每日｜荐读 榜单： 「2025投资机构软实力排行榜」评选启动 峰会： 「2025母基金年度论坛」盛大启幕：汇聚中国力量！ 热文： 一纸新规，炸出一级市场的管理费焦虑 热文： 今年，上市公司热衷做并购基金 来源：星界资本 对接需求请扫码 香港交易及结算所有限公司（香港交易所）全资附属公司香港联合交易所有限公司（联交所）于 2025年7月4日宣布委任新一届主板及GEM上市委员会（合称上市委员会）成员。方远先生成为香 港联交所上市委员会成员之一，也是第一位从事母基金行业的成员。 ...

港交所计划于8 月20 日披露2Q25 业绩：我们预计2Q收入同比+27%/环比持平至68.7 亿港币，剔除投资 收益后主营费类收入同比+30%/环比持平至54.8 亿港币，盈利同比+31%/环比+1%至41.2 亿港币。累计 来看，我们预计上半年公司总收入/盈利分别同比+29%/+34%至137.3/82.0 亿港币。 关注要点 现货及商品交易活跃度维持高位、衍生品交易边际回落，我们预计2Q主营费类收入同比+31%/环比持 平。1）现货：2Q ADT同比+96%/环比-2%至2,381 亿港币，其中南下ADT同比+154%/环比+2%至1120 亿港币、占港股23.5%，北上ADT同比+19%/环比-21%至1,518 亿元、占A股6.6%；2）衍生品：ADV同 比+3%/环比-20%至77.1 万张，股指期货及期权ADV同比-6%/环比-15%至77.4 万张、活跃度边际回落； 3）商品：LME ADV同比+1%/环比+5%至77.8 万张，其中4 月ADV达88.0 万张，创LME合并以来单月 最高交易记录；4）上市：2Q完成IPO 27 家、融资额884 亿港币（同比+932%/环比+374%），港股 ...

机构：中信建投证券 研究员：何泾威 核心观点 香港交易所公布二季度市场运营数据。二季度ADT 实现2376.77 亿港元，同比+95.46%，环比-2.08%。 受益于南向资金持续流入，市场成交额同比继续维持高增。IPO 方面，二季度A 股不少头部上市公司赴 港带动IPO 融资金额增加，25Q2 新增上市公司家数27 家，同比去年同期增加9 家，IPO 募资金额为 880.43亿港元，同比增加906.67%。衍生品交易方面，25Q2 或由于市场风险对冲需求的增加，衍生品和 商品合约成交量同比提升。最后，4 月底-5 月初受资金持续买入、大型IPO 上市以及亚洲货币短仓平仓 的影响，1 个月以及6 个月HIBOR 利率整体有所下滑，但由于公司投资收益率具有一定时滞性，上述影 响有限。展望未来政策催化以及港交所自身业务特性，当前股价仍有一定预期差，维持买入评级。 事件 港股 2025Q2 复盘：表现相对稳定，市场关注度较高2025 年二季度，受国内降准降息、中美关税达成协 议、A 股赴港上市加速及稳定币条例发布的影响，市场对港股的关注度整体较高，恒生指数Q2 上涨 4.12%，恒生科技指数则小幅下跌-1.70%。 ...

中金公司 "资产+资金"共振：港股业务迈入新时代 20250709 摘要 港股市场流动性显著改善，主要得益于新经济公司占比提升及南下资金 和零售投资者参与度增加，改变了过去外资主导的局面，目前南下资金 及零售投资者占比约为 40%。 流动性改善直接推动港股估值重估，中小盘公司成交额大幅增加，估值 空间扩大，香港市场进入正向循环阶段，有望带来更多投资机会。 2025 年上半年，港交所及券商板块受益于高景气和高活跃度，为其提 供坚实盈利支撑并助推估值修复，IPO 融资规模达 1,070 亿港币，同比 增长七倍。 A+H 上市企业占比达 IPO 规模的 60%，虽数量占比相对较小，但因其 整体上市规模较大，将在新增融资体量方面贡献最大，并提升整个港股 市场成交额约 2%到 3%。 中概股回流香港市场潜力巨大，目前在美国交易的中概股市值接近 4 万 亿港币，若回流将显著增厚香港市场成交额和总市值，预计增厚幅度可 达 17%至 20%。 Q&A 港股市场在 2025 年上半年表现如何？下半年预期如何？ 2025 年上半年港股市场表现非常活跃，上市公司数量和交易量显著增加。预 计下半年尤其是第四季度，港股发行数量将超过上 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the earnings forecast for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) unchanged, with a target price of HKD 465, indicating an 11% upside potential based on projected P/E ratios [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast and Performance - HKEX is expected to report a 2Q25 revenue of HKD 6.87 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27% and a quarter-on-quarter flat performance, with core fee income projected to rise by 30% year-on-year [1] - For the first half of the year, total revenue and profit are anticipated to increase by 29% and 34% respectively, reaching HKD 13.73 billion and HKD 8.20 billion [1] Group 2: Trading Activity Insights - The report highlights sustained high activity in spot and commodity trading, with a marginal decline in derivatives trading; 2Q average daily turnover (ADT) is expected to be HKD 238.1 billion, up 96% year-on-year [2] - The number of IPOs in 2Q reached 27, raising HKD 88.4 billion, marking a significant increase of 932% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Investment Income and Market Conditions - Investment income is projected to grow by 15% year-on-year to HKD 1.39 billion, driven by a favorable margin environment despite a decline in HIBOR rates [3] - The report notes that the decline in short-term interest rates may enhance margin income, supported by increased collateral requirements in a high-volatility market [3] Group 4: Long-term Growth Potential - The dual resonance of "assets + funds" is expected to enhance HKEX's mid-to-long-term value, with potential increases in market capitalization from "A+H" listings and the return of Chinese concept stocks [4] - If the average daily turnover reaches HKD 210 billion by 2025, HKEX's profit could grow by 18% to HKD 15.4 billion, with a projected CAGR of 14% for ADT over the next decade [4]

