Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for iQIYI with a target price of $8.60, indicating a potential upside of 87.8% from the current price of $4.58 [4]. Core Insights - iQIYI is focusing on high-quality and diversified content while expanding into overseas markets and targeting the elderly and youth demographics. The management emphasizes a return to realism in content creation and the importance of AIGC (Artificial Intelligence Generated Content) in enhancing creator value [2][3]. - The company has announced over 300 new titles, including popular series and genres, which are expected to drive membership growth and improve profitability [2][3]. - The report anticipates a recovery in advertising revenue driven by innovative variety shows and operational improvements [2]. Financial Summary - Sales revenue is projected to grow from 31,873 million RMB in 2022 to 39,960 million RMB in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6% [3][13]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to increase from 2,811.2 million RMB in 2023 to 4,543.2 million RMB in 2026, indicating a positive trend in profitability [3][13]. - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 4.28 RMB in 2023 to 4.66 RMB in 2026, showcasing an upward trajectory in earnings [3][13]. Content Pipeline - iQIYI has a robust pipeline with over 300 new titles across various genres, including dramas, variety shows, and films, set to launch in 2024. Notable upcoming series include "Cloud Rising" and "The Heart of the World" [2][8][12]. - The company is introducing new content units such as "Micro Dust Theater" and "Big Literature Theater" to cater to diverse audience preferences [2]. Market Position - iQIYI's market capitalization is approximately $4.395 billion, with a 52-week stock price range of $3.17 to $6.34, indicating volatility but also potential for growth [5]. - The average market estimate for EPS shows a significant increase from 0.37 RMB in 2021 to 3.37 RMB in 2026, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the company's growth prospects [3].

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating with a target price of HK$52.00, implying a 51.2% upside from the current price of HK$34.40 [2][3]. Core Insights - The first-quarter results for Ping An show resilience in core lines, with Life VNB increasing by 20.7% YoY to RMB12.9 billion, surpassing market consensus and previous estimates [2]. - The growth in VNB is attributed to a significant rise in VNB margin, which increased by 6.5 percentage points YoY to 22.8%, despite sluggish sales in the 2024 jumpstart period [2]. - Group OPAT decreased by 3.0% YoY to RMB38.7 billion, but this is a significant improvement from a decline of 19.7% YoY by the end of 2023 [2]. - Life & Health OPAT turned positive with a growth of 2.2% YoY to RMB27.3 billion, contributing to a 0.3% YoY OPAT growth across the three core segments: Ping An Life & Health, P&C, and PAB [2]. - Asset management returned to profitability with a net profit of RMB910 million in 1Q24, compared to a loss of RMB20.7 billion by the end of 2023 [2]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance - Life VNB rose by 20.7% YoY to RMB12.9 billion in 1Q24, driven by a VNB margin increase to 22.8% [2][16]. - The number of life insurance agents decreased by 4.0% YoY to 0.33 million, but the productivity per agent increased by 56.4% YoY [2][16]. Property & Casualty (P&C) Insurance - P&C insurance revenue grew by 5.7% YoY to RMB80.6 billion, with a combined ratio (CoR) of 99.6%, reflecting a 0.9 percentage point increase [2][16]. - Underwriting profit in P&C declined by 67.5% YoY to RMB323 million, attributed to increased claims from catastrophes [2][16]. Asset Management - The asset management segment reported a net profit of RMB910 million in 1Q24, a recovery from a significant loss in the previous year [2][16]. Financial Projections - FY24-26E EPS revised down to RMB6.42, RMB7.05, and RMB7.61, respectively, from previous estimates of RMB6.94, RMB7.87, and RMB8.62 [2][3]. - The stock is currently trading at FY24 0.47x P/EV and 0.71x P/B, with potential upside driven by improved market sentiment and rising investment yields [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for New Oriental with a target