[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月27日 公 司 深 度 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 联系人 方逸洋 fyy@longone.com.cn 联系人 董经纬 djwei@longone.com.cn | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2026/01/26 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 359.59 | | 总股本(万股) | 28,234 | | 流通A股/B股(万股) | 28,234/0 | | 资产负债率(%) | 67.72% | | 市净率(倍) | 16.64 | | 净资产收益率(加权) | 9.78 | | 12个月内最高/最低价 | 394.00/138.63 | [Table_QuotePic] -41% -6% 29% 65% 100% 135% 171% 206% 25-01 25-04 25-07 25-10 拓荆科技 沪深300 [相关研究 Table_Report] 1. 刻蚀机：技术追赶步履不停，国产 替代空间充裕——半导体行业深度 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月27日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 张季恺 S0630521110001 zjk@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： 陈伟业 cwy@longone.com.cn 联系人： 邓尧天 dytian@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20260127 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [table_summary] ➢ 1.药品零售新政出台，赋能行业高质量发展——医药生物行业周报（2026/01/19- 2026/01/25） ➢ 2.2026年全球AI服务器出货同比有望增超28%，AI相关芯片涨价持续——电子行业周报 2026/1/19-2025/1/25 ➢ 1.商务部：将优化实施消费品以旧换新，促进家电等大宗耐用商品消费 ➢ 2.上期所调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额 ➢ 3.香港特别行政区行 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月26日 [table_invest] 超配 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 杜永宏 S0630522040001 dyh@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 赖菲虹 S0630525050001 lfhong@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] -18% -9% 0% 9% 18% 27% 36% 24-06 24-09 24-12 25-03 申万行业指数:医药生物(0737) 沪深300 [相关研究 table_product] [Table_NewTitle 药品零售新政 ] 出台，赋能行业高质量发 ——医药生物行业周报（2026/01/19-2026/01/25） [table_main] 投资要点： ➢ 投资建议： ➢ 本周医药生物板块呈弱势震荡，前期热门股跌幅居前。商务部等九部门联合印发的 关于促进药品零售行业高质量发展的意见，从转型、支付、供应、整合四大维度构建行业 发展框架，推动行业从"单一卖药"向"健康服务"转型。政策明确鼓励兼并重组与横向并购， 叠加医保定点待遇与基层医疗机构平权、医保个 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月26日 1 标配 行 业 周 报 [Table_Authors] 证券分析师 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 联系人 董经纬 djwei@longone.com.cn 联系人 方逸洋 fyy@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] [table_product] 相关研究 1.台积电CapEX超预期，2025 年智能手机出货实现韧性增长 ——电子行业周报2026/1/12- 2025/1/18 1. 台积电CapEX超预期，2025年智 能手机出货实现韧性增长——电子 行业周报（20260112-20260118） 2. 英伟达Rubin平台正式发布，台 积电2025全年营收创新高——电子 行业周报（20260105-20260111） 3. 英伟达获Groq推理技术授权，中 芯国际对部分产能实施涨价——电 子行业周报（20251222- 20251228） [Table_NewTitle] 2026年全球AI服务器出货同比有望增超 28%，AI相关芯片涨价持续 ——电子行业周报2 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月26日 1 标配 行 业 周 报 [Table_Authors] 证券分析师 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 联系人 董经纬 djwei@longone.com.cn 联系人 方逸洋 fyy@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] [table_product] 相关研究 1.台积电CapEX超预期，2025 年智能手机出货实现韧性增长 ——电子行业周报2026/1/12- 2025/1/18 1. 台积电CapEX超预期，2025年智 能手机出货实现韧性增长——电子 行业周报（20260112-20260118） 2. 英伟达Rubin平台正式发布，台 积电2025全年营收创新高——电子 行业周报（20260105-20260111） 3. 英伟达获Groq推理技术授权，中 芯国际对部分产能实施涨价——电 子行业周报（20251222- 20251228） [Table_NewTitle] 2026年全球AI服务器出货同比有望增超 28%，AI相关芯片涨价持续 ➢ 电子板块观点： ...

