Group 1: EC Futures Contract Information - EC2506 had a closing price of 1885.3 with a change of -0.15, a trading volume of 1178, an open interest change of -285, and a percentage change of 51.8 [2] - EC2508 had a closing price of 1740.2 with a change of 196.9, a trading volume of 50789, an open interest change of -1263, and a percentage change of -1.79 [2] - EC2510 had a closing price of 1292.8 with a change of -0.90, a trading volume of 644.3, an open interest change of 31546, and a percentage change of -75 [2] - EC2512 had a closing price of 1435.7 with a change of -1.50, a trading volume of 3222, an open interest change of 300, and a percentage change of 501.4 [2] - EC2602 had a closing price of 1275.7 with a change of -2.36, a trading volume of 661.4, and an open interest change of 3916 [2] - EC2604 had a closing price of 2276 with a change of 449, a trading volume of 1132.0, an open interest change of 2550, and a percentage change of -1.65 [2] Group 2: Month - to - Month Spread Information - The spread between EC2506 - 2508 was 145.1, with previous spreads of 29.0 and 275.8, and a weekly opening of 116.1 [2] - The spread between EC2508 - 2510 was -20.0, with previous spreads of -168.7 and 447.4, and a weekly opening of 467.4 [2] - The spread between EC2506 - 2510 was 592.5, with previous spreads of 583.5 and 513.0 [2] - The spread between EC2510 - 2512 was -142.9, with previous spreads of -152.9 and 10.0 [2] - The spread between EC2512 - 2602 was 160.0, with previous spreads of 150.9 and 158.0 [2] Group 3: Shipping Index Information - SCEIS was 1937.14 with a previous value of 1697.63, a percentage change of 14.11%, and was updated on 2025/6/23 [2] - SCFI was 1835 $/TEU with a previous value of 1844, a percentage change of -10.62%, and was updated on 2025/6/20 [2] - CCFI was 1578.6 with previous values of 1488.87 and 1397.02, percentage changes of 6.03% and 6.57%, and was updated on 2025/6/20 [2] - NCFI was 1299.58 with a previous value of 1307.92, a percentage change of -0.64%, and was updated on 2025/6/20 [2] - TCI was 937.12 with a previous value of 962.14, a percentage change of -1.40%, and was updated on 2025/6/25 [2] Group 4: Capacity Arrangement - In July and August 2025, the average weekly capacity was 29.3 and 30.4 million TEU respectively. The OA Alliance's FAL7 route added a new service in week 28. The supply pressure was neutral in the first week of July, low in the third week, and high in the second and fourth weeks [2] Group 5: Recent European Line Quotation - For July, MSK initially opened at 3400 USD, then dropped to 3100 USD. Other carriers were mostly between 3500 - 4000 USD and then around 3500 USD. The average in the first week was 3400 USD, equivalent to 2400 points on the futures [3] - In the second week, MSK opened at 2900 USD, and the average among carriers was 3400 USD, equivalent to 2400 points on the futures. On 6/25, HPL lowered its rate from 3400 to 3200 USD [3] Group 6: News - On 6/26, the US Defense Intelligence Agency stated that its assessment of the Iranian nuclear facilities being attacked by the US military was preliminary and of low credibility. It was collaborating with other agencies to investigate the leak of the assessment [3] - On 6/26, Trump said that the US would talk with Iran next week. He believed the war between Iran and Israel was over, but would not lift sanctions on Iran. He also thought the conflict might break out again [3] - The UK Central Intelligence Agency claimed that several key Iranian nuclear facilities had been destroyed [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the container shipping market, some shipping companies followed MSK to lower spot quotes, and the EC disk remained volatile and weak under pessimistic expectations. The latest SCFIS European line quote was in line with expectations. The spot freight rate has gradually recovered, but Maersk's price cut has led to concerns about a market inflection point. In the short term, the market sentiment is expected to be weak. The extension of the 90 - day tariff exemption period in Sino - US negotiations may reduce the pressure of ship overflow from the US line to the European line, but the height of freight rates in the long - term is not optimistic. Supply and demand are expected to increase in July. The volatile Middle - East geopolitical situation may cause large fluctuations in the disk [4][5]. - In the dry bulk shipping market, the Baltic Dry Bulk Freight Index ended a five - day losing streak, driven by the rise in Panamax ship freight rates. The Capesize ship freight index declined, while the Supramax bulk carrier freight index increased. The market is