Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haoyang Co Ltd (300833 SZ) with a target price of 59 08 RMB per share [1][3] Core Views - Haoyang Co Ltd's Q3 2024 performance fell short of expectations with revenue of 278 million RMB (-8 04% YoY -21 52% QoQ) and net profit of 55 million RMB (-36 50% YoY -45 87% QoQ) [1] - The company's overseas expansion continues with the acquisition and integration of Denmark's SGM and the establishment of a subsidiary in Vietnam [1] - Revenue is expected to grow to 1 329 billion RMB in 2024 1 601 billion RMB in 2025 and 1 935 billion RMB in 2026 [1][2] Financial Performance - Q1-Q3 2024 revenue was 946 million RMB (-6 39% YoY) with net profit of 258 million RMB (-16 80% YoY) [1] - Gross margin remained stable at 51 48% in Q3 2024 while net margin dropped significantly to 20 29% (-9 01pct YoY -8 86pct QoQ) [1] - 2024-2026 EPS is forecasted at 2 95 3 52 and 4 22 RMB per share respectively [1][2] Valuation - The company is valued at 20x PE for 2024 based on its strong export position favorable order book and healthy cash flow [1] - EV/EBITDA is expected to decrease from 15 84 in 2022 to 5 49 in 2026 indicating improving valuation metrics [2][28] Growth Prospects - Revenue growth is projected at 1 9% in 2024 20 4% in 2025 and 20 9% in 2026 [2] - Net profit growth is forecasted at 2 0% in 2024 19 3% in 2025 and 19 7% in 2026 [2] Profitability - ROE is expected to improve from 14 7% in 2024 to 17 9% in 2026 [28] - Gross margin is projected to remain stable around 50% from 2024 to 2026 [28] Balance Sheet - Total assets are forecasted to grow from 2 747 billion RMB in 2024 to 3 250 billion RMB in 2026 [16][26] - Current ratio is expected to improve from 14 76 in 2024 to 12 13 in 2026 indicating strong liquidity [28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kedali (002850 SZ) with a target price of 128 18 yuan per share [6] Core Views - Kedali's 24Q3 financial performance showed strong profitability with revenue of 3 146 billion yuan (+10 35% YoY) and net profit of 368 million yuan (+28 70% YoY) [2] - The company's gross margin was 23 42% in 24Q3, slightly down by 0 40pct QoQ, while the net margin improved to 11 68% (+0 17pct QoQ) [2] - Kedali's overseas expansion and robot business are expected to drive future growth, with a focus on harmonic reducers and other core components [4] Financial Performance - For 24Q1-Q3, Kedali achieved revenue of 8 592 billion yuan (+10 60% YoY) and net profit of 1 016 billion yuan (+27 86% YoY) [2] - The company's expense control was effective, with a 24Q1-Q3 period expense ratio of 3 59% (-0 39pct YoY) and R&D expense ratio of 5 26% (-0 33pct YoY) [3] - Kedali's 24Q3 sales expense ratio was 0 34% (-0 04pct QoQ), and the management expense ratio was 2 40% (-0 38pct QoQ) [3] Profit Forecast - Revenue is expected to grow to 13 561 billion yuan in 2024, 16 889 billion yuan in 2025, and 19 579 billion yuan in 2026 [4] - Net profit is projected to reach 1 411 billion yuan in 2024, 1 736 billion yuan in 2025, and 2 097 billion yuan in 2026 [4] - EPS is forecasted to be 5 21 yuan in 2024, 6 41 yuan in 2025, and 7 74 yuan in 2026 [5] Valuation Metrics - The company's 2025 PE ratio is estimated at 17 08x, with an EV/EBITDA of 10 35x [5] - ROE is expected to improve from 11 8% in 2024 to 13 3% in 2026 [5] Overseas Expansion and Robot Business - Kedali has established overseas production bases in Germany, Sweden, and Hungary to meet the capacity needs of international customers [4] - The robot business, focusing on core components like harmonic reducers, is expected to contribute to future growth [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Gigadevice (603986 SH) with a target price of 102 82 yuan per share [1][3] Core Views - Gigadevice announced the acquisition of a 70% stake in Suzhou Saixin Electronics for 581 million yuan, with Gigadevice contributing 316 million yuan for a 38 07% stake [1] - Suzhou Saixin specializes in lithium battery protection and power management chips, with a unique single-wafer solution and patents Its products are used in wearable devices and power banks, with clients including Xiaomi, OPPO, and Vivo [1] - The acquisition strengthens Gigadevice's analog chip capabilities and enhances market competitiveness through synergies in supply chain and customer base [1] - Gigadevice plans to adjust its DRAM chip R&D project from LPDDR3 to LPDDR5 and add a new automotive electronics chip R&D project [1] Financial Projections - Revenue is expected to grow from 7593 million yuan in 2024E to 10387 million yuan in 2026E, with a CAGR of 14 5% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from 1139 million yuan in 2024E to 2259 million yuan in 2026E, with a CAGR of 24 2% [2] - EPS is forecasted to rise from 1 71 yuan in 2024E to 3 39 yuan in 2026E [2] - ROE is expected to improve from 7 1% in 2024E to 11 2% in 2026E [2] Financial Ratios - Gross margin is projected to stabilize around 39% from 2024E to 2026E [12] - Net margin is expected to increase from 15% in 2024E to 21 7% in 2026E [12] - P/E ratio is forecasted to decline