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中金:维持香港交易所(00388)跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至500港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-21 02:49
智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,港股市场持续高活跃下,上调香港交易所(00388)25e/26e盈利预 测7.3%/4.0%至165/173亿港元。公司当前交易于33x/32x 25e/26e P/E,维持跑赢行业评级,上调目标价 8%至500港币(对应38x/37x 25e/26e P/E及15.3%上行空间)。 中金主要观点如下: 港交所2Q25主营费类收入符合预期、盈利超出该行及市场预期 港交所2Q25总收入同比+33%/环比+5%至72.2亿港币,剔除投资收益后、主营费类收入同比+31%/环比 +1%至55.4亿港币,盈利同比+41%/环比+9%至44.4亿港币,主营费类收入符合该行预期,盈利超预期、 主因汇兑收益(同比多增1.4亿港币)及杂项收益(包括因购置地产后租赁修订产生的一次性收益等)超预 期。累计来看,上半年总收入同比+33%至140.8亿港币,盈利同比+39%至85.2亿港币。 2Q交易及结算收入同比+40%/环比-5%,现货交易保持活跃、衍生品高位边际走弱 1)现货:交易及结算收入(包括交收指示费)同比+65%/环比-4%,对应2Q ADT同比+95%/环比-2%至2,377 亿港币 ...
大行评级|花旗:上调港交所目标价至500港元 维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 02:43
花旗发表报告,更新对港交所模型,以计入2025年第二季业绩及7月的市场成交量。考虑到第二季的投 资收益超出预期,以及日均成交假设上调1至2%,该行将2025至2027财年的每股盈利预测上调3%。随 着盈利变动,该行将港交所目标价由490港元上调至500港元。由于香港日均成交额强劲(本季以来为 2580亿港元,相对去年第二季的2380亿港元),加上2025财年市盈率34倍的合理估值,维持"买入"评 级。 ...
香港交易所(00388):增量资金助力,港股市场提振业绩
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-21 02:18
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 showed significant growth, with revenue reaching HKD 14.076 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 8.519 billion, up 39.1% [1][9] - The increase in trading volume, particularly from southbound funds, has been a key driver of the company's performance, with the average daily trading (ADT) for H1 2025 reaching HKD 222.8 billion, a 122.1% increase year-on-year [2][13] - The company has maintained a high EBITDA margin of 77.7% in H1 2025, reflecting its efficient business model and strong profitability [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved an EBITDA margin of 77.7%, with operating expenses of HKD 2.973 billion, of which staff costs accounted for 65.6% [3][24] - The annualized return on equity (ROE) increased to 30.76%, nearing the peak levels seen in 2015 [1][9] Market Dynamics - The southbound trading activity has significantly contributed to the trading volume, with southbound funds showing strong buying power, while international intermediaries have reduced net selling since early July [2][18] - The IPO market in Hong Kong has rebounded, with H1 2025 IPO amounts reaching HKD 109 billion, reclaiming the top position globally [2][13] Investment Recommendations - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 3.99%, 5.37%, and 5.53% respectively, based on the strong performance in H1 2025 [4][26] - The ongoing dual opening of capital markets and the company's strategic initiatives are expected to enhance its revenue and profit growth potential [4][24]
港交所陈翊庭:持续战略投入提升竞争力 审慎研究交易时长调整
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-08-21 02:12
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) reported a significant increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, achieving HKD 14.076 billion, which represents a year-on-year growth of 33% [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - HKEX's total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached HKD 14.076 billion, marking a 33% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The CEO of HKEX, Charles Li, emphasized the importance of strategic investments in areas such as data platform optimization and trading settlement system upgrades to maintain global competitiveness [3]. - HKEX is committed to a collaborative development approach involving investors, enterprises, products, infrastructure, and technology [3]. Group 3: Market Adaptation - In response to the market's interest in extended trading hours, HKEX is studying the implementation of a 24-hour trading mechanism, similar to Nasdaq's plans for 2026, while ensuring a cautious and gradual approach [3]. - HKEX has validated the stability of its trading and settlement systems during adverse weather conditions, maintaining an average daily trading volume of over HKD 200 billion during recent severe weather events [3]. Group 4: Settlement Cycle - HKEX is actively discussing with market participants the possibility of shortening the settlement cycle for the cash market, with the technical systems ready to support a T+1 settlement cycle by the end of this year [3].
