今年，慕尼黑国际汽车及智慧出行博览会（IAA）的舞台上，一股来自中国的"智驾力量"以前所未 有的声势，改写着全球自动驾驶产业的叙事格局。 在这场备受瞩目的行业盛会上，中国智驾企业集体亮相，充分彰显着全球化野心。轻舟智航正式启动全 球化战略，与芯片巨头高通Qualcomm达成深度合作，同时敲定在德国设立欧洲总部的关键布局。 Momenta宣布将与优步携手，于2026年在德国慕尼黑联合启动Robotaxi运营服务。地平线宣布成立欧洲 区总部，携手全球顶级Tier-1及合资、外资品牌客户共同推进智能驾驶技术的全球落地进程。卓驭科技 也宣布正式面向全球发布欧洲战略。 从技术研发的"闭门造车"到全球化生态的"开门共建"，中国自动驾驶企业的"出海"路径正变得愈发清 晰。过去，中国企业更多是在国内市场打磨技术、积累数据；如今，它们主动走出舒适区，带着经过本 土市场验证的算法、硬件与解决方案，在全球舞台上寻找合作伙伴，拓展应用场景，也为全球自动驾驶 产业的加速落地注入"中国动能"。 全球化：锁定长期生存权的必然选择 中国智驾企业加速推进全球化布局，并非单纯的市场扩张，而是在行业特性与国内竞争格局双重驱动下 的战略必然，核心逻 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile's listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks a significant milestone in the Chinese automotive industry, attracting key investors like Horizon Robotics, which highlights the growing importance of smart technology in reshaping the automotive value chain [1][3][13]. Investment and Strategic Collaboration - Horizon Robotics' investment of $40 million in Chery reflects a strong belief in Chery's growth potential and the strategic importance of smart technology in the automotive sector [1][3]. - The partnership between Horizon and Chery, established in 2021, has led to the development of advanced driving assistance systems, showcasing a successful collaboration that enhances both companies' market positions [4][10]. Market Performance and Growth Projections - Chery is projected to achieve a 49.4% increase in passenger car sales in 2024, positioning it among the top global automakers [3]. - Horizon Robotics leads the Chinese market for autonomous driving solutions, holding a 32.4% share in the market for passenger car assistance systems and a 45.8% share in the ADAS front-view camera market [3][8]. Technological Advancements and Product Development - Horizon Robotics has established a robust competitive edge through its "chip + algorithm + ecosystem" strategy, which has resulted in significant revenue growth, with a 67.6% year-on-year increase in revenue to 1.567 billion yuan [8]. - The introduction of the Horizon Journey 6P chip in Chery's latest model, the Starway ET5, exemplifies the integration of advanced technology into new vehicles, enhancing their market appeal [4][10]. Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The penetration rate of advanced driver assistance systems among Chinese automakers has reached 59%, indicating a strong trend towards smart vehicle technology [9]. - The collaboration between Horizon and over 40 automotive brands, along with plans for mass production of smart driving systems, suggests a promising future for the smart driving market in China [10][11]. - The anticipated growth of the Robotaxi market, projected to reach $47 billion by 2035, underscores the potential for Horizon Robotics to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the autonomous vehicle sector [11][12].