from 53 85 in 2024E to 27 14 in 2026E, indicating improving valuation [12] Strategic Adjustments - Gigadevice is shifting its DRAM chip R&D focus from LPDDR3 to LPDDR5 to align with industry trends [1] - A new automotive electronics chip R&D project has been added to expand its presence in the automotive sector [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Goertek Inc (002241 SZ) with a target price of 28 03 RMB per share [1][3] Core Views - Goertek's Q3 2024 financial performance was strong with significant profit growth despite a slight revenue decline [1] - Q1-Q3 2024 revenue: 69 646 billion RMB (-5 82% YoY) - Q1-Q3 2024 net profit: 2 345 billion RMB (+162 88% YoY) - Q3 2024 revenue: 29 264 billion RMB (+1 7% YoY) - Q3 2024 net profit: 1 120 billion RMB (+138 16% YoY) - The company's product lines are progressing well with improved profitability [1] - Goertek continues to focus on its "Precision Components + Smart Hardware" strategy [1] Business Strategy and Market Position - Goertek is maintaining its industry leadership position while developing new growth areas [1] - The company is actively expanding in emerging smart hardware products and automotive electronics [1] - AI integration in consumer electronics is expected to drive demand for Goertek's precision components [1] Financial Projections - EPS forecasts for 2024-2026: 0 80/1 04/1 32 RMB per share [1] - Revenue growth projections: - 2024: 3 6% (102 099 billion RMB) - 2025: 3 8% (105 954 billion RMB) - 2026: 10 9% (117 543 billion RMB) [2] - Net profit growth projections: - 2024: 152 7% (2 749 billion RMB) - 2025: 29 3% (3 556 billion RMB) - 2026: 27 4% (4 529 billion RMB) [2] Financial Ratios and Valuation - P/E ratio projections: - 2024: 29 91x - 2025: 23 12x - 2026: 18 16x [2] - ROE projections: - 2024: 8 3% - 2025: 9 9% - 2026: 11 4% [2] - EV/EBITDA projections: - 2024: 12 51x - 2025: 10 79x - 2026: 9 15x [2] Product Development - Goertek is focusing on: - Acoustic optical and microelectronic precision components - VR/MR/AR products - Smart wireless headphones - Wearable devices - Smart home products [1] - The company is building its GPS manufacturing system to enhance smart manufacturing capabilities [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 32.80 CNY per share based on a PE valuation of 47 times for 2025 [3][13]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in underwater acoustic electronic defense equipment, benefiting from the modernization and informatization of naval equipment, as well as the long-term strategic development of underwater defense systems [5][6]. - The recovery of downstream demand has led to a significant improvement in the company's performance in Q3 2024, with notable increases in net profit and operating income compared to the previous year [1][6]. - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by both underwater electronic defense products and non-acoustic business applications, with projected revenues of 40.45 billion CNY, 45.69 billion CNY, and 52.86 billion CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [6][21]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported operating income of 1.872 billion CNY, a decrease of 3.49% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 21.50% to 149 million CNY [1]. - The gross margin improved by 2.50 percentage points to 35.55%, and the expense ratio decreased by 0.45 percentage points to 26.88% [1][6]. Revenue Projections - The company anticipates revenue growth rates of 12.6%, 12.9%, and 15.7% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits expected to grow by 11.1%, 44.7%, and 41.7% in the same period [2][6]. Business Segments - Underwater electronic defense products are projected to see revenue growth of 18.53%, 15.93%, and 19.72% from 2024 to 2026, with corresponding gross margins of 30.0%, 32.0%, and 34.0% [6][12]. - Special electronic products are expected to grow by 15.16%, 18.66%, and 20.11% over the same period, maintaining a gross margin around 40% [7][12]. - The electronic information segment is projected to grow at a slower rate of 5.0% annually, with stable gross margins of 20% [7][12]. Valuation - The report suggests a reasonable value of 32.80 CNY per share based on a comparison with similar companies and historical valuation levels, reflecting the company's strong position in the defense equipment sector [13][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 19.19 CNY per share, based on a 20x PE valuation for 2024 [4][2]. Core Insights - The company's performance in Q1-Q3 of 2024 met expectations, with revenues of 851 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 8.29%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 146 million CNY, down 28.47% year-on-year [1]. - The company is experiencing a drag on performance from its subsidiaries and joint ventures, with investment income from these entities showing losses in the current year compared to the previous year [1]. - New production capacity is being gradually released, particularly from the Mingde factory, which is expected to enhance the company's growth