港股高开 内资券商股全线上扬
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-21 01:51
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened slightly higher on August 21, with the Hang Seng Index at 25,216 points, up 0.20%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index was at 5,528 points, down 0.23% [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) reported record high revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue of HKD 14.076 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%, and net profit of HKD 8.519 billion, up 39% [3] - The increase in trading volume in the cash market, derivatives market, and Stock Connect was attributed to the recovery of the Hong Kong stock market and growing global investor interest in non-USD assets [3] Group 2 - HKEX CEO Charles Li indicated that the exchange will explore a 24-hour trading mechanism, which positively impacted the stock price, reaching a high of HKD 447, up 1.31% [4] - Domestic brokerage stocks saw a significant rise, with Guotai Junan International up over 5% and Guotai Haitong up over 2%, while other firms like Zhongzhou Securities and China Galaxy also experienced gains [4] - Various cross-border ETFs, including the Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF and Hong Kong Securities ETF, showed strong performance, with increases of over 1% [5]
西部证券晨会纪要-20250821
Western Securities· 2025-08-21 01:20
Group 1: Electric Equipment - Haopeng Technology - The company achieved revenue of 2.763 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.29% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 97 million yuan, up 252.49% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 80 million yuan, increasing by 366.27% [6] - The company expects net profits of 259 million, 387 million, and 503 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 183.9%, 49.3%, and 30.0% respectively [8] Group 2: Non-Banking Financial - Hong Kong Stock Exchange - The company reported a revenue of 14.076 billion HKD and a net profit of 8.519 billion HKD in H1 2025, reflecting year-on-year increases of 33% and 39% respectively [10] - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market reached approximately 240.2 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 117.6% [11] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 16.623 billion HKD in 2025, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.6 times based on the closing price on August 20 [12] Group 3: Nonferrous Metals - Jinli Permanent Magnet - The company achieved revenue of approximately 3.507 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.33%, with a net profit of 305 million yuan, up 154.81% [17] - Domestic sales revenue was 2.994 billion yuan, increasing by 8.17%, while overseas sales revenue was 513 million yuan, down 13.58% [17] - The company expects EPS of 0.47, 0.59, and 0.72 yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding price-to-book ratios of 5.1, 4.6, and 4.1 [19] Group 4: Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - Lihua Co., Ltd. - The company reported revenue of 8.353 billion yuan and a net profit of 149 million yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 7.02% but a decrease in net profit by 74.10% [21] - The chicken business revenue was 635 million yuan, down 6.76% year-on-year, while the pig business revenue was 1.947 billion yuan, up 117.65% [22] - The company expects net profits of 586 million, 1.474 billion, and 1.942 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a year-on-year change of -61.5%, +151.5%, and +31.8% respectively [23] Group 5: Non-Banking Financial - Ruida Futures - The company achieved total revenue of 1.047 billion yuan and a net profit of 228 million yuan in H1 2025, with year-on-year increases of 4.49% and 66.49% respectively [26] - The asset management business saw a revenue increase of 223.83% to 121 million yuan, driven by product scale expansion and investment returns [26] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 423 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.5% [28] Group 