Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The spot index's sharp rise drives the far - month contracts. Risk - preferring investors are advised to pre - layout the 02 contract and focus on the freight rate support logic in December [1]. - The tariff issue has a marginal effect, and the current core is the direction of spot freight rates. The main contract may be in the bottom - building process, and it is recommended to participate with a light position or wait and see [3]. 3. Summary by Related Content Freight Index - On November 3, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 1504.80 points, up 24.5% from the previous period; the SCFIS for the US - West route was 1329.71 points, up 4.9% from the previous period [2]. - On November 7, the Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) (composite index) was 1053.62 points, down 4.24% from the previous period; the NCFI for the European route was 911.73 points, down 5.58% from the previous period; the NCFI for the US - West route was 1349.1 points, down 7.14% from the previous period [2]. - On November 7, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) published price was 1495.10 points, down 3.6 points from the previous period; the SCFI European route price was 1323 USD/TEU, down 1.6% from the previous period; the SCFI US - West route was 2212 USD/FEU, down 16.4% from the previous period [2]. - On November 7, the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) (composite index) was 1058.17 points, up 3.6% from the previous period; the CCFI for the European route was 1366.85 points, up 3.3% from the previous period; the CCFI for the US - West route was 814.14 points, up 5.4% from the previous period [2]. Economic Data - In October, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month; the composite PMI output index was 50.0%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month [3]. - The initial value of the US S&P Global services PMI in October was 55.2 (expected 53.5, previous value 54.2); the initial value of the manufacturing PMI was 52.2 (expected 52, previous value 52); the initial value of the composite PMI was 54.8 (expected 53.1, previous value 53.9) [3]. - The initial value of the euro - zone manufacturing PMI in October was 45.9 (expected 45.1, previous value 45); the initial value of the services PMI was 51.2 (expected 51.5, previous value 51.4); the initial value of the composite PMI was 49.7 (expected 49.7, previous value 49.6). The euro - zone Sentix investor confidence index in October had a previous value of - 9.2 and a forecast value of - 8.5 [2]. Contract Information - On November 11, the main contract 2512 closed at 1746.1, down 1.87%, with a trading volume of 32,200 lots and an open interest of 25,200 lots, a decrease of 1475 lots from the previous day [3]. - The trading limits of contracts 2508 - 2606 are adjusted to 18%. The company's margin for contracts 2508 - 2606 is adjusted to 28%. The daily opening limit for all contracts 2508 - 2606 is 100 lots [4]. Strategy Recommendations - Short - term strategy: The main contract retraces while the far - month contracts are strong. Risk - preferring investors are advised to try long positions lightly in the 1550 - 1600 range of the EC2602 contract, focus on the spot trend, avoid holding losing positions, and set stop - losses [4]. - Arbitrage strategy: Against the backdrop of international turmoil, each contract maintains a seasonal logic with large fluctuations. It is recommended to wait and see or try with a light position [4]. - Long - term strategy: It is recommended to take profits when each contract rises, wait for the callback to stabilize, and then judge the subsequent direction [4].

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The market continued to fluctuate weakly on Friday. With the subsequent peak season and the long - term contract signing period in December as positive drivers, it is recommended to take a dip - buying approach overall. The market is expected to mainly follow the trend of the December contract in the short term. Observe the cargo - picking situation during the peak season. Freight rate highs usually occur 4 - 5 weeks before the Spring Festival (mid - January next year). If the peak season is gradually realized, the February contract may have more upside potential. The April contract is for the off - season, and it is recommended to take a short - selling approach considering the expected greater supply pressure and the off - season in April next year [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Contract Prices and Changes**: The EC2512 contract closed at 1812.0, down 1.96% (-603.3); EC2602 at 1592.0, down 