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Where Do Gold Prices Go From Here? Here's What Experts Say
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 23:30
Core Insights - The price of gold has experienced significant fluctuations, reaching a high of $4,360 per troy ounce on October 20, before dropping to $3,970 and then rebounding to around $4,260 recently, indicating ongoing volatility in the market [2][3][7] - Analysts suggest that despite the end of the federal government shutdown, the demand for gold remains strong due to economic uncertainty and potential political risks, with UBS projecting a possible price increase to $4,700 if risks escalate [3][4][7] Investment Demand - There has been a notable increase in investment demand for gold, particularly from North American exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have significantly boosted trading volumes [3][8] - U.S. gold trading volume reached a record high of $208 billion per day in October, with a 59% increase in September and a further 51% rise in October, driven primarily by ETF demand [8] Market Environment - The current market environment remains uncertain, with potential for further government shutdowns and legal challenges to tariff policies, which could sustain support for gold prices [9][10] - UBS anticipates that global gold demand could reach its highest level since 2011 due to factors such as potential interest rate cuts, a weakening U.S. dollar, and high levels of global government debt [11] Retail Demand - Retail demand for gold has shown improvement, particularly for gold bars in the U.S., with reports of strong sales from retailers like Costco, driven by consumer trust and stable pricing in a rising market [12]
The Shutdown Is Over. Winter Is Usually Good For Stocks.
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 22:30
Core Insights - The stock market faced a decline despite the end of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropping over 2% [1][3] - The reopening of the federal government is expected to alleviate economic pressures from over 1 million federal workers who were unpaid during the shutdown [2] - Concerns about an AI bubble and fading expectations for a December rate cut are contributing to the downturn in tech stocks [4][8] Market Performance - Historically, the end of government shutdowns has been positive for stock performance, with the S&P 500 typically rising more in the one- and three-month periods following a budget resolution [5] - November has been the best month for the S&P 500 on average since 2000, with December often seeing a "Santa Claus rally" [6] AI Bubble Concerns - Investors are increasingly worried that excessive spending on data centers is leading to an unsustainable AI boom, with significant drops in stocks of major AI beneficiaries like Nvidia and Palantir [9] - OpenAI is valued at $500 billion despite not expecting to turn a profit until 2029, while Palantir trades at approximately 240 times forward earnings [9] - Major tech companies are planning to invest hundreds of billions in AI infrastructure, raising skepticism among investors regarding the gap between AI spending and revenue [10] Federal Reserve and Economic Data - The end of the government shutdown has delayed crucial economic data, leaving uncertainty about inflation and labor market conditions, which could impact Federal Reserve policy decisions [10][11] - The likelihood of a December rate cut has decreased significantly, with current odds at 47%, down from 96% a month ago [11]
Worried About an AI Bubble? Here Are BofA's Top Stock Picks to Diversify Your Portfolio
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 22:30
Core Insights - Bank of America has identified AT&T among 16 stocks recommended for investors seeking diversification away from AI-related investments [1][8] - The selected stocks are believed to be undervalued, have seen profit estimates raised in the last three months, and are trading at least 10% below their 52-week highs [2][8] Consumer-Focused Stocks - Notable companies include AT&T, Walt Disney Co., Dollar General, and Viking Holdings, which are familiar to American consumers [4][8] - Disney is expected to benefit from its sports offerings and theme parks, while AT&T has exceeded phone subscriber estimates, indicating potential growth [5][8] Financial and Logistics Stocks - KeyCorp and Progressive are highlighted, with Progressive showing strong positive revisions in earnings per share estimates [10] - BGC Group is noted for its dominant position in energy derivatives, and J.B. Hunt Transport Services is recognized for effective cost-cutting measures [11] Industrial and Energy Stocks - Analysts have identified natural gas and energy stocks like Eversource Energy and Oneok, along with Freeport-McMoRan, which is expected to recover from recent operational issues [12] - Industrial firms such as Amcor are considered undervalued following recent acquisitions and leadership changes [13]
S&P 500 Gains and Losses Today: Disney Drops After Sales Miss; Cisco Stock Climbs
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 22:30
Group 1: Disney Performance - Disney's shares dropped 7.8% despite exceeding profit forecasts for its fiscal fourth quarter, as revenue fell short of expectations [4][8] - The decline in Disney's stock was attributed to underperformance in its linear TV business, with domestic networks revenue and operating income significantly decreasing compared to the previous year [4][8] Group 2: Other Market Movements - Major U.S. equity indexes, including the Dow and S&P 500, fell 1.7%, while the Nasdaq dropped 2.3% following the reopening of the government [2] - Tesla's shares fell nearly 7% due to a steep year-over-year decline in sales in China, indicating competitive pressures in the auto market [5] - Cisco Systems saw its shares rise about 5% after reporting better-than-expected sales and profit, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure [6][8] - Shares of Albemarle, the largest lithium miner, increased close to 4% after UBS raised its price target, with mine closures in China potentially supporting stronger lithium pricing [9]
What 'Better Things' Does Investor Michael Burry of 'The Big Short' Have Planned Next?