Core Insights - The penetration rate of passenger cars equipped with combined driving assistance systems in China reached 62.6% in the first seven months of 2025, an increase of 40 percentage points compared to the same period in 2021, with sales of 7.76 million units [1] - The current market primarily features L2-level systems, which assist with basic driving tasks but do not provide full autonomous driving capabilities, placing the ultimate responsibility on the driver [1] - The development of intelligent driving in China is accelerating due to policy support, with significant initiatives expected to be implemented in 2025, including the introduction of national standards for combined driving assistance systems [1][2] Industry Developments - The introduction of national standards for L2-level driving assistance is anticipated to provide regulatory support and encourage innovation and quality improvement within the intelligent driving industry [2] - Major automotive manufacturers are shifting from fully in-house development of driving assistance technologies to strategic collaborations with solution providers, enhancing the penetration of intelligent driving technologies [2] - The supply chain for intelligent driving components, including lidar, cameras, and radar systems, is strengthening, with domestic suppliers increasing their influence and moving towards integrated hardware and software solutions [2] Company Highlights - Black Sesame (000716) is recognized as a key player in the domestic autonomous driving chip market, benefiting from the commercialization of L2+ technology and advancements towards L3 and L4 scenarios [3] - Horizon Robotics (09660) has achieved significant production milestones with its HSD series chips, establishing partnerships with international clients and positioning itself as a leader in integrated intelligent driving solutions [3] - SUTENG (02498) has successfully mass-produced high-line count lidar products, which are now featured in new models from various automotive brands [3] - Youjia Innovation (02431) has launched its unmanned logistics brand "Xiaozhu Unmanned Vehicle," marking its entry into the L4 autonomous driving sector and showcasing its ongoing commitment to high-level autonomous driving commercialization [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the innovative transformation of China's electric vehicle (EV) industry as it expands into international markets, particularly through the deployment of intelligent driving technology in Peru's Chancay Port, marking a significant step in the globalization of Chinese EV companies [3][4][5]. Group 1: Industry Expansion - China's EV industry is experiencing a shift towards innovative overseas expansion, with a focus on autonomous driving technology and green logistics solutions [4][6]. - The Chancay Port project in Peru represents a collaboration between China and Peru, establishing South America's first green smart port, which enhances Peru's connectivity between land and sea [5][6]. - The introduction of 50 intelligent driving new energy trucks at Chancay Port signifies the first large-scale deployment of such vehicles for port operations outside China [5][6]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The intelligent driving system developed by the company is recognized for its advanced capabilities in perception, planning, and control, achieving industry-leading standards [6]. - The system is designed to operate effectively in adverse weather conditions, ensuring stable performance in rain, fog, and dust [6]. - The autonomous trucks are capable of performing complex maneuvers with precision, surpassing human drivers in parking accuracy [6]. Group 3: Market Impact - The operational efficiency of Chancay Port has improved significantly, reducing shipping times from Peru to Asia from 35 days to approximately 23 days, thereby lowering logistics costs and enhancing international competitiveness [6]. - The success of the Chancay project has attracted international attention, with local employees expressing fascination with the autonomous vehicles, indicating a growing acceptance of EV technology in new markets [7]. - The article emphasizes the potential for Chinese EV companies to create new growth opportunities by embracing innovative overseas business models and fostering international partnerships [4][6][16]. Group 4: Broader Industry Trends - The article discusses the broader trend of Chinese automotive companies, including chip manufacturers, expanding their presence in international markets, with significant investments in local production facilities in Europe [9][10][11]. - The establishment of a European headquarters by a Chinese chip manufacturer signifies a strategic move to enhance local operational capabilities and support Chinese automakers in global markets [10]. - The article notes that the Chinese EV industry is evolving from simple vehicle exports to a comprehensive "full ecosystem" approach, including battery technology, smart driving systems, and localized production [15][16].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the launch of the Horizon SuperDrive (HSD) solution by the company marks a significant change in the high-end autonomous driving market, with the ET5 model expected to be released in November 2025 [1] - The company has achieved a production milestone of over 10 million units for its Journey series chips, with a target of reaching 10 million units for HSD production in the next 3-5 years [1] - The company has established a European headquarters in Munich and is building deep connections with international clients such as Bosch, Continental, and Volkswagen, which may help expand its autonomous driving solutions globally [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a market share of 45.8% in basic ADAS and 32.4% in overall ADAS solutions, leading the Chinese market [2] - The company saw a doubling of J-series chip shipments to 1.98 million units year-on-year, with shipments of chips supporting NOA functionality increasing fivefold to 980,000 units [2] - The company has secured nearly 90 new model designations, with over 15 models featuring mid-to-high level