中金发布研报称，维持TCL电子(01070)2025/2026年盈利预测不变，引入2027年归母净利润32.35亿港 元。当前股价对应9.9x/8.5x2026/2027年P/E。维持跑赢行业评级，考虑跨年估值切换，该行上调目标价 24.6%至14.7港元，对应13.4x/11.5x2025/2026年P/E，涨幅空间35%。 坚定全球化、高端化战略方向，核心业务持续有质量增长 尽管市场环境波动，TCL依然坚持高端化、大尺寸方向，拉动内销盈利持续改善。4Q25TCL系彩电线 上、线下零售均价分别同比+23%/+3%，明显好于行业。该行预计4Q25公司内销彩电出货量在结构升级 拉动下盈利压力相对有限。根据群智咨询预测，2025年全球TV出货量2.21亿台，同比-0.7%；但TCL TV 出货量达3041万台，同比+5.4%，排名第二。公司在北美持续推进渠道转型、产品结构升级，在欧洲积 极拓展渠道覆盖率，拉动海外业务逆势增长。 中金主要观点如下： 预测2025年盈利同比增长45%~60% 公司公告：1)2025年TCL电子经调整归母净利润23.3亿港元~25.7亿港元，同比增长45%~60%，盈利区间 的中枢超过 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，维持TCL电子(01070)2025/2026年盈利预测不变，引入2027年归 母净利润32.35亿港元。当前股价对应9.9x/8.5x 2026/2027年P/E。维持跑赢行业评级，考虑跨年估值切 换，该行上调目标价24.6%至14.7港元，对应13.4x/11.5x 2025/2026年P/E，涨幅空间35%。 预测2025年盈利同比增长45%~60% 公司公告：1)2025年TCL电子经调整归母净利润23.3亿港元~25.7亿港元，同比增长45%~60%，盈利区间 的中枢超过股权激励目标(23.28亿港元)。2)公司与索尼正在洽谈意向合作，包括可能与索尼成立合资公 司以承接其家庭娱乐业务。 坚定全球化、高端化战略方向，核心业务持续有质量增长 尽管市场环境波动，TCL依然坚持高端化、大尺寸方向，拉动内销盈利持续改善。4Q25 TCL系彩电线 上、线下零售均价分别同比+23%/+3%，明显好于行业。该行预计4Q25公司内销彩电出货量在结构升级 拉动下盈利压力相对有限。根据群智咨询预测，2025年全球TV出货量2.21亿台，同比-0.7%；但TCL TV 出货量达3041万 ...

Core Viewpoint - TCL Electronics' stock rose over 6%, reaching HKD 10.34, with a trading volume of HKD 109 million, driven by strong TV shipment growth and innovative product launches [1] Group 1: Shipment and Sales Performance - In Q3 2025, TCL's global TV shipments reached 7.61 million units, contributing to a total of 21.08 million units for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [1] - TCL's Mini LED TV shipments saw a significant year-on-year increase of 153.3%, totaling 2.24 million units in the first three quarters [1] - The optimization of product structure led to a sales revenue growth of 8.7% for TCL TVs in the first three quarters, outpacing shipment growth [1] Group 2: Product Innovation - In September, TCL launched the world's first TV with an integrated Google AI assistant, Gemini, which features a self-developed AI image quality chip for enhanced picture detail, color performance, and dynamic effects [1] - The new product also offers active AI services, acting as a smart home control center, supporting schedule displays, news summaries, and device interconnectivity [1] Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - Pacific Securities highlighted TCL Electronics as a leading player in the global TV industry, with increasing market share in smart screens and mid-to-high-end large screen products, alongside robust profitability in its internet business [1] - The company is experiencing rapid growth in innovative sectors such as solar energy and comprehensive marketing, while its brand strength continues to improve [1] - According to招商证券, the long-term outlook for TCL is positive, with expectations for continued growth in global high-end market share, advantages in global supply chain layout, and expansion in innovative business areas [1]

Core Viewpoint - TCL Electronics has shown significant growth in TV shipments and sales, driven by product innovation and market expansion, particularly in the high-end segment [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - As of the latest report, TCL's global TV shipments reached 7.61 million units in Q3 2025, contributing to a total of 21.08 million units for the first three quarters, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.3% [1]. - The global shipment of TCL Mini LED TVs surged by 153.3% year-on-year to 2.24 million units in the same period [1]. - The sales revenue growth for TCL TVs outpaced shipment growth, increasing by 8.7% year-on-year due to product mix optimization [1]. Group 2: Product Innovation - In September, TCL launched the world's first TV with an integrated Google AI assistant, Gemini, which features a self-developed AI picture quality chip for enhanced image detail, color performance, and dynamic effects [1]. - The new product also offers active AI services, acting as a smart home control center, supporting schedule displays, news summaries, and device interconnectivity [1]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - TCL is recognized as a leading player in the global TV industry, with increasing market share in smart screens and high-end large-screen products [2]. - The company is experiencing robust profitability in its internet business, alongside rapid growth in innovative sectors such as solar energy and comprehensive marketing strategies [2]. - TCL's strategic investments in AI hardware, including smart glasses and companion robots, are expected to enhance long-term business development [2].

