[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 中煤能源(601898.SH) 2024年04月25日 中煤能源：产销下滑拖累业绩， 买入（维持） 所属行业：煤炭 产业布局成长可期 当前价格(元)：11.24 证券分析师 投资要点 翟堃 资格编号：s0120523050002 事件：公司发布2024年度一季度业绩报告。公司一季度实现营业收入453.95亿，  邮箱：zhaikun＠tebon.com.cn 同比-23.27%；归母净利润 49.7 亿元，同比-30.55%；扣非归母净利润 48.92 亿 薛磊 元，同比-31.42%。 资格编号：S0120524020001 邮箱：xuelei＠tebon.com.cn 煤炭业务：商品煤产销下滑，价格回落。2024年一季度，公司商品煤产量/销量为  研究助理 3273/6387万吨，同比-1.71%/-14.58%，其中自产商品煤销量 3231万吨，同比- 0.8%；贸易煤销量 2973 万吨，同比-24.37%。2024 年一季度，公司自产煤售价 谢佶圆 为 598元/吨，同比-10.88%；吨煤成本 290.97元，同比+6.76%；吨煤毛利 3 ...

Investment Rating - The coal industry is rated as "Outperforming the Market" [2][21]. Core Viewpoints - In Q1 2024, the coal sector showed significant excess returns, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index with a rise of 10.46% compared to the index's 2.23%, resulting in an excess return of 8.24 percentage points [8][10]. - The coal sector's holdings in public funds remain low at 1.44%, with a slight increase in the allocation but an expanded underweight position [10][21]. - Long-term holding of coal stocks has proven to be significantly rewarding, with an average compound return of 9.4% since listing, and an expected average dividend yield of 6.5% as of April 24, 2024 [5][18][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Fund Holdings Overview - The coal industry demonstrated notable excess returns in Q1 2024, ranking third among Shenwan's primary industries with a 10.46% increase [8]. - The coal sector's holdings accounted for 1.44% of public fund assets, with a slight increase of 0.08 percentage points from the previous quarter [10]. - Shaanxi Coal and New Hope Energy saw the most significant increases in public fund holdings, with New Hope Energy experiencing a substantial increase of 2.35 million shares [15]. 2. Dividend Yield and Long-term Returns - The coal sector maintains a high dividend yield, with many companies reducing capital expenditures while still providing substantial cash dividends, leading to a decrease in overall debt [18]. - The average compound return for coal stocks, including capital gains and dividends, is 9.4%, with reinvested dividends yielding an average of 10.1% [20]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests three investment directions: 1. High-quality dividend stocks, such as Shaanxi Coal and Shanxi Coal International, which have strong long-term dividend capabilities [21]. 2. Dual-coke elasticity stocks, with recommendations for companies like Lu'an Energy and Pingmei Shenma Group, expected to rebound [21]. 3. Companies with production capacity releases, such as Huahua Energy and Guanghui Energy, which are anticipated to have stronger performance in the next cycle [21].

买入（维持） 证券分析师 闫广 资格编号：S0120521060002 邮箱：yanguang＠tebon.com.cn 王逸枫 资格编号：S0120524010004 邮箱：wangyf6＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------|----------------|--------------|-------| | -23% 2023-04 \n沪深 300 对比 | 2023-08 \n1M | 2023-12 \n2M | 3M | | 绝对涨幅 (%) | 2.38 | -2.08 | 8.55 | | 相对涨幅 (%) | 3.04 | -2.99 | 1.09 | | 资料来源：德邦研究所，聚源数据 | | | | | | | | | 1.《【德邦建材】兔宝宝（002043.SZ）： 业绩符合预期，渠道发力+经营改善有 望持续兑现》，2024.1.30 2.《兔宝宝（002043.SZ）：扩渠道、控 风 险 ， 经 营 质 量 持 续 提 升 》， 2023.10.27 3.《兔宝宝（ ...

所属行业：机械设备/专用设备 当前价格(元)：58.35 买入（维持） 陈蓉芳 -43% -34% -26% -17% -9% 0% 9% 17% 26% 2023-04 2023-08 2023-12 2024-04 芯碁微装 沪深300 相关研究 芯碁微装(688630.SH)：24Q1 营 收增长，泛半导体业务持续拓展 事件：4 月 23 日，芯碁微装发布 2023 年年报和 2024 年一季度报告。2023 年公 司实现营收 8.29 亿元，同比增长 27.07%；归母净利润为 1.79 亿元，同比增长 31.28%。2024 年第一季度公司实现营收 1.98 亿元，同比增长 26.26%；实现归 母净利润 0.40 亿元，同比增长 18.66%。 PCB 领域市占率不断提升，PCB 产业转移带来新的需求增量。公司直接成像设备 市场占有率不断提升，实现了 PCB 前 100 强客户全覆盖，深化与深南电路、生益 电子等客户合作，国际头部厂商鹏鼎控股订单良好，持续攻占高端市场。另外 PCB 产业向东南亚转移的趋势也将持续激发对 PCB 直写光刻设备的需求，当前公司产 品技术节点、品质要求均已达到全球领先水 ...

