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老百姓(603883):优化门店网络,持续发力新零售
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-28 08:37
[Table_Reportdate] 2025年08月28日 公 简 买入(维持) 报告原因:业绩点评 [老百姓( Table_NewTitle] 603883):优化门店网络,持续 发力新零售 ——公司简评报告 [table_main] 投资要点 压,积极稳中求进——公司简评报 告》 2024.11.01 《老百姓(603883):收入端保持稳 健,多举措提升盈利能力——公司简 评报告》 2024.09.04 | [盈利预测与估值简表 Table_profits] | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2022A | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 主营收入(百万元) | 20,176 | 22,437 | 22,358 | 24,398 | 26,714 | 29,222 | | 同比增速(%) | 28.5% | 11.2% | -0.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 785 | 929 | 519 | 692 | 79 ...
广信股份(603599):公司简评报告:半年报业绩短期承压,农药行业景气有望改善
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-28 08:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 is under short-term pressure, but the pesticide industry is expected to improve [1] - The company reported a revenue of 1.89 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 351 million yuan, down 14.95% year-on-year [5] - The company has optimized inventory management, significantly reducing inventory to 430 million yuan, which accounts for 2.86% of total assets, a year-on-year decrease of 51.14% [5] - The company is expanding its product chain by leveraging phosgene resources, enhancing its competitive advantage in the market [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.89 billion yuan, down 17.36% year-on-year, and a net profit of 351 million yuan, down 14.95% year-on-year [5] - The sales expenses increased by 50.41% to 34.98 million yuan, while management expenses decreased by 18.99% to 159 million yuan [5] - R&D expenses decreased by 40.75% to 93.25 million yuan [5] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for total revenue from 2025 to 2027 is adjusted to 4.701 billion yuan, 5.731 billion yuan, and 6.282 billion yuan respectively [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 837 million yuan, 1.095 billion yuan, and 1.164 billion yuan for the same period [5] - The corresponding EPS for these years is projected to be 0.92 yuan, 1.20 yuan, and 1.28 yuan [5] Market and Industry Outlook - The pesticide industry is expected to see improvements due to various policies aimed at enhancing regulation and reducing illegal production [5] - The company is focusing on extending its product chain into fine chemicals, pesticides, and pharmaceutical intermediates, which is expected to optimize production costs [5]
东海证券晨会纪要-20250828
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-28 07:53
Group 1: Changan Automobile (000625) - In H1 2025, Changan Automobile achieved revenue of 72.691 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.25% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.291 billion yuan, down 19.09%. However, the net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 26.36% to 1.477 billion yuan [6][7] - In Q2 2025, the company reported a net profit of 939 million yuan, a decrease of 43.93% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 693 million yuan, down 34.40% year-on-year. Revenue for the quarter was 38.531 billion yuan, showing a slight decrease of 2.94% quarter-on-quarter but a 12.79% increase year-on-year [7] - The company plans to launch three new models in Q4 2025, with a clear strategy for global expansion, aiming for overseas sales of 1 million vehicles by the end of the year [8][9] Group 2: Sailun Tire (601058) - In H1 2025, Sailun Tire achieved revenue of 17.587 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.05%, but the net profit decreased by 14.90% to 1.831 billion yuan. In Q2 2025, revenue was 9.175 billion yuan, up 16.76% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 29.11% to 792 million yuan [10][11] - The company benefited from overseas market expansion, with tire production reaching 40.6 million units in H1 2025, a 14.66% increase year-on-year, and sales of 39.14 million units, up 13.32% [11] - Sailun Tire is focusing on enhancing its international influence through increased R&D investment and product innovation, with a notable presence in the global tire brand value rankings [11][12] Group 3: Xinjieneng (605111) - In H1 2025, Xinjieneng reported revenue of 930 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.44%, and a net profit of 235 million yuan, up 8.03%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 207 million yuan, down 3.22% [14][15] - The SGT MOS product line's revenue share increased to 45.21%, indicating strong market competitiveness and application in various strategic fields [16] - The company is focusing on emerging markets such as automotive electronics, AI servers, and robotics, with significant growth in these areas expected [17] Group 4: Lizhu Group (000513) - In H1 2025, Lizhu Group achieved revenue of 6.272 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.17%, while net profit increased by 9.40% to 1.281 billion yuan. