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高阶智驾免费狂奔 “靠软件挣钱”无望?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-08-05 03:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the concern that free promotion of advanced driving assistance systems (ADAS) could undermine the profitability of the automotive industry, as emphasized by Bosch's president in China, Wu Yongqiao [2][7] - The trend of "free high-level intelligent driving" is gaining traction among domestic automakers, with companies like Chery, Leap Motor, BYD, and Xpeng announcing that their entire model ranges will be equipped with advanced ADAS, leading to over a hundred models being offered [2][8] - The expectation of profitability through software subscription models has become uncertain, with industry insiders stating that discussions on software subscription profitability are currently not feasible [2][5] Group 2 - International automakers are prioritizing "sustainable revenue" and have begun charging subscription fees for embedded hardware features, although this approach has faced backlash from domestic consumers [3][5] - Tesla and Huawei are strong proponents of software charging, with Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) priced at 64,000 yuan, while Huawei has increased the price of its Qian Kun intelligent driving system by 2,000 yuan [3][12] - The consensus among industry experts is that the realization of a paid subscription model is more challenging than anticipated due to intense price competition and consumer expectations for free features [3][11] Group 3 - The feasibility of hardware subscription models has diminished significantly, with luxury brands still experimenting with them despite low consumer uptake [4][5] - BMW and Mercedes-Benz have faced criticism for charging fees for features that are standard in many domestic vehicles, leading to adjustments in their subscription strategies [4][5] - The trend of free high-level intelligent driving features is seen as a way to build consumer habits and dependencies, but there is skepticism about the potential for high subscription rates post-free periods [9][10] Group 4 - The articles suggest that the subscription model for software may be collapsing, with experts indicating that a successful implementation would require overcoming fierce competition and establishing significant technological barriers [11][12] - The potential for consumers to pay for advanced driving technologies may increase with the advent of Level 3 autonomous driving, but achieving a consensus among automakers on subscription models remains challenging [11][12] - The automotive industry is experiencing a shift where hardware upgrades are seen as the foundation for profitability, with companies like Horizon predicting a profitability turning point by 2027 [12][13]
强势新品打开成长空间,怎么看地平线机器人-W(09660)“入通”后的投资机会?
贝塔投资智库· 2025-05-27 03:53
Core Viewpoint - Horizon Robotics has gained significant attention in the market following its inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, indicating strong recognition of its integrated software and hardware technology path and positioning as a leading supplier of intelligent assisted driving solutions in China [1][7]. Group 1: Product Development and Market Position - The launch of the Horizon Journey series has opened up growth opportunities, with the company continuously delivering high-performance software and hardware products, leading to strong market demand [2]. - The Journey series has achieved significant milestones, with cumulative shipments expected to exceed 8 million units by Q1 2025, and the company holds over 40% market share in the Chinese OEM advanced assisted driving solutions market, ranking first [2][4]. - The recent introduction of the HSD urban assisted driving system marks a significant advancement, with partnerships established with major clients like Chery Group and Volkswagen, indicating strong market acceptance and potential for high-end market penetration [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Outlook and Growth Potential - The successful launch and mass production of new products like HSD are expected to enhance the company's revenue and profit, indicating a positive trajectory for overall performance [4]. - The automotive industry is moving towards a "universal intelligent assisted driving" era, with major players like BYD leading the charge, which is likely to benefit Horizon Robotics significantly [5]. - Analysts have expressed optimism regarding Horizon's long-term growth potential, with several brokerages issuing "buy" ratings and predicting a turnaround to profitability by 2027 [7]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - Horizon Robotics has developed a robust self-research BPU architecture, continuously iterating its Journey series, with the latest Journey 6 chip offering enhanced data processing capabilities for assisted driving systems [6]. - The Horizon Cell modular system allows for hardware plug-and-play and software upgrades, enhancing performance while reducing costs, positioning the company as a unique supplier in the market [6]. - The company has established partnerships with over 40 automotive brands, including the top ten Chinese automakers, with more than 800 million units shipped and over 200 models in mass production [6].
