Core Viewpoint - The company is set to hold the "2025 Horizon Technology Ecosystem Conference" in Shenzhen, focusing on advanced driving assistance systems and the commercialization of autonomous driving technologies [4]. Group 1: HSD Production and Market Penetration - The high-level driving assistance system (HSD) has begun mass production, with over 12,000 units activated within two weeks of launch, indicating strong market demand [5]. - The HSD system is expected to penetrate the 100,000 yuan vehicle market, targeting models priced between 130,000 and 200,000 yuan, which currently account for 50% of passenger car transactions in China [5]. - The first partners for the HSD system include Bosch, Zhuoyue, and Qingzhou Zhihang, showcasing collaboration with Tier-1 suppliers [5]. Group 2: HSD Together Algorithm Service Model - The HSD Together model offers a comprehensive algorithm service, allowing partners to focus on system integration and vehicle adaptation, significantly reducing costs and time [7]. - The J6 series chips are expected to see accelerated shipments due to the HSD algorithm's application in lower-cost vehicle markets [7]. Group 3: New BPU Architecture and Chip Development - The newly released "Riemann" BPU architecture enhances key operator performance by tenfold and increases the number of supported high-precision operators by tenfold, aiming to compete with Tesla's AI5 chip [8]. - The fourth-generation compiler "Tiangong Kaiwu" has improved compilation speed from hours to minutes, enhancing model performance by 20% [8]. Group 4: Open Source Robotics Models - The company has launched over 100 robotic products and established connections with over 100 partners and 100,000 developers, introducing two open-source embodied intelligence models: HoloMotion and HoloBrain [9]. - HoloMotion is already available on GitHub and has been adopted by institutions such as Stanford and Tsinghua [9].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Horizon Robotics (09660), highlighting significant advancements in their high-level assisted driving system (HSD), which has achieved mass production and activated over 12,000 units in two weeks. The company aims to expand the NOA functionality to vehicles priced around 100,000 yuan, indicating a strong market penetration strategy [1]. Group 1: HSD System and Market Expansion - The HSD system has been successfully mass-produced, with activation exceeding 12,000 units within two weeks of launch. The first vehicles equipped with HSD include the Chery Xingtu ET5, which features the J6P chip with 560 TOPS computing power [2]. - The HSD system is expected to make inroads into the 100,000 yuan vehicle market, with initial partnerships including Bosch and other Tier-1 suppliers. The system has already penetrated the 130,000 to 200,000 yuan vehicle segment [2]. - The company aims to leverage a single J6M chip for the NOA solution, which is set to be mass-produced and made available for the budget vehicle market [2]. Group 2: Algorithm and Chip Development - The HSDTogether model offers a comprehensive algorithm service, allowing partners to focus on system integration and vehicle adaptation, significantly reducing costs and time [3]. - The J6 series chips are expected to see accelerated shipments due to the HSD algorithm's capabilities, with previous chip models achieving significant shipment milestones in shorter timeframes [3]. - The newly introduced "Riemann" architecture for the J7 series chips aims to compete with Tesla's next-generation AI5 chip, boasting a tenfold increase in key operator performance and fivefold energy efficiency improvements for LLM [4]. Group 3: Robotics and Open Source Models - The company has launched over 100 products under its Diguo Robotics brand, collaborating with over 100 partners and more than 100,000 developers. Two open-source models, HoloMotion and HoloBrain, have been released to foster a robotics ecosystem [5]. - HoloMotion has been made available on GitHub and is already being utilized by institutions such as Stanford and Tsinghua [5].

Core Insights - The electric vehicle (EV) industry is facing overcapacity and declining net profit margins as it transitions from electric vehicles to smart vehicles, with user experience upgrades driving the shift towards intelligent driving technology [1] - Horizon Robotics, a key player in the domestic intelligent driving chip market, is set to launch its high-end J6P chip in 2025, aiming to compete with Nvidia [1][2] Market Space for Intelligent Driving Chips - The penetration rate of intelligent driving features in new energy vehicles is accelerating, with only 11% of new cars in China equipped with L2+ level ADAS in 2024, but expected to rise significantly by 2025 [3][4] - The demand for higher computing power in advanced intelligent driving systems is increasing, with current mainstream solutions requiring nearly 500 TOPS, which is 4-5 times that of high-speed NOA [5][9] Competitive Landscape - The intelligent driving chip market is characterized by low domestic production rates, with significant room for domestic replacement [25] - Major competitors include traditional automotive chip companies, consumer electronics chip companies, startup intelligent driving firms like Horizon Robotics, and automakers developing their own chips [25][27] Horizon Robotics' Position - Horizon Robotics is positioned as a leading domestic player in the intelligent driving chip market, with a market share of 30-40% in 2024 [1][36] - The company is focusing on a cost-effective approach with its J6P chip, which is expected to be priced significantly lower than Nvidia's offerings, enhancing its appeal to mass-market automakers [50][53] Future Market Projections - The market for intelligent driving chips is projected to grow at a CAGR of 36% from 2025 to 2030, reaching a market size of 79.3 billion yuan [17] - The average value of chips per vehicle is expected to increase from approximately 716 yuan in 2024 to nearly 3000 yuan by 2030, driven by the rising share of high-performance chips [19][21]

