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绝味食品2023年报及2024年一季报点评:成本回落效果显现,Q1毛利率回升
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-07 10:32
Investment Rating - Buy rating maintained for Juewei Food (603517) [2] Core Views - Juewei Food achieved total revenue of 7.261 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 9.64%, with net profit attributable to the parent company of 344 million yuan, up 46.63% [3] - In 2023Q4, the company's revenue was 1.630 billion yuan, up 8.45%, but net profit attributable to the parent company was -45 million yuan, down 394.98% [3] - In 2024Q1, the company's revenue was 1.695 billion yuan, down 7.04%, but net profit attributable to the parent company was 165 million yuan, up 20.02% [3] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.50 yuan per share (tax included), with a dividend payout ratio of 89.89% [3] Business Performance - The company added 874 new stores in 2023, with a single-store shipment increasing by approximately 1.22% year-on-year [3] - In 2023, the company's sales of braised food, franchisee management, and other (logistics and raw material sales) revenues were 6.050 billion yuan, 83 million yuan, and 974 million yuan, up 7.09%, 11.38%, and 33.82% year-on-year, respectively [3] - In 2023, the company's revenue from poultry, livestock, vegetables, other products, and packaged products was 4.478 billion yuan, 27 million yuan, 680 million yuan, 583 million yuan, and 282 million yuan, up 6.50%, 26.78%, 5.57%, 2.80%, and 32.75% year-on-year, respectively [3] - The company's total number of stores in mainland China (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and overseas) reached 15,950 at the end of 2023, with a net increase of 874 stores, a growth rate of 5.80% [3] Regional Performance - In 2023, the company's revenue in Central China, South China, East China, North China, Southwest China, Northwest China, and other regions was 2.219 billion yuan, 1.605 billion yuan, 1.293 billion yuan, 887 million yuan, 832 million yuan, 141 million yuan, and 130 million yuan, up 10.81%, 12.06%, 8.72%, 19.04%, -3.76%, 106.52%, and -13.22% year-on-year, respectively [3] Financial Performance - In 2023, the company's gross profit margin was 24.77%, down 0.80 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin attributable to the parent company was 4.74%, up 1.23 percentage points year-on-year [3] - In 2024Q1, the company's gross profit margin was 30.03%, up 5.73 percentage points year-on-year and 3.13 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - The company's net profit margin attributable to the parent company in 2024Q1 was 9.73%, up 2.19 percentage points year-on-year [3] Future Projections - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 790 million yuan, 982 million yuan, and 1.129 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 129.54%, 24.27%, and 14.90%, respectively [3] - The company's PE ratios as of May 6 are expected to be 16x, 13x, and 12x for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [3]
通信行业周报:行业业绩分化明显,以太网架构将重回增长正轨
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-07 01:30
[Table_Main] 行 业研究|电信服务 证 券研究报告 电信服务行业周报 2024年05月05日 [Ta行ble业_T业itle绩] 分化明显,以太网架构将重回增长正轨 [Table_Invest] 推荐|维持 ——通信行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点: [过Ta去bl一e_年Pic市Q场uo行te]情 市场整体行情及通信细分板块行情回顾 24Q1通信板块细分行业间分化明显,光模块&光器件、物联网、IDC 沪深300 通信(申万) 及运营商业绩表现较好,AI 硬件及智算算力需求持续验证。主动权 30% 益型基金通信行业配置环比向上,24Q1 运营商、光模块仍为重点配 20% 10% 置及增持方向。 0% 周行情:本周(2024.04.29-2024.04.30)上证综指上涨 0.52%,深 -10% 证成指上涨1.30%,创业板上涨1.90%。本周申万通信上涨0.95%。 -20% 考虑通信行业的高景气度延续,相关企业经营业绩的不断兑现可期, -30% 5/5 8/5 11/5 2/5 5/5 我们给予通信及电子行业“推荐”评级。 资料来源:Wind,国元证券研究所 细分行业方面 ...