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.258 billion yuan, up 8.91% [22][23] - The company is experiencing growth in its chemical preparation segment, with a focus on new product launches and improved operational efficiency [23][24] - Multiple products are entering the harvest phase, contributing to the overall positive performance [24] Group 5: Anhui Heli (600761) - In H1 2025, Anhui Heli reported revenue of 9.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.18%, with net profit reaching 796 million yuan, down 4.60%. Overseas revenue was 4.016 billion yuan, up 15.20% [27][28] - The company is enhancing its international presence with a new overseas manufacturing facility and a strong network of over 300 overseas agents [28] - Anhui Heli is focusing on electric and intelligent logistics solutions, with significant growth in electric vehicle sales and strategic partnerships in the logistics sector [29][30] Group 6: Domestic Industrial Profit Data - In July 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 1.7% year-on-year, showing a slight improvement from the previous month's decline of 1.8% [32][33] - The report indicates that the "anti-involution" policy is affecting profit structures across various sectors, with upstream raw material manufacturing seeing a recovery in profit margins [34] - Inventory levels are decreasing, with nominal inventory growth slowing to 2.4% year-on-year, indicating a reduction in production and a passive consumption of inventory [35] Group 7: Mechanical Equipment Industry - In July 2025, the overall sales of forklifts reached 118,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.4%, with both domestic and overseas sales showing double-digit growth [36][37] - The growth in forklift demand is linked to improvements in manufacturing and logistics sectors, with positive macroeconomic indicators supporting future sales [38] - Companies like Anhui Heli and Hangcha Group are expanding their global presence and enhancing their product offerings in intelligent logistics [39][40]
新洁能(605111):公司简评报告:产品矩阵迭代升级,汽车、AI、机器人高速增长
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-27 12:08
[Table_Reportdate] 2025年08月27日 公 司 简 评 报告原因:业绩点评 [新洁能 Table_NewTitle] (605111):产品矩阵迭代升级, 汽车、AI、机器人高速增长 ——公司简评报告 [table_main] 投资要点 电 子 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 联系人 董经纬 djwei@longone.com.cn | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2025/08/26 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 35.11 | | 总股本(万股) | 41,533 | | 流通A股/B股(万股) | 41,533/0 | | 资产负债率(%) | 9.35% | | 市净率(倍) | 3.44 | | 净资产收益率(加权) | 5.78 | | 12个月内最高/最低价 | 40.58/26.11 | [Table_QuotePic] -14% -4% 5% 15% 25% 34% 44% 54% 24-08 24-11 25-02 25-05 新洁能 沪深3 ...
赛轮轮胎(601058):Q2贸易扰动业绩暂承压,内研外拓改善可期
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-27 12:07
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company experienced pressure on profitability in Q2 2025 due to trade disruptions and high raw material costs, with a net profit decline of 14.90% year-on-year [7] - Despite challenges, the company achieved significant growth in overseas markets, with tire production increasing by 14.66% and sales by 13.32% in H1 2025 [7] - The company is enhancing its international brand influence through increased R&D investment and innovative product offerings [7] - The construction of overseas production bases is progressing well, which is expected to improve the company's global supply chain responsiveness [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.26, 1.46, and 1.68 CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11.42x, 9.80x, and 8.55x [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 17.587 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 16.05%, while net profit was 1.831 billion CNY, down 14.90% [7] - Q2 2025 revenue reached 9.175 billion CNY, up 16.76%, but net profit fell to 792 million CNY, a decrease of 29.11% [7] Production and Sales - The company produced 40.6 million tires in H1 2025, marking a 14.66% increase, and sold 39.14 million tires, up 13.32% [7] - Overseas revenue reached 13.413 billion CNY, growing 18.72% year-on-year, with the Cambodian subsidiary showing a remarkable 70.44% increase [7] Research and Development - R&D expenses in H1 2025 were 537 million CNY, a 14.67% increase, focusing on high-end, intelligent, and green product innovations [7] International Expansion - The company is advancing its overseas production projects in Indonesia and Mexico, with plans for new bases in Egypt and Shenyang [7] - The planned production capacity includes 31.55 million all-steel radial tires and 10.9 million semi-steel radial tires annually [7]
丽珠集团(000513):公司简评报告:利润端增长良好,多个产品进入收获期
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-27 11:50
[Table_Reportdate] 2025年08月27日 公 司 简 评 [相关研究 Table_Report] 《丽珠集团(000513):业绩符合预 期,研发顺利推进——公司简评报 告》 2024.10.25 《丽珠集团(000513):业绩基本平 稳,期待研发和BD成果兑现——公 司简评报告》 2024.08.27 《丽珠集团(000513):业绩短期放 缓,研发快速推进——公司简评报 告》 2024.04.02 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [Table_invest] 买入(维持) 报告原因:业绩点评 [丽珠集团 Table_NewTitle](000513):利润端增长良好, 多个产品进入收获期 ——公司简评报告 [table_main] 投资要点 医 药 生 物 futing@longone.com.cn [数据日期 Table_cominfo] 2025/08/26 收盘价 41.77 总股本(万股) 90,410 流通A股/B股(万股) 58,415/0 资产负债率(%) 38.26% 市净率(倍) 2.53 净资 ...
