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东吴证券晨会纪要-20250904
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-04 01:58
Macro Strategy - The domestic economy is expected to face slight pressure in the second half of the year, but the annual growth target of 5% remains achievable, supported by policy measures such as a 500 billion yuan financial tool and consumer incentives [21][22] - Key risks include the potential decline in exports, pressure on consumption growth, and a slowdown in real estate investment, which may have a greater impact on the economy in the latter half of the year [21][22] Fixed Income - The report discusses why domestic commercial banks are unlikely to reduce their balance sheets, citing factors such as the need to support the economy during a slowdown, the current accommodative monetary policy, and the role of state-owned banks in financing key sectors [2][24] - The report emphasizes that the probability of a sector-wide balance sheet reduction is low, although some smaller banks may face pressure to do so [2][24] Industry Analysis - The report on FuChuang Precision (688409) maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 320 million, 480 million, and 650 million yuan, respectively, with a "buy" rating due to long-term growth potential despite short-term pressures [4] - LiBert (605167) experienced revenue pressure in the first half of the year, with a focus on expanding into new industries, leading to a revised profit forecast of 232 million and 264 million yuan for 2025-2026 [5] - JianLang Hardware (002791) is adjusting profit forecasts to 175 million, 272 million, and 328 million yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating based on expected recovery and operational adjustments [6] - HuaFeng Measurement and Control (688200) maintains profit forecasts of 460 million, 540 million, and 600 million yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating due to strong demand in the high-end testing market [7] - FuBo Group (03738.HK) is positioned well in the AI-driven content industry, with profit forecasts of 230 million, 310 million, and 390 million HKD for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [8] - YiXin Group (02858.HK) is expected to achieve net profits of 1.126 billion, 1.398 billion, and 1.701 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating based on competitive advantages in automotive finance [9] - ZhongKe International (688981) is highlighted as a leading player in the semiconductor industry, with a focus on advanced process technology [9] - The report on Tianqi Lithium (002466) adjusts profit forecasts to 450 million, 860 million, and 1.44 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating based on resource advantages [16] - The report on Jidong Cement (000401) indicates a significant reduction in losses and improved profitability, with revised profit forecasts of 270 million and 590 million yuan for 2025-2026 [11][14]
阜博集团(03738):2025年半年报点评:收入稳健增长,净利润同比大增
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-03 09:32
证券研究报告·海外公司点评·软件服务(HS) 阜博集团(03738.HK) 2025 年半年报点评:收入稳健增长,净利润 同比大增 买入(维持) | Table_EPS] [盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万港元) | 2,001 | 2,401 | 3,010 | 3,680 | 4,320 | | 同比(%) | 38.70 | 20.01 | 25.36 | 22.25 | 17.39 | | 归母净利润(百万港元) | (7.82) | 142.73 | 191.28 | 260.12 | 335.89 | | 同比(%) | (118.61) | 1,925.62 | 34.02 | 35.99 | 29.13 | | Non-IFRS 净利润(百万港元) | 37.41 | 179.67 | 233.58 | 310.03 | 394.17 | | 同比(%) | (58.38) | 380.25 | 30.01 | 32.73 | 27 ...
阜博集团(03738.HK):开发两大平台 打造创意产业AI应用的商业化引擎
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-31 10:47
机构:国盛证券 研究员:顾晟/刘书含 Vobile MAX 集成了确权、分润与交易的基础设施,确保权利清晰、价值可证。全球多个国家和地区正 积极推进稳定币和实体资产上链(RWA)的应用,Vobile MAX平台将在数字资产的全流通与高效交易中 获得广阔的发展空间。DreamMaker 作为开放的创作者社群入口,将多模态AI 创作能力与Vobile MAX 的多平台分发无缝联接,形成创作与变现的共生业态并达成网络效应。该平台构建在英伟达Media2的 生态系统上,整合文本生成影片、图像生成影片、音乐制作与配乐等多模态能力,提供给创作者多样化 的创作工具。 盈利预测:公司持续升级产品与技术,打造AI 在创意产业应用的商业化引擎,因此我们上调公司盈利 预测, 预计公司2025-2027 年分别实现营收30.00/37.90/49.90 亿港元,实现归母净利润2.37/3.51/5.30 亿 港元,对应PS5.2/4.1/3.1x,维持"买入"评级。 风险提示:国内业务增长不及预期,市场竞争加剧,新技术发展不及预期。 (YoY+2.9pct);实现归母净利润1.01 亿港元,YoY+118.6%,净利率为7.0%(Y ...