ADAS solutions entering mass production [2] Group 3 - The company has been included in the Hang Seng Composite Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index, enhancing its visibility and attracting passive fund inflows [2] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards, with expected shipments of 4 million, 5.04 million, and 7 million units, representing year-on-year growth of 38%, 26%, and 39% respectively [2] - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.62 billion, 5.85 billion, and 8.39 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 52%, 62%, and 43% respectively [2] Group 4 - The company is positioned as a rare third-party full-stack autonomous driving solution provider in China, benefiting from trends in domestic substitution, automotive intelligence, and edge AI development [3] - The target price for the company is set at 12.44 HKD, with a target PS of 27 times for 2026, corresponding to a target market value of 158 billion yuan [3] - Comparisons with peer companies suggest a PS of 21, 32, and 26 times for Nvidia, ARM, and Cambricon respectively for 2026 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Horizon Robotics (09660.HK) with a target price of HKD 12.44 [2][7]. Core Views - The introduction of the Chery Star Era ET5 featuring Horizon's HSD autonomous driving solution is expected to drive accelerated growth, with the product anticipated to launch in November 2025 [2]. - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted positively, with expected shipments of 4 million, 5.04 million, and 7 million units respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 38%, 26%, and 39% [2]. Financial Summary - Main revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are HKD 2,384 million, HKD 3,620 million, HKD 5,851 million, and HKD 8,386 million, with year-on-year growth rates of 53.6%, 51.9%, 61.6%, and 43.3% respectively [3][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be HKD 2,347 million in 2024, with losses of HKD 7,082 million, HKD 2,726 million, and HKD 1,436 million in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted at HKD 0.17 for 2024, with negative EPS of HKD -0.51, -0.20, and -0.10 for the following years [3][8]. Market Position and Growth Potential - Horizon Robotics holds the leading market share in China for basic ADAS and overall ADAS solutions, with respective shares of 45.8% and 32.4% [7]. - The company has achieved significant growth in chip shipments, with 1H25 figures showing a doubling in J series chip shipments to 1.98 million units and a fivefold increase in J5/J6 chips supporting NOA functionality to 980,000 units [7]. - The establishment of a European headquarters and partnerships with international clients like Bosch and Volkswagen positions the company favorably for global expansion [7]. Valuation Perspective - The report suggests a target price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 27x for 2026, leading to a target market capitalization of HKD 158 billion [7]. - The valuation is compared to peers such as Nvidia, ARM, and Cambricon, with their projected PS ratios for 2026 being 21, 32, and 26 respectively [7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Horizon Robotics (09660) is positioned to benefit from the trends of domestic substitution, automotive intelligence, and edge AI development, with a target price set at HKD 12.44 and a "Recommended" rating maintained [1] - The company anticipates significant growth in its core forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected shipments of 4 million, 5.04 million, and 7 million units respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 38%, 26%, and 39% [1] - Revenue projections for the same period are set at CNY 36.2 billion, 58.5 billion, and 83.9 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 52%, 62%, and 43% [1] Group 2 - The HSD (Horizon SuperDrive) solution is set for mass production, marking a significant change in the high-level autonomous driving market, with the first vehicle featuring this solution expected to launch in November 2025 [1] - The company has established a European headquarters in Munich and is building deep connections with international clients such as Bosch, Continental, and Volkswagen, which may help to expand its global reach [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a market share of 45.8% in basic ADAS and 32.4% in overall ADAS solutions, leading the Chinese market [2] Group 3 - The company has been included in the Hang Seng Composite Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index, enhancing its visibility and investment appeal in the Hong Kong market [3] - The company is recognized as a rare AI-related stock in the Hong Kong market, with both configuration value and risk appetite on the rise [3] - The stock's inclusion in the indices is expected to attract passive fund inflows, positively impacting its stock performance [3]

Core Insights - The rapid development and application of artificial intelligence technologies have positioned smart vehicles, low-altitude travel, and embodied robots as key carriers of AI applications, with a consensus emerging on the importance of scaling smart vehicle components to empower these sectors [1][2] - The concept of "aggregated intelligence" is characterized by the deep coupling of technology, industry chains, and application scenarios, which is seen as a new direction for the renewable energy industry to break through single development bottlenecks and unlock trillion-yuan market potential [1][4] Technology and Industry Chain Interconnectivity - There is significant "homogeneity" among smart vehicles, embodied robots, and low-altitude economy, with AI as the core support for underlying technologies, forming an AI-based terminal industry chain [2][3] - The supply chain overlap exceeds 60%, with some companies estimating it to be as high as 70%, allowing components from smart vehicles to directly support robots and low-altitude aircraft [2][3] - The cost of laser radar has dramatically decreased from 100,000 yuan in 2019 to 800 yuan today, showcasing the potential for cost reduction in robotics and low-altitude economies through