2024年4月24日 证券研究报告 | 行业深度 大交易频频，叶酸受体（FRα）ADC 有什么魅力？ ---靶点图鉴系列报告 证券分析师 姓名：李霁阳 资格编号：S0120523080003 邮箱：lijy7＠tebon.com.cn 0 FRα ADC获FDA完全批准，并购大交易引关注 ...

证券分析师 陈蓉芳 资格编号：S0120522060001 邮箱：chenrf＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 张威震 邮箱：zhangwz5＠tebon.com.cn 相关研究 事件：4 月 23 日，洁美科技发布 2024 年一季度报告。2024 年 Q1，公司实现营 收 3.63 亿元，同比增长 17.87%；实现归母净利润 5331 万元，同比增长 69.19%； 实现扣非后归母净利润 5274 万元，同比增长 70.39%。 投资建议：我们调整公司 2024 至 2026 年营业收入预测至 21.12 亿元/28.74 亿元 /37.89 亿元，调整公司归母净利润预测至 3.64 亿元/5.15 亿元/6.98 亿元，以 4 月 23 日收盘价计算，对应 2024 至 2026 远期 PE 分别为 23.53 倍/16.62 倍/12.28 倍，维持"买入"评级。 [Table_Finance] 主要财务数据及预测 2 / 4 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 公司点评 洁美科技（002859.SZ） 陈蓉芳，电子组长，南开大学本科，香港中文大学硕士，电子板块全覆盖，对于汽车电子、消费电子 ...

1. 产品更新换代不及预期 2. 行业出现新进入者，竞争加剧，转而侵蚀毛利率新产品渗透率不及预期 3. 新产品渗透率不及预期 请务必阅读正文后的信息披露和法律声明 19 / 21 公司首次覆盖 思维列控（603508.SH） | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------|-------|-------|-------------------------|-------|------------------------|-------|-------------------------|-------|-------| | 财务报表分析和预测 \n主要财务指标 | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 利润表（百万元） | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 每股指标 ( 元 ) | | | | | 营业总收入 | | 1,180 1,339 1,486 1,652 | | | | 每股收益 | | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhongtai Co., Ltd. (300435.SZ) [3] Core Views - The overseas market remains buoyant, and the company is expected to achieve significant growth in performance throughout 2024 [2][6] - The company reported a Q1 2024 revenue of 816 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.24%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 70 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.51% [2] - The company secured new orders worth 1.818 billion yuan in 2023, with overseas orders increasing by 335%, accounting for over 30% of new contracts [6][7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company’s stock price is currently at 13.67 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 10.78-15.25 yuan [3][12] - The absolute growth rates for the stock compared to the CSI 300 index show a decline of 34% as of April 2023 [5] Financial Data and Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.597 billion yuan, 4.007 billion yuan, and 4.388 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with growth rates of 18%, 11.4%, and 9.5% [8][12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 452 million yuan, 552 million yuan, and 630 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 29%, 22.2%, and 14.2% [8][12] Business Opportunities - The company is positioned to benefit from a new wave of equipment upgrades in the domestic market, driven by government policies promoting energy-efficient and environmentally friendly equipment [7] - The gas operation segment is improving, with a significant project in Shandong generating revenue of 48.24 million yuan in 2023 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jintian Co., Ltd. (601609.SH) [2][5] Core Views - The company's performance continues to improve, with copper processing production and sales reaching historical highs. The structure of flat wire products is continuously optimized, and capacity expansion is steadily advancing [2][4] - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 110.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 527 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.37% [4][18] - The company’s copper and copper alloy material production reached 1.9122 million tons in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 9.38%, with external sales of 1.8555 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 15.22% [4][18] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 128.573 billion yuan, 143.207 billion yuan, and 158.167 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 689 million yuan, 882 million yuan, and 1.04 billion yuan respectively [5][8] - The company’s P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are projected to be 13.37, 10.45, and 8.86 respectively [5][8] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 2.3% in 2023 to 2.5% in 2026 [8][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhongzhou Special Materials (300963.SZ) [10][19]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue increase of 24.42% year-on-year, reaching 1.085 billion yuan in 2023, while the net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 3.15% to 82.53 million yuan. However, the non-recurring net profit decreased by 4.49% to 74.41 million yuan [2]. - The subsidiary Jiangsu Xinzhongzhou faced profit pressure, with revenue increasing to 635.32 million yuan, up 29.5% from 2022, but net profit decreased by 63.1% to 7.75 million yuan due to price concessions on large orders and increased inventory of semi-finished products amid declining metal prices [3]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with the second and third phases of Jiangsu Xinzhongzhou expected to contribute to future profits as they progress towards trial production [3][19]. - The demand for high-temperature alloys in China is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to reach over 30 billion yuan by 2025, driven by applications in various industries including aerospace, petrochemicals, and renewable energy [12]. Financial Summary - In 2023, the company achieved a total revenue of 1.085 billion yuan, with a projected revenue growth to 1.341 billion yuan in 2024 and 1.845 billion yuan by 2026 [14][19]. - The net profit is expected to rise from 83 million yuan in 2023 to 198 million yuan by 2026, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [15][19]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 17.4% in 2023 to 20.9% by 2026, indicating enhanced profitability [15].