6: Steel - Hualing Steel - The company reported revenue of 62.794 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17.02%, while net profit increased by 31.31% to 1.748 billion yuan [29] - The company’s high-end products accounted for 68.5% of total sales, with a focus on product structure optimization [30] - The company expects EPS of 0.44, 0.51, and 0.55 yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13, 11, and 10 [31] Group 7: Automotive - Yixin Group - The company achieved total revenue of 5.452 billion yuan and a net profit of 549 million yuan in H1 2025, with year-on-year increases of 22% and 33.93% respectively [33] - The financing total reached 32.7 billion yuan, with a significant contribution from financial technology services, which saw a revenue increase of 124% [34] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.143 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.2% [35] Group 8: Automotive - Fuyao Glass - The company reported revenue of 21.45 billion yuan and a net profit of 4.8 billion yuan in H1 2025, with year-on-year increases of 16.9% and 37.3% respectively [36] - The company’s gross margin improved to 37.1%, with a net margin of 22.4% [37] - The company expects revenue growth of 15% annually from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 9.3 billion, 10.6 billion, and 12.4 billion yuan [38] Group 9: Nonferrous Metals - Bowei Alloy - The company achieved revenue of 10.221 billion yuan and a net profit of 676 million yuan in H1 2025, with year-on-year increases of 15.21% and 6.05% respectively [40] - The new materials segment generated revenue of 7.935 billion yuan, up 23.83%, while the renewable energy segment saw a revenue decrease of 10.10% [41] - The company expects EPS of 1.97, 2.05, and 2.21 yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13.4, 12.9, and 11.9 [42]
港交所:将研究24小时交易机制;育儿补贴免征个税……盘前重要消息还有这些
证券时报· 2025-08-21 00:48
Group 1 - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced that childcare subsidies will be exempt from personal income tax starting January 1, 2025 [2] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) stated that the capabilities of the futures market in serving the real economy are continuously improving, with 131 listed commodity futures and options, 84 of which are industrial products, accounting for 64% [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported record high revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue and other income reaching HKD 14.076 billion, a 33% year-on-year increase, and net profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 8.519 billion, a 39% increase [3] Group 2 - The People's Bank of New Zealand announced a 25 basis point reduction in the official cash rate to 3.0%, the lowest level in three years [4] - ByteDance clarified that it has no collaboration with Chipone Technology regarding AI chips [6] - Muyuan Foods reported a net profit increase of 1169.77% year-on-year for the first half of the year and plans to distribute a dividend of 9.32 CNY per share [7] Group 3 - The brain-computer interface industry is expected to see significant development opportunities driven by technological breakthroughs, policy support, and capital investment [17] - Goldman Sachs indicated that successful "anti-involution" actions could enhance corporate profitability, with potential industry profit increases of 53% by 2027 under normal profit margin recovery scenarios [18]
港交所突发!牛市旗手 重磅预期催化?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-21 00:23
傍晚时分,牛市旗手——券商股突然迎来重磅消息! 在港交所2025年中期业绩会议上,港交所集团行政总裁陈翊庭表示:"关于交易时间延长议题,我们注 意到纳斯达克拟于2026年下半年实施每周5天24小时交易机制。港交所将秉持审慎渐进原则,在充分借 鉴国际同业经验的基础上,结合本地市场实际情况进行研究。" 分析人士认为,若每周5天24小时交易机制实施,必将给券商股和港交所带来重磅刺激。香港证券ETF 今年以来已经暴涨超64%,明显领先A股券商股表现。有非银研究认为,A股券商股仍有重估机会。 港交所突发 在港交所2025年中期业绩会议上,港交所集团行政总裁陈翊庭表示:"港交所在保持全球竞争力方面始 终坚持战略性投入原则。港交所在资本开支方面不会吝啬,我们持续加大在数据平台优化、交易结算系 统升级等方面的投入力度。" 在现场,陈翊庭回答了市场热议的延长交易时间的问题。"关于交易时间延长议题,我们注意到纳斯达 克拟于2026年下半年实施每周5天24小时交易机制。港交所将秉持审慎渐进原则,在充分借鉴国际同业 经验的基础上,结合本地市场实际情况进行研究。该进程需待交易系统升级、风险管理体系完善及监管 框架配套成熟后逐步完善。" ...