首次覆盖报告:核心产业实现快速增长,布局低空经济未来可期
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-07 01:30
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 20.91 yuan [4][9] Core Views - The company achieved record-high revenue, profit, and order reserves in 2023, driven by increased management efficiency and reduced expenses [1] - The company is expected to maintain high growth in the future, with projected net profits of 141 million yuan, 174 million yuan, and 205 million yuan for 2024-2026, respectively [4] - The company's PE ratios for 2024-2026 are estimated at 34.00x, 27.65x, and 23.43x, indicating strong growth potential [4] Business Performance - In 2023, the company's total revenue reached 851 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 106.25%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 113 million yuan, a significant turnaround from the previous year [25] - The company's R&D investment in 2023 was 66.68 million yuan, accounting for 7.84% of revenue, focusing on new product designs and platform improvements [2] - The company's main business segments, including airborne equipment, aviation maintenance, and measurement and control equipment, all achieved significant growth in 2023 [17] Industry and Market Position - The company is a leading domestic manufacturer of aviation seats and cabin equipment, with a strong market position in the defense industry [16] - As the first domestic manufacturer to obtain the CTSOA airworthiness certificate, the company has rich experience in airworthiness and is a pioneer in the localization of civil aircraft equipment [3][27] - The company's products are widely used in the helicopter sector, and its core technologies are highly adaptable to the low-altitude economy, positioning it well for future growth in this emerging sector [20] Future Growth Drivers - The company is actively developing products for the eVTOL (electric vertical take-off and landing) sector, with some products already in the business negotiation stage [20] - The company's multi-business breakthroughs and the strong demand from the low-altitude economy are expected to drive sustained high growth in the future [4][11] - The company's ongoing R&D efforts and new product developments, such as the SIPDM research management system and helicopter support systems, are expected to contribute to future growth [25]
行业比较跟踪:今年的阿尔法:半导体及环保
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-06 09:00
Core Insights - The report highlights a mixed performance in Q1 across various industries, with notable profit declines in commerce, media, construction materials, public utilities, and electrical equipment, while sectors like electronics, agriculture, light industry, environmental protection, and pharmaceuticals show faster profit improvements [3] - Electronics and environmental protection are identified as two significant alpha opportunities for the year, driven by a new consumption cycle indicated by global PMI data, with consumer electronics net profit growth reaching 44.91% in Q1 [3] - The environmental sector is expected to benefit from carbon reduction goals and large-scale equipment upgrades, with the completion of environmental targets lagging behind economic goals during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3] Industry Performance - The report notes that industrial profits are still expanding overall, despite a slight retraction, with significant growth observed in the computer communication, chemical raw materials, chemical fiber, automotive, and non-ferrous metal smelting industries [15] - However, some industries, such as automotive and computer communication, are experiencing profit growth alongside declining capacity utilization rates, suggesting that demand is not emerging from the downstream [15] - The chemical fiber industry, particularly viscose staple fiber, is highlighted as a sector where all data points are currently in sync, with improving profits and rising capacity utilization, supported by recovering global social scenarios [15] Market Trends - The manufacturing PMI for April stands at 50.4, indicating a stable overall trend, while industrial enterprise profits show a slight retraction but remain in an expansion state [15][23] - The report emphasizes that the current cycle is primarily in the midstream, with a notable ability for cost transfer observed in the midstream sectors due to incremental demand [15] - The report also indicates that the pressure from carbon emissions is likely to continue to increase, impacting various industries [15]
宏观与大类资产周报:资产风格难有变化
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-06 06:30