expected to enter a short - term correction phase, and the medium - sized ship market's freight rates are expected to be volatile and slightly stronger [11][14]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Container Shipping - Container Shipping Index (European Line) Futures Disk - Contract EC2506 closed at 1,885.3, down 0.15% with a trading volume of 783.0 hands (down 33.53%) and an open interest of 2,491.0 hands (down 10.27%) [2]. - Contract EC2508 closed at 1,740.2, down 1.79% with a trading volume of 50,789.0 hands (down 29.08%) and an open interest of 43,528.0 hands (down 2.82%) [2]. - Other contracts also showed different price, volume, and open - interest changes [2]. Month - to - Month Structure - The spread between EC06 - EC08 was 145, up 29; the spread between EC06 - EC10 was 593, up 9, etc. [2]. Container Freight Rates - SCFIS European line (weekly) was 1937.14 points, up 14.11% week - on - week and down 59.35% year - on - year. SCFIS US West line was 2083.46 points, down 28.37% week - on - week and down 48.74% year - on - year [2]. Fuel Costs - WTI crude oil near - month was $63.81 per barrel, down 3.39% week - on - week and down 21.16% year - on - year; Brent crude oil near - month was $66.84 per barrel, down 4.14% week - on - week and down 21.5% year - on - year [2]. Dry Bulk Shipping Dry Bulk Freight Index (Daily) - BDI was 1681.00, up 0.42% day - on - day and down 15.82% year - on - year; BHSI was 628, unchanged day - on - day and down 16.60% year - on - year [11]. - Other indices also had corresponding changes [11]. Dry Bulk Freight Rates (Daily) - The freight rate of the Capesize iron ore route from Tubarao, Brazil to Qingdao (BCI - C3) was $23.18 per ton, up 3.14% day - on - day; the freight rate from Western Australia to Qingdao (BCI - C5) was $8.92 per ton, down 2.75% day - on - day [11]. Dry Bulk Freight Rates (Weekly) - The freight rate of the Capesize bauxite route from Guinea to Yantai was $22.95 per ton, down 16.09% week - on - week; the freight rate of the Panamax coal route from Samarinda, Indonesia to Ennore, India was $10.50 per ton, up 5.00% week - on - week [11]. Fuel Costs - WTI crude oil near - month was $63.81 per barrel, down 3.39% week - on - week and down 21.16% year - on - year; Brent crude oil near - month was $66.84 per barrel, down 4.14% week - on - week and down 21.5% year - on - year [11]. Shipment Data - From June 16th to June 22nd, 2025, the global iron ore shipment volume was 3506.7 million tons, up 154.0 million tons week - on - week. The shipment volume from Australia and Brazil was 3060.9 million tons, up 218.8 million tons week - on - week [13]. - It is expected that Brazil's soybean exports in June will reach 1437 million tons. In May, China imported 1211 million tons of soybeans from Brazil, a year - on - year increase of 37.5%, and 163 million tons from the US, a year - on - year increase of 28.3% [13]. Market Analysis and Strategy Recommendations Container Shipping - **Logic Analysis**: Spot freight rates have gradually recovered, but Maersk's price cut has affected market sentiment. The extension of the tariff exemption period in Sino - US negotiations may reduce the pressure of ship overflow from the US line to the European line. Supply and demand are expected to increase in July, and the volatile Middle - East geopolitical situation may cause large fluctuations in the disk [4][5]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading should be cautious and wait and see, paying attention to trade negotiations and geopolitical changes. For arbitrage, the 6 - 8 reverse spread should be exited when it is high as EC06 approaches delivery, and the 10 - 12 reverse spread should be rolled [6]. Dry Bulk Shipping - **Logic Analysis**: The Capesize ship market in Australia was quiet with slightly lower freight rates, while the Atlantic market had more cargo and slightly higher freight rates. The Panamax ship market had more coal cargoes in July, and freight rates increased slightly. The market is expected to enter a short - term correction phase, and the medium - sized ship market's freight rates are expected to be volatile and slightly stronger [14]. Industry News - The EU is preparing more tariff counter - measures to pressure the US [6]. - Powell said the current policy is in a favorable position and can wait and see before considering interest rate adjustments [7]. - Before the negotiation deadline, an EU official warned that the EU must issue a "credible threat" to retaliate in the trade war initiated by Trump [7]. - Trump said both Israel and Iran violated the cease - fire agreement but would not face consequences, and he no