智通港股早知道 | 港交所(00388)将研究24小时交易机制 美联储会议纪要:关税对商品价格通胀构成上行压力
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 00:03
Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Exchange Developments - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) CEO Charles Li stated that HKEX will research a 24-hour trading mechanism, taking into account international experiences and local market conditions [1] - HKEX plans to enhance its competitiveness through strategic investments in data platform optimization and trading settlement system upgrades [1] - The exchange is also exploring shortening the settlement cycle for the cash market, with a potential T+1 settlement system supported by its technology by the end of this year [1] Group 2: Market Overview - The S&P 500 index fell for four consecutive days, with the index closing down 0.24% at 6395.78 points [2] - Major technology stocks mostly declined, with Intel dropping approximately 7% [2] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by 0.33%, with notable gains from Tiger Brokers and JinkoSolar [2] Group 3: Financial Regulatory Updates - The National Financial Regulatory Administration is seeking public opinion on the draft of the "Commercial Bank M&A Loan Management Measures," which includes provisions for equity acquisition loans [3] Group 4: Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes indicated a moderate GDP growth in the first half of the year, with a focus on inflation risks over labor market concerns [4] - There was a notable dissent among Fed officials regarding interest rate decisions, marking a significant moment since 1993 [4] Group 5: Corporate Earnings Reports - Alibaba Group announced plans to spin off its subsidiary, Zhaima, for an independent listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [5] - Baidu Group reported a total revenue of RMB 327.13 billion for Q2 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4%, while net profit increased by 33% to RMB 73.22 billion [8] - Huazhu Group's total revenue for Q2 2025 was RMB 64.26 billion, with a net profit of RMB 15.44 billion, reflecting a 44.7% year-on-year increase [9] - China Oriental Group expects a net profit increase of no less than 70% for the first half of 2025, projecting at least RMB 2.20 billion [10] - Lijun Pharmaceutical reported a net profit of RMB 12.81 billion for the first half of 2025, a 9.4% increase year-on-year [11] - BOSS Zhipin reported a net profit of RMB 7.16 billion for Q2 2025, a 69.87% increase year-on-year [12] - New World Development reported a significant increase in net profit to HKD 887 million, a 1076% rise year-on-year [13] - Yimuyou Group expects a net profit of no less than RMB 2.6 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a growth of over 90% [14] - Yongsheng Medical reported a net profit of HKD 51.63 million, a 55.1% increase year-on-year [15] - Lepu Biopharma achieved a revenue increase of 249.59% for the first half of 2025, marking its first profit [16] - Huya Technology expects a net profit of USD 30 million to 38 million for the first half of 2025, a significant increase from the previous year [17] - Kingsoft reported a net profit of RMB 816 million for the first half of 2025, a 20.41% increase year-on-year [18] - Zhong An Online reported a net profit of RMB 668 million, a 1103.54% increase year-on-year [19] - Yaoshi Bang reported a net profit of RMB 78.12 million, a 258% increase year-on-year [20] - Crystal International reported a net profit of USD 98.27 million, a 17% increase year-on-year [21] - Ocean Group expects a turnaround with a projected net profit of RMB 9.5 billion to 11 billion for the first half of 2025 [22] - Kingsoft Cloud reported an adjusted EBITDA of approximately RMB 725 million, a 672.62% increase year-on-year [23] Group 6: Pharmaceutical Developments - Heyou Pharmaceutical's IND application for a combination therapy for NSCLC has been approved by the CDE [24] - Shengbela reported a net profit of RMB 327 million, marking a turnaround from a previous loss, with significant growth in various business segments [25]
延长交易成全球趋势,香港也开始研究,有望提升股票流动和价值发现
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-08-20 23:24
Group 1 - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) is considering implementing a five-day, 24-hour trading mechanism by mid-2026, following Nasdaq's plans [1] - HKEX is actively discussing shortening the settlement cycle for the cash market, with technology systems expected to support T+1 settlement by the end of this year [1] - The current trading hours for major global stock markets vary, with London, Frankfurt, and Paris at 8.5 hours, Singapore at 7 hours, and the US exchanges at 6.5 hours [1] Group 2 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasized the need to enhance capital market activity and investor confidence by optimizing trading mechanisms and potentially extending trading hours for A-shares and bond markets [2] - Currently, A-share trading hours are only 4 hours, which is relatively short compared to other mature capital markets, affecting pricing efficiency and increasing overnight risk for small investors [2] - There is a suggestion to synchronize A-share trading hours with Hong Kong stocks to create overlap with European markets, which could positively impact trading volume and market activity [2] Group 3 - Changliang Technology has established partnerships with numerous overseas financial institutions [3] - Hengsheng Electronics' subsidiary, Hengyun Technology, is a leading provider of core trading systems for Hong Kong brokers [3]