当零部件走向台前 汽车业迎来“价值重估”时刻
Core Insights - The 2025 Shanghai Auto Show highlights the transformation of the automotive industry, showcasing innovations in the parts sector driven by electrification, intelligence, and globalization [2][3] - The event reflects the automotive supply chain's cross-domain collaboration and the industry's diverse and global landscape [2][3] - The shift from hardware-dominated to software-defined vehicles marks a fundamental change in industry logic, with software becoming a key factor in defining automotive product capabilities [3][4] Industry Trends - The dual drive of electrification and intelligence is the core theme of the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show, with a significant increase in the number of exhibitors showcasing new technologies and products [3][5] - The automotive software market is projected to reach $55 billion by 2025, with over-the-air upgrades, smart cockpit interactions, and autonomous driving algorithms as the main growth areas [6] - AI technology is increasingly integrated into vehicles, enhancing their capabilities and transforming them into mobile smart terminals [4][6] Company Strategies - Foreign parts manufacturers are shifting from unilateral technology output to deep ecological integration, focusing on localizing technology implementation [9][12] - Bosch aims to leverage software and technological innovations to empower smart mobility, with a projected 4% sales growth in China for 2024, reaching 116.6 billion yuan [9] - Continental Group plans to list its automotive subgroup AUMOVIO, emphasizing its commitment to the Chinese market and local innovation [10][11] Emerging Technologies - The integration of AI and automotive technology is reshaping the collaboration model among people, vehicles, roads, and clouds, positioning smart vehicles as essential components of a smart lifestyle [4][5] - New products such as the R-UniAD technology from SenseTime and the advanced chip platforms from Black Sesame are pushing the boundaries of autonomous driving capabilities [7][6] - The introduction of immersive smart cockpit solutions and multi-modal technologies is enhancing user experience and safety in vehicles [8][6] Market Dynamics - The presence of over 300 exhibitors, including major international tech companies, indicates a significant shift in the automotive market landscape, with parts manufacturers taking center stage [13][15] - The competition in the automotive industry is evolving from hardware breakthroughs to collaborative innovation across the entire supply chain [5][12] - The 2025 Shanghai Auto Show serves as a critical observation point for the ongoing transformation in the automotive value chain, with a notable shift towards electrification and intelligence [16]
【周观点】4月第2周乘用车环比+3.8%,继续看好汽车板块
投资要点 本周复盘总结: 四月第二周交强险34.2万辆,环比上周/上月周度+3.8%/-17.8%。 本周SW汽车指数-5.5%,细 分板块涨跌幅排序: SW商用载客车(+2.2%)> SW摩托车及其他(+1.3%) > SW商用载货车 (+0.2%) > 重卡指数(-0.4%) > SW汽车(-0.8%)> SW乘用车(-1.0%) > SW汽车零部件(-1.2%) 。本 周已覆盖标的 亚太股份、明阳科技、苏轴股份、中国汽研和蔚来-W 涨幅较好。 本周团队研究成果:外发深度报告《小鹏汽车核心竞争力剖析》,客车、重卡月报,继峰股 份、长安汽车、福耀玻璃、春风动力Q1季报点评。 未经许可,不得转载或者引用。 除了大盘本身波动之外,市场对汽车近期担忧主要是三方面:1)小米事故引发对汽车智能化β 的降温;2)贸易战升级担心汽车尤其零部件出海业务的盈利性;3)担心头部车企降价引发新 一轮国内价格战。 本周行业核心变化: 1) 小鹏举行全球热爱之夜暨2025X9发布会,明确图灵芯片、增程、飞行汽车、机器人规划, 发布2025款小鹏X9; 2) 4月16日上汽集团与华为联合发布全新品牌"SAIC尚界",双方在智能 汽车领 ...