Summary of Horizon Robotics Conference Call Company Overview - Horizon Robotics is a leading supplier of intelligent driving and edge AI SoC and solutions in China, with over 310 model design wins for its intelligent driving solutions by the end of 2024 [doc id='13']. Industry Insights - The Chinese government is actively promoting the commercialization of L3 intelligent connected vehicles, which is expected to enhance the penetration of advanced driving solutions [doc id='3'][doc id='17']. - Major Chinese automotive OEMs are advancing their intelligent driving technologies, indicating a competitive landscape for Horizon Robotics [doc id='20']. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Optimistic Outlook on HSD Deployment**: - The company has raised its revenue forecast for Horizon SuperDrive (HSD) by 32% to 17% for 2026-2028, reflecting positive feedback from production solution trials and entry into the Robotaxi sector [doc id='1'][doc id='21']. - The stock price has increased by 42% over the past month, outperforming the CSI AI Index by 8 percentage points [doc id='1']. 2. **Strategic Partnerships**: - Horizon Robotics signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Robotaxi manufacturer Hello to develop L4-level intelligent driving solutions, showcasing recognition of its J6P chip and HSD solutions by higher-tier autonomous driving clients [doc id='3'][doc id='16']. 3. **Performance Metrics**: - The HSD solution has achieved a latency of 150 milliseconds and an industry-leading takeover rate in complex urban environments, enhancing confidence in its future performance [doc id='2']. 4. **Valuation Adjustments**: - The target price has been raised to HK$13.20 based on DCF analysis, reflecting higher revenue and cash flow assumptions [doc id='4'][doc id='26']. - The current stock price corresponds to a 20x PS for 2026, which is about 30% higher than major competitors, but the company’s revenue CAGR for 2025-2027 is projected to be 80%, significantly above the industry average [doc id='28']. 5. **Financial Projections**: - Revenue is expected to reach RMB 10.8 billion by 2029, accounting for approximately 60% of its automotive solutions revenue [doc id='21']. - The company anticipates a significant increase in non-automotive solutions revenue, with a CAGR of 103% from 2024 to 2028 [doc id='10']. 6. **Profitability Outlook**: - Horizon Robotics is expected to turn positive in EBIT by 2027, with a projected EBIT margin of 4% by 2028 [doc id='11']. Additional Important Insights - The company’s high R&D expenses, which are 132% of revenue, are a concern compared to peers, where the average is 10-25% [doc id='14']. - The government’s push for intelligent connected vehicles is expected to stimulate consumer demand and technological advancements in the automotive sector [doc id='18']. Conclusion - Horizon Robotics is positioned to benefit from structural trends in the automotive and AI sectors, with optimistic revenue growth forecasts and strategic partnerships enhancing its market position. The valuation remains attractive despite a higher PS ratio compared to competitors, supported by strong growth projections.

Core Viewpoint - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic intelligent driving solution market, with significant revenue growth and a strong market presence, driven by product optimization and strategic partnerships [4][6][8]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.552 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected increase to 8.047 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 50% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to improve from a loss of 6.739 billion yuan in 2023 to a profit of 403.52 million yuan by 2027 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to transition from a loss of 0.49 yuan in 2023 to a profit of 0.03 yuan in 2027 [2]. Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68%, significantly exceeding market expectations [4]. - The revenue from product solutions grew by 250%, while licensing and service revenue increased by 7% [4]. Product Development - The company saw a doubling of overall chip shipments to 1.98 million units in the first half of 2025, with mid-to-high-end chip shipments increasing sixfold to 980,000 units [5]. - The average price per chip rose by 106% to 393 yuan, attributed to an improved product mix favoring higher-end products [5]. - The J6B chip has secured international model designations from overseas automakers, with expected lifetime shipments exceeding 7.5 million units [5]. Market Position - The company has established partnerships with 27 OEMs (42 brands), with over 310 designated models, leading to a market share of 45.8% in the Chinese OEM ADAS/AD market [6]. - The company maintains a strong competitive position, with its market share in intelligent driving solutions continuing to rise [6]. Research and Development - R&D expenses reached 2.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 62% increase, aimed at enhancing core competitiveness and establishing technological barriers [7]. - Despite significant R&D investments, the adjusted net profit was a loss of 1.33 billion yuan, indicating a focus on long-term growth potential [7]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 3.66 billion yuan for 2025, 5.37 billion yuan for 2026, and 8.05 billion yuan for 2027, with corresponding price-to-sales (P/S) ratios of 36.4, 24.8, and 16.6 respectively [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.57 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 68%, significantly exceeding market expectations [7] - The overall chip shipment reached 1.98 million units in the first half of 2025, doubling year-on-year, with mid-to-high-end chip shipments increasing sixfold [7] - The average price per chip in the first half of 2025 was 393 yuan, up 106% year-on-year, driven by an improved product mix [7] - The company has established partnerships with 27 OEMs (42 brands), with over 310 models confirmed, maintaining a leading market share in China [7] - R&D expenses reached 2.3 billion in the first half of 2025, a 62% increase year-on-year, aimed at enhancing core competitiveness [7] - The report forecasts revenues of 3.66 billion, 5.36 billion, and 8.05 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/S ratios of 36.4, 24.8, and 16.6 [7] Financial Summary - The company reported a net profit of -13.3 billion in the first half of 2025, with an adjusted net profit of -13 billion [7] - The projected total revenue for 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 1.55 billion, 2.38 billion, 3.66 billion, 5.36 billion, and 8.05 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 71.32%, 53.62%, 53.52%, 46.60%, and 50.00% [1][8] - The projected net profit for the same years is -6.74 billion, 2.35 billion, -2.45 billion, -1.41 billion, and 0.40 billion, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 22.71%, 134.82%, -204.40%, 42.57%, and 128.68% [1][8]