安徽合力(600761):公司简评报告:海外销量高增长,带动营收创新高
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-27 10:03
[Table_Reportdate] 2025年08月27日 | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2025/08/26 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 19.87 | | 总股本(万股) | 89,069 | | 流通A股/B股(万股) | 89,069/0 | | 资产负债率(%) | 40.48% | | 市净率(倍) | 1.55 | | 净资产收益率(加权) | 7.43 | | 12个月内最高/最低价 | 23.90/14.31 | [Table_QuotePic] -16% -6% 5% 15% 26% 36% 47% 57% 24-08 24-11 25-02 25-05 安徽合力 沪深300 [Table_invest] 买入(维持) 报告原因:业绩点评 [相关研究 Table_Report] [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 《安徽合力(600761):全年销量增 速高于行业,国际化实现新跨越—— 公司简评报告》 2025.04.08 《安徽合力(600761):首次海外合 资建厂,全球化布局加速——公司简 评报告》 2025.03.11 《安徽合力( ...
基础化工行业周报:韩国或将削减石脑油产能,草甘膦价格再度上涨-20250826
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-26 11:07
[Table_Reportdate] 2025年08月26日 [table_invest] 超配 行 业 周 报 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 张晶磊 S0630524090001 zjlei@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] -18% -5% 8% 22% 35% 48% 61% 24-08 24-11 25-02 25-05 申万行业指数:基础化工(0722) 沪深300 [相关研究 table_product] 1.首届世界人形机器人运动会于北 京召开,关注机器人产业化进程—— 基础化工行业周报( 2025/8/11- 2025/8/17) 2.欧美进口需求前置,国内市场维稳 ——轮胎市场月报 3.制冷剂价格再度提升,行业有望持 续高景气——氟化工行业月报 [Table_NewTitle 韩国或将削减石脑油产能,草甘膦价格 ] 再度上涨 ——基础化工行业周报(2025/8/18-2025/8/24) [table_main] 投资要点: ➢ 投资建议: ➢ 供给侧有望结 ...
家用电器行业简评:扫地机器人:直面竞争推动创新,放眼全球拓展可期
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-26 11:05
[Table_Reportdate] 2025年08月26日 行 业 简 评 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 王敏君 S0630522040002 wmj@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] -14% -5% 5% 14% 23% 32% 41% 24-08 24-11 25-02 25-05 申万行业指数:家用电器(0733) 沪深300 [相关研究 table_product] 1.以旧换新与智能制造"双轮驱动", 把握结构性机遇——家用电器行业 简评 2.持续关注以旧换新进展——家用 电器行业简评 3.入门产品推动家用投影普及,关注 车载等新业务布局——家用电器行 业简评 超配 [Table_NewTitle 扫地机器人:直面竞争推动创新,放眼 ] 全球拓展可期 ——家用电器行业简评 [table_main] 投资要点: ➢ 投资建议:关注国产扫地机器人企业科沃斯、石头科技等。 ➢ 风险提示:产品和技术迭代不及预期风险、宏观需求不及预期风险、原材料价格波动风险、 市场竞争加剧风险、海外贸易政策及汇率波动风险。 家 用 电 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.L ...
贝达药业(300558):公司简评报告:营收稳健增长,商业化产品不断丰富
Donghai Securities· 2025-08-26 10:03
[Table_Reportdate] 2025年08月26日 [Table_invest] 买入(维持) 报告原因:业绩点评 [贝达药业 Table_NewTitle](300558):营收稳健增长,商 业化产品不断丰富 ——公司简评报告 [table_main] 投资要点 [盈利预测与估值简表 Table_profits] | | 2022A | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 2377 | 2456 | 2892 | 3611 | 4228 | 5082 | | 增长率(%) | 5.82% | 3.35% | 17.74% | 24.87% | 17.08% | 20.21% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 145 | 348 | 403 | 471 | 589 | 747 | | 增长率(%) | -62.04% | 139.33% | 15.67% | 17.08% | 24.91% | 26.90% | | EPS(元/股) | 0 ...