Core Viewpoint - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) has experienced a decline in both share count and total assets since the beginning of the year, indicating potential challenges in attracting investment [1][2]. Fund Overview - The fund was established on September 30, 2025, with an annual management fee of 0.30% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of February 11, 2025, the fund's total shares stood at 83.40 million, with a total size of 91.23 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 42.64% in shares and 38.38% in size compared to December 31, 2025 [1]. Liquidity Analysis - Over the last 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the ETF reached 129 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 6.44 million yuan [1]. Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yan Dong and Yu Zhanchang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 8.57% during their tenure [2]. Top Holdings - The ETF's major holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co. (4.39%), Far East Horizon (3.33%), China Shenhua Energy (3.09%), CNOOC (3.04%), and others, with the respective market values and share counts detailed [3].

Group 1 - Bank of America Securities reports a divergence in market views regarding Hong Kong property prices, with offshore investors being more optimistic compared to local and mainland investors who focus on valuation adequacy [1] - The firm has raised target prices for several real estate stocks by an average of 10% based on a narrowing discount to net asset value, reflecting strong performance in Hong Kong development projects and high-end retail sales [1] - Bank of America Securities favors developers such as Cheung Kong Holdings and Sino Land due to their earnings sensitivity to property price growth, while preferring rental stocks like Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties for their high dividend yields and resilience in mainland luxury retail [1] Group 2 - The firm predicts a 10% to 15% increase in property prices over the next two years, noting that developers have already factored in a 15% to 20% growth in transaction volume into their stock prices [2] - Two major risks are identified: limited room for further cuts in the best lending rate by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the potential return to floating mortgage rates if bond market rate cuts do not materialize by the end of 2026 [2] - Stagnation in median household income and a year-on-year decline in approved immigration visas for 2025 may restrict further price increases in the property market [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance and characteristics of the Huabao S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159220), which has seen a slight increase in its closing price and a decrease in both share count and total assets year-to-date [1][2]. - As of February 10, 2025, the fund's latest share count is 444 million, with a total size of 286 million yuan, reflecting a year-to-date decrease of 13.29% in shares and 7.18% in total assets compared to December 31, 2025 [1]. - The fund's management fee is set at 0.50% annually, while the custody fee is 0.10% annually, with its performance benchmark being the S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index adjusted for RMB exchange rates [1]. Group 2 - The current fund managers are Yang Yang and Hu Yijiang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception on April 29, 2025, achieving a return of 28.46% during their tenure [2]. - The fund's top holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co., Far East Horizon, CNOOC, China Shenhua Energy, Hang Lung Properties, PetroChina, Sino Land, Hengan International, Sinopec, and Hang Seng Bank, with varying ownership percentages [2][3]. - The largest holding is Jiangxi Copper Co. at 4.48%, followed by Far East Horizon at 3.36%, and CNOOC at 3.11%, with total holdings reflecting significant investments in key sectors [3].

