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在动荡时期驾驭跨资产波动
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 06:29
来源:市场资讯 (来源:Refinitiv路孚特) Alexandre Hardouin LSEG 股票交易主管,Shared Workflow Trading联席主管 我们探讨了近期政治经济动荡,如:关税上调及央行政策转向如何引发股票、债券和大宗商品市场的剧 烈波动。 这些剧烈波动不仅是本能反应,还反映出全球贸易政策、通胀和央行政策走向的深层不确定性。投资者 对通胀风险重新定价及美联储政策路径的再评估,美国国债收益率剧烈震荡。与此同时,溢出效应持续 扰动欧洲股市并冲击大宗商品价格,对各类货币与资产产生连锁效应。 关键之处在于,当前市场波动不仅受经济基本面驱动,还受政治议程推动。 对于敏捷型投资者而言, 这既意味着需应对的风险,更蕴含着可把握的机遇——尤其在那些价格波动更多由市场情绪驱动、而非 盈利表现或宏观趋势支撑的行业、地区及资产类别中。 在如今的全球市场环境中,仅靠信息灵通已远远不足。 投资者必须精准把握关键要素、行动时机及高 效果断采取行动,才能在市场错位中捕捉机遇。 跨资产意识已是必备能力 孤立分析股票已不符合今市场现实。股票波动受到跨资产类别的多重驱动:大宗商品价格异动、汇率波 动、利率预期调整及 ...
在动荡时期驾驭跨资产波动
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-08-18 06:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of recent political and economic turmoil, such as tariff increases and central bank policy shifts, on the volatility of stock, bond, and commodity markets [1][2]. Market Volatility - Following the announcement of a series of tariff policies by the Trump administration, global markets experienced significant turbulence, with nearly $6.6 trillion in market value evaporating from the U.S. stock market within two trading days. The S&P 500 index rebounded by 9.5% the following day, marking the largest single-day gain in over a decade [2]. - The volatility reflects deeper uncertainties regarding global trade policies, inflation, and central bank directions, leading to a reassessment of inflation risks and U.S. Federal Reserve policy paths, resulting in dramatic fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields [2]. Cross-Asset Awareness - Isolated analysis of stocks is no longer sufficient; stock volatility is influenced by multiple asset classes, including commodity price fluctuations, currency volatility, interest rate expectations, and geopolitical risks [3][4]. - The divergence between U.S. and European stock markets exemplifies this, where the S&P 500 is buoyed by strong technology sector performance, while European indices are pressured by tariff concerns and energy price shocks [3]. Data Tools and Decision-Making - Investors must leverage advanced data tools like LSEG Workspace and StarMine to filter market noise and extract actionable insights, enabling them to make informed decisions in volatile markets [4][5]. - The ability to focus on critical information and utilize refined data-driven signals is increasingly valuable, as it helps identify potential opportunities during market dislocations [5]. Strategic Adjustments - Recognizing market dynamics is crucial, but the ability to act under pressure is equally important. Tariff policy adjustments can have complex ripple effects across industries and asset classes [6]. - Integrated decision-making environments, such as LSEG Workspace, allow investors to analyze and adjust strategies without switching systems, enhancing agility in responding to market changes [6]. Maintaining a Competitive Edge - Market volatility is expected to persist, and investors must build processes, utilize appropriate tools, and apply precise insights to turn market complexities into competitive advantages [7]. - The ultimate winners in this rapidly changing market will be those who can accurately determine where to allocate funds and seize the best timing for action [7].
2025年塑造金融分析的关键趋势
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-06-16 04:17
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that AI is transforming the financial analysis landscape by enhancing automation, predictive capabilities, and personalized insights, which are crucial for navigating the complexities of the financial market in 2025 [4][5]. Group 1: AI Integration in Financial Analysis - AI is no longer a future concept but a key element in financial analysis, expected to play a significant role in automating complex tasks, improving decision-making, and providing real-time insights by 2025 [5]. - LSEG's analysis business is at the forefront of integrating AI into financial analysis, offering various AI-driven solutions, including an AI analysis assistant and predictive AI models like StarMine and Yield Book [6]. Group 2: Political Landscape and Regulatory Changes - Political uncertainty continues to drive market volatility, with the potential for significant fluctuations in interest rates, currency values, and stock prices due to policy shifts and international trade disputes [7]. - The Trump administration's regulatory rollbacks aim to stimulate economic growth, particularly in the financial sector, but may also introduce new risks by weakening investor protections [8]. Group 3: Real-Time Risk Management - The demand for intraday analysis is increasing, as financial professionals require real-time monitoring and assessment of risks rather than waiting for end-of-day reports [11]. - LSEG provides over 200 real-time curves covering government bonds and swap curves, enhancing clients' ability to assess mortgage holdings' risk multiple times a day [11]. Group 4: Client Solutions and Support - LSEG's solutions cater to various client types, including traders, portfolio managers, and risk management professionals, offering tools for pricing, performance insights, and regulatory compliance [20][21][24].