longer hoped for a regime change in Iran [8]. - Qatar's Prime Minister said that indirect talks between Hamas and Israel will be held in the next two days to reach a cease - fire agreement [8]. - The Israeli military chief of staff said the focus will return to Gaza to retrieve hostages and destroy Hamas' rule [8]. - Netanyahu refused Trump's request to completely cancel the strike on Iran [9]. - Netanyahu said Israel will take action with the same force if someone tries to resume the nuclear project [9]. - On June 24th, the Israeli Air Force destroyed a radar facility near Tehran, and then suspended further military strikes after a call between Trump and Netanyahu [9][16]. - From June 16th to June 22nd, 2024, the total iron ore inventory at seven major ports in Australia and Brazil was 1257.2 million tons, up 31.0 million tons week - on - week [15]. - In May 2025, China imported 1247.7 million tons of coal from Indonesia, a month - on - month decrease of 12.7% and a year - on - year decrease of 26.5% [15].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints The report presents the latest data on EC futures contracts, shipping indices, and market news. It shows the price trends of different EC futures contracts, the changes in shipping indices, and the impact of the Israel - Iran conflict on the shipping industry. The report also mentions the current situation of downstream cargo space bookings and the price increase announcements of shipping companies [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 EC Futures Contracts - **Contract Prices**: EC2506 closed at 1898.0 with a -0.20% change, EC2508 at 2092.0 with a 2.65% change, EC2510 at 1427.9 with a 0.83% change, EC2512 at 1595.6 with a -0.96% change, EC2602 at 1430.2 with a -0.09% change, and EC2604 at 1243.8 with a 0.27% change [2]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume and open interest of each contract vary, with EC2508 having the highest trading volume of 75737 and an open interest of 42767, showing a decrease of 1784 in open interest [2]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The month - to - month spreads between different contracts show fluctuations. For example, the spread between EC2506 - 2508 was -194.0, and it has changed compared to previous periods [2]. 3.2 Shipping Indices - **SCFIS**: Updated on 2025/6/9, it was 162281, showing a 29.53% increase from the previous period, with an expected 0.46% change in the next period [2]. - **SCFI (European Line)**: Updated on 2025/6/13, it was 1844, a 10.62% increase from the previous period, with an expected 5.04% change in the next period [2]. - **CCFI (European Line)**: Updated on 2025/6/13, it was 1488.87, a 6.57% increase from the previous period, with an expected 1.56% change in the next period [2]. - **NCFI (European Line)**: Updated on 2025/6/13, it was 1307.92, a 16.40% increase from the previous period, with an expected 5.25% change in the next period [2]. - **TCI (European Line)**: Updated on 2025/6/17, it was 869.91, showing no change from the previous period, with an expected 2.08% change in the next period [2]. 3.3 Shipping Capacity and Booking Situation - **Shipping Capacity**: In June and July 2025, the average weekly shipping capacity is 29.7 and 29.3 million TEU respectively. The capacity is neutral from the second half of June to the first half of July and is relatively high in the second half of July [2]. - **Booking Situation**: Downstream customers are currently booking cargo space for the second half of June (week 24 - 25). The lowest price for this period is 2700 - 2800 US dollars from MSK, and the average price is about 2950 US dollars, equivalent to about 2000 points on the futures market. Shipping companies have announced price increases for July, with an average price of about 3800 US dollars, equivalent to about 2700 points on the futures market [2]. 3.4 Market News - **Israel - Iran Conflict**: On June 18, Iran launched supersonic missiles at Israel. The conflict has led to a decrease in the number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. The shipping industry is concerned, and some shipping companies are avoiding passing through the Strait of Hormuz. It is expected that the shipping cost through the Strait of Hormuz will increase [2].