[证券分析师： Table_Authors] 张季恺 S0630521110001 zjk@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： [Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月26日 陈伟业 cwy@longone.com.cn 联系人： 邓尧天 dytian@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20260126 [table_summary] 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 | 1.1. 历史盈利回归参考，看好更长的化工周期——资产配置周报（2026/01/19- | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 2026/01/23） | | 3 | | 1.2. 12 月社零同增 0.9%，消费规模稳步扩大——12 | 月社零报告专题 | 4 | | 2. 财 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月25日 策 略 研 究 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 王鸿行 S0630522050001 whxing@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 张季恺 S0630521110001 ——资产配置周报（2026/01/19-2026/01/23） [table_main] 投资要点 总 量 研 究 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [Table_Report] ➢ 全球大类资产回顾。1月23日当周，除A股外，全球股市普遍收跌，科创指数表现亮眼；主 要商品期货中原油、黄金、铜、铝均收涨；美元指数下跌，人民币、日元、欧元升值。1） 权益方面：科创50>深证成指>上证指数>纳指>日经225>创业板指>标普500>恒生指数>恒 生科技指数>道指>沪深300指数>英国富时100>法国CAC40>德国DAX ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月25日 策 略 研 究 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 王鸿行 S0630522050001 whxing@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 张季恺 S0630521110001 zjk@longone.com.cn 联系人 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 陈伟业 cwy@longone.com.cn [历史盈利回归参考，看好更长的化工周 Table_NewTitle] 期 ——资产配置周报（2026/01/19-2026/01/23） [table_main] 投资要点 总 量 研 究 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [Table_Report] | 1. 核心观点：历史盈利回归参考，看好更长的化工周期 | 5 | | --- | --- | | 1.1. 市场观点与资产配置建议 | 5 | | 1.2. 全球大类资产 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - The report highlights that Jinchuang Group (603680) expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a range of 540 million to 620 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 78.77% to 105.25% [5] - The company anticipates a non-recurring net profit of 560 million to 640 million yuan for 2025, indicating a growth of 72.72% to 97.39% year-on-year [5] - The demand for rail transit vehicles is expected to rise due to large-scale tenders for the Fuxing high-speed trains, with the company benefiting from increased delivery volumes and improved product structure leading to higher overall gross margins [5][6] Group 2: Industry Insights - The mechanical equipment industry is projected to see growth in both domestic and international forklift sales, with total sales for 2025 expected to reach 1.4518 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.9% [9] - Domestic forklift sales are expected to grow by 12.6% in 2025, driven by a recovery in demand linked to the manufacturing and logistics sectors [10] - The report notes that the overall forklift market is showing stable growth, with expectations for this trend to continue into 2026 [10] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a positive outlook for Jinchuang Group, projecting net profits of 551 million, 587 million, and 665 million yuan for 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.70, 0.75, and 0.85 yuan, and PE ratios of 23X, 21X, and 19X respectively, recommending a "buy" rating [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of technological barriers and a comprehensive product range for the company to strengthen its position in the rail transit vehicle supply market [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price relative to the market index [6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 540 million to 620 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 78.77% to 105.25% [6]. - The demand for rail transit vehicles is anticipated to rise due to large-scale tenders for the Fuxing high-speed trains, with significant procurement planned by the China State Railway Group [6]. - The company has established a comprehensive service capability from design and development to manufacturing and maintenance, covering over a thousand subcategories of rail transit vehicle components [6]. - The railway transportation capacity is set to upgrade, with plans for new railway lines and high-speed rail expansions, which will drive the market for vehicle components [6]. - The company is actively involved in the research and production of new models, enhancing product innovation and maintenance demand as vehicles age [6]. - The company has invested in emerging industries through its subsidiary, indicating a strategic expansion into new markets [6]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach 4,499.39 million yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 21.69%, and is expected to increase to 5,462 million yuan in 2025 [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 302.07 million yuan in 2024, growing to 550.58 million yuan in 2025, reflecting an 82.27% increase [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.39 yuan in 2024 to 0.70 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.56 [5].