机构：东北证券 研究员：易丁依 汇通达网络：下沉 市场服务商领跑者。公司深耕下沉市场十余载，当前已转型为AI 驱动的综合服务 商，借助阿里系+政府资源，有望打通第二增长曲线。2018-2024 年，营收增速整体下降，但毛利率走 高，2024 年达3.84%，25H1 达到4.64%，主要得益于低毛利业务的剔除，公司盈利能力持续改善，2024 年归母净利润2.70 亿元，归母净利率0.45%。 投资建议：业务优化+AI 赋能，在手现金充沛，收购优质资产打通产业资本运作路径，未来公司收入或 恢复增长，盈利能力快速提升。预计2025-2027 年营收516.08/541.20/577.76 亿元，归母净利润 3.69/4.95/6.50 亿元，对应PE 20.29/15.13/11.52X，上调至"买入"评级。 风险提示：AI 推广及渗透不及预期，下沉市场消费复苏不及预期，竞争格局恶化，业绩及估值不及预 期。 为什么汇通达选择下沉市场？（1）中国乡村消费空间广阔：2020-2024年，乡村/城镇社零CAGR 分别 为6.00%/5.57%，乡村消费复苏快于城市。 分拆量价，农村人口占比逐渐趋于稳定，未来随着经济稳定 ...

Core Viewpoint - HuTongDa Network (09878) is optimizing its business and leveraging AI capabilities, with ample cash on hand for acquiring quality assets, which may lead to revenue recovery and rapid improvement in profitability in the future [1] Group 1: Market Opportunity - The rural consumption space in China is vast, with a projected CAGR of 6.00% for rural retail from 2020 to 2024, outpacing urban growth at 5.57%, indicating a faster recovery in rural consumption [1] - Rural income elasticity is historically higher than urban income, with projected CAGRs of 10.48% for rural and 8.07% for urban disposable income from 2013 to 2024, supported by rural revitalization policies [1] Group 2: Product and Channel Dynamics - The product landscape in the lower-tier market is primarily dominated by fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), with significant growth in home appliances and 3C products, expected to grow at 18% and 15% respectively in 2024 [2] - The channel structure is mainly composed of small family-run stores, which have flexible costs and annual profits ranging from 200,000 to 500,000, with a net profit margin of approximately 16.7% for durable goods [2] Group 3: Competitive Advantage and Strategy - HuTongDa is focusing on differentiated product categories and a dual-end approach, integrating online and offline services, as well as supply chain and digital services to create a closed-loop advantage [3] - The company is actively removing low-margin product categories while deepening external collaborations and developing its own brands to enhance platform brand strength [3] - AI capabilities are expected to drive significant growth in SaaS business, with AI-related revenue accounting for 20% of total service revenue as of H1 2025, following a comprehensive cooperation agreement with Alibaba Cloud [3]

Core Viewpoint - Northeast Securities reports that Huitongda Network (09878) is optimizing its business and leveraging AI, with ample cash on hand for acquiring quality assets, potentially leading to revenue recovery and rapid profit growth in the future [1] Group 1: Market Opportunity - The rural consumption space in China is vast, with a projected CAGR of 6.00% for rural retail from 2020 to 2024, outpacing urban growth at 5.57%, indicating a faster recovery in rural consumption [1] - Rural income elasticity is historically higher than urban income, with projected CAGRs of 10.48% for rural and 8.07% for urban disposable income from 2013 to 2024, supported by rural revitalization policies [1] Group 2: Product and Channel Dynamics - The product landscape in the lower-tier market is primarily fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), with significant growth in home appliances and 3C products, expected to grow at 18% and 15% respectively by 2024 [2] - The channel structure is dominated by small family-run stores, which have flexible costs and annual profits ranging from 200,000 to 500,000, with a net profit margin of approximately 16.7% for durable goods [2] Group 3: Competitive Advantage and Strategy - Huitongda's strategy includes a differentiated product offering and a dual-channel approach, creating a closed-loop advantage through online and offline integration, as well as supply chain and digital services [3] - The company is actively removing low-margin products while deepening external partnerships and developing its own brands to enhance platform brand strength [3] - AI empowerment is expected to drive significant growth in SaaS business, with AI-related revenue accounting for 20% of total service revenue as of H1 2025, following a comprehensive cooperation agreement with Alibaba Cloud [3]