supply chain integration [2][3] Practical Applications and Industry Initiatives - Companies like Beijing Horizon Robotics have successfully integrated smart vehicle technology into robotics, with over 10 million units of their chips deployed in vehicles and applications in various robotic platforms [3] - Zhixing Technology has entered the robotics field through acquisitions, developing the world's first domestic mid-to-high computing power robot controller based on intelligent driving technology [3] Scene Integration and Ecosystem Development - The shift from a single product mindset to an ecosystem approach is gaining traction in the renewable energy sector, exemplified by initiatives like the "robot soccer league" that fosters a developer ecosystem [4][5] - The low-altitude economy is being redefined through innovative transportation solutions, with electric flying cars expected to reduce costs significantly from millions to around 200,000 yuan [5][6] - Companies like Sichuan Wofei Chang Kong are actively developing electric flying vehicles and have secured substantial orders, indicating strong market demand for low-altitude travel solutions [5][6] Strategic Collaborations and Future Outlook - Jianghuai Automobile Group is pursuing an "all-chain" ecosystem strategy by collaborating with universities and leading companies in robotics and low-altitude economies to extend the automotive industry chain into new fields [6] - The aggregation of smart vehicles, embodied robots, and low-altitude economies is projected to form a trillion-yuan export force in the next five years, with integrated development being the key to seizing this opportunity [6]

Core Insights - The rapid development and application of artificial intelligence technologies have made smart vehicles, low-altitude travel, and embodied robots key carriers of AI applications, with a consensus emerging on the importance of scaling smart vehicle components to empower these sectors [1][2] - The concept of "aggregated intelligence" is characterized by deep coupling of technology, industry chains, and application scenarios, which is seen as a new direction for the new energy industry to break through single development bottlenecks and unlock trillion-yuan market potential [1][7] Group 1: Technological Synergy and Industry Chain Interconnectivity - Smart vehicles, embodied robots, and low-altitude economy share significant "homogeneity" in their underlying technologies, all supported by artificial intelligence, leading to a unified terminal industry chain [2][3] - The supply chain overlap exceeds 60%, with some companies estimating it to be as high as 70%, allowing components from smart vehicles to directly support robots and low-altitude vehicles [2][3] - The cost reduction in components, such as LiDAR, has been significant, with prices dropping from 100,000 yuan in 2019 to 800 yuan today, demonstrating the potential for cost-effective solutions in robotics and low-altitude travel [3] Group 2: Scene Integration and Ecological Co-construction - The shift from a single product mindset to an ecological thinking is becoming a consensus among professionals in the new energy sector, with examples like the "robot football league" showcasing developer ecosystems [5] - The low-altitude economy is showing great potential in reconstructing transportation scenarios, with electric flying cars expected to reduce costs significantly from millions to around 200,000 yuan [6] - Companies like Sichuan Wofei Chang Kong Technology are actively developing electric flying vehicles and have plans for commercial operations by 2026, indicating a growing market for low-altitude travel solutions [6][7] Group 3: Strategic Collaborations and Future Outlook - Companies like Jianghuai Automobile Group are exploring collaborative ecosystems by sharing technologies and resources across smart vehicles, robots, and low-altitude travel [7] - The integration of smart vehicles, embodied robots, and low-altitude economy is expected to form a trillion-yuan "new trio" export force in the next five years, emphasizing the importance of fusion development [7]

Core Viewpoint - Horizon Robotics, founded by Yu Kai, has seen a significant surge in stock price and market capitalization, reaching approximately HKD 136 billion, an increase of about HKD 88 billion since the beginning of the year [2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Horizon Robotics has capitalized on the growing demand for intelligent driving solutions, with its "Journey" chip family achieving cumulative shipments of over 10 million units [3]. - The company reported a revenue of CNY 1.57 billion for the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year increase of 67.6% [3]. - Despite the revenue growth, the company has not yet achieved profitability, with an operating loss of CNY 1.59 billion during the same period [8]. Group 2: Market Position and Partnerships - Horizon Robotics collaborates with nearly all major Chinese automakers, including Volkswagen, BYD, and Li Auto, with nearly 400 new vehicle models confirmed by the end of June [4]. - The company holds a market share of 45.8% for basic driving assistance solutions and 32.4% for overall solutions among Chinese automakers [12]. - The average selling price of Horizon's automotive products and solutions has increased to 1.7 times that of the same period last year [16]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The company is targeting the RoboTaxi market, with plans to collaborate with several operating companies in the second half of the year [18]. - Horizon Robotics aims to deploy millions of its HSD system in the next 3 to 5 years, enhancing its data testing capabilities for RoboTaxi technology [18]. - The penetration rate of advanced driving assistance systems among domestic brands is expected to rise from 51% at the end of 2024 to 59% in the first half of 2025 [6]. Group 4: R&D and Innovation - The company invested CNY 2.3 billion in R&D in the first half of the year, a 62% increase year-on-year [9]. - Horizon Robotics emphasizes high R&D investment to maintain its market position, with a focus on developing advanced chip generations [10].