最后报名机会 | LSEG 2025市场展望论坛
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-04-07 03:31
LSEG 2025市场展望论坛 即将于4月10日星期四亮相沪上 26位行业专家将围绕七大话题展开讨论 LSEG品牌及旗下六大业务精彩呈现 把握最后报名机会,加入LSEG年度盛会! 扫描上方或海报 末尾 二维码 即可报名 * 报名需要审核,审核结果以报名成功邮件为准。 席位有限,先到先得 延续年度市场展望论坛的传统 邀请来自银行、券商、保险、 资管、金融科技、企业等 各金融领域的重量级嘉宾, 一同展望2025年中国市场 活动议程 13:00 - 13:30 签到 13:30 - 13:40 开幕致辞 2025中国市场复苏:金融科技与数据发展的新机遇 David Day LSEG亚太区总裁 13:40 - 14:00 主题演讲 つへとケーコロスマガリサイトを出張 LULO 牛 広 枕 红 小 T / 分 刀 们 - 以 内 用 鲁政委 兴业银行首席经济学家 兴业研究学术评审委员会主席 14:00 - 14:30 圆桌论坛一 低利率环境下的大类资产配置 李刘阳 中金公司研究部 杨 京 渣打银行(中国)有限公司副行长 外汇研究首席分析师,董事总经理 金融市场部总经理及战略产品发展总监 刘 杨 浙商中拓集团股份有限公司 ...
论坛新看点 | LSEG 2025市场展望论坛
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-04-03 02:46
LSEG 2025市场展望论坛有哪些新变化? 即刻报名,获取您的专属参会席位, 精彩的专家分享及有趣互动等您来参加! 扫描上方或海报 末尾 二维码 即可报名 * 报名需要审核,审核结果以报名成功邮件为准。 席位有限,先到先得 LSEG所有 子业务及核心产品 将同时亮相会场 您可以与LSEG来自 全球的市场及产品专家 面对面交流 活动现场还设有互动小游戏, 多样神秘礼品 等您来领取 首次设置 大宗商品分会 ,聚焦商品市场波动及对冲策略 LSEG集团旗舰活动 连续14届精彩不断 延续年度市场展望论坛的传统 邀请来自银行、券商、保险、 资管、金融科技、企业等 各金融领域的重量级嘉宾, 一同展望2025年中国市场 活动议程 13:00 - 13:30 签到 13:30 - 13:40 开幕致辞 2025中国市场复苏:金融科技与数据发展的新机遇 David Dav TL + 13:40 - 14:00 主题演讲 LSEULALAN 2025年宏观经济形势分析与政策前瞻 刘 杨 金融市场业务部总经理 鲁政委 兴业银行首席经济学家 兴业研究学术评审委员会主席 14:00 - 14:30 圆桌论坛一 低利率环境下的大类资产配 ...
报名倒计时|大宗商品分论坛
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-04-01 09:06
LSEG首次在年度市场展望论坛中 开设大宗商品分会, 诚挚邀请您加入我们的深入交流 4月10日,上海,与您相见! 扫描上方或海报 末尾 二维码 即可报名 * 报名需要审核,审核结果以报名成功邮件为准。 席位有限,先到先得。 关于LSEG:伦敦证券交易所集团 伦敦证券交易所集团(LSEG)是全球领先的金融市场基础设施和数据提供商,我们运营的互联业务为整个金融市 场价值链的客户提供服务。 凭借在数据、指数和分析、资本形成、交易执行、清算和风险管理等方面的能力,我们在全球金融生态体系的核心 领域经营业务,并帮助我们的客户及其社区能够获得持续的增长和稳定。 我们的五大业务部门—— 数据和分析、富时罗素、风险情报、资本市场 和 交易后 ——通力协作,使客户在整个交 易生命周期都能无缝进入全球金融市场。 LSEG总部位于伦敦,业务遍布欧洲、美洲、亚太和新兴市场,具有广泛影响力。 风险情报 我们的主营业务 数据与分析 全球领先的金融信息提供商之一,提供高价值的数据、分析、指数、市场监控和解决方案,以管理风险、工作流和 数据。 我们每天通过Workspace、YieldBook、StarMine、理柏和Data Scope等 ...