以下文章来源于Omdia ，作者Omdia Omdia . Omdia隶属于Informa TechTarget，是一家专注于技术研究与咨询的机构。通过深刻的科技市场洞察力和 可操作的建议，Omdia帮助组织做出明智的增长决策。 如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 根据Omdia发布的半导体产业观察，AI应用模型正在中国各垂直行业广泛落地，标志着边缘AI时 代的到来。众多大语言模型(LLM)正在各行业积极部署垂直应用模型。具备边缘推理能力的数字终 端将快速增长，成为中国半导体产业扩张的重要驱动力——尤其是成熟工艺技术领域。2025年四 季度最新数据显示，2026年中国半导体市场预计增长31.26%，市场规模将达到5465亿美元。 《半导体应用领域市场预测工具(AMFT)- 中国地区(2Q25)》预计中国半导体市场在2025年增长 16.17%，2026年增长13.63%。在《半导体应用领域市场预测工具(AMFT)- 中国地区(4Q25)》报 告中，2025年四季度的更新将预测上调为2025年增长21.63%、2026年增长31.26%。 2025年第四季度预测中，存储市场规模显著上调。与二季度版本相比， ...

迎来补涨行情？2026年第一个交易日（1月5日）重点布局国产AI产业链的科创人工智能ETF华宝 （589520）强势上攻，场内涨幅最高上探4.91%，收涨4.74%，收盘涨幅刷新去年8月以来的新高，盘中 最高价（0.620）再创去年10月以来的高点。值得关注的是，该ETF近7个交易日中，有6个交易日上 涨，日k线或已走出"上行台阶"。 | 序号 | 名称 | 所時代 | 两日图 | 申万一级行业 | 申万二级行业 | 申万三级行业 | 总市值 | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 复目積电 | 12.59% | | 电子 | 未曾体 | 数字芯片设计 | 576亿 | 27.78亿 | | 2 | 优刻得-W | 9.36% | State No a | 计算机 | IT服务Ⅱ | IT服务Ⅲ | 140亿 | 22.154Z | | 3 | 福昕软件 | 8.84% | ac - proven | 计算机 | 软件开发 | 横向通用软件 | 89亿 | 5.87 亿 | | 4 | 思看科技 | 8.69% ...

Summary of Semiconductor Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry is recovering from a down cycle that began in 2021 and is entering a new up cycle driven primarily by AI computing demand rather than traditional consumer electronics demand [1][5] - AI computing demand remains strong, with high GPU rental prices and utilization rates, contrasting with the low utilization rates seen during the internet bubble, indicating that AI development is not a bubble and will continue to drive demand for semiconductor equipment and materials for an extended period [1][7] Key Insights - Significant price increases for DRAM and NAND storage chips are expected in Q3 2025, with a further rise anticipated in Q1 2026 due to overseas cloud providers' aggressive purchasing and slow upstream capacity increases, presenting market share opportunities for domestic storage manufacturers [1][8] - China's domestic production rates for mobile chips, computer chips, and advanced GPU computing chips are currently low, but increasing domestic production rates will create substantial market expansion opportunities, especially in processes of 14nm and below [1][10] - New technology applications, such as advanced packaging, are expected to bring incremental opportunities for semiconductor equipment and materials, with TSMC's capital expenditures indicating significant demand for related equipment [1][11] Market Dynamics - The semiconductor industry typically experiences cycles approximately every five years, with the current phase indicating an expansion stage as evidenced by the performance and sales data of many listed companies [4][5] - AI computing demand is driving the semiconductor equipment market, with core companies like NVIDIA playing a crucial role in this process. The demand for advanced GPUs and storage is filling up wafer fab capacities, leading to a substantial increase in equipment orders [6][12] Future Projections - The AI computing demand is expected to remain in a state of supply shortage, with GPU rental prices high and utilization rates robust, suggesting that this demand will continue to drive the market for a considerable time [7][12] - The expansion of the storage cycle and advancements in autonomous control in advanced processes are anticipated to create significant investment opportunities in the equipment sector for 2026 [2][14] Investment Opportunities - The listing of domestic storage giants is accelerating, primarily aimed at financing for capacity expansion, which will drive the development of the entire equipment sector [15] - The increasing complexity of processes is expected to significantly increase the demand for equipment, potentially doubling or tripling in some areas, thereby supporting revenue and performance growth for related equipment manufacturers [16] Policy and Domestic Production - Government support for domestic equipment replacement is evident, with incentives for purchasing domestic equipment and strategic focus on self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry [17][18] - Domestic equipment manufacturers have reached mainstream standards in mature processes and are making strides in advanced processes, indicating a significant shift towards domestic production capabilities [13][18] Valuation and Investment Strategy - The current valuation of semiconductor equipment is relatively high compared to traditional industries, but the growth momentum is clear, supported by commercial validation and government policies [19] - Historical data shows that from 2019 to 2021, company performance grew significantly, and future growth is expected to continue, suggesting that current price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios are below historical medians, presenting investment opportunities [20] Direct Investment Products - The CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index is a highly focused tool for investors looking to capitalize on the semiconductor industry's upstream, with over 80% concentrated in equipment and materials, making it an ideal choice for direct investment in the semiconductor sector [21]