0.56% (-383.3); EC2604 at 1164.6, down 1.14% (44.1); EC2606 at 1376.1, down 2.69% (-167.4); EC2608 at 1499.2, up 1.02% (-290.5); EC2610 at 1133.4, down 0.58% (75.3) [2] - **Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of EC2512 was 17121, and the open interest was 25887 with a decrease of 2525; EC2602 had a volume of 5303, open interest of 22939 with an increase of 314; EC2604 had a volume of 1193, open interest of 14330 with an increase of 122; EC2606 had a volume of 74, open interest of 1452 with a decrease of 3; EC2608 had a volume not fully shown, open interest of 1311 with an increase of 5; EC2610 had a volume of 154, open interest of 1464 with an increase of 32 [2] - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The spread of EC2512 - 2504 was 647.4, with a daily decrease of 22.8 and a weekly decrease of 20.5; EC2512 - 2602 was 220.0, with a daily decrease of 27.2 and a weekly decrease of 40.8; EC2502 - 2604 was 427.4, with a daily increase of 4.4 and a weekly increase of 20.3 [2] Spot Market - **SCFIS**: Updated weekly on Mondays, as of November 3, 2025, it was 1208.71 points, down 7.92% from the previous period [2] - **SCFI (European Line)**: Updated weekly on a day described as "weekly nine", as of November 7, 2025, it was 1323 dollars/TEU, down 1.56% from the previous period [2] - **CCFI (European Line)**: Updated weekly on a day described as "weekly nine", as of November 7, 2025, it was 1366.85 points, up 3.25% from the previous period [2] - **NCFI**: Updated weekly on a day described as "weekly nine", as of November 7, 2025, it was 911.73 points, down 5.58% from the previous period [2] Recent European Line Quotation - **45th Week**: The average landed price was about 2050 US dollars (equivalent to 1450 points on the futures market) [3] - **46th Week**: The average landed price was 2000 US dollars (equivalent to 1400 points on the futures market). Shipping companies announced a price increase to 2365 - 2950 US dollars for the second half of November, but MSK opened at 2250 US dollars (a 50 - dollar increase from the previous period), and it is expected that other shipping companies' quotes will be gradually lowered this week. There may also be a price increase announcement for December [3] Related News - On November 9, the Qassam Brigades of Hamas stated that armed personnel in the Rafah area under Israeli control would not surrender to Israel. They urged mediators to take responsibility to avoid the breakdown of the cease - fire. Egypt had proposed a plan allowing about 200 armed personnel in Rafah to have safe passage on the condition of handing over weapons and providing the location of underground tunnels, but the Qassam Brigades strongly rejected it [4] - On November 10, the Houthi armed forces warned that if the cease - fire in the Gaza Strip breaks down, they will resume attacks on Israel and ban Israeli ships from sailing in the Red Sea and the Arabian Sea [4] Index Delay - The XSI - C index is delayed by three working days [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On Wednesday, the market strengthened significantly due to rumors of MSK opening bookings and raising prices. The far - month contracts were slightly driven up by the near - month contracts. The December contract has multiple positive drivers such as price increase announcements and long - term contract signings from November to December, but its valuation is not low, and it will follow the spot market in the future. It is recommended to take a long position on dips. [2] - The February 2026 contract has high uncertainty and is expected to mainly follow the December contract's trend in the next month. [2] - The April 2026 contract is a off - season contract, which maintains a narrow - range oscillation under the current peak - season logic. Considering greater supply pressure next year, the off - season in April, and potential resumption of shipping, it is recommended to take a short position on rallies. [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Contract Prices and Changes**: The closing prices of EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, EC2606, EC2608, and EC2610 contracts were 1946.0, 1652.0, 1199.6, 1426.1, 1497.1, and 1142.8 respectively, with daily increases of 1.89%, 3.66%, 0.81%, 1.07%, 0.81%, and 0.69% respectively. [2] - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The spreads of EC2512 - 2504, EC2512 - 2602, and EC2502 - 2604 were 746.4, 294.0, and 452.4 respectively, with day - on - day changes of 26.5, - 22.2, and 48.7 respectively. [2] Spot Market - **Spot Freight Indexes**: The SCFIS index on November 3, 2025, was 1208.71 points, a decrease of 7.92% from the previous period; the