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【2025年中报点评/地平线机器人-W】智驾平权最大受益方,芯片出货高增驱动业绩超预期
Core Viewpoint - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic intelligent driving solution market, with significant revenue growth and a strong market presence, driven by product optimization and strategic partnerships [4][6][8]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.552 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected increase to 8.047 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 50% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to improve from a loss of 6.739 billion yuan in 2023 to a profit of 403.52 million yuan by 2027 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to transition from a loss of 0.49 yuan in 2023 to a profit of 0.03 yuan in 2027 [2]. Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68%, significantly exceeding market expectations [4]. - The revenue from product solutions grew by 250%, while licensing and service revenue increased by 7% [4]. Product Development - The company saw a doubling of overall chip shipments to 1.98 million units in the first half of 2025, with mid-to-high-end chip shipments increasing sixfold to 980,000 units [5]. - The average price per chip rose by 106% to 393 yuan, attributed to an improved product mix favoring higher-end products [5]. - The J6B chip has secured international model designations from overseas automakers, with expected lifetime shipments exceeding 7.5 million units [5]. Market Position - The company has established partnerships with 27 OEMs (42 brands), with over 310 designated models, leading to a market share of 45.8% in the Chinese OEM ADAS/AD market [6]. - The company maintains a strong competitive position, with its market share in intelligent driving solutions continuing to rise [6]. Research and Development - R&D expenses reached 2.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 62% increase, aimed at enhancing core competitiveness and establishing technological barriers [7]. - Despite significant R&D investments, the adjusted net profit was a loss of 1.33 billion yuan, indicating a focus on long-term growth potential [7]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 3.66 billion yuan for 2025, 5.37 billion yuan for 2026, and 8.05 billion yuan for 2027, with corresponding price-to-sales (P/S) ratios of 36.4, 24.8, and 16.6 respectively [8].
地平线机器人-W(09660):2025年中报点评:智驾平权最大受益方,芯片出货高增驱动业绩超预期
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 13:34
证券研究报告·海外公司点评·半导体(HS) 证券分析师 黄细里 地平线机器人-W(09660.HK) 2025 年中报点评:智驾平权最大受益方,芯 片出货高增驱动业绩超预期 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 1,552 | 2,384 | 3,659 | 5,365 | 8,047 | | 同比(%) | 71.32 | 53.62 | 53.52 | 46.60 | 50.00 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | (6,739.02) | 2,346.58 | (2,449.75) | (1,406.83) | 403.52 | | 同比(%) | 22.71 | 134.82 | (204.40) | 42.57 | 128.68 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | (0.49) | 0.17 | (0.18) | (0.10) | 0.03 | | P/S(现价&最新摊薄) | 85.89 ...
贝塔8月投资布局精选
贝塔投资智库· 2025-08-05 04:01
Group 1: Market Overview - The article discusses the performance of various stocks in both Hong Kong and US markets, highlighting significant price changes in July, with notable declines in companies like Old Puhuang and Novo Nordisk [1][2][3]. - The macroeconomic environment is influenced by US trade policies, including fixed tariffs on imports from multiple countries, which may affect market sentiment [4][5]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - The article emphasizes three main investment themes: "anti-involution" policies focusing on industries with high state-owned enterprise representation, technology growth in AI applications, and the importance of semi-annual earnings reports for stock adjustments [5][6]. - Specific stocks are recommended based on their performance and market conditions, such as Old Puhuang, which is expected to benefit from seasonal sales and strong earnings forecasts [6][7]. Group 3: Company Highlights - Old Puhuang (6181.HK) has seen a significant drop in stock price post-lockup, but is projected to achieve a sales revenue of approximately 138-143 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 240%-252% [6][7]. - Sanhua Intelligent Control (2050.HK) reported a revenue of 76.69 billion yuan for Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 19.1%, and is expected to maintain strong performance in the upcoming half-year [8][9]. - Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) is set to deliver new high-performance chips, which are anticipated to enhance vehicle value and revenue, amid a shift towards domestic chip solutions due to geopolitical factors [10][11]. Group 4: US Market Insights - Chubb Limited (CB.US) reported a net income of $2.97 billion for Q2 2025, marking a 33.1% increase, with a core operating income of $2.48 billion, reflecting strong underwriting profitability [15]. - Spotify (SPOT.US) faced challenges with Q2 earnings below expectations, but user growth remains robust, indicating potential for recovery despite current market concerns [17][18]. - Novo Nordisk (NVO.US) experienced a significant stock drop due to lower-than-expected sales forecasts, but remains a key player in the pharmaceutical sector with strong growth prospects [19][20].