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华泰证券今日早参-20250724
HTSC· 2025-07-24 02:23
Group 1: Strategy Insights - The "anti-involution" theme is gradually forming, supported by policies such as the commencement of the Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project and restrictions on overproduction in the coal industry [2][3] - The report suggests focusing on three investment strategies: 1) low-value, low-chips, high-dividend sectors like building materials and chemicals; 2) sectors with natural capacity clearance signs such as wind power and agricultural chemicals; 3) sectors like photovoltaics that have already priced in pessimistic expectations [2][3] Group 2: Industry Analysis - The engineering tire industry is expected to benefit from the Yarlung Zangbo River hydropower project, which will promote a new wave of supply chain autonomy, allowing domestic companies to penetrate a high-profit market worth billions [3] - The report highlights the potential for new billion-dollar products in the soft drink industry, driven by changing consumer preferences towards health and functionality, indicating a shift from volume-driven growth to structural upgrades [9] Group 3: Company Performance - ASMPT reported a revenue of HKD 3.4 billion for Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with orders amounting to HKD 3.75 billion, reflecting a 20.2% year-on-year growth [11] - Bilibili is expected to achieve a revenue of CNY 7.35 billion in Q2 2025, representing a 20% year-on-year increase, with a focus on new game releases and advertising growth [12] - QuanFeng Holdings anticipates a net profit of USD 90 million to 100 million for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 46% to 62%, driven by the growth of its EGO brand and strategic asset divestitures [17] Group 4: Market Trends - The report indicates that the Hong Kong asset revaluation is entering a new phase, with external disturbances diminishing and relative expectations improving, suggesting a potential early start for the third round of the Hong Kong stock market rally [7] - The report emphasizes that the overall market is expected to reach new heights in the second half of the year, supported by favorable domestic policies and easing pressures [7]