SCFI (European line) on October 31, 2025, was 1344 US dollars/TEU, an increase of 7.87% from the previous period; the CCFI on October 31, 2025, was 1323.81 points, an increase of 2.37% from the previous period; the NCFI on October 31, 2025, was 965.62 points, an increase of 17.43% from the previous period. [2] Recent European Line Quotation Situation - **Early November**: PA's price dropped the most to 1700 - 1900 US dollars, GEMIN dropped to 2100 - 2200 US dollars, and OA dropped to 2250 US dollars, with an average of about 2050 US dollars (equivalent to 1430 points on the futures market). [3] - **Late November**: Shipping companies mostly announced price increases to 2500 - 3100 US dollars, and MSK quoted 2250 US dollars. [3] News - **Price Increase Notices**: On Tuesday, MSC and HPL issued price increase notices for the second half of November, announcing price increases to 3000 and 3100 US dollars/FEU respectively. MSK's opening quotation for the second half of November was 2250 (+50) US dollars/FEU, lower than the previous market rumors/expectations of 2400 - 2500 US dollars; MSK also issued a price increase notice for December, raising the European line price to 3200 US dollars, while MSC's price dropped to 2365 US dollars. [4] - **Related Geopolitical News**: On November 5, the Israeli Defense Minister stated that the Israeli army would unrestrictedly destroy Hamas tunnels and armed personnel in the controlled areas of the Gaza Strip. [5]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a container shipping morning report released on November 5, 2025, by the energy and chemical team of the research center [2] Group 2: Futures Market Analysis Futures Contracts - EC2512 closed at 1909.9 with a 3.14% increase, EC2602 at 1593.7 with a 0.09% increase, EC2604 at 1190.0 with a 0.47% increase, EC2606 at 1411.0 with a 0.75% increase, EC2608 at 1485.0 with a 0.10% increase, and EC2610 at 1135.0 with a 0.38% decrease [2] Month - to - Month Spreads - EC2512 - 2504 spread was 719.9, up 52.6 from the previous day and 123.7 week - on - week; EC2512 - 2602 spread was 316.2, up 56.7 from the previous day and 112.8 week - on - week; EC2502 - 2604 spread was 403.7, down 4.1 from the previous day and up 10.9 week - on - week [2] Group 3: Spot Market Analysis Spot Indices - SCFI (European Line) on November 3, 2025, was 1208.71 points, down 7.92% from the previous period; CCFI on October 31, 2025, was 1323.81, up 2.37% from the previous period; NCFI on October 31, 2025, was 965.62, up 17.43% from the previous period [2] European Line Spot Quotes - In early November, PA's price dropped to $1700 - 1900, GEMIN to $2100 - 2200, and OA to $2250, with an average of about $2050 (equivalent to 1430 points on the disk) [4] Group 4: Market Outlook and Strategies - The 12 - contract has multiple positive drivers but high valuation, and it is recommended to buy on dips [3] - The 02 - contract's valuation is hard to anchor, and it is expected to follow the 12 - contract in the next month [3] - The 04 - contract is a off - season contract, and it is recommended to sell on rallies considering future supply pressure, off - season factors, and potential resumption of shipping [3] Group 5: News and Events - On October 31, Israel attacked Gaza for the third consecutive night, impacting the cease - fire agreement; on November 2, the Houthi armed forces said they would respond strongly to any Israeli aggression [5] - On November 4, the MSK price increase news and the price increase letters from HPL and MSC drove the main contract to strengthen significantly, and the far - month contracts were slightly driven up by the near - month contracts [2][3] - On November 5, MSC and HPL issued price increase letters for the second half of November, announcing price increases to $3000 and $3100 per FEU respectively [4]

Group 1: Report Information - Report Date: November 4, 2025 [2][18] - Research Team: Research Center's Energy and Chemicals Team [2][18] Group 2: Futures Market Data Futures Contracts - EC2512: Closing price 1851.7, up 2.64%, trading volume 18824, open interest 29320, change in open interest -2045 [2][18] - EC2602: Closing price 1592.2, up 2.48%, trading volume 5040, open interest 18781, change in open interest 326 [2][18] - EC2604: Closing price 1184.4, up 2.01%, trading volume 2233, open interest 14507, change in open interest -403 [2][18] - EC2606: Closing price 1400.8, up 1.54%, trading volume 274, open interest 1490, change in open interest -31 [2][18] - EC2608: Closing price 1483.5, up 0.84%, trading volume 102, open interest 1342, change in open interest -10 [2][18] - EC2610: Closing price 1139.3, up 0.64%, trading volume 176, open interest 