Core Insights - Northbound capital recorded a net purchase of HKD 92.81 billion in the Hong Kong stock market on September 2, with a total annual net purchase exceeding HKD 1 trillion, marking the highest since the launch of the Stock Connect mechanism [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance - Alibaba-W (09988) was the most bought stock, with a net purchase of HKD 53.68 billion, while it had a total transaction volume of HKD 86.47 billion [2][4] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) faced a net sell of HKD 4.1 billion, with total transactions amounting to HKD 60.46 billion [2][7] - Semiconductor stocks, SMIC (00981) and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347), experienced significant net sells of HKD 10.36 billion and HKD 10.14 billion respectively [6] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Morgan Stanley reported that Alibaba's delivery and instant retail business has reached a scalable level, expecting a reduction in losses for Ele.me in the coming quarters [4] - CICC highlighted that despite short-term liquidity issues affecting Hong Kong stocks, long-term structural advantages remain significant [5] - UBS expressed optimism about Horizon Robotics (09660) following a successful investor meeting, anticipating growth driven by design orders from multiple automotive manufacturers [5] Group 3: Market Trends - The net buying trend from Northbound capital indicates a strong interest in major tech stocks, particularly Alibaba and Tencent, which received net purchases of HKD 34.43 billion and HKD 4.92 billion respectively [4][5] - The semiconductor sector is facing pressure, with analysts suggesting that the market may have been overly optimistic about companies like ZTE Corporation (00763) due to disappointing earnings [6]

Core Viewpoint - Horizon Robotics-W (09660) reported a significant increase in revenue and profitability for the first half of 2025, indicating strong growth momentum in the autonomous driving technology sector [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1.567 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 67.6% [1] - Gross profit reached 1.024 billion yuan, with a comprehensive gross margin of 65.4% [1] - Cash reserves stood at 16.1 billion yuan, reflecting a solid financial position [1] Market Insights - Goldman Sachs noted that the revenue growth of 68% exceeded expectations, primarily driven by increased shipments of the Journey6 model [1] - The firm expressed a positive outlook on the mass production of the Horizon Super Driving (HSD) system starting in the second half of the year [1] - The company shipped 980,000 units of its NOA function products, accounting for 50% of total shipments, which contributed to an increase in average selling prices [1] Growth Prospects - Bank of America Securities, after attending the investor meeting post-earnings report, expressed increased optimism regarding the company's growth prospects due to successful vehicle design integrations in domestic and international markets [1] - The bank anticipates that the company will secure design orders for high-end HSD solutions from at least 4-5 automotive manufacturers this year, which is expected to boost shipments of the J6P chip from an estimated 40,000 units in 2025 to 430,000 units in 2026 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Bank of America Securities has raised the target price for Horizon Robotics-W (09660) from HKD 9.3 to HKD 11.1 and reiterated a "Buy" rating due to optimistic growth prospects following a recent investor meeting after the company's earnings report [1] - The company is expected to secure design orders for high-end HSD solutions from at least 4-5 automotive manufacturers this year, which will significantly increase the shipment volume of its J6P chips from an estimated 40,000 units in 2025 to 430,000 units in 2026 [1] - The management anticipates an increase in market share for Horizon's intelligent driving assistance solutions among domestic automotive OEMs in the fiscal year 2026, leading to a 3-5% upward revision in revenue forecasts for the fiscal years 2026-2027 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities expresses increased optimism regarding Horizon Robotics' future growth prospects following the investor meeting after the company's earnings report, citing successful progress in vehicle design integration in both domestic and international markets [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company is expected to secure design orders for high-end HSD solutions from at least 4-5 automotive manufacturers this year, which is anticipated to drive the shipment of its J6P chips from an estimated 40,000 units in 2025 to 430,000 units in 2026 [1] - The management anticipates an increase in market share for Horizon's intelligent driving assistance solutions among domestic OEMs in the fiscal year 2026 [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - Bank of America Securities raises its revenue forecast for Horizon Robotics for the fiscal years 2026-2027 by 3-5% to reflect better progress in new vehicle design orders, expecting large-scale shipments to commence from the fiscal year 2026 [1] - The target price for Horizon Robotics has been increased from HKD 9.3 to HKD 11.1, with a reiterated "Buy" rating [1]