through synergies with its North American operations [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 1.23 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 1.5% [3]. - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 231 million CNY, reflecting a decline of 7.9% compared to 2023 [3]. - The company’s EPS is forecasted to be 0.96 CNY in 2024, with a gradual increase to 1.48 CNY by 2026 [3]. - The EBITDA is expected to be 379 million CNY in 2024, with a steady increase in subsequent years [3]. Performance Metrics - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 38.72%, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.70 percentage points [1]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 17.64%, down 3.71 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 9.3% in 2024, improving to 11.4% by 2026 [3][25].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation (601888 SH/01880 HK) with a target price of 79 82 RMB for A-shares and 61 87 HKD for H-shares [5][24] Core Views - The company reported a 15 4% YoY decline in revenue to 430 2 billion RMB and a 24 7% YoY drop in net profit to 39 2 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2024 [1] - Despite the overall decline, the company saw a significant recovery in outbound and inbound duty-free sales, with Beijing airport duty-free store revenue growing over 140% and Shanghai airport duty-free store revenue increasing nearly 60% [2] - Hainan duty-free sales remained weak due to factors such as consumer spending pressure and the impact of Typhoon Muji, with a 38 4% YoY decline in September 2024 [19] Financial Performance - The company's gross margin improved by 1 4 percentage points YoY to 33 1% for the first three quarters of 2024, driven by operational improvements and tighter discounts [2] - However, the net profit margin declined by 1 1 percentage points YoY to 9 1% for the same period [2] - For Q3 2024, the company's revenue was 117 6 billion RMB, down 21 5% YoY, with a net profit of 6 4 billion RMB, a 52 5% YoY decline [1] Business Segments - Duty-free business: Expected to generate revenue of 413 1 billion RMB in 2024, a 6 6% YoY decline, but projected to grow by 13 8% and 10 5% in 2025 and 2026, respectively [20] - Taxable business: Expected to generate revenue of 184 2 billion RMB in 2024, a 17 6% YoY decline, with a recovery projected in 2025 and 2026 [20] - Other businesses: Expected to remain stable, with revenue of 10 6 billion RMB in 2024, growing at a 10% annual rate [21] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of international passenger traffic and the potential growth of urban duty-free stores [2] - Hainan duty-free sales are expected to bottom out and recover in Q4 2024, driven by the peak season and macroeconomic recovery [24] - The company's leading position in the industry and competitive advantages are expected to support its performance recovery [24] Valuation and Peer Comparison - The company's 2024E PE ratio is 28 5x, with a projected PE of 22 8x and 19 7x for 2025 and 2026, respectively [3] - Compared to peers such as Wangfujing and Tianhong, the company's valuation is considered reasonable given its industry leadership and growth potential [25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xingye Securities (601377 SH) with a target price of CNY 8 25 [3][5] Core Views - Xingye Securities' performance rebounded in Q3 2024 with a net profit of CNY 378 million turning from loss to profit [1] - The company's total assets stood at CNY 277 7 billion in Q3 2024 down 4 5% YoY while weighted average ROE increased by 4 16 percentage points to 2 64% [1] - Investment business showed significant recovery with investment net income (including fair value) reaching CNY 2 222 billion in the first three quarters up 165% YoY [1] - Light asset businesses such as brokerage and investment banking were impacted by market downturns with Q3 brokerage net income down 28% YoY and investment banking net income down 7% YoY [1] - The company is expected to benefit from policy support for capital market revitalization with projected net profits of CNY 2 35 billion and CNY 2 98 billion for 2024 and 2025 respectively [5] Business Performance Summary Heavy Asset Business - Investment net income (including fair value) reached CNY 2 222 billion in the first three quarters of 2024 up 165% YoY with Q3 contributing CNY 1 033 billion [1] - Interest net income in Q3 was CNY 284 million down 34% YoY while the first three quarters saw a 38 5% decline to CNY 879 million [1] - Margin financing balance at the end of September 2024 was CNY 1 4401 trillion down 9 5% YoY [1] Light Asset Business - Q3 brokerage net income was CNY 387 million down 28% YoY due to a 16% decline in daily market trading volume [1] - Asset management net income in Q3 was CNY 40 million flat YoY with non monetary fund sizes of Xingquan Fund and Southern Fund at CNY 279 2 billion and CNY 695 9 billion respectively [1] - Investment banking net income in Q3 was CNY 179 million down 7% YoY with total equity underwriting of CNY 233 million down 84% YoY [1] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is expected to grow by 7 1% in 2024 and 18 1% in 2025 reaching CNY 13 44 billion [2][7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase by 19 4% in 2024 and 27 2% in 2025 reaching CNY 2 981 billion [2][7] - EPS is forecasted to be CNY 0 27 in 2024 and CNY 0 35 in 2025 [2][7] - The company's P/E ratio is expected to be 25 16x in 2024 and 19 78x in 2025 [2][7] Market Assumptions - Daily market trading volume is expected to increase by 5% in 2024 and 10% in 2025 [6] - Margin financing balance is projected to reach CNY 1 7006 trillion in 2024 and CNY 1 7628 trillion in 2025 [6] - Equity financing volume is expected to decline by 50% in 2024 but rebound by 12% in 2025 [6] - The CSI 300 index is forecasted to yield 15% in 2024 and 20% in 2025 [6] Peer Comparison - Xingye Securities' 2024E P/B ratio of 1 06x is lower than peers such as Orient Securities (1 36x) and Founder Securities (1 23x) [8] - The company's 2024E ROE of 3 9% is below that of Zhejiang Securities (6 4%) but higher than Soochow Securities (2 3%) [8] Valuation - The report values Xingye Securities at 1 2x P/B for 2025 based on its historical valuation range of 1 3x P/B since 2019 [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 56.54 CNY per share, based on a 45x PE valuation for 2025 [3][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a robust growth in Q3 2024, achieving a revenue of 2.007 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 43.44%, and a net profit of 146 million CNY, up 41.27% year-on-year [4][5]. - The growth is attributed to the company's strategic positioning in the aerospace and information industry, effectively tapping into customer demand and increasing order backlog [5]. - The company has launched several innovative products, enhancing its market presence and solidifying its leadership in the aerospace information sector [5][6]. Summary by Sections Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.678 billion CNY, 5.244 billion CNY, and 7.281 billion CNY for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 46.2%, 42.6%, and 38.9% [2][10]. - The expected EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 is 0.89 CNY, 1.26 CNY, and 1.71 CNY, respectively [2][10]. Business Segments - The company is focusing on various sectors, including special fields, smart government, aerospace measurement and control, meteorological ecology, enterprise energy, and online business, with significant projected growth rates across these segments [8][9][10]. - For instance, the smart government segment is expected to grow by 55%, 50%, and 45% in the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [9]. Financial Metrics - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 47.49%, slightly down by 1.30 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 11.44%, down by 0.46 percentage points [5][6]. - The overall expense ratio for the first three quarters of 2024 was 33.28%, an increase of 0.02 percentage points compared to the same period last year [5]. Cash Flow - The company reported a positive net cash flow from operating activities in Q3 2024, attributed to improved receivables management and collection efforts [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 15.78 RMB per share [4] Core Views - The company reported Q3 2024 revenue of 840 million RMB, up 19.26% YoY, but net profit attributable to shareholders declined by 29.47% YoY to 20 million RMB due to a 34.52 million RMB loss from cotton futures hedging [1] - Excluding non-recurring items, Q3 net profit increased by 54.93% YoY to 38 million RMB, indicating improving operational profitability [1] - Gross margin improved to 13.64% in Q1-Q3 2024, up 2.08 percentage points YoY, driven by cost advantages from the Jingzhou project [2] - The company's R&D expenses increased significantly, with R&D expense ratio rising to 4.22% in Q1-Q3 2024, up 0.86 percentage points YoY [2] Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.191 billion RMB, up 20.95% YoY, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 104 million RMB, up 44.58% YoY [1] - The company's EPS is expected to grow from 1.13 RMB in 2024 to 1.55 RMB in 2026 [2] - ROE is projected to improve from 8.6% in 2024 to 9.7% in 2026 [3] Operational Highlights - The Jingzhou project demonstrates significant cost advantages and scale effects, contributing to margin improvement [2] - The color spinning yarn project has been successfully put into operation, supporting future growth [2] - The company's inventory turnover ratio is expected to improve from 3.92 in 2023 to 5.31 in 2026 [282] Valuation - The company is valued at 14x 2024 PE, with a target price of 15.78 RMB per share [2] - EV/EBITDA is expected to decline from 8.94x in 2024 to 4.19x in 2026, indicating improving valuation attractiveness [3] Growth Prospects - Revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 18.2% from 2024 to 2026, reaching 4.142 billion RMB in 2026 [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow at a CAGR of 17.2% from 2024 to 2026, reaching 232 million RMB in 2026 [3]