Report Overview - The report mainly focuses on the shipping industry, providing data on EC futures contracts, spot freight rate indices, and other related information, as well as analyzing the impact of the Israel - Iran conflict on the shipping market [2][3] 1. EC Futures Contracts 1.1 Contract Price and Trading Volume - EC2506 had a closing price of 1901.8, a decline of 1.68% with a trading volume of 256 and a position change of -536 [2] - EC2508 had a closing price of 2038.0, an increase of 0.39% with a trading volume of 56247 and a position change of 843 [2] - EC2510 had a closing price of 206.7, an increase of 0.10% with a trading volume of 28998 and a position change of -240 [2] - EC2512 had a closing price of 1611.0, a decline of 0.01% with a trading volume of 6225 and a position change of -107 [2] - EC2602 had a closing price of 1431.5, a decline of 1.52% with a trading volume of 2901 and a position change of -230 [2] - EC2604 had a closing price of 1240.4, a decline of 2.61% with a trading volume of 382.4 and a position change of 823 [2] 1.2 Month - to - Month Spread - The spread between EC2506 - 2508 was -136.2, with previous spreads of -95.7, -130.1, and -40.5 for the previous day, two days ago, and three days ago respectively, and a week - on - week change of -60.7 [2] - The spread between EC2508 - 2510 was 6.6, with previous spreads of 621.9, 615.3, and 622.4, and a week - on - week change of -8.5 [2] - The spread between EC2506 - 2510 was 485.7, with previous spreads of 5196, -33.9, and -69.2, and a week - on - week change of 492.3 [2] - The spread between EC2510 - 2512 was 1.6, with previous spreads of -11.1, -194.9, and -196.5, and a week - on - week change of -188.3 [2] - The spread between EC2512 - 2602 was 21.9, with previous spreads of 27.0, 179.5, and 157.6, and a week - on - week change of 161.1 [2] 2. Spot Freight Rate Indices 2.1 European Line Spot Freight Rate Indices - SCEIS was 1247.05 on June 9, 2025, with a change of 29.53% compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 1622.81 with a change of 0.46% [2] - SCFI was 1587 on June 13, 2025, with an increase of 10.62% compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 1667 with an increase of 5.04% [2] - CCFI was 1488.87 on June 13, 2025, with an increase of 1.56% compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 1397.02 [2] - NCFI was 1307.92 on June 13, 2025, with an increase of 16.40% compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 1123.64 with an increase of 5.25% [2] - TCI was 852.18 on June 17, 2025, with no change compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 869.91 with an increase of 2.08% [2] 2.2 Other Routes' Spot Freight Rate Indices - The report also provides seasonal trend charts for various routes' TCI indices, including the Mediterranean West, Mediterranean East, US East, US West, South America West, Southeast Asia Ho Chi Minh, Persian Gulf, East Africa, India - Pakistan, South Africa, and West Africa [17][19] 3. Shipping Market News - On June 18, Iran launched hypersonic missiles at Israel, and the number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz was decreasing due to the Israel - Iran conflict [3] - The Baltic and International Maritime Council stated that the large - scale conflict between Israel and Iran made the entire shipping industry uneasy, and some ships were avoiding the Strait of Hormuz [3] - S&P Global Market Intelligence also indicated that the threat of the conflict was "sufficient to disrupt the shipping industry", and it was expected that shipping costs through the Strait of Hormuz would rise [3] 4. Shipping Capacity Arrangement - In June and July 2025, the average weekly shipping capacity was 297,000 TEU and 293,000 TEU respectively [2] - Shipping capacity was neutral from the second half of June to the first half of July, and was relatively high in the second half of July [2] 5. Recent European Line Quotations - Currently, downstream customers are booking spaces for the second half of June (week 24 - 25), with the lowest price of MSK at $2700 - 2800, and other companies' prices mostly reduced to $2900 - 3150, with an average of $2950, equivalent to about 2000 points on the futures market [3] - CMA announced a price increase to $4100 for the European line in July, while ONE and HPL quoted $4043 and $4335 respectively, and MSK opened bookings at $3400 [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - The EC of the container shipping European line opened low and fluctuated, with the 08 contract closing at 2065.6 points, a decrease of 2.55%. The latest SCFIS European line on June 9 was 1622.81 points, corresponding to the departure settlement price from 06.02 - 06.08, a 29.5% increase from the previous period, but the increase was less than expected. The current 08 contract basically follows the spot freight rate fluctuations, and whether it can break through the previous high depends on the price increases and implementation in July and August. The market valuation is relatively neutral