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that Hong Kong developers have already factored in a 15% to 20% growth in transaction volume for the next two years into their stock prices, with projected property price increases of 10% to 15% during the same period [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The firm predicts property prices in Hong Kong will rise between 10% and 15% over the next two years [1] - Developers are expected to see a transaction volume growth of 15% to 20% incorporated into their stock valuations [1] Group 2: Risks - Two major risks identified include limited room for further cuts in the prime interest rate as indicated by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority [1] - The preferential five-year mortgage rates offered by banks are set to expire at the end of April, which may impact borrowing costs [1] - A stagnation in the median monthly household income and a year-on-year decline in approved immigration visas for 2025 could restrict further property price increases [1] Group 3: Developer Preferences - The firm favors Cheung Kong Holdings and Sino Land due to their high sensitivity to property price growth [1] - For rental stocks, the preference is for Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties, attributed to their higher dividend yields and resilience in mainland luxury retail [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting the recovery potential of quality real estate companies and commercial real estate [2][31]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate sector is approaching a bottom in its fundamentals after a deep adjustment, with recent central government policies aimed at stabilizing the market. The report emphasizes the importance of quality real estate companies, predicting that their profit recovery will occur sooner and be more resilient [2][31]. - The report recommends several quality real estate companies and commercial real estate firms, including Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, Greentown China, China Jinmao, and Poly Development, as well as commercial real estate firms like New City Holdings and China Resources Land [2][31]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of January 31 to February 6, 2026, new home transactions in 34 key cities totaled 1.974 million square meters, a week-on-week decrease of 6.9%. The transaction volume in first and second-tier cities decreased by 3.1%, while third and fourth-tier cities saw a significant drop of 39.4% [3][4]. - Year-on-year, new home transactions in February increased by 327.2%, with first and second-tier cities up by 347.8% and third and fourth-tier cities up by 168.9% [4][10]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home transactions in 13 key cities totaled 1.198 million square meters, also down by 6.9% week-on-week. However, year-to-date transactions showed a 27.4% increase compared to the previous year [10][31]. Inventory and Supply - The report notes that 15 cities had a total of 290,000 square meters of new supply, with a sales-to-supply ratio of 2.62 times. The total available residential area in these cities was 88.525 million square meters, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.52% [21][31]. Policy and News Tracking - The report highlights significant policy developments, including the acceleration of commercial real estate REITs applications, with over 10 applications submitted to exchanges as of February 6, 2026. Additionally, Shanghai is advancing the acquisition of second-hand homes for rental housing, with pilot areas identified [31][32]. - Various regions, including Tianjin, Sichuan, and Hainan, have adjusted the minimum down payment ratio for commercial property loans to no less than 30% [31][32].

Core Viewpoint - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) has experienced a significant decrease in both share count and total assets since the beginning of the year, indicating potential challenges in attracting investment [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of February 5, 2025, the ETF closed with a gain of 0.65% and a trading volume of 7.7934 million yuan [1]. - The fund's management fee is 0.30% annually, and the custody fee is 0.10% annually [1]. - The fund's performance benchmark is the S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index, adjusted for exchange rates [1]. Group 2: Fund Size and Liquidity - As of February 4, 2025, the ETF had a total of 84.4012 million shares and a total size of 90.5793 million yuan [1]. - The fund's share count has decreased by 41.95% and its total size has decreased by 38.82% since December 31, 2025, when it had 145 million shares and a size of 148 million yuan [1]. - Over the last 20 trading days, the ETF has accumulated a trading amount of 152 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 7.6127 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yan Dong and Yu Zhanchang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception on September 30, 2025, achieving a return of 7.68% during their tenure [2]. - The ETF's top holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co., Far East Horizon, China Shenhua Energy, CNOOC, Hang Lung Properties, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Sino Land, Hengan International, and Hang Seng Bank [2]. Group 4: Top Holdings Breakdown - Jiangxi Copper Co. holds 4.39% of the portfolio with a market value of 6.5067 million yuan [3]. - Far East Horizon accounts for 3.33% with a market value of 4.9236 million yuan [3]. - China Shenhua Energy represents 3.09% with a market value of 4.5734 million yuan [3]. - CNOOC comprises 3.04% with a market value of 4.5018 million yuan [3]. - Hang Lung Properties makes up 2.97% with a market value of 4.4016 million yuan [3]. - China Petroleum holds 2.92% with a market value of 4.3295 million yuan [3]. - Sino Land accounts for 2.77% with a market value of 4.0985 million yuan [3]. - Hengan International represents 2.73% with a market value of 4.0446 million yuan [3]. - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation comprises 2.59% with a market value of 3.8384 million yuan [3]. - Hang Seng Bank holds 2.53% with a market value of 3.7434 million yuan [3].

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年1月31日 | 狀態: | 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | | 公司名稱: | 恒隆地產有限公司 | | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年2月5日 | | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | | | 備註： | | | | | 恒隆地產有限公司並無法定股本，及其股本並無股份面值。 | | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00101 | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | ...