Core Viewpoint - TCL Electronics reported a 5.3% year-on-year increase in global TV shipments for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 21.08 million units, with significant growth in Mini LED TV shipments and overall sales revenue [2][3]. Group 1: Global TV Shipment Data - In Q3 2025, TCL's global TV shipments reached 7.61 million units, contributing to a total of 21.08 million units for the first three quarters [2]. - Mini LED TV shipments increased by 153.3% year-on-year to 2.24 million units, accounting for 11.4% of total shipments [4][6]. - The average screen size of TCL TVs increased by 1.6 inches to 53.6 inches, with a sales price increase of 3.2% year-on-year [3]. Group 2: Market Segmentation - The share of 65-inch and larger TVs in global shipments rose to 29.0%, up from 24.3% year-on-year, with a 25.8% increase in shipments [3]. - In the international market, shipments of 65-inch and larger TVs grew by 44.6%, while 75-inch and larger TVs saw a 61.8% increase [4][5]. - In the Chinese market, despite a 4.1% decline in overall TV shipments, Mini LED TV shipments grew by 80.6%, with a market share increase to 20.6% [6]. Group 3: Revenue and Pricing Trends - Overall TV sales revenue increased by 8.7% year-on-year for the first three quarters, with a notable 14.2% increase in Q3 [2][5]. - The average selling price in the international market rose by 4.5%, with a significant increase of over 15.0% in North America due to improved product mix [5]. - In Europe, TCL TV shipments grew by 20.0% year-on-year, with Q3 growth exceeding 30% [5].

Core Viewpoint - TCL Electronics reported a 5.3% year-on-year increase in global TV shipments for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching a total of 21.08 million units [1] Group 1: Shipment Data - In Q3 2025, TCL's global TV shipments reached 7.61 million units, contributing to the total shipments for the first three quarters [1] - The total shipment volume for the first three quarters of 2025 was 21.08 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [1] Group 2: Product Performance - TCL's Mini LED TV shipments saw a significant increase of 153.3% year-on-year, totaling 2.24 million units in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - The optimization of product structure led to an 8.7% year-on-year increase in sales revenue for TCL TVs, outpacing the growth in shipment volume [1]

Core Viewpoint - TCL Electronics has reported a significant increase in TV shipments and sales for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by a focus on high-end and large-screen products, particularly Mini LED TVs, which saw a remarkable growth in global shipments. Group 1: Shipment and Sales Performance - In Q3 2025, TCL's global TV shipments reached 7.61 million units, contributing to a total of 21.08 million units for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.3% [1] - The sales revenue for TCL TVs grew by 8.7% year-on-year in the first three quarters, outpacing the shipment growth [1] - Mini LED TV shipments surged by 153.3% year-on-year to 2.24 million units in the first three quarters [1][3] Group 2: Product Strategy and Market Positioning - The "mid-to-high-end + large-screen" strategy has led to an increase in the proportion of large-screen products, with shipments of 65-inch and above TVs growing by 25.8% year-on-year [2] - The average size of TCL TVs increased by 1.6 inches to 53.6 inches, and the average selling price rose by 3.2% year-on-year [2] - TCL's Mini LED TV accounted for 11.4% of total shipments, up 6.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] Group 3: International Market Expansion - TCL's international TV shipments grew by 7.9% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with significant increases in large-screen and mid-to-high-end segments [4] - In the international market, shipments of 65-inch and above TVs increased by 44.6%, while 75-inch and above TVs saw a growth of 61.8% [4] - The introduction of the TCL QM9K, featuring built-in Google AI, enhances the product ecosystem and positions TCL as a leader in smart TV technology [4] Group 4: Regional Performance - In Europe, TCL TV shipments increased by 20.0% year-on-year, with significant growth in the mid-to-high-end segment [5] - North America saw a notable improvement in shipment structure, with 65-inch and above TV shipments growing by 29.1% and Mini LED TV shipments increasing by 384.5% [6] - In China, despite a 4.1% decline in overall shipments, Mini LED TV shipments grew by 80.6%, indicating strong demand for high-end products [7] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company aims to continue its dual strategy of "mid-to-high-end + globalization," enhancing brand strength and increasing R&D investment to solidify its position in the high-end market [7]