but the expectation is weak, and it is expected to continue the volatile pattern. Attention can be paid to short - selling opportunities on rallies [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs EC Contract Volume and Price | Contract | Latest Transaction Price (Points) | Latest Increase/Decrease (%) | Trading Volume | Open Interest (Unilateral) | Long Positions (Top 20 Members) | Short Positions (Top 20 Members) | Net Long Positions (Top 20 Members) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2506 | 1948.6 | - 0.31 | 1319 (-1042 compared to the previous period) | 7803 (-335 compared to the previous period) | 6036 | 5812 | 224 | | EC2508 | 2065.6 | - 2.55 | 55701 (-27235 compared to the previous period) | 44127 (-2100 compared to the previous period) | 23014 | 24598 | - 1584 | | EC2510 | 1343.7 | - 0.57 | 7945 (-5732 compared to the previous period) | 24244 (150 compared to the previous period) | 0 | 0 | 0 | | EC2512 | 1520.7 | - 0.18 | 1211 (-721 compared to the previous period) | 4827 (88 compared to the previous period) | | | | | EC2602 | 1376.5 | 0.32 | 379 (-257 compared to the previous period) | 2786 (-5 compared to the previous period) | | | | | EC2604 | 1225.5 | 1.23 | 600 (61 compared to the previous period) | 3356 (-11 compared to the previous period) | | | | | Total | - | - | 67155 | 87143 | 29050 | 30410 | - 1360 | [2] Latest Spot Freight Rates - European Routes | Spot Index | Indicator | Latest Period | Month - on - Month Increase/Decrease | Previous Period | Month - on - Month Increase/Decrease | Two Periods Ago | Month - on - Month Increase/Decrease | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (Weekly) | SCFIS - Points | 1622.81 | 29.5% | 1252.82 | 0.5% | 1247.05 | - 1.4% | | | SCFI - $/TEU | 1667 | 5.0% | 1587 | 20.5% | 1317 | 14.1% | | Spot Freight Rates | TCI(20GP) $/TEU | 1809 | - 2.4% | 1854 | 0.0% | 1854 | 0.0% | | (Daily) | TCI(40GP) $/FEU | 2913 | - 3.0% | 3002 | 0.0% | 3002 | 0.0% | [4] Basis Spread (Points) The previous trading day's basis was 366.89, and the basis two trading days ago was - 442.79, with a month - on - month change of - 809.68. There are also trend charts for the basis of the main contract of the container shipping European line futures and the spreads between different contracts [6]. Spot Market Data - **Capacity**: The capacity of the Asia - Europe route was 511055 TEU, a decrease of 1285 TEU compared to the previous period. The idle capacity ratios of global container ships, 17000TEU+ container ships, 12000 - 16999TEU container ships, and 8000 - 11999TEU container ships were 1.7%, 1.2%, 0.7%, and 1.8% respectively. - **Speed**: The average speed of container ships was 13.88 knots, the speed of 17000TEU+ container ships was 15.46 knots, and the speed of 12000 - 16999TEU container ships was 15.26 knots. - **In - Port Capacity**: The in - port capacity in Rotterdam was 23.21 million TEU, in Hamburg was 10.83 million TEU, and in Singapore was 35.86 million TEU. - **Bypass Situation**: The number of ships bypassing the Aden Gulf was 8, the north - bound traffic volume through the Suez Canal was 1, and the south - bound traffic volume was 2. - **Charter Rates**: The 6 - 12 - month charter rates for 9000TEU, 6500TEU, and 2500TEU container ships were $104000 per day, $68500 per day, and $34750 per day respectively [7].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - Before the festival, the EC of the container shipping European line slightly declined, with the 08 contract closing at 2075.3 points. The SCFI European line announced after the market was $1587/TEU, a week - on - week increase of $270/TEU, reflecting the price increase by shipping companies in early June. After some shipping companies slightly raised prices, the average online price of 40 - foot containers of shipping companies in the second week of June increased to around $2560, corresponding to an SCFIS European line of 1750 points, at a discount of 100 - 200 points to the current 06 contract, including the market's expectation of a slight price increase in the following period of June. Due to the lack of capacity adjustment by shipping companies and the delayed start of the peak season, the upside of the 08 - contract freight rate is under pressure. As the traditional peak season approaches and the capacity put into operation in the second and third weeks of June drops below 250,000 TEU, it is expected that shipping companies will still raise prices. It is recommended to pay attention to the low - level long - allocation opportunities after the market returns to the realistic anchor [1]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs EC Contract