事项： 风险提示：1、国内医疗设备集采风险；2、海外拓展受地缘政治因素影响；3、高端产品研发/推广不及 预期；4、设备更新政策落地不及预期。 国内核心产品线市占率持续提升，光子计数CT 获批。随着国内医疗设备更新政策逐步落地及招采需求 稳步复苏，公司2025 年上半年实现国内市场收入48.73 亿元（+10.74%）。凭借产品与技术优势，公司 医学影像与放射治疗设备综合市场占有率同比提升3.4 个百分点，位列行业第二。分产品线看，MR 业 务收入19.68 亿元（+16.81%），市场份额持续提升；CT 业务收入15.15 亿元，全球首创双宽体双源CT 系统uCT SiriuX 进入NMPA 创新医疗器械特别审查程序，国产首款光子计数能谱CT uCT Ultima 获批上 市，高端产品布局持续突破；MI 业务收入8.41 亿元（+13.15%），PET/CT 产品线中国市场占有率连续 十年保持第一；RT 业务收入2.42 亿元，中国市场占有率同比大幅提升近18个百分点；DSA 业务中国市 场占有率同比提升超5 个百分点。 服务业务增长强劲，高毛利业务占比提升。2025H1，公司服务业务收入达8.16亿元（+3 ...

交"走出去"答卷 本报记者了解到，健康卫生专题展邀请世界500强及行业龙头企业参展率达到了53%，国际化率达 49%。健康卫生服务专题展针对"北京服务"的总体设计、呈现案例、亮点内容等进行了多次研究论证， 共申报16个项目。 在"智疗云枢前瞻矩阵"中，今年获批备受关注的国家人工智能应用中试基地项目将在专题展集中发布， 场景化、实例化呈现精准诊疗和生物医药AI研发全流程15个环节。在人工智能互动体验区，不仅可以 直观感受安贞医院心血管诊断大模型如何快速做出诊断，也能亲身体验同仁医院的眼底AI相机，实 现"一张眼底看全身"的诊疗效果。在"全民健康服务矩阵"中，展区设计围绕健康管理、养老服务以及中 医药健康三大方向，充分展示医疗卫生机构医企共建成果及科技转化成果。 据悉，本届服贸会囊括近2000家企业线下参展，其中世界500强及国际行业龙头企业达500家，覆盖26个 服务贸易前三十强国家和地区，全球资源聚合与内外联通功能将全面凸显。位于2号馆的健康卫生服务 专题，由北京市卫生健康委员会牵头，首都会展（集团）有限公司承办，中国医院协会作为学术支持单 位，设置"智疗云枢前瞻矩阵""全民健康服务矩阵"两大展示体验区。 本 ...

Core Insights - The healthcare industry is undergoing a transformation driven by disruptive technologies such as artificial intelligence and precision medicine, evolving from single diagnostic equipment innovation to a comprehensive digital health management ecosystem covering prevention, diagnosis, treatment, and rehabilitation [1] - The global medical device market is expanding, with a projected growth from over $480 billion in 2021 to $848 billion by 2030, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 6.4% from 2021 to 2030, providing ample opportunities for leading companies [2] - Domestic medical device manufacturers, including United Imaging Healthcare, are gaining market share and improving product quality, with the company achieving a 3.4 percentage point increase in its market share in the medical imaging and radiation therapy equipment sector [3][4] Company Performance - United Imaging Healthcare reported a revenue of 6.016 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.79%, and a net profit of 966 million yuan, up 21.01% year-on-year [1] - The company has implemented a cash dividend plan, distributing 1.3 yuan per 10 shares to shareholders, totaling 107 million yuan, and launched a new stock incentive plan for 1,368 key personnel [1] - The company’s revenue from the Chinese market reached 4.873 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 10.74% amid the domestic upgrade of medical imaging equipment [5] Product and Market Development - United Imaging Healthcare's MR equipment generated 1.968 billion yuan in revenue, a 16.81% increase, with significant advancements in MR technology leading to a market share increase of over 20 percentage points [3] - The CT business maintained steady growth with revenue of 1.515 billion yuan, while the MI products achieved 841 million yuan in revenue, a 13.15% increase [4] - The company’s service business grew by 32.21% to 816 million yuan, accounting for 13.56% of total revenue, enhancing customer loyalty and market competitiveness [4] Global Expansion - United Imaging Healthcare's overseas revenue reached 1.142 billion yuan, a 22.48% increase, constituting 18.99% of total revenue, with expectations for continued growth in the second half of the year [7] - The company has successfully penetrated the North American market, with its high-end imaging equipment covering over 70% of U.S. states and achieving significant installations in top research and clinical institutions [7][8] - In emerging markets, the company has seen substantial growth, with orders and revenue increasing significantly in Latin America and Africa, establishing a regional office in Brazil to enhance market presence [8][9] Technological Innovation - United Imaging Healthcare invested 766 million yuan in R&D during the first half of 2025, with a research expense ratio of 12.74%, focusing on next-generation platform technologies [11] - The company has filed over 260 new patent applications, with a total of over 9,700 patent applications, including significant advancements in AI and imaging technology [11][12] - The introduction of the uCT SiriuX, a dual-source CT system, and the uIPW intelligent contouring system for radiation therapy highlights the company's commitment to innovation and leadership in the medical imaging field [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 6.016 billion yuan (+12.79% YoY) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 999.8 million yuan (+5.03% YoY) for 1H25, aligning with expectations [1] Revenue Trends - The revenue recovery trend is beginning to materialize, with a breakdown of 1H25 revenue by segment: - Equipment sales revenue was 4.890 billion yuan (+7.6% YoY), including CT revenue of 1.515 billion yuan (-6.4% YoY), MR revenue of 1.968 billion yuan (+16.8% YoY), MI revenue of 841 million yuan (+13.2% YoY), XR revenue of 324 million yuan (+26.6% YoY), and RT revenue of 242 million yuan (flat YoY) - Maintenance service revenue was 816 million yuan (+32.2% YoY), accounting for 13.6% of total revenue (+2.0 percentage points YoY) - Software and other revenue reached 310 million yuan (+79.9% YoY) - The company anticipates revenue growth of 5.4% and 18.6% in 1Q25 and 2Q25, respectively, following a 15.9% decline in 4Q24 [2] - Domestic revenue was 4.873 billion yuan (+10.74% YoY), while overseas revenue was 1.142 billion yuan (+22.48% YoY), with overseas revenue accounting for approximately 19% of total revenue (+1.50 percentage points YoY) [2] Gross Margin and Product Development - The company's gross margin for 1H25 was 47.9%, down 1.3 percentage points from 49.2% in 1H24, primarily due to changes in product mix and pricing pressures from equipment procurement projects [3] - The company is expanding its global presence and R&D investments, with over 70% of U.S. state-level administrative regions covered by its high-end imaging equipment, totaling over 400 units installed, including more than 150 PET/CT units [3] - The approval of photon-counting CT in August is seen as a significant milestone, indicating that domestic brands are achieving global competitiveness in high-end medical imaging equipment [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged, with an 11% increase in the target price to 161 yuan based on DCF analysis (WACC 6.7%, perpetual growth rate 2.0%), indicating a potential upside of 13.5% [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Viewpoints - The total bid amount for medical devices in July 2025 reached 12.643 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 20% and a cumulative total of 96.785 billion yuan from January to July, with an overall year-on-year growth of 57% [5][11] - Domestic device bidding amounts are recovering, with categories like endoscopes showing high year-on-year growth rates [6] - Imported brands experienced a slight decline in bidding amounts, but categories such as CT and DSA showed significant year-on-year growth [7] Summary by Sections Medical Device Bidding Overview - The total bidding amount for medical devices in July 2025 was 12.643 billion yuan, a 20% increase year-on-year, but a 6% decrease month-on-month [11] - From January to July 2025, the total bidding amount was 96.785 billion yuan, reflecting a 57% year-on-year increase [11] Domestic Brands - Mindray Medical's total bidding amount in July was 1.017 billion yuan, up 84% year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 5.854 billion yuan from January to July, also up 57% [15] - Aohua Endoscopy's total bidding amount in July was 68.22 million yuan, a 23% increase year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 303.27 million yuan from January to July, reflecting a 48% increase [21] - Kailing Medical's total bidding amount in July was 101 million yuan, a 67% increase year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 740 million yuan from January to July, showing a 106% increase [24] - Shanfeng's total bidding amount in July was 49 million yuan, a staggering 392% increase year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 236 million yuan from January to July, reflecting a 239% increase [27] - Wandong Medical's total bidding amount in July was 66.17 million yuan, a 19% increase year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 794.41 million yuan from January to July, showing a 95% increase [30] Imported Brands - Philips' total bidding amount in July was 467.37 million yuan, a 41% decrease year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 5.045 billion yuan from January to July, reflecting a 39% increase [33] - Siemens' total bidding amount in July was 554 million yuan, an 11% decrease year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 6.620 billion yuan from January to July, showing a 49% increase [36] - GE's total bidding amount in July was 701.17 million yuan, a 17% decrease year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 7.414 billion yuan from January to July, reflecting a 44% increase [39]

Core Insights - Shenzhen is transforming from "policy dividends" to "industry dividends" with a focus on technological innovation, making it a strategic hub for global investors in the high-end medical device industry [1] - The city has implemented multiple supportive policies to enhance the high-end medical device sector, aiming to gather resources and support strategic emerging industries [1][2] Policy Environment - Shenzhen has introduced various policies to support the high-end medical device industry, including the "Implementation Plan for Accelerating the Development of New Quality Productivity" in March 2024, which targets seven strategic industry clusters [1][2] - The "Measures to Promote the High-Quality Development of the High-End Medical Device Industry Cluster" issued in August 2022 emphasizes support for specific areas such as high-end medical imaging and life monitoring [2][4] - By 2025, the goal is to achieve an industrial added value of 65 billion yuan and revenue of 200 billion yuan in the high-end medical device sector [2][4] Industry Chain Overview - Shenzhen has established a comprehensive industry chain covering upstream materials and production equipment, midstream manufacturing, and downstream applications [8] - The city is home to over 104 companies in high-end medical device materials and equipment, with significant numbers in various sub-sectors such as imaging and life monitoring [13][26] Industry Scale - In 2023, the output value of Shenzhen's medical device industry reached 99 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 10% of the national market [16][18] - The added value of the high-end medical device industry in Shenzhen is projected to reach 40 billion yuan in 2024 [18][19] Company Landscape - Shenzhen has seen a steady increase in the number of high-end medical device companies, with 93 new registrations in 2023, reflecting a growing ecosystem [22] - As of April 2025, Shenzhen has 14 listed companies in the high-end medical device sector, including one unicorn and over 41 specialized small giant enterprises [24][38] Financing Analysis - The financing landscape for Shenzhen's high-end medical device industry is active, with a significant number of early-stage investments indicating strong growth potential [30][33] - Notably, the financing is concentrated in districts like Nanshan and Baoan, with Nanshan being the most active area for investments [33] Investment Opportunities - The high-end medical device industry in Shenzhen presents substantial market potential and investment value, with various districts developing tailored strategies to attract investment [36][38] - Key investment directions include advanced imaging equipment, surgical robots, and high-compatibility implantable medical devices [38]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Mindray is "Buy" with a target price set at Rmb330, based on a DCF-based SOTP model [16]. Core Insights - The medical equipment sector is experiencing a recovery, with tendering growth of 78% year-over-year in May 2025, indicating strong demand and fiscal stimulus effects [1]. - Mindray is highlighted as a top pick in the medical equipment sector, expecting to see quarter-over-quarter growth in Q2 2025 and both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year growth in Q3 2025 [1]. - The total intended medical equipment procurement since June 2024 amounts to Rmb31.5 billion, with Rmb12.9 billion already implemented, suggesting further recovery potential [2]. Summary by Sections Tendering Growth - Tendering amounts for key medical imaging products showed significant year-over-year growth: ultrasound (103%), MRI (107%), X-ray (108%), and PET/CT (186%) [3]. Company Performance - Mindray reported robust growth of 56% year-over-year in May 2025, while United Imaging experienced an 11% growth after a substantial surge in April [1]. Market Dynamics - The strong growth momentum in tendering is attributed to ongoing fiscal stimulus and the normalization of medical equipment procurement activities [1].

Core Viewpoint - The advancement of medical technology, particularly PET/CT, has significantly improved the diagnosis and treatment of tumors, providing precise imaging and valuable diagnostic information for better patient care [1][2][3]. Group 1: PET/CT Technology Overview - PET/CT combines positron emission tomography (PET) and computed tomography (CT) to provide comprehensive imaging, allowing for simultaneous metabolic and anatomical assessments, which enhances diagnostic accuracy [2][3]. - The technology is particularly effective in evaluating tumor burden, early detection, and treatment response, making it a critical tool in oncology [2][4]. Group 2: Clinical Applications and Benefits - PET/CT enables early detection of tumors, including primary, metastatic, and recurrent lesions, acting as a "life radar" for cancer diagnosis [3][4]. - The technology can detect lesions as small as 5 millimeters, surpassing traditional imaging methods, thus facilitating earlier intervention [5][8]. - PET/CT is non-invasive and painless, ensuring patient comfort while providing comprehensive evaluations of tumor activity and treatment efficacy [5][6]. Group 3: Case Studies and Outcomes - A case study highlighted a patient diagnosed with left breast cancer and multiple metastases through PET/CT, leading to timely surgical intervention and recovery [4]. - Another case demonstrated the effectiveness of PET/CT in monitoring treatment response in a patient with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, showing significant tumor reduction after therapy [7][8]. Group 4: Future of Precision Medicine - The integration of advanced imaging techniques like PET/CT is pivotal in the shift towards precision medicine, emphasizing individualized treatment plans based on detailed diagnostic information [9][10]. - The development of a robust PET/CT expert team at Linyi Tumor Hospital aims to align diagnostic capabilities with national standards, enhancing patient outcomes through precise and timely interventions [9][10].