price of US$102.50, revised from the previous target of US$104.50, indicating a potential upside of 33.0% from the current price of US$77.08 [2][3]. Core Insights - New Oriental's total net revenue for 3QFY24 increased by 60.1% year-over-year (YoY) to US$1,207 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of US$1,098 million by 10% [2]. - Non-GAAP net income rose by 9.8% YoY to US$105 million, although it fell short of the consensus estimate of US$132 million due to investments in East Buy and rapid capacity expansion affecting margin growth [2]. - The company expects total revenue for 4QFY24 to grow by 28-31% YoY, projecting revenue between US$1,102 million and US$1,127 million, compared to the consensus estimate of US$1,096 million [2]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY24E, total revenue is forecasted at US$4,293 million, with adjusted net profit expected to reach US$456.1 million [6]. - The revenue growth forecast for FY25E and FY26E has been increased by 8-10%, while earnings forecasts for the same periods have been trimmed by 3-6% due to the impact of capacity expansion on margins [2][6]. - The educational business segment showed strong momentum, with overseas test prep and study consulting revenue growing by 52.6% and 25.7% YoY, respectively, contributing approximately 21% to total revenue [2]. Capacity Expansion and Strategic Initiatives - New Oriental's capacity expansion accelerated, with the number of schools and learning centers increasing by 28% YoY to 911 as of the end of 3QFY24 [2]. - The company has raised its capacity expansion plan for FY24, now expecting a 30% YoY increase, up from the previous estimate of 20% [2]. - Investments in East Buy are aimed at enhancing private label product development and supply chain management, which is expected to drive customer base expansion and user engagement [2]. Valuation Methodology - The report employs a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation, attributing US$91.6 million to the educational and consulting business, US$6.8 million to East Buy, and US$4.2 million to the tourism business, reflecting their respective growth prospects and market positions [7][8].

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating for Great Wall Motor with a target price increase from HK$13.00 to HK$14.00, reflecting a revised FY24E EPS multiple of 11x [2][5]. Core Views - Great Wall Motor's 1Q24 net profit of RMB3.2 billion exceeded forecasts, leading to a 25% increase in the FY24E net profit forecast to RMB9.9 billion, representing a 41% year-on-year growth [2]. - The company needs a high-volume New Energy Vehicle (NEV) to enhance investor confidence in its electrification strategy, especially after previous PHEV model failures [2]. - The introduction of a lower-priced PHEV is anticipated to drive sales, while the pricing strategy for the new Wey Lanshan AD version is considered crucial [2]. Financial Summary - FY24E revenue is projected at RMB202.33 billion, a 16.8% increase year-on-year, with net profit expected to reach RMB9.92 billion [4][9]. - The gross profit margin for FY24E is revised to 18.9%, up 0.3 percentage points from previous estimates, due to better-than-expected performance in 1Q24 [2][9]. - The company’s sales volume forecast for FY24E remains at 1.35 million units, reflecting a 10% year-on-year growth [2]. Quarterly Performance - In 1Q24, Great Wall Motor reported a revenue of RMB42.86 billion, a 47.6% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 20% [2][8]. - The net profit for 1Q24 was RMB3.23 billion, marking a significant increase of 1,752.5% year-on-year [2][8]. Market Position and Strategy - Despite strong performance in off-road SUVs and overseas markets, the company lacks a competitive NEV to validate its electrification capabilities [2]. - The upcoming Beijing Auto Show is highlighted as a key event for investors to monitor developments in the NEV sector [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Zhejiang Dingli with a target price revised to RMB75, reflecting a 14.9% upside from the current price [3][6]. Core Insights - Zhejiang Dingli's net profit for 2023 increased by 49% year-on-year to RMB1.87 billion, aligning with earlier forecasts. The adjusted net profit for Q1 2024 rose by 27% year-on-year