Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting the recovery potential of quality real estate companies and commercial real estate [2][31]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate sector is approaching a bottom in its fundamentals after a deep adjustment, with recent central government policies aimed at stabilizing the market. The report emphasizes the importance of quality real estate companies, predicting that their profit recovery will occur sooner and be more resilient [2][31]. - The report recommends several quality real estate companies and commercial real estate firms, including Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, Greentown China, China Jinmao, and Poly Development, as well as commercial real estate firms like New City Holdings and China Resources Land [2][31]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of January 31 to February 6, 2026, new home transactions in 34 key cities totaled 1.974 million square meters, a week-on-week decrease of 6.9%. The transaction volume in first and second-tier cities decreased by 3.1%, while third and fourth-tier cities saw a significant drop of 39.4% [3][4]. - Year-on-year, new home transactions in February increased by 327.2%, with first and second-tier cities up by 347.8% and third and fourth-tier cities up by 168.9% [4][10]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home transactions in 13 key cities totaled 1.198 million square meters, also down by 6.9% week-on-week. However, year-to-date transactions showed a 27.4% increase compared to the previous year [10][31]. Inventory and Supply - The report notes that 15 cities had a total of 290,000 square meters of new supply, with a sales-to-supply ratio of 2.62 times. The total available residential area in these cities was 88.525 million square meters, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.52% [21][31]. Policy and News Tracking - The report highlights significant policy developments, including the acceleration of commercial real estate REITs applications, with over 10 applications submitted to exchanges as of February 6, 2026. Additionally, Shanghai is advancing the acquisition of second-hand homes for rental housing, with pilot areas identified [31][32]. - Various regions, including Tianjin, Sichuan, and Hainan, have adjusted the minimum down payment ratio for commercial property loans to no less than 30% [31][32].

港股通红利低波ETF（159117）现任基金经理为闫冬、余展昌。闫冬自2025年9月30日管理（或拟管 理）该基金，任职期内收益7.68%；余展昌自2025年9月30日管理（或拟管理）该基金，任职期内收益 7.68%。 最新定期报告显示，港股通红利低波ETF（159117）重仓股包括江西铜业股份、远东宏信、中国神华、 中国海洋石油、恒隆地产、中国石油股份、信和置业、恒安国际、中国石油化工股份、恒生银行，持仓 占比如下。 港股通红利低波ETF（159117）成立于2025年9月30日，基金全称为鹏华标普港股通低波红利交易型开 放式指数证券投资基金，基金简称为鹏华港股通低波红利ETF。该基金管理费率每年0.30%，托管费率 每年0.10%。港股通红利低波ETF（159117）业绩比较基准为标普港股通低波红利指数收益率(经汇率调 整后)。 规模方面，截止2月4日，港股通红利低波ETF（159117）最新份额为8440.12万份，最新规模为9057.93 万元。回顾2025年12月31日，港股通红利低波ETF（159117）份额为1.45亿份，规模为1.48亿元。即该 基金今年以来份额减少41.95%，规模减少38. ...

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年1月31日 | 狀態: | 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | | 公司名稱: | 恒隆地產有限公司 | | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年2月5日 | | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | | | 備註： | | | | | 恒隆地產有限公司並無法定股本，及其股本並無股份面值。 | | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00101 | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | ...