Group 1: Office Rental Market Overview - The average office rental price in eight major cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Nanjing, and Wuhan) decreased by 7.35% month-on-month to 2.3 yuan/square meter/day in December 2025, with the decline accelerating compared to November's 6.28% [4] - Year-on-year, the average rental price dropped by 19.37%, with all cities except Shenzhen experiencing double-digit declines, particularly in Guangzhou, Beijing, and Nanjing [4] - The imbalance between supply and demand in the office market is evident, with a 6.7% year-on-year increase in new office space completed in 2025, while demand remains weak, primarily supported by sectors like technology and finance [4] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - A significant influx of high-quality office projects is expected in major cities like Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Xi'an, and Changchun from late 2025 to early 2026 [5] - The first-tier cities' Grade A office rental prices continued to decline in Q4 2025, with varying degrees of decrease across the four cities [4] - The vacancy rate in Beijing decreased due to no new supply, while Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen saw high vacancy rates due to new supply or high existing stock [4] Group 3: Project Developments and Market Activity - Major commercial real estate companies like China Resources Land, Oceanwide Holdings, and Hang Lung Properties are actively developing new projects and revitalizing existing assets through urban renewal [7][9] - The Shanghai China Resources Center, a key project, has a total construction area of approximately 125,000 square meters and has completed its construction registration, allowing for immediate tenant entry [8] - The operational capabilities of office space operators are crucial, with projects like the Shanghai China Resources Center attracting luxury brands like LV, indicating strong foreign investment confidence in the Shanghai market [11] Group 4: Market Expansion and Trends - The office space service sector is witnessing a gradual recovery in expansion confidence, with 12 new projects signed or opened during the reporting period, reflecting a positive trend [16] - IWG Group leads with four new openings in cities like Shenzhen and Hefei, emphasizing its deep penetration into core cities [16] - The concentration of projects in core cities and key areas is notable, with Shenzhen being the most active city, followed by Shanghai, indicating a strong demand for office space driven by small and medium enterprises [17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a strategic shift among mainland real estate companies from development to commercial operations, with firms like China Resources Land and Joy City expected to benefit from this transition [9][41]. - The report categorizes real estate companies based on their rental income performance, identifying three distinct groups: those with stable growth, those with slight fluctuations, and those experiencing significant declines [21][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Differences in Commercial and Development Ratios Among Companies - Mainland real estate firms are adopting a "development + commercial" dual-driven model, with companies like New Town Holdings and Longfor Group transitioning towards commercial operations [14]. - Hong Kong-backed firms prefer a purer commercial operation model, focusing on quality over quantity in their projects [14]. 2. Comparison of Commercial Real Estate Operational Efficiency - Hong Kong-backed firms generally have fewer but higher-quality commercial projects, leading to better rental yields and resilience in occupancy rates compared to mainland firms [35]. - China Resources Land leads in shopping center rental efficiency due to its strategic positioning in major cities [35]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on mainland firms that are transitioning to commercial operations, particularly those benefiting from the rollout of commercial real estate REITs, such as China Resources Land and Joy City [41]. - It also recommends defensive stocks with high asset quality and competitive dividend yields, including Swire Properties, Kerry Properties, and Hang Lung Properties [41].

Core Insights - The report discusses the implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" and its implications for service industries such as internet and finance, indicating that current tax arrangements are unlikely to change significantly in the short term [2][3][12] - The real estate sector is experiencing a favorable shift in financing policies, with REITs and private placements opening new equity financing channels to alleviate financial pressures on real estate companies [3][13] Tax Law Implementation - The State Council approved the "Implementation Regulations of the Value-Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" on December 19, 2025, and subsequent announcements have clarified tax details, suggesting stability in tax arrangements for service industries [2][3][12] - The definition of "basic services" in telecommunications is evolving, with mobile data and internet broadband still classified as "value-added services" subject to a 6% VAT rate, while traditional voice services are recognized as "basic services" with a 9% VAT rate [2][3][12] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The financing environment for the real estate industry is improving, with a shift from debt financing to equity financing, including the introduction of REITs and private placements [3][13] - Recent regulatory changes, such as the gradual retreat from the "three red lines" policy, indicate a more supportive financing environment for real estate companies [13] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for recovery in the industry as financing policies become more favorable [3][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several quality real estate companies for investment, including China Jinmao, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others, due to their potential for recovery and attractive valuations [13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolving financing landscape and the impact of government policies on the real estate market [3][13]