Volume and Price - The latest trading price of EC2506 is 1834.8 points, with a latest increase of 1.01%. The trading volume is 7355, and the unilateral open interest is 11037. The long - position open interest of the top 20 members is 7599, the short - position open interest is 8121, and the net long position is - 522 [2]. - The latest trading price of EC2508 is 2075.3 points, with a latest decrease of 0.25%. The trading volume is 102747, and the unilateral open interest is 41824. The long - position open interest of the top 20 members is 22228, the short - position open interest is 23430, and the net long position is - 1202 [2]. - The latest trading price of EC2510 is 1346.4 points, with a latest decrease of 3.65%. The trading volume is 14781, and the unilateral open interest is 23127 [2]. - The latest trading price of EC2512 is 1527.6 points, with a latest decrease of 2.73%. The trading volume is 1709, and the unilateral open interest is 4410 [2]. - The latest trading price of EC2602 is 1368 points, with a latest decrease of 2.76%. The trading volume is 917, and the unilateral open interest is 2783 [2]. - The latest trading price of EC2604 is 1200 points, with a latest decrease of 2.91%. The trading volume is 738, and the unilateral open interest is 3283 [2]. - The total trading volume is 128247, and the total unilateral open interest is 86464. The total long - position open interest of the top 20 members is 29827, the total short - position open interest is 31551, and the total net long position is - 1724 [2]. Latest Spot Freight Rate - European Route - The latest SCFIS index is 1252.82 points, with a week - on - week increase of 0.5%. The latest SCFI is $1587/TEU, with a week - on - week increase of 20.5% [2]. - The latest TCI(20GP) is $1493/TEU, with a day - on - day decrease of 2.4%. The latest TCI(40GP) is $2404/FEU, with a day - on - day decrease of 2.9% [2]. - The previous day's basis was - 828.25 points, and the day before that was - 883.95 points, with a week - on - week increase of 55.7 points [2]. Spot Market Data - Shipping Capacity - The capacity put into operation on the Asia - Europe route is 512501 TEU, with no week - on - week increase. The idle capacity ratios of global container ships, 17000TEU + container ships, 12000 - 16999TEU container ships, and 8000 - 11999TEU container ships are 1.9%, 1.3%, 0.9%, and 1.4% respectively [5]. - The average speed of container ships is 13.88 knots. The average speed of 17000TEU + container ships is 15.65 knots, and that of 12000 - 16999TEU container ships is 15.37 knots [5]. - The in - port capacity in Rotterdam is 187,700 TEU, in Hamburg Port is 79,200 TEU, and in Singapore is 350,200 TEU [5]. - The number of ships passing through the Gulf of Aden is 16, the north - bound traffic volume of the Suez Canal is 2, and the south - bound traffic volume is 2 [5]. - The 6 - 12 - month time - charter rates for 9000TEU, 6500TEU, and 2500TEU container ships are $103,000/day, $68,000/day, and $34,500/day respectively [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The overall EC market showed a volatile downward trend [9]. - Spot prices in May averaged between 1700 - 1800 $/FEU, with a slight decline compared to early May. Affected by Sino - US tariff negotiations and demand recovery on the US route, airlines attempted to raise June freight rates on the European route. Market sentiment was influenced by shipping companies' price adjustments [10]. - The strategy is to gradually take profit on long positions and arbitrage [11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Shipping Derivatives Data - **Freight Rate Index**: The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) was at 1586, up 7.21% from the previous value; the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) was at 1107, up 0.23%. Rates on different routes had varying changes, such as a 5.95% increase on the SCFI - US West route and a - 1.44% decrease on the SCFIS - Northwest Europe route [5]. - **Contracts**: For contracts like EC2506, EC2508, etc., most showed a decline. For example, EC2506 was at 1773.0, down - 0.51% from the previous value [5]. - **Positions**: Positions of different contracts also changed. For instance, EC2506's position decreased by 1440 to 15946 [5]. - **Monthly Spreads**: The 10 - 12 monthly spread was 600.1, down 65.0 from the previous value [5]. Spot Market - **May Spot**: The average price in May was between 1700 - 1800 $/FEU, with a slight decline compared to early May [10]. - **June Price Adjustments**: Affected by Sino - US tariff negotiations and demand recovery on the US route, airlines tried to raise June freight rates on the