1266, change in open interest -14 [2][18] Month Spreads - EC2512 - 2504: Previous day 667.3, change 24.4 compared to the day before the previous day [2][18] - EC2512 - 2602: Previous day 259.5, change 9.1 compared to the day before the previous day [2][18] - EC2502 - 2604: Previous day 407.8, change 15.3 compared to the day before the previous day [2][18] Group 3: Spot Market Data Spot Indicators - Spot (Tetanar): On November 3, 2025, at 1208.71 points, down 74.92% from the previous period, up 15.11% from two periods ago [2][18] - SCF (Europe Line): On October 31, 2025, at 1344 dollars/TEU, up 7.87% from the previous period, up 8.82% from two periods ago [2][18] - CCFI: On October 31, 2025, at 1323.81 points, up 2.37% from the previous period, up 1.99% from two periods ago [2][18] - NCFI: On October 31, 2025, at 965.62 points, up 17.43% from the previous period, up 2.38% from two periods ago [2][18] Group 4: Recent Quotes and News Recent European Line Quotes - This week, downstream is booking space for early November (week 45). In early November, PA dropped to $1700 - 1900, GEMIN to $2100 - 2200, OA to $2250, with an average of about $2050 (equivalent to 1430 points on the disk) [19] News - On October 31, Israel attacked Gaza for the third consecutive night, and the cease - fire agreement was under pressure. The XSI - C index was delayed by three working days [4][20] Group 5: Market Analysis and Suggestions Market Analysis - The overall market is oscillating, waiting for the next driving force. MSK's opening of cabins today may determine the price increase in mid - November [2][18] Investment Suggestions - Due to the positive factors such as long - term contract signing from November to December, it is recommended to adopt a buy - on - dips strategy. Wait for this week to continue trading on PA price cuts or MSK's flat price [2][18] - The valuation of the EC2512 contract is moderately high, and subsequent contracts will mainly follow its trend. The valuation of the EC2602 contract is difficult to anchor with high uncertainty. The EC2604 contract is a off - season contract, and it is recommended to adopt a sell - on - rallies strategy considering the greater supply pressure next year, the off - season in April, and potential resumption of flights [2][18]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The current valuation of the December contract is moderately high. With multiple price increase announcements and long - term contract signings from November to December as positive drivers, it is recommended to adopt a "buy - on - dips" strategy, waiting for next week or continue to trade based on the PA price cut/MSK's flat opening [3]. - The February contract's valuation is difficult to anchor, with high uncertainty. It is expected to follow the December contract's trend in the next month [3]. - The April contract is for the off - season. It will fluctuate within a narrow range under the current peak - season logic and face greater supply pressure next year. A "sell - on - rallies" strategy is recommended [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market Data - For EC2512, the closing price was 1804.0, down 2.16%, with a basis of - 491.3, trading volume of 59519, and an open interest of 31365, an increase of 1259 [2]. - For EC2602, the closing price was 1553.6, down 1.86%, with a basis of - 240.9, trading volume of 11387, and an open interest of 18455, an increase of 2222 [2]. - For EC2604, the closing price was 1161.1, down 1.26%, with a basis of 151.6, trading volume of 4119, and an open interest of 14910, an increase of 450 [2]. - For EC2606, the closing price was 1379.6, down 1.69%, with a basis of - 66.9, trading volume of 366, and an open interest of 1521, an increase of 110 [2]. - For EC2608, the closing price was 1471.1, down 1.10%, with a basis of - 158.4, trading volume of 226, and an open interest of 1352, an increase of 23 [2]. - For EC2610, the closing price was 1132.0, down 0.04%, with a basis of 180.7, trading volume of 442, and an open interest of 1280, an increase of 218 [2]. Month - spread Data - The EC2512 - 2504 month - spread was 642.9, down 25.0 day - on - day and up 21.6 week - on - week [2]. - The EC2512 - 2602 month - spread was 250.4, down 10.4 day - on - day and up 39.3 week - on - week [2]. - The EC2502 - 2604 month - spread was 392.5, down 14.6 day - on - day and down 17.7 week - on - week [2]. Spot Index Data - The SCFIS (European Line) index on October 27, 2025, was 1312.71, up 15.11% from the previous period [2]. - The SCFI (European Line) on October 31, 2025, was 1344 dollars/TEU, up 8.82% from the previous period [2]. - The CCFI on October 31, 2025, was 1323.81, up 2.37% from