办公租赁市场表现上，观点指数筛选重点八城（包括北京、上海、广州、深圳、杭州、成都、南京以及武汉），监测办公物业的平均租金走势情况。 数据来源：同花顺，观点指数整理 2025年12月，八城办公租金均值环比下跌7.35%至2.3元/平方米/天，环比较11月的6.28%跌幅扩大1.07个百分点，年末业主为了冲刺去化目标，持续加大以价 换量的力度，通过直接降租、延长免租期等方式吸引租户，尤其是非核心区域的项目竞争更为激烈，进一步拉低整体的租金水平。 同比维度上，八城均值同比下跌19.37%，除深圳同比持平外，其余七城同比均呈两位数下滑，广州、北京、南京等地跌幅居前。租金同比下行是2025年全 年办公楼市场供需失衡的集中体现，全年全国办公楼竣工面积同比上涨6.7%，新增供应集中入市，而需求端仅科技、金融等局部领域有支撑，整体净吸纳 量不足，导致租金持续承压。 与此同时，据戴德梁行披露的数据显示，2025年第四季度，一线城市甲级写字楼租金单价同样表现为继续下跌，四城租金单价环比及同比均出现不同程度的 下滑。 空置率表现上，北京因零新增供应实现空置率持续下行，而上海、广州、深圳均受新增供应（或存量高企）影响，空置率维持高位 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a strategic shift among mainland real estate companies from development to commercial operations, with firms like China Resources Land and Joy City expected to benefit from this transition [9][41]. - The report categorizes real estate companies based on their rental income performance, identifying three distinct groups: those with stable growth, those with slight fluctuations, and those experiencing significant declines [21][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Differences in Commercial and Development Ratios Among Companies - Mainland real estate firms are adopting a "development + commercial" dual-driven model, with companies like New Town Holdings and Longfor Group transitioning towards commercial operations [14]. - Hong Kong-backed firms prefer a purer commercial operation model, focusing on quality over quantity in their projects [14]. 2. Comparison of Commercial Real Estate Operational Efficiency - Hong Kong-backed firms generally have fewer but higher-quality commercial projects, leading to better rental yields and resilience in occupancy rates compared to mainland firms [35]. - China Resources Land leads in shopping center rental efficiency due to its strategic positioning in major cities [35]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on mainland firms that are transitioning to commercial operations, particularly those benefiting from the rollout of commercial real estate REITs, such as China Resources Land and Joy City [41]. - It also recommends defensive stocks with high asset quality and competitive dividend yields, including Swire Properties, Kerry Properties, and Hang Lung Properties [41].

Core Insights - The report discusses the implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" and its implications for service industries such as internet and finance, indicating that current tax arrangements are unlikely to change significantly in the short term [2][3][12] - The real estate sector is experiencing a favorable shift in financing policies, with REITs and private placements opening new equity financing channels to alleviate financial pressures on real estate companies [3][13] Tax Law Implementation - The State Council approved the "Implementation Regulations of the Value-Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" on December 19, 2025, and subsequent announcements have clarified tax details, suggesting stability in tax arrangements for service industries [2][3][12] - The definition of "basic services" in telecommunications is evolving, with mobile data and internet broadband still classified as "value-added services" subject to a 6% VAT rate, while traditional voice services are recognized as "basic services" with a 9% VAT rate [2][3][12] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The financing environment for the real estate industry is improving, with a shift from debt financing to equity financing, including the introduction of REITs and private placements [3][13] - Recent regulatory changes, such as the gradual retreat from the "three red lines" policy, indicate a more supportive financing environment for real estate companies [13] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for recovery in the industry as financing policies become more favorable [3][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several quality real estate companies for investment, including China Jinmao, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others, due to their potential for recovery and attractive valuations [13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolving financing landscape and the impact of government policies on the real estate market [3][13]

