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海外观察:2024年4月美国就业数据-4月会是美国就业的拐点吗?
Donghai Securities· 2024-05-05 06:00
[Table_Reportdate] 2024年05月04日 [Table_NewTitle] 4月会是美国就业的拐点吗? ——海外观察:2024年4月美国就业数据 Ø 事件:美国4月新增非农就业17.5万人,预期24万人,前值30.3万人;失业率3.9%,预期 3.8%,前值3.8%。美国4月平均时薪同比增长3.9%,预期4%,前值4.1%;环比增长0.2%, 预期0.3%,前值0.3%;平均每周工时34.3小时,预期34.4小时,前值34.4小时。 Ø 美国4月就业偏弱,供需缺口缓慢修复。企业调查和家庭调查同时显示就业增长放缓,分 别增长17.5万人和2.5万人。前两个月的新增非农就业人数共向下修正2.2万人。在劳动参 与率维持在62.7%不变的背景下,失业率从前值3.8%上升到3.9%。虽然就业增长的速度放 缓,低于市场预期,但总体的就业人数仍在扩张。劳动力供给也在持续小幅修复,供需缺 口缓慢趋于平衡。 Ø 休闲酒店业和建筑业新增就业大幅放缓,教育和保健业一枝独秀。休闲酒店业、建筑业、 教育和保健业曾是支撑3月美国就业增长的主要行业。4月,除了教育保健业延续了较大幅 度的增长,休闲酒店业和建筑业的就业增 ...
2024年4月政治局会议解读:潜在超预期的房地产和利率政策
Donghai Securities· 2024-05-01 00:30
[Table_Reportdate] 2023年4月30日 宏观简评 ➢ 其他重点方面。新质生产力:会议强调,要因地制宜发展新质生产力,总体延续中央经济 工作会议以及两会精神,发展新质生产力仍是摆脱传统经济增长方式,实现高质量发展的 重要路径,今年来高技术工业增加值以及固定资产投资均高于整体增速,央行设立相关再 贷款工具,科技仍是发展重点。绿色低碳:会议指出,要扎实推进绿色低碳发展,我们认 为发展方向仍是传统产业节能低碳升级改造,新能源产业快速发展,双碳目标下对高耗能 产业产能仍可能有一定约束。债务风险:会议强调,确保债务高风险省份和市县既真正压 降债务、又能稳定发展,我们认为此次定调明确了地方政府债务与发展之间的关系,后续 或可期待增量财政政策对地方政府资金方面的支持。 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 2/6 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------|----------------------------------------------------------- ...
公司简评报告:定制量产订单充沛,车规MCU和RAID芯片放量在即
Donghai Securities· 2024-04-30 15:02
电 子 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 联系人 蔡望颋 cwt@longone.com.cn 3.《国芯科技(688262):国产替代 春风破土,芯聚力量铸梦神州——公 司深度报告》 2023.9.26 [国芯科技( Table_NewTitle] 688262.SH):定制量产订 单充沛,车规MCU和RAID芯片放量在即 ——公司简评报告 ➢ 前瞻布局量子安全芯片技术,国内首颗毫米级QRNG芯片实现从0到1突破。2022年,公司 入股合肥硅臻芯片技术有限公司,同年成功合作研发基于公司CCP903T高性能密码芯片 和合肥硅臻QRNG25SPI量子随机数发生器模组的量子密码卡产品,该产品遵循国家密码 管理局PCI密码卡相关技术规范,具备PCIE、USB OTG和UART等硬件接口,可广泛应用 于密码机、签名/验证服务器、安全网关/防火墙等安全设备以及金融、物联网、工业、可信 计算和国家重大需求等领域,目前已有多个客户在 ...