the previous period [2]. - The NCFI on October 31, 2025, was 965.62, up 17.43% from the previous period [2]. Fundamental Analysis - In terms of fundamentals, in week 49, there was one additional sail - canceling, and two ships postponed departure. The average weekly capacity in November and December is 290,000 and 336,000 TEU respectively. After considering all TBN as sail - canceling, it is 286,000 and 313,000 TEU. The capacity in week 45/46/47/48 of November was 310,000/250,000/277,000/325,000 TEU respectively, with greater pressure in the second half of November [2]. - In the first half of November, OA and MSK had no pressure in receiving goods, while the PA alliance was short of goods and led the price cut [2]. Recent European Line Quotation - Downstream customers are finalizing the cabin bookings for early November (week 45). In the first half of November, the PA alliance cut prices the most, to 1700 - 1900 US dollars, GEMIN to 2100 - 2200 US dollars, and OA to 2250 US dollars, with an average of about 2050 US dollars (equivalent to 1430 points on the futures market) [4]. Related News - On October 31, Israel attacked Gaza for the third consecutive night, impacting the cease - fire agreement. The cease - fire agreement mediated by the US has been in effect for three weeks, but issues such as Hamas' disarmament and Israel's withdrawal schedule from Gaza remain unsolved [5]. - On November 1, Qatar warned that Gaza might fall into a "neither war nor peace" situation, calling on the international community to intervene [5]. - On November 3, the Houthi armed forces stated that they would strongly respond to any Israeli aggression [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - High - frequency economic data focuses on: production end is differentiated with some开工率 decreasing and some increasing; commercial housing transactions decline marginally while land supply area rises continuously; prices are stable with an upward trend; shipping prices at home and abroad show opposite trends. Short - term attention should be paid to anti - involution, incremental policy implementation, and the recovery of the real estate market [2][30]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Production - Steel: Coke oven capacity utilization decreased by 0.42 pct, blast furnace operating rate decreased by 2.96 pct, and rebar output increased by 5.52 tons [2][9]. - Petroleum asphalt: Operating rate increased by 0.4 pct [9]. - Chemical industry: PX operating rate increased by 1.6 pct, PTA operating rate increased by 2.4 pct [9]. - Automobile tires: Full - steel tire operating rate decreased by 0.24 pct, semi - steel tire operating rate decreased by 0.26 pct [10]. Demand - Real estate: Commercial housing transaction area declined marginally, inventory - to - sales ratio decreased, land supply area increased continuously, and residential land transaction premium rate increased [13]. - Movie box office: Decreased by 0.53 billion yuan compared with the previous week [13]. - Automobile: Daily average retail sales of manufacturers increased by 0.6 million vehicles, and daily average wholesale sales increased by 1.5 million vehicles [15]. - Shipping index: SCFI increased by 10.49%, CCFI increased by 2.89%, BDI decreased by 1.26% [18]. Prices - Energy: Brent crude oil price decreased by 1.32% to $65.07 per barrel, coking coal futures price increased by 3.52% to 1295.5 yuan per ton [20]. - Metals: LME copper, aluminum, and zinc futures prices changed by - 0.51%, + 1.1%, and + 1.01% respectively, and domestic rebar futures price increased by 1.83% [21]. - Agricultural products: The overall price rose rapidly, with the wholesale price index of agricultural products 200 increasing by 2.23%. Pork, egg, vegetable, and fruit prices changed by + 0.39%, - 0.14%, + 5.96%, and + 0.28% respectively compared with the previous week [23]. Logistics - Subway passenger volume: Beijing decreased slightly, Shanghai increased slightly [26]. - Flight volume: Both domestic (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) and international flight volumes decreased [28]. - Urban traffic: The peak congestion index in first - tier cities continued to decline [28].