Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong and China Gas Company Limited has maintained a fixed dividend policy since 2009, with a consistent dividend payout of HKD 0.35 per share, leading to a significant increase in dividend payout ratio and total dividend amount over the years [1] Group 1: Dividend Policy and Financial Performance - The company has increased its dividend payout ratio from 44% in 2009 to 114% in 2024, with total dividends rising from HKD 2.3 billion to HKD 6.5 billion, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.2% [1] - Forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is expected to be HKD 58.48 billion, HKD 60.44 billion, and HKD 64.56 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 2.4%, 3.4%, and 6.8% respectively [1] Group 2: Hong Kong Gas Operations - The company is the sole gas supplier in Hong Kong, serving 2.04 million users with a penetration rate of 74% [2] - Despite a decline in gas consumption from 28,556 TJ to 27,159 TJ (a decrease of 4.9%) from 2013 to 2024, the company's EBITDA from Hong Kong operations has grown from HKD 4.2 billion to HKD 5.8 billion, with a CAGR of 3.0% [2] - The company benefits from a price adjustment mechanism that allows for biannual rate increases, which helps maintain stable revenue despite declining consumption [2] Group 3: Mainland China Operations - The company has expanded its mainland operations since 1994, covering 23 provincial regions, primarily in first and second-tier cities along the eastern coast and Chengdu-Chongqing area [3] - From 2019 to 2024, the gas sales volume has grown at a CAGR of 7.3%, aligning with the national consumption growth rate of 7.0% [3] - The company anticipates an increase in gas price differentials in mainland China, with projections of HKD 0.54, HKD 0.55, and HKD 0.58 per cubic meter for 2025-2027 [3] Group 4: Business Diversification and Green Energy - The company is restructuring its extended business segments, which include smart kitchens, insurance, and home safety, with significant market shares in Hong Kong but lower penetration in mainland China [4] - The company is also focusing on green energy initiatives, including green methanol, sustainable aviation fuel, and hydrogen, with production capacity expected to be released gradually from 2025 to 2028 [4] Group 5: Capital Expenditure and Cash Flow Management - Operating cash flow has slightly decreased from HKD 10.5 billion to HKD 9.0 billion between 2021 and 2024, while capital expenditure has reduced from HKD 10.2 billion in 2023 to HKD 6.0 billion in 2024 [5] - The company is optimizing non-core business operations and plans to introduce strategic investors to enhance its extended business segments [5] - Free cash flow is expected to gradually cover the annual fixed dividend of HKD 6.5 billion due to improved cash flow management and asset disposal strategies [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, recommending various companies within these industries for investment [5][14]. Core Insights - The report highlights the competitive results of the electricity pricing mechanism in Shandong, indicating that wind power is favored over solar power, with wind power pricing at 0.319 CNY/kWh and solar at 0.225 CNY/kWh [9][10]. - A new pricing mechanism for nearby consumption of renewable energy has been established, clarifying economic responsibilities and allowing renewable projects to pay for supply reliability [12][13]. - Global gas prices are showing mixed trends, with European and Asian prices rising while U.S. prices are declining, reflecting varying supply and demand dynamics [15][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Shandong Pricing Mechanism and New Renewable Energy Policies - Shandong's first competitive pricing results show wind power projects with a total capacity of 3.5911 GW and a mechanism electricity price of 0.319 CNY/kWh, while solar projects have a capacity of 1.265 GW and a price of 0.225 CNY/kWh [9][11]. - The new pricing mechanism for nearby consumption aims to enhance the utilization of renewable energy and reduce the pressure on the power system [12][13]. 2. Gas: Global Price Variations - As of September 12, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices are at $2.94/mmBtu, down 3.61% week-on-week, while European TTF prices are at €32.00/MWh, up 1.27% [15][16]. - The report notes that U.S. gas production remains high despite a slight decline, while European prices are influenced by supply constraints and increased heating demand due to cooler temperatures [15][20]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The gas sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, while the public utilities, power, and environmental sectors underperformed [36]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent announcements include the implementation of market-oriented pricing reforms for renewable energy in Jiangxi province, effective from October 2025 [40]. - The report also discusses various company announcements, including operational updates and financial instruments [43]. 5. Key Company Valuation Tables - The report provides valuation metrics for key companies in the public utility sector, highlighting buy and hold recommendations for several firms based on their earnings and price-to-earnings ratios [45][46].

