5, yesterday's trading volume was 585, yesterday's open interest was 1377, and open interest decreased by 25 [2][22]. Month - to - Month Spread - EC2510 - 2512: The previous day's spread was - 693.2, the spread decreased by 36.2 compared to the previous day, and decreased by 111.3 compared to last Friday [2][22]. - EC2512 - 2602: The previous day's spread was 230.0, the spread increased by 18.9 compared to the previous day, and increased by 70.0 compared to last Friday [2][22]. Spot Freight Index - SCFI (European Line): Updated weekly, as of October 24, 2025, it was 1246 US dollars/TEU, up 8.82% from the previous period and 7.21% from two periods ago [2][22]. - CCFI: Updated weekly, as of October 24, 2025, it was 1293.12, up 1.99% from the previous period and down 1.49% from two periods ago [2][22]. - NCFI: Updated weekly, as of October 24, 2025, it was 822.3, up 2.38% from the previous period and 14.96% from two periods ago [2][22]. Recent European Line Quotations - Currently, downstream customers are booking spaces for the end of October and early November (Week 44 - 45). In Week 44, the offline quotes were PA 1400, GEMINI 1600, and OA 1800 US dollars. Shipping companies plan to increase prices in November, mostly in the range of 2500 - 2700 US dollars, with an average equivalent to about 1800 points on the futures market. On Tuesday, MSK opened bookings at 2350 US dollars, in line with expectations [3][23]. Relevant News - On October 27, US Treasury Secretary Yellen said that the US would no longer consider imposing a 100% tariff on China. On October 26, the China - US economic and trade teams concluded a two - day negotiation in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. This was the fifth face - to - face negotiation between the two teams since May this year [4][24]. - On October 27, the Israeli government spokesman said that Israel would maintain full security control over the Gaza Strip [4][24].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Recently, the futures market has been strong due to shipping companies adding sailings and good cargo receipts on multiple routes at the end of October. The valuation of the December contract is currently high, but considering the upcoming price - increase announcements and the upward drive during the long - term contract signing season, the logic of going long on dips for the December contract remains unchanged. There may be short - term downward fluctuations, and attention should be paid to possible price cuts by shipping companies in early November. - Against the backdrop of geopolitical uncertainties, the February contract may have more upside potential with the arrival of the peak season, but geopolitical fluctuations also exist. - The April contract maintains a short - selling view, but it may fluctuate strongly following the near - term contracts during the peak season from November to January, and positions can be gradually established [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content EC Futures Contracts | Contract | Yesterday's Price | Change (%) | Volume | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | EC2510 | 1137.8 | 0.15 | 817 | 4292 | - 526 | | EC2512 | 1831.0 | 2.11 | 35117 | 30249 | 1335 | | EC2602 | 1601.0 | 1.20 | 3971 | 11509 | 971 | | EC2604 | 1179.6 | 0.67 | 1726 | 14224 | 170 | | EC2606 | 1397.9 | 1.68 | 285 | 1377 | - 25 | [2] Month - to - Month Spreads | Spread | Previous Day | Two Days Ago | Three Days Ago | Daily Report | Friday | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | EC2510 - 2512 | - 693.2 | - 657.0 | - 651.7 | - 36.2 | - 111.3 | | EC2512 - 2602 | 230.0 | 211.1 | 205.4 | 18.9 | 70.0 | [2] Spot Freight Indexes | Index | Update Frequency | Announcement Date | Unit | Current Period | Previous Period | Two Periods Ago | Current Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | SCFI (Euro - line) | Weekly | 2025/10/20<br>2025/10/24 | USD/TEU | 1140.38<br>1246 | 1031.80<br>1145 | 1046.50<br>1068 | 10.52%<br>8.82% | | CCFI | Weekly | 2025/10/24 | - | 1293.12 | 1267.91 | 1287.15 | 1.99% | | NCFI | - | 2025/10/24 | - | 822.3 | 803.21 | 698.67 | 2.38% | [2] Recent Euro - line Quotations - Currently, downstream customers are booking space for the end of October and early November (Week 44 - 45). In Week 44, offline quotes are PA $1400, GEMINI $1600, and OA $1800. - Shipping companies plan to raise prices in November, with most announcements in the range of $2500 - $2700, and the average converted to the futures price is about 1800 points. On Tuesday, MSK opened at $2350, in line with expectations [3]. Related News - On October 27, US Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that after two - day talks in Kuala Lumpur, the US and China reached a "very substantial framework agreement," and the US "will no longer consider" imposing a 100% tariff on China. - On October 27, the Israeli government spokesman said that Israel will maintain full security control over the Gaza Strip [4].