围绕现有项目再投资 知名"包租公"恒隆地产，再次成为业内率先交出成绩单的房企。 1月30日，恒隆地产披露2025年度全年业绩。 期内，受物业销售收入下降影响，公司总收入同比下跌11%至港币99.5亿元。股东应占基本纯利上升3% 至港币32.02亿元。尽管营收规模有所收缩，但核心盈利指标仍保持韧性。 内地商场业务表现两极分化 在恒隆地产营收结构中，物业租赁仍为核心支柱，2025年收入轻微下跌1%至港币93.89亿元，在总收入 中的占比达94.36%。 从区域表现来看，受市场环境差异影响，内地和香港呈现不同走势，整体均略有波动。 财报显示，2025年，内地与香港物业租赁业务收入分别为64.14亿港元、29.75亿港元，分别同比下跌 1%、2%。 即便整体物业租赁收入微降，但内地商场业务仍展现出较强抗压能力，全年商场组合整体租赁收入同比 增长1%至人民币48.71亿元。 租户销售额以人民币计值则按年攀升4%。截至2025年底，整体租出率因租户组合持续优化微升两个百 分点至96%。 其中，上海恒隆广场、上海港汇恒隆广场两大标杆项目经营表现保持坚挺，分别实现收入为人民币 16.61亿元及11.97亿元，同比分别增长1% ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that various institutions maintain "buy" ratings for different companies, highlighting their growth potential and strategic partnerships [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10] Group 2 - China-based pharmaceutical company, Stone Pharmaceutical Group, has entered a significant $18.5 billion strategic collaboration with AstraZeneca, focusing on long-acting GLP-1/GIPR dual-target peptides and multiple obesity/diabetes pipelines, enhancing its AI-driven drug discovery capabilities [1][2] - Baidu Group's cloud business has shown a 10% year-on-year growth in Q4, driven by intelligent cloud infrastructure, with AI-native marketing services now covering 70% of search result pages [3] - Sunny Optical Technology is projected to see a 70-75% increase in net profit by 2025, benefiting from improved ASP and gross margin in mobile lenses and modules [4] - InSilico Medicine has secured over HKD 930 million in cardiovascular metabolic collaborations, continuing its partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies, and has produced 27 preclinical candidate molecules through its Pharma.AI platform [5][6] - Kuaishou Technology is enhancing its platform with advanced AI models, which are expected to improve user engagement and profitability [6] - Decon Agriculture is expected to achieve a target price of HKD 87, with a stable cost structure and leading efficiency in pig farming [7] - Dongfang Zhenxuan has exceeded profit expectations by 68% in the first half of FY26, with self-operated product GMV rising to 52.8% [8] - Hang Lung Properties is experiencing a recovery in retail sales, with Q3/Q4 growth rates of 10% and 18%, respectively, and an improved tenant mix [10]

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 2月3日，鹏华港股通低波红利ETF（159117）收盘涨1.34%，成交额554.38万元。 港股通红利低波ETF（159117）成立于2025年9月30日，基金全称为鹏华标普港股通低波红利交易型开 放式指数证券投资基金，基金简称为鹏华港股通低波红利ETF。该基金管理费率每年0.30%，托管费率 每年0.10%。港股通红利低波ETF（159117）业绩比较基准为标普港股通低波红利指数收益率(经汇率调 整后)。 规模方面，截止2月2日，港股通红利低波ETF（159117）最新份额为8940.12万份，最新规模为9423.78 万元。回顾2025年12月31日，港股通红利低波ETF（159117）份额为1.45亿份，规模为1.48亿元。即该 基金今年以来份额减少38.51%，规模减少36.35%。 流动性方面，截止2月3日，港股通红利低波ETF（159117）近20个交易日累计成交金额1.74亿元，日均 成交金额868.16万元。 港股通红利低波ETF（159117）现任基金经理为闫冬、余展昌。闫冬自2025年9月30日管理（或拟管 理）该基金，任职期内收益7.68%；余展昌自2025年9 ...

房地产 2026 年 02 月 02 日 恒隆地产 (00101) ——零售快速改善，核心利润稳增、分红表现稳定 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2026 年 02 月 02 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 9.24 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9080.19 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 9.76/5.58 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 467.23 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 5,056.65 | | 汇率（港币/人民币） | 0.8925 | 上 市 公 司 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -4% 46% 96% 02/03 03/03 04/03 05/03 06/03 07/03 08/03 09/03 10/03 11/03 12/03 01/03 HSCEI 恒隆地产 资料来源：Bloomberg 相关研究 - 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 陈鹏 A0230521110002 chenpeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈鹏 A023 ...