Core Viewpoint - Xuanwu Cloud (02392) aims to enhance overall profitability and achieve sustainable, high-quality development by focusing on AI + SaaS high-margin businesses and strengthening its domestic and international ecosystem [1] Financial Performance - For the reporting period, Xuanwu Cloud achieved revenue of 410 million, with a gross margin of 18.2%, an increase of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The SaaS segment generated revenue of 240 million, accounting for 59.6% of total revenue [1] - The company reported a positive operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 due to prudent financial controls and improved cash flow management [1][4] AI Business Growth - Xuanwu Cloud's AI-related contracts saw significant growth in the first half of the year, with expectations for continued positive trends in AI business contracts and customer expansion throughout the year [1][3] - The company has been developing AI technology since 2016 and has launched AI Agent products in the consumer goods and financial sectors, validating customer willingness to pay through repeat purchases [3] SaaS Margin Improvement - The gross margin for the SaaS segment increased to 26.5%, with overall gross margin expected to reach around 20% for the full year [3] - The company plans to reduce delivery implementation costs through product standardization and by minimizing losses from customized SaaS projects [3] Overseas Communication Business - Xuanwu Cloud's overseas communication business volume exceeded last year's total by over 150%, with revenue close to 7 million [5] - The company has established deep partnerships with major domestic operators and local leading operators in Southeast Asia and East Asia, laying a foundation for localized operations [5] - The overseas communication business is expected to grow by over 100% for the full year [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 2.65 HKD per share [5]. Core Insights - The company's SaaS business has stabilized sequentially, and the structure of advertising clients continues to optimize [1]. - The company reported a revenue of 775 million RMB for 1H25, a year-over-year decrease of 10.6%, primarily due to cost-cutting measures that reduced low-margin, low-quality small business operations [1]. - The adjusted net profit for 1H25 was 17 million RMB, marking the first profit since 2021, attributed to cost reduction and efficiency improvements [1]. Summary by Sections Subscription Revenue - Subscription solutions revenue for 1H25 was 438 million RMB, down 10.1% year-over-year, mainly due to the reduction of low-quality subscription businesses [2]. - The number of paying merchants decreased by 13.9% year-over-year to 59,100, while the average revenue per user (ARPU) increased by 4.5% to 7,402 RMB [2]. - The smart retail business generated 286 million RMB in revenue, accounting for 65.2% of subscription solutions revenue, despite a 6.1% year-over-year decline [2]. Advertising Revenue - Merchant solutions revenue for 1H25 was 338 million RMB, down 11.3% year-over-year, but adjusted revenue growth reached 45.3% after accounting for a reduction in the rebate ratio [3]. - The gross advertising revenue for merchants was approximately 8.623 billion RMB, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 3.4% [3]. - The gross margin for this business segment improved to 91.3% compared to 74.5% in 24H1, due to the reduction of low-margin businesses [3]. AI Integration - The company's AI product revenue reached approximately 34 million RMB in 1H25, with significant growth in user engagement for its AI solutions [4]. - The WAI SaaS product saw a 4.5-fold increase in usage for store operations, while WIME registered 110,000 users with a revenue growth of 172% [4]. - The company plans to continue expanding its AI applications and has developed 15 AI agents to enhance business operations [4]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downwards to 1.58 billion RMB and 1.74 billion RMB, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 1.88 billion RMB [4]. - The report indicates a gradual stabilization of the SaaS business and an improvement in the merchant solutions segment due to strategic adjustments [4].