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Recently, the futures market has been strong due to shipping companies adding sailings and good cargo receipts on multiple routes at the end of October. The valuation of the December contract is currently high, but considering the upcoming price - increase announcements and the upward drive during the long - term contract signing season, the logic of going long on dips for the December contract remains unchanged. There may be short - term downward fluctuations, and attention should be paid to possible price cuts by shipping companies in early November. - Against the backdrop of geopolitical uncertainties, the February contract may have more upside potential with the arrival of the peak season, but geopolitical fluctuations also exist. - The April contract maintains a short - selling view, but it may fluctuate strongly following the near - term contracts during the peak season from November to January, and positions can be gradually established [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content EC Futures Contracts | Contract | Yesterday's Price | Change (%) | Volume | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | EC2510 | 1137.8 | 0.15 | 817 | 4292 | - 526 | | EC2512 | 1831.0 | 2.11 | 35117 | 30249 | 1335 | | EC2602 | 1601.0 | 1.20 | 3971 | 11509 | 971 | | EC2604 | 1179.6 | 0.67 | 1726 | 14224 | 170 | | EC2606 | 1397.9 | 1.68 | 285 | 1377 | - 25 | [2] Month - to - Month Spreads | Spread | Previous Day | Two Days Ago | Three Days Ago | Daily Report | Friday | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | EC2510 - 2512 | - 693.2 | - 657.0 | - 651.7 | - 36.2 | - 111.3 | | EC2512 - 2602 | 230.0 | 211.1 | 205.4 | 18.9 | 70.0 | [2] Spot Freight Indexes | Index | Update Frequency | Announcement Date | Unit | Current Period | Previous Period | Two Periods Ago | Current Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | SCFI (Euro - line) | Weekly | 2025/10/20<br>2025/10/24 | USD/TEU | 1140.38<br>1246 | 1031.80<br>1145 | 1046.50<br>1068 | 10.52%<br>8.82% | | CCFI | Weekly | 2025/10/24 | - | 1293.12 | 1267.91 | 1287.15 | 1.99% | | NCFI | - | 2025/10/24 | - | 822.3 | 803.21 | 698.67 | 2.38% | [2] Recent Euro - line Quotations - Currently, downstream customers are booking space for the end of October and early November (Week 44 - 45). In Week 44, offline quotes are PA $1400, GEMINI $1600, and OA $1800. - Shipping companies plan to raise prices in November, with most announcements in the range of $2500 - $2700, and the average converted to the futures price is about 1800 points. On Tuesday, MSK opened at $2350, in line with expectations [3]. Related News - On October 27, US Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that after two - day talks in Kuala Lumpur, the US and China reached a "very substantial framework agreement," and the US "will no longer consider" imposing a 100% tariff on China. - On October 27, the Israeli government spokesman said that Israel will maintain full security control over the Gaza Strip [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - After the holiday, there are multiple upward drivers including multiple price increase announcements, high operational space for shipping companies such as speed reduction and suspension of voyages, and the long - term agreement signing season from December to January. However, the economies in Northwest Europe are deteriorating and new ships are being launched successively. Overall, the valuations of contracts 12 and 02 are already high, and it is not recommended to chase the high prices. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile. Contract 04 currently has a high valuation, and as an off - season contract, it is more suitable for short - selling in the short term, but attention should be paid to the low liquidity which may cause short - term fluctuations [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Contract Information - For EC2510, the closing price was 1139.0, with a decline of 2.90%, a basis of 115.9, trading volume of 22035, and open interest of 32431 with a decrease of 3095 [1] - For EC2512, the closing price was 1777.0, a decline of 0.34%, a basis of - 522.1, trading volume of 19314, and open interest of 21695 with a decrease of 1300 [1] - For EC2602, the closing price was 1685.0, a decline of 0.66%, a basis of - 430.1, trading volume of 6466, and open interest of 8768 [1] - For EC2604, the closing price was 1268.6, a decline of 1.28%, a basis of - 13.7, trading volume of 1657, and open interest of 9099 with an increase of 142 [1] - For EC2606, the closing price was 1483.5, an increase of 0.08%, a basis of - 228.6, trading volume of 97, and open interest of 938 with a decrease of 14 [1] - The spread of EC2510 - 2512 was - 638.0, with a day - on - day decrease of 27.9 and a week - on - week decrease of 77.8 [1] - The spread of EC2512 - 2602 was 92.0, with a day - on - day increase of 5.1 and a week - on - week increase of 11.7 [1] 3.2 Spot Index Information - The SCHIS SCFI (European line) index was 1254.92 points on September 22, 2025, a decrease of 12.87% from the previous period and 8.06% from two periods ago. The price was 971 dollars/TEU