公司简评报告:多品类快速放量,盈利能力持续提升
Donghai Securities· 2024-04-30 12:30
公 司 研 究 《羚锐制药(600285.SH):核心产品 稳健增长,业绩基本符合预期》—— 2023.10.31 《羚锐制药(600285.SH):主业稳健 增长,盈利能力显著提升》—— 2023.08.12 ➢ 经营效率持续提升。2023年,公司毛利率与净利率分别为73.3%、17.2%,分别较去年同 期提升1.0、1.7pct,规模效应持续显现;期间费用率方面,销售、管理、研发费用率分别 为45.41%、5.26%、3.31%,分别下降2.7、0.4、0.9pct。2024年Q1延续效率提升态势, 公司持续精准控费,盈利能力稳步提升。 ➢ 投资建议:公司利润端略超预期,我们适当调整2024/2025年盈利预测,新增2026年盈利 预测,我们预计公司2024-2026年的归母净利润为6.77/7.90/9.12亿元,对应EPS分别为 1.19/1.39/1.61元,对应PE分别21.3/18.3/15.8倍。维持"买入"评级。 [Table_QuotePic] -35% -21% -7% 7% 21% 35% 49% 63% 23-05 23-08 23-11 24-02 羚锐制药 沪深300 [tabl ...
国内观察:2024年4月PMI:PMI回调,供给强于需求
Donghai Securities· 2024-04-30 11:30
资料来源:Wind,东海证券研究所 资料来源:Wind,东海证券研究所 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|---------------------------------|--------------------|------------|-------|-------|-------| | 2 | 制造业 PMI , % | | 图 3 制造业 PMI | 各分项, % | | | | | 55 | | | | | | | | | 54 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | | | | | | | | 52 | | | | | ...
公司简评报告:2024Q1业绩短期承压,光伏、车规带动长期增长
Donghai Securities· 2024-04-30 10:30
Rating - The investment rating for the company is adjusted to "Accumulate" due to performance review [10][17]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2024 revenue and gross profit are under short-term pressure, primarily due to fluctuations in downstream demand, equipment depreciation, and initial investments in production lines. However, this does not alter the long-term positive trend of the company's performance [19]. - The company achieved a revenue of 246 million yuan in Q1 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 25.59% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 33.27%. The gross margin was 15.88%, down 3.56 percentage points year-on-year and down 8.71 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3][19]. - In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 1.505 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.48%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 116 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.63% [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the semiconductor industry, focusing on industrial control, new energy generation, and electric vehicles. In 2023, the revenue breakdown was 39.13% from industrial control, 37.21% from new energy generation, and 22.07% from electric vehicles [3][8]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2023 was 1.505 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 22.18%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.28 percentage points. The net profit for the same year was 116 million yuan, with a net profit margin of 7.71% [3][11]. - The company expects net profits of 115 million yuan, 186 million yuan, and 235 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 33, 20, and 16 times [10][11]. Production Capacity and Investment - The company has ongoing capacity expansion projects, with production bases in Huashan and Hsinchu. The total planned capacity is 1.44 million units per year, with significant progress in production line installations [8][10]. - The company has completed investments in its new semiconductor device production base and R&D center, which are expected to enhance production capabilities significantly [8][10]. Research and Development - The company has increased its R&D investment by 68.17% in 2023, accounting for 7.18% of total revenue. It has made significant advancements in IGBT and FRD products, focusing on high-end fields such as SiC [20][21].
公司简评报告:一季度表现优于服装消费大盘,仍存多维发展动能
Donghai Securities· 2024-04-30 09:30
证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [相Ta关b研le究_Report] 1、森马服饰(002563):公司简评 报 告 : 门 店 优 化 , 高 质 成 长 — 20240403 2、森马服饰(002563):公司深度 报 告 : 能 力 沉 淀 , 再 启 新 程 — 20240112 毛利率为历史高水平,存货改善切换至补库阶段。1)费率:2024Q1毛利率为46.63%(同 比+2.29pct),为历史相对高水平,预计与供应链能力提升、线上线下深化同价有关,在 折扣改善、线上盈利释放下毛利率仍有上行空间。销售/管理/研发/财务费用率为 24.47%/4.38%/1.48%/-2.07%(同比+1.07/+0.10/+0.12/-1.14pct),带动期间费率微增 0.15pct至28.26%。2)存货,2024Q1存货为25.87亿元(同比-23.27%),带动存货周转 天数下降51天至143天,自2022年以来逐年改善,销售端已逐渐从去库切换至补库。 [Table_QuotePic] 投资建议:公司作为休闲服饰和童装的双龙头,品牌、 ...