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong and China Gas and Tianneng Holding Group have established a strategic cooperation to promote the integration of renewable energy and the green economy, aiming to inject new momentum into the green transformation of the energy industry [1] Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - The signing of the strategic cooperation agreement marks a significant upgrade in the relationship between the two companies, evolving from a single project collaboration to a comprehensive strategic partnership [3] - Future collaboration will focus on joint project development, investment and financing cooperation, demonstration base construction, and innovation in technology and application scenarios [3][4] Group 2: Company Background and Goals - Hong Kong and China Gas has successfully transformed from urban gas and derivative businesses to smart energy, actively expanding its green fuel business across various sectors [3] - The company aims to create zero-carbon smart industrial parks and low-carbon factories, supporting enterprises in their ESG management [3] - Tianneng Holding Group recognizes the complementary nature of its business with Hong Kong and China Gas and aims to deepen cooperation in smart energy business development, technological innovation, and capital collaboration [4] Group 3: Industry Trends and Future Directions - The collaboration aligns with global energy transition and low-carbon development trends, exploring new sustainable development models [6] - Both companies aim to provide practical examples and industry benchmarks for achieving national "dual carbon" goals through their partnership [6]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年8月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 香港中華煤氣有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年9月2日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 (A). 股份期權（根據發行人的股份期權計劃） 不適用 第 3 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00003 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 18,659,870,098 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 7.63 [1][7]. Core Insights - The company focuses on extending its business and optimizing its gas supply structure, leveraging its advantages in the Hong Kong market while exploring potential in mainland China [1][2]. - The company plans to enhance its B2C operations and digitalization by introducing strategic investments, aiming to expand its customer base in mainland China [2]. - The gas supply structure is being optimized to reduce costs and increase flexibility, with a focus on increasing the proportion of unconventional and spot gas [3]. - The company holds a monopolistic position in the Hong Kong market, which significantly contributes to its profits compared to its mainland operations [4]. - Although the mainland business faces short-term challenges, the extended business is expected to be a long-term growth driver [5]. Summary by Sections Business Expansion and Strategy - The management aims to strengthen its extended business operations by collaborating with strategic investors, focusing on customer expansion before exploring cross-regional and multi-brand sales [2]. Gas Supply Optimization - The company plans to increase the share of unconventional and spot gas in its supply mix, currently dominated by the three major oil companies, to optimize costs [3]. Market Position and Profitability - The company enjoys a strong competitive advantage in the Hong Kong market, with a flexible pricing mechanism that allows for quick adjustments based on fuel costs [4]. - The profit contribution from Hong Kong's gas sales significantly exceeds that from mainland operations, highlighting the importance of the Hong Kong market to the company's overall profitability [4]. Mainland Business Outlook - The growth in the mainland commercial gas market is currently under pressure, but the extended business model has the potential to drive long-term growth as it expands its customer coverage [5]. Financial Projections - The company maintains its profit forecasts for the years 2025 to 2027, projecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6% for net profit [6].