on September 26, 2025, a decrease of 7.70% from the previous period and 8.84% from two periods ago [1] - The CCFI index was 1401.91 points on September 26, 2025, a decrease of 4.69% from the previous period and 4.31% from two periods ago [1] - The NCFI index was 614.14 points on September 26, 2025, a decrease of 8.83% from the previous period and 7.65% from two periods ago [1] 3.3 European Line Quotation Situation - For week 39 (end of September), the average quotation was 1600 US dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the futures market). MSK quoted 1500 US dollars (later increased to 1570), PA Alliance quoted 1550 - 1600 US dollars, and OA Alliance quoted 1600 - 1720 US dollars [3] - For weeks 40 - 41 (beginning of October), the average quotation was 1450 US dollars (equivalent to 1020 points on the futures market). MSK quoted 1400 US dollars, PA quoted 1300 - 1500 US dollars (YML's 1300 US dollars was the lowest price of the year), and OA quoted 1400 - 1600 US dollars [3] - For week 42, MSK's opening quotation was 1800 US dollars (a 400 - dollar increase from the previous period), and other shipping companies successively announced post - holiday price increases to 2000 US dollars [3] 3.4 Related News - On September 29, Trump claimed that the Middle East peace agreement "will surely be reached". He will meet with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu on Monday to finalize the agreement framework [4] - On September 28, Hamas stated that it had not received a new cease - fire proposal, and the Israel - Palestine negotiations were at an impasse [4] - On September 28, the Israeli Defense Minister said that it would not stop military operations in the Gaza Strip [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - Week39 ship - company average is $1660 (equivalent to 1150 points on the discounted market). The basis for October is -117.4 points, and the spread between October and December is -406.6 points. Today's spot change is due to Maersk opening bookings at $1550 in Week39, with PA dropping to $1600 - $1700 and OA quoting $1650 - $1700. There is still room below the October valuation, so short positions can be held. The October - December spread is reasonable. Currently, the spot is in a downward phase. With high weekly average capacity in the second half of September and low ship - company loading rates, the overall driver is downward. It is expected that the December futures will mainly trade on the downward driver and operate weakly in the short term [2] 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Data - **Contract Prices and Changes**: EC2510 closed at 1267.4 with a -0.10% change, EC2512 at 1674.0 with a -0.5% change, EC2602 at 1524.0 with a -0.22% change, EC2604 at 1246.0 with a -0.85% change, and EC2606 at 1443.9 with a 0.66% change [2] - **Trading Volumes and Open Interest Changes**: EC2510 had a trading volume of 15226 and an open - interest change of 114; EC2512 had a trading volume of 8134 and an open - interest change of 7249; EC2602 had a trading volume of 885 and an open - interest change of 23; EC2604 had a trading volume of 447 and an open - interest change of 22; EC2606 had a trading volume of 100 and an open - interest change of 43 [2] - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The spread between EC2510 - 2512 was -406.6 (with a day - on - day increase of 7.6 and a week - on - week decrease of 31.3), and the spread between EC2512 - 2602 was 150.0 (with a day - on - day decrease of 5.5 and a week - on - week decrease of 7.3) [2] 3.2 Spot Index Data - **SCHIS SCFI**: On September 8, 2025, it was 1566.46 points, down 11.68% from the previous period and 11.21% compared to two periods ago [2] - **SCHIS SCFI (Container Discount)**: On September 5, 2025, it was $1315 per TEU, down 11.21% from the previous period [2] - **CCFI (European Route)**: On September 5, 2025, it was 1638.77 points, down 2.79% from the previous period [2] - **NCFI**: On September 5, 2025, it was 855.93 points, down 7.92% from the previous period [2] 3.3 Recent European Route Quotation Data - **Week37**: The average quotation was $2100 (equivalent to 1450 points on the discounted market). MSK started at $1900 and then rose to $1950, PA quoted $2100 - $2150, and OA quoted $2100 - $2300 [3] - **Week38**: The average quotation was $1800 (equivalent to 1260 points on the discounted market). MSK started at $1700 and then rose to $1760, PA and MSC quoted $1800 - $1950, and OA quoted $1650 - $2020 [3] - **Week39**: The average quotation was $1660 (equivalent to 1150 points on the discounted market). MSK opened bookings at $1550, PA dropped to $1600 - $1700, and OA quoted $1650 - $1700 [2][3]