公司简评报告:业绩基本符合预期,新品放量可期
Donghai Securities· 2024-04-30 07:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company's performance in 2023 met expectations, with revenue of 3.477 billion yuan (+10.14%) and net profit attributable to shareholders of 861 million yuan (+749.02%) [9][10] - The 13-valent pneumonia vaccine is experiencing rapid growth, with expected revenue of approximately 1.5 billion yuan (+55.64%) [9] - The company has a rich R&D pipeline, with R&D investment reaching 542 million yuan, accounting for 15.59% of revenue [10] - The overall development trend of the company is positive, with projected revenues for 2024-2026 of 4.777 billion, 5.954 billion, and 7.220 billion yuan respectively [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved operating revenue of 34.77 billion yuan, a 10.14% increase, and a net profit of 8.61 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 749.02% [9] - The fourth quarter of 2023 saw a revenue of 10.13 billion yuan (+71.01%) and a net profit of 1.64 billion yuan (+148.91%) [9] - The first quarter of 2024 reported a decline in revenue to 4.52 billion yuan (-39.65%) and net profit to 0.54 billion yuan (-73.69%) due to high base effects from the previous year [9] Product Growth - The company's conventional vaccines (excluding COVID-19 vaccines) generated sales of 35.05 billion yuan, an 18.98% increase [9] - The 13-valent pneumonia vaccine is expected to maintain rapid growth in the domestic market and has received approval for sale in Indonesia [9] - The company has launched the human diploid rabies vaccine and the varicella live attenuated vaccine, which are expected to contribute significantly to future revenue [9] R&D and Future Projections - R&D efforts are ongoing with several products in various clinical trial stages, including the Sabin strain inactivated polio vaccine and the adsorbed acellular pertussis combined vaccine [10] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2024 and 2025, projecting revenues of 47.77 billion and 59.54 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 11.92 billion and 15.41 billion yuan [10]
公司简评报告:乘用车座椅逐步上量,获德国宝马定点全球战略取得突破
Donghai Securities· 2024-04-30 07:00
公 司 研 究 [数据日期 Table_cominfo] 2024/4/29 收盘价 13.03 总股本(万股) 126,608 流通A股/B股(万股) 111678.64/0 资产负债率(%) 75.42% 市净率(倍) 4.02 净资产收益率(加权) 0.47% 12个月内最高/最低价 16.55/9.41 ——公司简评报告 [继峰股份 Table_NewTitle](603997):乘用车座椅逐步上 量,获德国宝马定点全球战略取得突破 ➢ 事件:公司发布2023年年报,全年实现营收215.71亿元,同比+20%,归母净利润2.04亿 元,扣非净利润2.22亿元,同比扭亏。公司发布2024年一季报,单季度实现营收52.87亿 元,同比+3%,归母净利润0.19亿元,同比-68%。 ➢ 毛利率同比提升,新业务拓展影响短期期间费用率。2023年公司毛利率为14.75%,同比 +1.67pct,主要原因包括各业务板块整合、客户价格补偿机制落实等;2024Q1毛利率为 14.68%,同比+0.79pct。2023年公司期间费用率为13.43%,同比+1.15pct,其中销售费 用率、管理费用率、研发费用率、财务费 ...
公司简评报告:新能源汽车产品占比持续提升,加速全球产能布局
Donghai Securities· 2024-04-30 06:00
公 司 研 究 [Table_Reportdate] 2024年4月30日 [Table_invest] [爱Tabl柯e_N迪ewT(itle] 600933):新能源汽车产品占比 买入(维持) 公 持续提升,加速全球产能布局 报告原因:业绩点评 司 ——公司简评报告 简 评 [table_main] [证Ta券b分le析_A师u:th ors] 投资要点 黄涵虚 S0630522060001 hhx@longone.com.cn ➢ 事件:公司发布2023年年报,全年实现营收59.57亿元,同比+40%,归母净利润9.13亿元, 汽 车 [数Ta据b日le_期c ominfo] 2024/4/29 同比+41%。公司发布2024年一季报,单季度实现营收16.42亿元,同比+31%,归母净利 收盘价 19.78 润2.32亿元,同比+37%。 总股本(万股) 96,359 流通A股/B股(万股) 88325.86/0 ➢ 中小件优势稳固,新能源汽车相关产品收入占比持续提升。2023年公司对前五大客户博 资产负债率(%) 41.01% 世、法雷奥、麦格纳、大陆、蒂森克虏伯销售收入分别为5.88亿元、5.85亿 ...