European route. Some shipping companies made price adjustments, such as CMA reducing prices in early and mid - June, and Maersk adjusting prices on different routes [10]. Market Conditions - **Overall Trend**: The market was in a volatile downward trend. After the Sino - US negotiation results exceeded expectations, contracts first rose rapidly and then returned to fundamental games, with overall volatility this week [9][10]. - **Contract Focus Shift**: As the June pricing became clearer, the market started to focus on the more certain 06 contract, and the spread between the 6 - 8 contracts began to shrink [10]. Trade News - China will reduce tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10% for 90 days, and the US will reduce tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% for 90 days [6]. - US President Trump said the US may unilaterally set new tariff rates for many trading partners in the next two to three weeks [7]. - The fourth round of Japan - US tariff negotiations is scheduled for the 30th [8]. - Trump threatened to impose a 50% tariff on the EU starting from June 1st [8].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The European container shipping line (EC) opened low and then fluctuated upwards. The 06 contract closed at 1283 points, down 3.64%. Some shipping companies slightly reduced their freight rates for the second half of May, and the average online price for 40 - foot containers dropped to around $1750, close to the cost price, which may increase the shipping companies' willingness to suspend voyages. Although the expected peak season for the European line has not been completely falsified, the supply - surplus situation in the European line has been exacerbated by the overflow of capacity from the US line. After the previous decline, the market lacks upward drivers, and the peak - season space is also cautiously viewed. It is expected that the overall situation will continue to fluctuate in the short term [1]. 3. Summary by Directory EC Contract Volume and Price - **EC2506**: The latest transaction price was 1283 points, down 3.64%. The trading volume was 45,529, and the open interest on one side was 38,142. The net long position of the top 20 members was - 408 [1]. - **EC2508**: The latest transaction price was 1556.4 points, down 2.45%. The trading volume was 28,090, and the open interest on one side was 36,029. The net long position of the top 20 members was - 910 [1]. - **EC2510**: The latest transaction price was 1273.2 points, down 2.94%. The trading volume was 6765, and the open interest on one side was 16,670. The net long position of the top 20 members was 0 [1]. - **EC2512**: The latest transaction price was 1458.6 points, down 1.54%. The trading volume was 1379, and the open interest on one side was 3986 [1]. - **EC2602**: The latest transaction price was 1286.8 points, down 2.31%. The trading volume was 667, and the open interest on one side was 2736 [1]. - **EC2604**: The latest transaction price was 1173 points, down 1.76%. The trading volume was 360, and the open interest on one side was 1122 [1]. - **Total**: The total trading volume was 82,790, and the total open interest on one side was 98,685. The net long position of the top 20 members was - 1318 [1]. Latest Spot Freight Rates - European Routes - **SCFIS (weekly)**: The latest index was 1379.07 points, down 3.5% from the previous period [1]. - **SCFI ($/TEU)**: The latest price was $1200, down 4.8% from the previous period [1]. - **TCI (20GP) spot freight rate ($/TEU)**: The latest price was $1340, with no change from the previous period [1]. - **TCI (40GP) ($/FEU)**: The latest price was $2112, with no change from the previous period [1]. - **Basis spread**: The basis spread on the previous trading day was 96.07 points, up 5.2 points from the day before [1]. Spot Market Data - **Capacity**: The capacity of the Asia - Europe route was 514,749 TEU, a decrease of 456 TEU. The idle capacity ratio was 1.6% [4]. - **Average speed**: The average speed of container ships was 13.88 knots. The average speed of container ships over 17,000 TEU was 15.55 knots, and that of 12,000 - 16,999 TEU container ships was 15.01 knots [4]. - **In - port capacity**: The in - port capacity in Rotterdam was 219,600 TEU, in Hamburg was 94,600 TEU, and in Singapore was 355,300 TEU [4]. - **Routing situation**: The number of ships passing through the Gulf of Aden was 11, the north - bound traffic volume through the Suez Canal was 1, and the south - bound traffic volume was 2 [4]. - **Time charter rates**: The 6 - 12 - month time charter rate for 9000 TEU ships was $105,000 per day, for 6500 TEU ships was $72,000 per day, and for 2500 TEU ships was $33,750 per day [4].