Core Insights - Yixin Group reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 5.452 billion yuan, up 22.03% year-on-year, and net profit at 549 million yuan, up 33.93% year-on-year [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The total asset scale of the company as of the end of H1 2025 was 50.34 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 3.60% compared to the end of the previous year [1] - The company's gross profit for H1 2025 was 2.886 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.57%, with a gross margin of 52.94%, up 5.29 percentage points [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The number of automotive financing transactions increased to 364,000, a year-on-year growth of 10.64%, with new car transactions at 142,000 (down 18.86% year-on-year) and used car transactions at 222,000 (up 45% year-on-year) [1] - The revenue from the transaction platform business was 4.346 billion yuan, up 23.79% year-on-year, accounting for 79% of total revenue, while SaaS business revenue surged by 124.47% to 1.873 billion yuan, making it the largest source of income [2] Group 3: Asset Quality and Risk Management - The net receivables from financing leases reached 29.599 billion yuan, a 1.89% increase from the previous year, with a net interest margin rising by 0.9 percentage points to 5.8% [3] - The overdue rates for 180 days and 90 days were 1.35% and 1.86%, respectively, showing improvement from the previous year, indicating enhanced asset quality and reduced financial risk [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Weimob Group is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][12] Core Views - The report highlights that Weimob Group's SaaS business is focusing on e-commerce and retail core scenarios, actively promoting AI Agent applications. The company is reducing investments in small micro clients, and the impact of advertising business rebate policies is diminishing. However, the SaaS business is still affected by macroeconomic conditions, leading to a delay in demand from existing and new clients. The advertising business is adjusting its client structure, resulting in a downward revision of the adjusted net profit forecast for 2025-2026 to 0.5/1.3 billion RMB (previously 1.3/3.0 billion RMB), with a new adjusted net profit forecast for 2027 of 2.4 billion RMB, corresponding to adjusted diluted EPS of 0.02/0.05/0.09 RMB [4][5][6]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - For H1 2025, Weimob Group's revenue was 775 million RMB, a year-on-year decline of 10.6%, which was in line with Bloomberg consensus expectations (773 million RMB). The adjusted net profit was 17 million RMB, better than the consensus expectation of -110 million RMB, due to the reduction of loss-making and low-margin businesses, as well as ongoing cost reduction and efficiency improvements [5][7]. - The revenue breakdown shows that the subscription solutions segment generated 438 million RMB in H1 2025, down 10.1% year-on-year, primarily due to macroeconomic impacts and the company's proactive reduction of small micro merchants, leading to a decrease in deferred revenue. The number of paying merchants declined by 13.9%, while ARPU increased by 4.5%. AI-related business revenue was between 30-40 million RMB. The gross margin was 62.6%, up 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, due to reduced amortization of intangible assets, partially offset by increased costs from new business development [5][6][7]. - The advertising solutions segment saw gross advertising revenue grow by 3.4% year-on-year, with adjusted revenue increasing by 45.3%, as the impact of rebate policy adjustments weakened. The gross margin was 91.3%, up 16.8 percentage points year-on-year, due to the reduction of TSO and credit businesses [5][6][7]. - The financial metrics for Weimob Group are as follows: - Revenue (million RMB): 2,228 (2023A), 1,339 (2024A), 1,605 (2025E), 1,782 (2026E), 2,002 (2027E) - Adjusted net profit (million RMB): -388 (2023A), -530 (2024A), 43 (2025E), 133 (2026E), 245 (2027E) - Gross margin (%): 66.6 (2023A), 44.5 (2024A), 68.2 (2025E), 68.7 (2026E), 68.7 (2027E) - Net margin (%): -17.4 (2023A), -39.6 (2024A), 3.0 (2025E), 7.4 (2026E), 12.2 (2027E) - ROE (%): -72.2 (2023A), -43.1 (2024A), 6.4 (2025E), 28.0 (2026E), 34.0 (2027E) - EPS (diluted/RMB): -0.15 (2023A), -0.19 (2024A), 0.02 (2025E), 0.05 (2026E), 0.09 (2027E) - P/E (times): NA (2023A), NA (2024A), 166.0 (2025E), 59.6 (2026E), 32.3 (2027E) - P/S (times): 3.5 (2023A), 5.9 (2024A), 4.9 (2025E), 4.4 (2026E), 3.9 (2027E) [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 54.52 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.03%, and a net profit of 5.49 billion yuan, up 33.93% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company's total assets reached 503.40 billion yuan as of the end of the first half of 2025, reflecting a growth of 3.60% compared to the end of the previous year [1]. Revenue and Business Segments - The number of automotive financing transactions increased to 364,000, a year-on-year increase of 10.64%. The breakdown shows 142,000 transactions for new cars (down 18.86% year-on-year) and 222,000 for used cars (up 45% year-on-year) [2]. - The total financing amount for automotive transactions was 327.