to RMB404 million, also meeting expectations. The company anticipates that overseas sales will surpass domestic sales in 2024, indicating improved gross margins [3][4]. - The company is experiencing accelerated sales growth in the US and expects to achieve a sales target of 2,000 boom lifts for the year. The ramp-up of production at the new phase five plant is underway, with current monthly output at 150 units [3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2023, Zhejiang Dingli reported a record net profit of RMB574 million, a 51% increase year-on-year, with revenue growing by 23% to RMB1.57 billion. The gross margin expanded by 4.1 percentage points to 41% due to rising margins on boom lifts [3][4]. - For the full year 2023, total revenue reached RMB6.3 billion, with a 16% year-on-year growth. The revenue mix was 64% from overseas markets and 36% from China, with 75% of overseas sales coming from the US and Europe [3][4]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2024 and 2025 has been raised by 7% and 9% respectively, driven by higher volume assumptions, improved gross margins, and increased finance income. The target price reflects an unchanged P/E ratio of 18x for 2024, which is 1 standard deviation below the historical average of 31x [3][4][11]. Sales and Production Outlook - The company expects boom lift sales to reach 2,250 units in 2024, with a significant increase in production capacity anticipated from the new plant. The gross margin for boom lifts is projected to improve to 31% in 2024 [11][12]. - The report highlights that the company is responding to increased demand in the EU, which constitutes approximately 37% of its overseas sales, with half of that from the EU market [3][4]. Key Assumptions - The report outlines key assumptions for future sales volumes and revenue, indicating a growth trajectory for boom lifts, scissor lifts, and vertical lifts through 2026. Total revenue is expected to reach RMB10.41 billion by 2026, with a blended gross margin of 37.8% [11][12][16].

M N 24 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Li Ning (2331 HK) Healthy outlook after a beat in retail discounts Li Ning may not be our top pick in the sportswear sector. But thanks to potential Target Price HK$22.17 sequential acceleration in sales growth and decent margin improvement (better (Previous TP HK$24.86) discounts and operating leverage), we are still positive on Li Ning and maintain Up/Downside 19.9% BUY with TP of HK$ 22.17, based on 15x FY24E P/E. Current ...

Investment Rating - Reiterate BUY with a SOTP-based target price of HK$22 19 [2][10] Core Views - Xiaomi's SU7 sales target of 100k units in 2024 and 10k monthly deliveries in June exceeded market expectations [2] - SU7 gross profit margin (GPM) target of 5-10% in 2024 is above expectations, with breakeven expected at 300-400k sales per year [2] - Xiaomi's unique "Human-car-home" ecosystem is a major competitive edge over peers [2] - Near-term catalysts include the Beijing Auto Show (25-27 Apr), 1Q24 results in May, and 10k SU7 monthly shipments in June [2] SU7 Sales and Expansion - SU7 non-refundable orders reached 70k, with a higher share of the high-end SU7 MAX model [2] - Xiaomi aims to expand its smart driving team to 1 5k/2k by 2024/25 from 1k currently [2] - EV sales/service centers are targeted to cover 46/82 cities by the end of 2024 [2] 2024 Guidance - Revenue guidance of RMB300bn for core business, with RMB24bn in R&D expenses (including RMB11-12bn for EV-related) [2] - Smartphone shipments target an increase of 15-20mn in 2024 compared to 146mn in 2023 [2] - 1Q24 smartphone shipments grew 34% YoY to 40 8mn [2] Financial Forecasts - FY24E revenue is projected at RMB321 495mn, with an 18 6% YoY growth [3] - Adjusted net profit for FY24E is estimated at RMB17 321mn, a 10 1% YoY decline [3] - FY24E EPS is forecasted at RMB0 70, with a P/E ratio of 21 5x [3] Valuation - SOTP-based valuation assigns 13x/10x/15x FY24E P/E to smartphone/AIoT/internet businesses, and 0 75x FY25E P/S to the EV business [10] - The target price of HK$22 19 implies a 37 2% upside from the current price of HK$16 18 [3][10] Peer Comparison - Xiaomi's FY24E P/E of 20 7x is higher than peers like BYD (8 8x) and Sunny Optical (25 9x) [12] - The company's market cap stands at HK$329 133 6mn, with a 3-month average turnover of HK$1 534 9mn [4] Financial Performance - FY23 revenue declined 3 2% YoY to RMB270 970mn, while adjusted net profit increased 126 3% YoY to RMB19 272 8mn [3] - FY23 ROE improved to 11 3%, up from 1 8% in FY22 [3] - FY24E gross profit margin is expected to be 19 0%, slightly lower than FY23's 21 2% [3]