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide an industry investment rating. Core View of the Report - The European container shipping line's EC contract showed a decline, with the 06 contract closing at 1288.2 points, down 1.83%. Some shipping companies slightly reduced their May freight rates, and the average online price for large containers in the second half of May dropped to less than $1800, approaching the cost price, which may increase the shipping companies' willingness to suspend voyages. Although the expected traditional peak season for the European line has not been completely disproven, and the tariff policy has not significantly affected the cargo volume, it has added pressure on freight rates on the supply side. After the previous decline, the market lacks upward momentum, and the peak - season potential is also cautiously viewed. It is expected that the overall situation will continue to fluctuate in the short term [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Latest View and Strategy Direction - The EC of the European container shipping line first rose and then fell. The 06 contract closed at 1288.2 points, down 1.83%. MSK kept its freight rate unchanged in the 21st week, quoting $1450 for large containers, while HPL and OOCL slightly reduced their May freight rates to $1700 for large containers. Most shipping companies in the second half of May continued to use the first - half rates, and some slightly reduced them. The average online price for large containers in the second half of May dropped to less than $1800, close to the cost price, which may increase the shipping companies' willingness to suspend voyages. The expected traditional peak season for the European line has not been completely disproven, and the tariff policy has not significantly affected the cargo volume but has added pressure on freight rates on the supply side. After the previous decline, the market lacks upward momentum, and the peak - season potential is also cautiously viewed. It is expected that the overall situation will continue to fluctuate in the short term [1]. EC Contract Volume and Price - EC2506: The latest成交价 is 1288.2 points, down 1.83%, with a trading volume of 53581, a unilateral open interest of 39510, long positions of 22192, short positions of 23424, and a net long position of - 1232 [1]. - EC2508: The latest成交价 is 1559.6 points, up 3.72%, with a trading volume of 39237, a unilateral open interest of 36138, long positions of 23359, short positions of 24483, and a net long position of - 1124 [1]. - EC2510: The latest成交价 is 1287.9 points, up 1.22%, with a trading volume of 11837, a unilateral open interest of 17426, and no long or short positions reported [1]. - EC2512: The latest成交价 is 1460.7 points, up 0.21%, with a trading volume of 1893 and a unilateral open interest of 4091 [1]. - EC2602: The latest成交价 is 1291.4 points, down 0.43%, with a trading volume of 982 and a unilateral open interest of 2735 [1]. - EC2604: The latest成交价 is 1182.6 points, down 0.81%, with a trading volume of 849 and a unilateral open interest of 1144 [1]. - The total trading volume is 108379, the total unilateral open interest is 101044, the total long positions of the top 20 members are 45551, the total short positions of the top 20 members are 47907, and the net long position is - 2356 [1]. Latest Spot Freight Rates - European Routes - Weekly spot index: SCFIS is 1379.07 points, down 3.5%; SCFI is $1200/TEU, down 4.8% [1]. - Daily spot freight rates: TCI(20GP) is $1340/TEU, down 1.6%; TCI(40GP) is $2112/FEU, down 3.3% [1]. - The basis difference was 90.87 points on the previous trading day, up 11.3 points from the day before [1]. Spot Market Data - Capacity: The capacity deployment on the Asia - Europe route is 516078 TEU, a decrease of 1 TEU. The idle capacity ratio is 1.6%, with 1.0% for container ships over 17000 TEU, 0.4% for 12000 - 16999 TEU container ships, and 1.2% for 8000 - 11999 TEU container ships [4]. - Average speed: The average speed of container ships is 13.88 knots, 15.55 knots for container ships over 17000 TEU, and 15.01 knots for 12000 - 16999 TEU container ships [4]. - Capacity in port: Rotterdam has 21.96 million TEU, Hamburg has 9.46 million TEU, and Singapore has 35.53 million TEU [4]. - Bypass situation: The number of ships passing through the Gulf of Aden is 11, the north - bound traffic volume of the Suez Canal is 1, and the south - bound traffic volume is 2 [4]. - Time charter rates for 6 - 12 months: $105000 per day for 9000 TEU, $72000 per day for 6500 TEU, and $33750 per day for 2500 TEU [4].