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.96%. The financing for new cars was 144.82 billion yuan (down 17.37% year-on-year), while used car financing reached 182.21 billion yuan, up 30.80% year-on-year, increasing its share to 55.72% [2]. - The SaaS business revenue grew significantly, contributing 18.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 124.47%, making it the largest revenue source for the company [3][19]. Profitability and Margins - The gross profit for the first half of 2025 was 28.86 billion yuan, up 35.57% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 52.94%, an increase of 5.29 percentage points [3][26]. - The gross margins for the transaction platform and self-financing businesses were 52.21% and 55.79%, respectively, both showing year-on-year improvements [3][26]. Financial Health - The net receivables from financing leases reached 295.99 billion yuan, a 1.89% increase from the end of the previous year, with a net interest margin of 5.8%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [4][30]. - The company reported improvements in asset quality, with overdue rates of 1.35% for 180 days and 1.86% for 90 days, both lower than the previous year [4][33]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 122.09 billion yuan, 147.02 billion yuan, and 171.59 billion yuan, with net profits expected to be 10.81 billion yuan, 12.13 billion yuan, and 14.15 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 33.42%, 12.23%, and 16.69% respectively [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully transformed its retail system services for clients like Pang Donglai, integrating AI applications into operational processes, thereby becoming a key player benefiting from the digital upgrade in the retail industry. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.159/2.558/2.982 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.15%/18.45%/16.60%, and net profits of 150/302/452 million yuan, reflecting significant growth rates of 106.83%/101.60%/49.71% respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1][3]. Event Summary - The company reported a revenue of 1.078 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.83%, with a net profit of 68 million yuan, up 128.75%, and a non-recurring net profit of 77 million yuan, up 152.5% [1]. - The company's SaaS business generated 488 million yuan in revenue during the first half of the year, a 16.2% increase, with independent client revenue rapidly increasing to 50%, indicating strengthened trust and demonstration effects after acquiring major clients [1]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a significant increase in profits alongside improved cash flow, with operating cash flow turning positive at 55.3 million yuan compared to a negative 56.7 million yuan in the same period last year. The internalization of AI technology has also reduced the R&D expense ratio from 21.7% to 17.6% [3]. - The company’s revenue from related party transactions was 743 million yuan, a 5.2% increase, with the proportion decreasing to 69%, indicating a 44.2% growth rate in revenue from independent third-party clients, enhancing the sustainability of performance releases [3]. Business Expansion - The retail value-added services, previously known as AIoT business, generated 591 million yuan in revenue, a 15.0% increase, with gross margin rising from 9.0% to 13.7% due to improved AI application efficiency [2]. - The company launched its first overseas AI logistics and warehouse management system, applied in Hong Kong's Wellcome Supermarket, and introduced a fresh produce procurement system that helps partners reduce procurement costs by 15% and improve operational efficiency by 40% [2]. - The company is exploring blockchain technology and stablecoin applications to enhance payment business potential, having signed strategic partnerships to reduce transaction costs for cross-border procurement and local retail payments [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][12]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve revenues of $325 million, $361 million, and $410 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 8.81%, 11.12%, and 13.45% [5][12]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed strong performance with revenues of $74.70 million, a 21.1% increase year-over-year, driven by growth in IoT PaaS, SaaS, and Smart Solutions [5][12]. - The company has embraced AI, launching four core engines that enhance its platform capabilities, which are expected to support large-scale AI product deployment [5][12]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2025E at $325 million, 2026E at $361 million, and 2027E at $410 million, with corresponding growth rates of 8.8%, 11.1%, and 13.5% [3][5]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was reported at 48.5%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-over-year, with a net profit of $11 million compared to a loss of $3.5 million in Q1 2024 [5][12]. - The company has a cash and cash equivalents balance of $1.02 billion as of Q1 2025 [5][12]. Customer and Market Dynamics - As of Q1 2025, the company has a total of 2,800 customers, with 2,000 on the IoT PaaS platform, and premium users contributing 88.7% of IoT PaaS revenue [5][12]. - The company's developer platform has reached 1.417 million developers, indicating strong customer stickiness and potential for global IoT standard expansion [5][12].