M N 24 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Jiangsu Hengli (601100 CH) 4Q23 & 1Q24 earnings not exciting; but more positive drivers to come Target Price RMB64.00 Hengli’s net profit in 2023 was +7% YoY to RMB2.5bn, which is -5%/+3% versus (Previous TP RMB83.00) our/consensus estimates. Net profit in 1Q24 dropped 4% YoY to RMB602mn, Up/Downside 24.9% due to weak demand for excavators’ hydraulic components and an increased Current Price RMB51.24 expense ratio. We trim o ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for the company, with a target price (TP) raised to RMB183, reflecting a potential upside of 15.6% from the current price of RMB158.36 [4][3]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong financial performance, with FY23 revenue growth of 11.2% YoY to RMB10.7 billion and net profit soaring by 77.6% YoY to RMB2.2 billion. The 1Q24 results were even more impressive, with revenue increasing by 163.6% YoY to RMB4.8 billion and net profit rising by 303.8% YoY to RMB1.0 billion [3][4]. - The growth is attributed to robust demand for high-speed optical transceivers, particularly 400G and 800G products, which accounted for over 90% of total revenue in FY23. The company expects 800G shipments to accelerate in the coming quarters as production capacity expands [3][4]. - Revenue forecasts have been revised upwards by 25% for 2024 and 44% for 2025, while net profit forecasts have been increased by 35% for 2024 and 59% for 2025 [3][4]. Financial Summary - For FY24E, the company is expected to generate revenue of RMB22.6 billion, with a gross margin of 33.8% and a net profit of RMB4.9 billion, translating to an EPS of RMB6.11 [7][11]. - The company’s revenue is projected to continue growing, with FY25E revenue expected to reach RMB29.7 billion and net profit of RMB6.3 billion [7][11]. - The balance sheet shows total assets of RMB20.0 billion and total liabilities of RMB5.2 billion as of FY23, indicating a strong equity position [11][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Netflix, with a target price of US$644.50, reflecting a potential upside of 16.1% from the current price of US$555.04 [2][3]. Core Insights - Netflix reported strong 1Q24 results, with revenue growth of 15% YoY, surpassing estimates by 1%, and an operating profit margin (OPM) of 28.1%, which is 2 percentage points above estimates [2][3]. - The management has guided an increase in FY24E OPM to 25% from the previous 24%, indicating confidence in continued profitability despite a moderate revenue guidance for FY24E [2][3]. - The report highlights Netflix's initiatives in AVOD and paid sharing as positive drivers for future growth, with an expected earnings upside from efficient content spending and reduced competition [2][3]. Financial Summary - **Earnings Summary**: - FY24E revenue is projected at US$38.428 billion, reflecting a 14% YoY growth, with net profit expected to reach US$7.978 billion [3][18]. - The report anticipates EPS growth of 52.8% in FY24E, with a reported EPS of US$18.71 [3][18]. - **Operating Performance**: - The operating profit for FY24E is estimated at US$9.597 billion, with an operating margin of 25% [3][15]. - The report indicates a significant increase in operating profit from US$6.954 billion in FY23A to US$9.597 billion in FY24E, representing a growth of 38% [3][18]. - **Cash Flow**: - Net cash from operations is projected to be US$7.389 billion in FY24E, with a notable increase in cash at the end of the year expected to reach US$8.934 billion [19][19]. Market Position and Guidance - Netflix's management has expressed confidence in achieving double-digit revenue growth in the medium term, supported by a strong content pipeline for 2Q24E and 2H24E [2][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from increased engagement and monetization strategies, despite the removal of quarterly subscriber and ARM disclosures starting 1Q25 [2][3].