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 20:10
Michael Burry is known for his big, and successful, bet against the U.S. housing market. Tony Avelar / Bloomberg via Getty Images Close Key Takeaways One of the most-famous bearish investors of his time could be headed to "better things." Michael Burry—known for his bet against the U.S. housing market in the first decade of this millennium, but also for his portrayal by Christian Bale in the movie "The Big Short" and his branding on social media as "Cassandra," a seer of legend who bears the curse of not be ...
The Dow Hit 48000. Here's Why the Index Has Been Leading the Indexes Lately
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 19:05
Core Insights - The Dow Jones Industrial Average has reached a significant milestone, closing above 48,000 for the first time, marking its 17th record close of the year [2][7] - The Dow has recently outperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, particularly in the last two trading sessions and over the past month, despite lagging behind year-to-date [2][3][7] - Investors are shifting focus from tech stocks to other sectors, indicating a potential rotation towards value and high-quality stocks [4][6] Performance Analysis - The Dow's recent performance is attributed to a broader market interest beyond technology, as investors reassess their portfolios [3][5] - Notable performers in the Dow include Caterpillar, which has risen 53% due to its data-center positioning, and Goldman Sachs, up 44% [5] - The Dow's less tech-centric composition may contribute to its continued outperformance compared to the S&P 500, given the valuation disparities [5][6] Market Sentiment - The psychological significance of the Dow reaching 48,000 suggests a broadening market, moving away from a tech-dominated landscape [8] - Investment professionals indicate that the current market environment may favor sectors such as industrials, financials, energy, and healthcare as investors take profits from mega-cap tech stocks [6]
This Tech Stock Expert Just Got More Bullish About Nvidia Ahead of Earnings. Here's Why
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 18:20
Core Insights - Nvidia shares have increased nearly 40% in 2025, reflecting strong demand for its AI chips, despite recent pullbacks due to concerns over an AI bubble [1][8] - Oppenheimer analysts raised their price target for Nvidia from $225 to $265, citing the company's strong positioning in the AI market [1][8] - Nvidia is set to report its quarterly earnings next Wednesday, which could significantly impact the AI trade sentiment [4][5] Stock Performance - Nvidia shares were down 4% to around $186 recently, following a 44% gain since the beginning of the year, although they have declined from a record high of $212 [2][8] - The stock's performance has been influenced by broader tech sector trends, including a recent pullback amid fears of an AI bubble [3][5] Market Sentiment - There is growing skepticism in the market regarding AI stocks, as evidenced by muted reactions to strong earnings from competitors like AMD and declines in stocks like Palantir [3][5] - Despite this skepticism, most Wall Street analysts remain optimistic about Nvidia, with 13 out of 14 analysts rating it a "buy" and a mean target suggesting a 9% upside from recent closing prices [9]
Top Stock Movers Now: Cisco Systems, Walt Disney, Sealed Air, and More
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 17:25
Group 1: Market Overview - Major U.S. equities indexes experienced a decline, with technology shares significantly impacting the Nasdaq, which fell nearly 2% [1] - The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average also reported lower performance following the end of the longest federal shutdown in U.S. history [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Cisco Systems (CSCO) saw its stock surge over 4% after the company raised its full-year profit outlook [3] - The Walt Disney Co. (DIS) shares dropped 9% due to weaker-than-expected revenue, particularly in its linear TV networks business [2] - Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) stock fell 11% after the company revised its full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA forecasts downward [2] - WEBTOON Entertainment (WBTN) shares plummeted 25% after projecting a decline in fourth-quarter revenue [2] - Sealed Air (SEE) shares soared 19% following reports of potential talks with private-equity firm Clayton Dubilier & Rice for a private acquisition [3] - Firefly Aerospace (FLY) shares jumped 17% after posting better-than-expected results and a positive full-year revenue projection [3] Group 3: Commodity and Currency Movements - Oil futures rose nearly 1%, trading just above $59 per barrel [3] - Gold futures remained relatively unchanged at around $4,200 per ounce [3] - The yield on the 10-year Treasury note increased to 4.10% [3] - The U.S. dollar weakened against the euro, pound, and yen [3] - Cryptocurrency prices were mixed, with Bitcoin trading under $101,000 [3]
Disney Tops Profit Estimates But Revenue Falls Short as Linear TV Struggles Continue
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 13:25
Core Insights - The Walt Disney Co. reported better-than-expected profits for Q4 of fiscal year 2025, but revenue fell short of analysts' forecasts, leading to a decline in share prices [2][7]. Financial Performance - Q4 revenue was $22.46 billion, slightly down year-over-year and below the consensus estimate of $22.75 billion [2]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.11, a 3% decline but above analysts' expectations [2][7]. - Direct-to-consumer segment revenue, which includes streaming services like Hulu, ESPN, and Disney+, grew 8% to $6.25 billion, although it was below expectations [3][7]. Subscriber Metrics - Disney+ had 132 million subscribers at the end of the quarter, while combined subscribers for Disney+ and Hulu reached 196 million, both exceeding expectations [3][7]. Linear TV Business - The linear TV segment faced challenges, with domestic networks revenue and operating income dropping 16% and 21%, respectively, attributed to declining viewership and lower advertising revenue [4][7]. Future Outlook - Disney forecasts double-digit adjusted EPS growth for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 and plans to double its stock buyback target to $7 billion for fiscal 2026 [7][8]. Industry Context - Disney is currently involved in a carriage dispute with YouTube TV, affecting the availability of channels like ESPN and ABC, but negotiations are reportedly gaining momentum [10].
The Cities That Give You the Best Shot at a $100K Salary—And Where Your Money Will Go the Furthest
Investopedia· 2025-11-13 04:30
Core Insights - The article discusses how geographic location significantly influences the potential for earning a six-figure salary in the U.S. [2][4] - A study by ScoutLogic analyzed nearly 40 metropolitan areas to identify where high-paying jobs are most accessible, considering factors like job market strength, salary growth, and living costs [3][5] Summary by Sections Salary Potential by Location - Certain metropolitan areas, particularly those with strong tech, government, and corporate sectors, offer more opportunities for six-figure salaries [4][6] - The study emphasizes that while location is crucial, the demand for specific skills also plays a significant role in salary potential [6][7] Top Metropolitan Areas for Six-Figure Salaries - The top five metropolitan areas identified for six-figure salary opportunities are: 1. San Jose, CA - 64.7% of jobs pay over $100K, with a median household income of $157,444 and a salary growth rate of 6.5% [8][11] 2. San Francisco, CA - 59.8% of jobs pay over $100K, median income of $133,780, and a growth rate of 2.8% [8][11] 3. Denver, CO - 18.4% of jobs pay over $100K, median income of $102,339, and a growth rate of 5.4% [9][11] 4. Washington, D.C. - 26.4% of jobs pay over $100K, median income of $123,896, and a growth rate of 2.3% [9][11] 5. Portland, OR-WA - 13.2% of jobs pay over $100K, median income of $94,573, and a growth rate of 5.7% [10][11] Comparison of Other Major Metros - Other notable metropolitan areas include Boston and Seattle, which have a higher percentage of six-figure jobs but rank lower due to higher living costs [12][11] - San Diego, Charlotte, and Salt Lake City also feature in the top 10, balancing income potential with moderate living expenses [13][11] Detailed Data on Salary Opportunities - The article provides a detailed table of various metropolitan areas, showing the percentage of jobs paying over $100K, median household income, salary growth rates, estimated monthly costs, and overall six-figure opportunity scores [13][14]