Economic Indicators - The PMI index has shown a stable performance, with recent breakthroughs attributed to seasonal factors, and seasonally adjusted PMI remains within the two-year fluctuation range[18] - Real estate sales have stabilized around -23% after several months of volatility, indicating limited further decline in sales probability[18] - The current macroeconomic environment is supported by a global pricing inventory cycle, while the credit cycle remains a core issue[19] Market Trends - The stock and bond markets are experiencing a "risk-on" sentiment, but without an expanding credit cycle, the downward flow of money poses challenges[18] - The A-share and Hang Seng indices have risen together, suggesting a need for further analysis of trading dynamics rather than fundamental support[18] - The liquidity bottleneck reflects a persistent risk-off sentiment in asset allocation, favoring interest rate bonds as a superior asset class[19] Policy Implications - The digestion of existing real estate inventory is viewed as a fiscal action, with potential focus on "old-for-new" policies depending on fiscal space availability[18] - The effectiveness of real estate policies can only be assessed retrospectively, as recent trends have been largely driven by internal industry dynamics[18] - The potential for credit spreads to reach historic lows exists, but caution is advised regarding real estate credit investments[19]
中国核电2023年报及2024一季报点评:核电业务稳健增长,净利率水平持续提升
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-06 05:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% in the next six months compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 74.957 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 5.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.624 billion yuan, up 17.91% year-on-year [2][3]. - In Q1 2024, the company reported a revenue of 17.988 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.53%, and a net profit of 3.059 billion yuan, up 1.18% year-on-year [2]. - The company has maintained a strong operational performance with a total power generation of 209.858 billion kWh in 2023, marking a 5.30% increase year-on-year [3]. - The net profit margin improved to 25.90% in 2023, an increase of 3.00 percentage points year-on-year, and further increased to 31.38% in Q1 2024 [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.94% in revenue and 23.19% in net profit from 2019 to 2023 [3][12]. - The gross profit margin for 2023 was 44.62%, while the net profit margin was 25.90% [4]. Operational Efficiency - The company operated 25 nuclear power units safely and stably, with 18 units achieving a perfect WANO index score [5]. - The company completed 17 major overhauls in 2023, optimizing the average duration of routine overhauls by 3.4 days compared to 2022 [5]. Project Development - The company has a robust pipeline of nuclear projects, with over 10 units in the preparatory phase and maintaining a leading position in project approvals [6]. - The company has successfully completed several projects, including the Fuzhou 5/6 and Tianwan 3/4 units, and has made significant progress in renewable energy projects [5]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 11.469 billion yuan, 12.692 billion yuan, and 13.677 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.21, 13.75, and 12.76 [6][10].
今世缘2023年报及2024一季报点评:Q1业绩增22%,势能持续向上
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-06 02:30
[Table_Main] 公司研究|日常消费|食品、饮料与烟草 证券研究报告 今世缘(603369)公司点评报告 2024年05月03日 [Table_TitlQe] 1 业绩增 22%,势能持续向上 [Table_Inves 买t] 入|维持 ——今世缘 2023年报及 2024一季报点评 [ Table_Summary] [基Ta本bl数e_据Ba se] 事件 52周最高/最低价(元): 65.05 / 42.12 公司公告 2023 年报及 2024 一季报。23 年,公司实现总营收 101.00 亿元 (+28.05%),归母净利31.36亿元(+25.30%)。23Q4,公司实现总营收17.35 A股流通股(百万股): 1254.50 亿元(+26.67%),归母净利 5.00 亿元(+18.75%)。24Q1,公司实现总营收 A股总股本(百万股): 1254.50 46.71亿元(+22.82%),归母净利15.33亿元(+22.12%)。公司拟每股派发现 流通市值(百万元): 72033.39 金红利1.00元(含税),分红率39.76%。 总市值(百万元): 72033.39 产品结 ...
妙可蓝多2024一季报点评:奶酪降幅收窄,归母净利率改善
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-06 02:30
[Table_Main] 公司研究|日常消费|食品、饮料与烟草 证券研究报告 妙可蓝多(600882)公司点评报告 2024 年 5 月 2 日 [Table_Summary] 事件 公司公告 2024 一季报。24Q1,公司实现总营收 9.50 亿元,同比-7.14%, 归母净利 0.41 亿元,同比+70.63%,扣非归母净利 0.31 亿元,同比 +426.34%。 24Q1 奶酪业务降幅环比收窄 1)奶酪业务收入同比降幅环比收窄。24Q1,公司奶酪/贸易/液态奶业务分 别实现收入 7.85/0.82/0.81 亿元,同比分别-3.28%/-35.80%/-0.38%,奶酪 业务收入同比降幅环比收窄 17.42pct。 2)直营渠道收入小幅增长,经销渠道降幅环比收窄。24Q1,公司经销/直 营/贸易渠道分别实现收入 7.35/1.31/0.82 亿元,同比分别-3.57%/+0.23%/- 35.80%,经销渠道同比降幅环比收窄 8.63pct。 3)24Q1 中区收入实现增长。24Q1,公司北区、中区、南区分别实现收入 3.74/3.87/1.87 亿元,同比分别-15.06%/+13.31%/-21 ...