Investment Ratings - The report provides a "Buy" rating for China Jushi (中国巨石) and United Imaging Healthcare (联影医疗), indicating expected strong performance relative to the market [17][21] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Baofeng Energy (宝丰能源) and Kunming Pharmaceutical (昆药集团), suggesting positive growth prospects [33][24] Core Insights - The report highlights the recovery potential of the Hong Kong stock market from the perspective of the AH premium, which has decreased significantly, indicating room for valuation recovery [5][8] - The agricultural sector is experiencing adjustments in global crop production forecasts, with increased corn and wheat production, while rice production is slightly reduced [12][14][15] - China Jushi is positioned to benefit from emerging demand in the fiberglass industry despite traditional demand weaknesses, with expected revenue growth as prices stabilize [17][19] - United Imaging Healthcare is breaking the monopoly in the medical imaging sector, with a strong domestic market share and rapid overseas expansion [21][22] Summary by Sections AH Premium Analysis - The AH premium has gone through three distinct phases since 2010, with significant events influencing its trajectory, such as the launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect [5][6] - As of March 11, 2025, the AH premium rate is at 132.79, indicating a significant decline from previous highs, suggesting a potential for recovery in Hong Kong valuations [8][9] Agricultural Sector Insights - USDA's March report indicates a global corn production increase of 1.7 million tons to 1.214 billion tons for 2024/2025, driven by favorable conditions in India and other countries [12] - Global wheat production is forecasted to rise by 3.44 million tons to 797 million tons, attributed to improved weather conditions in Australia and other regions [14] - Rice production is slightly adjusted down by 10,000 tons to 533 million tons, with consumption expected to rise [15] China Jushi Overview - China Jushi is the largest fiberglass producer globally, with a comprehensive product range and a recovery in revenue expected as prices stabilize [17][19] - The company is leveraging its cost advantages and global presence to enhance competitiveness in the fiberglass market [19] United Imaging Healthcare Overview - United Imaging Healthcare is rapidly expanding its market share in medical imaging, with a diverse product portfolio and strong growth in both domestic and international markets [21][23] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by increasing demand for imaging services and technological advancements [22][23] Kunming Pharmaceutical Overview - Kunming Pharmaceutical is optimizing its product layout and expanding its market presence, with projected net profits increasing from 6.48 billion yuan in 2024 to 7.45 billion yuan in 2025 [24][25] - The company is focusing on innovation and international expansion to drive future growth [26] Baofeng Energy Overview - Baofeng Energy reported a revenue increase of 13.2% to 32.98 billion yuan in 2024, with net profits rising by 12.2% [33] - The company is expected to benefit from new projects in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang, enhancing its growth potential [35]

青侨阳光医药投资 - 行业思考 1 标准化程度和医生依赖度的差异， 是"药VS械VS院"业务不同特性的重要来源 "医药"里的"医"主要指医疗器械和医疗机构，"药"主要指中药、化药、生物药等药品。从这点来说，"药品、 器械、医院等医疗机构"是医药行业最核心3大业务类别。除此之外的医药细分，多数可以看成是这3类业务的 配套产业，比如原料药、CRO、CMO等可以看成是药品的配套，分销商、药店等可以看成是药品和器械的配 套，三方诊断、医疗信息化等可以看成是医疗机构的配套。 从欧美日等发达国家过去几十年的历史经验看，在医药行业相对成熟的主流经济体中，"药"的资本回报率最为 可观，"械"的资本回报率也相当优秀，但"院"的资本回报率比较糟糕。 比如有很多人统计过美股不同行业的历史ROIC，其中： 这与我们的直觉感受是一致的，虽然药品和器械占整个医药行业总盘子不到20%，但我们闭着眼睛也能数出几 十个声名显赫、历史回报强劲的来自美国、欧洲、日本的制药企业和医疗器械企业；但对于占行业总盘子超 60%的医疗服务业务，著名的海外上市医院集团我们可能一只手的指头都数不完。 为什么会这样？一个重要原因是这 三类业务在标准化程度和医生依 ...