Core Insights - TCL Electronics reported robust performance in the first half of 2025, achieving a revenue of HKD 54.78 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.4% [2][3] - The company demonstrated strong growth in both core and innovative businesses, with net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 67.8% to HKD 10.9 billion [2][3] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached HKD 54,777 million, compared to HKD 45,494 million in 2024, marking a 20.4% increase [3] - Gross profit increased by 16% to HKD 8,366 million, while profit after tax surged by 60.5% to HKD 1,048 million [3] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 62% to HKD 1,060 million [3] Core Business Growth - The display business, a key competitive advantage, saw revenue growth of 10.9% to HKD 33,419 million, with gross profit up 11.4% to HKD 5,197 million [3] - Global shipments of TCL TVs increased by 7.6% to 13.46 million units, maintaining a top position in global TV shipments [3] - Mini LED TV shipments surged by 176.1% to 1.37 million units, highlighting TCL's leadership in high-end display technology [3] Internet and Innovative Business - Internet business revenue reached HKD 1,458 million, a 20.3% increase, with a gross margin improvement to 54.4% [4] - Innovative business revenue grew by 42.4% to HKD 19,875 million, with solar business revenue and gross profit increasing by 111.3% and 98.5%, respectively [4] - The company launched several new products in smart connectivity and smart home sectors, further expanding its market presence [4] R&D Investment - TCL Electronics increased its R&D expenditure to HKD 1,154 million, a 5.6% year-on-year rise, emphasizing its commitment to high-end display technology and AI [4] - The company introduced innovative products such as the fourth-generation LED TV and various AR/XR smart glasses, showcasing its technological prowess [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for TCL Electronics is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The report highlights that TCL Electronics achieved a revenue of HKD 54.777 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached HKD 1.09 billion, a significant increase of 67.8% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 1.06 billion, up 62.0% year-on-year [4][6]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - The display business continues to improve, with TCL TV global shipments reaching 13.46 million units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%. Mini LED TV shipments surged by 176.1% to 1.37 million units, maintaining the global leading position. In the Chinese market, the high-end strategy has shown significant results, with Mini LED TV shipments' market share increasing by 12.6 percentage points to 21.2% [7][8]. - The international market for TCL TVs saw a year-on-year shipment increase of 8.7%, with Mini LED TV shipments growing by 196.8%. In North America, while total shipments declined, the product structure improved significantly, with shipments of TVs larger than 65 inches increasing by 60.5% [7][8]. Financial Metrics - The overall gross margin for the company decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 15.3%, primarily due to the increased revenue share from the lower-margin solar business. However, the gross margin for the display business improved by 0.1 percentage points to 15.6% due to the advancement of the high-end strategy and product structure optimization [7][8]. - The report indicates that the overall expense ratio decreased by 1.0 percentage points to 11.5%, with sales and distribution expenses decreasing by 1.1 percentage points to 7.3% [7][8]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the black electrical appliance industry continues to present structural opportunities. TCL is expected to expand its global market share in black electrical appliances, enhance the proportion of high-end products, and optimize operational efficiency to achieve high profit growth. The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are HKD 2.405 billion, HKD 2.868 billion, and HKD 3.386 billion, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.17, 8.53, and 7.22 [7][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for TCL Electronics is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5][4]. Core Views - TCL Electronics is a leading player in the global TV industry, with a focus on high-end products and global operations driving steady market share expansion [4]. - The company has shown strong revenue growth in various segments, particularly in the display business and internet services, indicating robust operational performance [2][3]. - The strategic focus on cost control and efficiency improvements has led to enhanced profitability, with adjusted net profit showing significant year-on-year growth [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, TCL Electronics reported revenue of HKD 54.78 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%, and an adjusted net profit of HKD 1.06 billion, up 62% [1]. - The display business generated revenue of HKD 33.42 billion, with significant contributions from large-size displays and smart commercial displays [2]. Business Segments - The display segment saw a revenue increase of 10.9%, with large-size displays growing by 9.4% and smart commercial displays by 9.4% [2]. - Internet business revenue rose by 20.3% to HKD 1.46 billion, with overseas revenue increasing by 46.3% [2]. - The photovoltaic business experienced remarkable growth, with revenue up 111.3% to HKD 11.14 billion [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 15.3%, slightly down by 0.6 percentage points due to a higher proportion of low-margin photovoltaic business [3]. - The company effectively reduced its overall expense ratio, leading to an increase in adjusted net profit margin by 0.5 percentage points to 1.9% [3]. Future Outlook - TCL Electronics is actively expanding into new business areas such as smart glasses and companion robots, with significant market share achievements in these segments [3]. - The company is expected to maintain strong growth in adjusted net profit, projected at HKD 2.34 billion, HKD 2.84 billion, and HKD 3.35 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4].