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for the electricity and natural gas sectors, recommending specific companies for investment based on their performance and market conditions [4][16]. Core Insights - In July, the national electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kWh for the first time, reaching 10,226 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [4][7]. - The increase in electricity consumption was primarily driven by urban and rural residents, contributing 38% to the total growth, with significant contributions from the secondary and tertiary industries as well [8][9]. - The report highlights the impact of high temperatures on electricity demand, noting that July was the hottest month since 1961, which significantly boosted residential electricity usage [8][9]. - Natural gas prices in Europe have rebounded due to geopolitical tensions, while prices in Asia and the US have decreased, indicating a mixed market environment [16][20]. - The report emphasizes the potential for improved profitability in the biomass energy sector following the introduction of new methodologies for carbon emissions reduction [4][16]. Summary by Sections Electricity - July's total electricity consumption reached 10,226 billion kWh, marking a historic milestone with an 8.6% year-on-year growth [4][7]. - The first, second, and third industries, along with urban and rural residents, contributed to the overall electricity consumption growth, with the second industry showing a recovery in electricity usage [8][9]. - Recommendations include investing in hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and thermal power companies such as Guodian Power and Huaneng International [14][15]. Natural Gas - The report notes a stable supply-demand balance in the natural gas market, with US prices dropping to $2.76/mmBtu, while European prices have seen fluctuations due to geopolitical risks [16][20]. - Recommendations for investment include companies in the city gas sector and integrated natural gas traders, highlighting firms like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [41][42]. Environmental Sector - The introduction of new methodologies for biomass energy projects is expected to enhance profitability, with a focus on companies like Evergreen Group and China Everbright [4][16]. Market Performance - The report reviews market performance from August 18 to August 22, indicating that the gas, public utility, electricity, and environmental sectors underperformed compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [43][44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the electricity and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment [5]. Core Insights - In July, the national electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kWh for the first time, reaching 10,226 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [10][11]. - The increase in electricity consumption was primarily driven by urban and rural residents, contributing 38% to the total growth, while the secondary and tertiary industries contributed 33% and 25%, respectively [11]. - The report highlights the impact of high temperatures in July, which were 1.3°C above the historical average, leading to increased electricity demand from residential sectors [11]. - In the gas sector, European gas prices have rebounded due to geopolitical tensions, while Asian and US gas prices have declined [19][30]. - The report suggests that the gas supply-demand balance remains loose, with US gas production at historical highs, contributing to lower prices [22][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: July National Electricity Consumption Exceeds 1 Trillion kWh - The national electricity consumption reached 10,226 billion kWh in July, marking a historic milestone [10]. - The first industry saw a 20.2% increase in electricity consumption, while the second and third industries grew by 4.7% and 10.7%, respectively [12]. - Cumulative electricity consumption from January to July was 58,633 billion kWh, a 4.5% year-on-year increase [14]. 2. Gas: Gas Supply-Demand Remains Loose, Geopolitical Tensions Affect European Gas Prices - As of August 22, the Henry Hub spot price in the US was $2.76/mmBtu, a weekly decrease of 7.19% [19]. - The TTF spot price in Europe rose to €33.10/MWh, reflecting an 8.17% increase due to geopolitical tensions [20]. - The report notes that European gas inventories are significantly lower than last year and the five-year average, raising concerns about supply stability [30]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report indicates that the gas, public utilities, electricity, and environmental sectors underperformed relative to the CSI 300 index during the period from August 18 to August 22 [47]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - The report mentions the release of a notice regarding the bidding arrangement for new energy projects in Gansu Province, indicating ongoing developments in the renewable energy sector [54]. - Key announcements from companies such as Guodian Power and Kunlun Energy highlight their financial performance and strategic initiatives [55][58]. 5. Key Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the public utility sector, indicating buy ratings for several firms, including China Nuclear Power and Huaneng International [59].