2023年报点评报告:主力产品稳健增长,产品线逐步丰富
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-06 01:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guizhou Sanli (603439.SH) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2023 reached 1.635 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.10%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 292.70 million yuan, up 45.42% year-on-year [10][12] - The growth in sales is attributed to the performance of the company's flagship product, the "Kaitoujian" spray, which saw sales close to 1.3 billion yuan, growing nearly 20% year-on-year, driven by respiratory diseases and the pandemic [2][11] - The company has expanded its sales network significantly, covering over 334 cities and 2,355 counties, with a total of more than 175,000 terminals [2][11] - The company has been actively pursuing external growth, acquiring companies such as Dechangxiang and Wudi Pharmaceutical, which contributed to revenue and profit growth [2][12] Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue (in million yuan): - 2022A: 1,201.32 - 2023A: 1,634.98 - 2024E: 2,414.43 - 2025E: 2,876.22 - 2026E: 3,427.31 - Year-on-year revenue growth rates: - 2022: 27.94% - 2023: 36.10% - 2024E: 47.67% - 2025E: 19.13% - 2026E: 19.16% [3][10] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (in million yuan): - 2022A: 201.28 - 2023A: 292.70 - 2024E: 374.57 - 2025E: 460.24 - 2026E: 571.21 - Year-on-year net profit growth rates: - 2022: 32.18% - 2023: 45.42% - 2024E: 27.97% - 2025E: 22.87% - 2026E: 24.11% [3][10] - Earnings per share (EPS): - 2022: 0.49 yuan - 2023: 0.71 yuan - 2024E: 0.91 yuan - 2025E: 1.12 yuan - 2026E: 1.39 yuan [3][10] Growth Outlook - The company is expected to continue its robust growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 3.75 billion yuan, 4.60 billion yuan, and 5.71 billion yuan for 2024-2026, respectively [12] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 16 times, 13 times, and 11 times for the years 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E, respectively [12]
紫光国微2023一季报点评:产品谱系持续丰富,短期承压不改长期投资价值
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-05-06 01:00
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Buy" [1][10]. Core Views - The company continues to enhance its product lineup, which supports its long-term investment value despite short-term pressures [2][3]. - The company's revenue for Q1 2024 was 1.141 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.16% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 307 million yuan, down 47.44% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company has a strong focus on R&D, with an annual investment of 1.633 billion yuan in 2023, representing 21.58% of its revenue, and has secured 149 patent authorizations [4][10]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 7.565 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.26%, while net profit decreased by 3.84% to 2.531 billion yuan [4][11]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 1.772 billion yuan, an increase of 2.63% year-on-year [4][11]. - As of the end of 2023, total assets were 16.865 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.82% from the beginning of the year, while equity attributable to shareholders increased by 2.55% to 11.954 billion yuan [2][4]. Product Development and Market Position - The company has successfully launched new product lines, including special Nand Flash and RF-SOC products, which have received positive market feedback [6][10]. - The company is recognized as one of the industry leaders in various product categories, with ongoing upgrades in network and interface products [6][10]. - The company is actively expanding its product spectrum to ensure sustainable future growth, including the establishment of a new production base for ultra-miniature quartz crystal resonators with a total investment of 355 million yuan [10][11]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2024-2026 estimates net profits of 2.793 billion yuan, 3.274 billion yuan, and 3.943 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.29 yuan, 3.85 yuan, and 4.64 yuan [10][11]. - The current price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 17.80 times, 15.18 times, and 12.61 times for the respective years [10][11].