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong and Mainland gas sales remain stable, with core profits steadily increasing after excluding exchange rate impacts, supporting a "buy" rating for the company [5] Group 1: Financial Performance - Hong Kong Chinese Gas reported a revenue of HKD 27.514 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 2.964 billion, a decrease of 2.5% year-on-year, but a 5% increase when excluding exchange rate impacts [1] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.12 per share, maintaining an annual dividend of HKD 0.35 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.97% based on the closing price on August 20 [1] Group 2: Hong Kong Operations - In the first half of 2025, Hong Kong gas sales volume was 14,935 TJ, remaining stable year-on-year, with residential gas usage increasing to offset the negative impact of residents consuming gas in mainland China [1] - The company increased maintenance fees and basic pricing, enhancing profitability in the Hong Kong gas business, with after-tax operating profit rising 6% to HKD 2.15 billion [1] - The Hong Kong government is accelerating the development of the Northern Metropolis, which is expected to increase gas sales potential to 5,500 TJ, providing long-term growth momentum for the gas business [1] Group 3: Mainland Operations - In the first half of 2025, the total gas sales volume in Mainland China was 18.58 billion cubic meters, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, with industrial and residential increases offsetting declines in commercial and distribution sectors [2] - The gross margin for city gas sales was HKD 0.54 per cubic meter, an increase of HKD 0.04 per cubic meter, with residential gas prices rising despite a decrease in average costs [2] - The company is effectively controlling the decline in connection business by expanding into rural and old urban areas, with a slight decrease of 5% in completed residential connections [2] Group 4: Extended Business and Renewable Energy - The after-tax profit from extended businesses reached HKD 250 million in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 39%, focusing on smart kitchens, insurance, and home safety [3] - The company’s photovoltaic power generation increased by 44% to 1.18 billion kWh, with net profits from photovoltaic business and asset management totaling HKD 172 million [4] - The green fuel business faced challenges with a tax-adjusted operating profit of -HKD 190 million, primarily due to low prices for SAF, but future production capacity for green methanol is expected to reach 300,000 tons per year by 2028 [4]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong and mainland gas companies are experiencing stable gas sales, but growth in mainland city gas sales is slowing down, with potential for price margin recovery diminishing. The company maintains a clear dividend policy and has growth potential in renewable and green energy sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Hong Kong Gas Performance - Hong Kong China Gas reported 1H25 revenue of HKD 27.5 billion, flat year-on-year; core profit was HKD 3.08 billion, down 3% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 2.96 billion, also down 3% year-on-year [1]. - Gas sales in Hong Kong remained stable at 14,935 TJ in 1H25, with residential gas volume up 2.5% due to a 0.8°C decrease in average temperature; commercial gas volume decreased by 2.3% due to changes in tourism patterns [1]. - The company expects gas sales in Hong Kong to remain flat in 2025, benefiting from a well-established pricing mechanism, with an anticipated EBITDA margin of around 52% [1]. Group 2: Mainland City Gas Performance - The company’s city gas sales volume reached 18.58 billion cubic meters in 1H25, essentially flat year-on-year; industrial gas volume remained stable, while commercial gas volume decreased due to warm winter effects [2]. - The city gas price margin was CNY 0.54 per cubic meter in 1H25, up 0.04 CNY year-on-year; the cost of gas purchase decreased by CNY 0.06 per cubic meter due to optimized self-sourced gas [2]. - The company anticipates that the price margin recovery will converge to CNY 0.02 per cubic meter in 2025, despite an expected expansion in pricing mechanisms [2]. Group 3: Renewable and Green Energy Potential - The company’s renewable energy business net profit reached HKD 116 million in 1H25, up 6% year-on-year; the shift towards a light-asset strategy is expected to drive growth in carbon services and asset management sales from 2025 to 2027 [2]. - The green energy business, including green methanol and SAF, is solidifying its production capacity, with a collaboration on green methanol with Fuan Energy and a SAF plant in Malaysia expected to begin trial production in September [2]. Group 4: Financial Adjustments and Target Price - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 6.03 billion, HKD 6.46 billion, and HKD 6.79 billion, reflecting a three-year CAGR of 6% [2]. - The target price has been raised to HKD 7.63, up from HKD 7.04, based on a 2.5x PB for 2025, considering the potential of renewable energy and green fuel business [2].

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa has revised its earnings forecast for Hong Kong and China Gas (00003) for the fiscal years 2025 to 2026, lowering the per-share earnings estimate by 1% to 9%, while introducing a forecast for fiscal year 2027 and raising the 12-month target price for gas from HKD 6.1 to HKD 7.1, maintaining a "Hold" rating [1] Financial Performance - Hong Kong and China Gas reported a core profit of HKD 3.084 billion for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year decline of 3%, primarily due to weak pricing from renewable fuel producer EcoCeres' sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) [1] - The after-tax net operating profit increased by 3% year-on-year, but core profit decreased by 3%, mainly impacted by foreign exchange factors that resulted in an increase of HKD 213 million in financial expenses [1] - The interim dividend per share is HKD 0.12, unchanged from the same period last year [1] - The performance for the first half of 2025 and the revised guidance align with Daiwa's expectations [1]