Group 1 - The article reflects on the nostalgia for the market conditions of 2019, highlighting a period of growth and optimism in Hong Kong's financial landscape [1] - In 2025, the Hong Kong stock market is expected to show a strong performance, with the Hang Seng Index rising 20% in the first half of the year, marking the largest increase in history for that period [2] - The number of new IPOs in Hong Kong has increased significantly, with 43 companies listed in the first half of the year, raising a total of 1,067.13 million HKD, a 688.54% increase compared to the previous year [2] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has regained its position as the global leader in IPO fundraising after six years [3] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a surge in fundraising, with HKEX raising 880.44 million HKD, surpassing the Nasdaq's 95 billion USD [6] - The number of applications for new listings has doubled, with around 200 applications received, including interest from companies in the Middle East and Southeast Asia [6] Group 3 - The recent surge in IPOs is largely driven by A-share companies seeking to list in Hong Kong, facilitated by policy changes that have eased listing requirements [10] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has implemented measures to support leading domestic companies in listing in Hong Kong, significantly shortening the listing timeline [10][11] - The listing criteria for technology companies have been adjusted, allowing for a wider range of companies to qualify for IPOs [10] Group 4 - The article discusses the geopolitical factors influencing capital flows, with many investors seeking stability in Hong Kong amid uncertainties in the US market [13][14] - The HKEX is positioned as a key financial hub for Chinese companies looking to expand globally, with a growing number of firms choosing to list there [13][18] - The trend of Chinese companies returning to Hong Kong for listings is attributed to a combination of regulatory changes and a more favorable market environment [14] Group 5 - The article notes that the pricing power in the Hong Kong market is shifting, with increasing participation from domestic investors [21][24] - The influx of southbound funds has become a significant factor in the Hong Kong market, accounting for 20% of total trading volume [27] - The article highlights the growing influence of domestic capital in determining market valuations, moving away from reliance on foreign investment [24][27] Group 6 - The technology sector in Hong Kong is experiencing a renaissance, with a notable increase in IPOs from tech companies, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment [28][34] - The article emphasizes the emergence of Chinese tech giants in the Hong Kong market, which are now seen as key players in the global tech landscape [36] - The HKEX is increasingly viewed as a platform for Chinese companies to showcase their innovations and attract international investment [38]

先说个比较有意思的事情， 港交所 今天披露了港股6月的一些关键数据： 6月日均成交额2300亿左右，相比去年的1100亿，翻倍了，这是体现热度的最直观指标； 另外，IPO方面，6月一共上市44家，而去年同期是30家，关键在募集资金量方面，6月达到了2800亿，而去 年同期是660亿左右，4倍以上了。 我个人觉得， 最大的分歧 ，可能还是在于，外卖大战，对阿里、美团、京东，这些平台，影响到底有多大、影响 的时间会有多长，股价是否充分反应了这部分新增的运营支出。 周一，依靠120亿的南向抄底资金，阿里等的股价，硬生生被拉起来了，但咱们当时也说过： 我之前去港交所参观，还拍了一张，进门就是一块空地，专门用来给IPO敲钟的，下图左侧，红色那块，就 是敲钟的台子，也算是见识过，今年全球锣声最密集的舞台了。 说回市场， 今天港股表现得比较差 ，三大指数全部跌超1%，基本处于和全球所有股市都背离的状态，而今年和 港股一起领涨全球的德国股市，今晚已经创历史新高了。 上面说的这种罕见的IPO速度，未必是市场调整的直接原因，但是可以表征市场的情绪，而反过来，下图，可以看 到，最近几日， 港股的卖空比例飙升 ，今天，达到了4月15 ...

埃及交易所表示，由于周一在开罗市中心发生火灾导致电信中断，交易所将于周三恢复运营。 ...

埃及交易所：由于周一在开罗市中心发生火灾导致电信中断，交易所将于周三恢复运营。 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange raised 107 billion HKD in the first half of the year, with 42 IPOs and an average daily trading volume of 40 billion HKD for 210 ETP products, indicating a vibrant fundraising environment [2][4] - Retail investors feel disconnected from the market's success, often missing out on opportunities despite the overall market growth, as exemplified by the experience of a retail investor who failed to secure shares in a popular IPO [4][2] - The disparity between market movements and retail investor experiences highlights the challenges of navigating the financial landscape, where significant capital flows often go unnoticed by individual investors [2][4] Group 2 - Historical data suggests that market movements are often driven by concentrated capital behaviors, with key periods accounting for a significant portion of annual returns [5][7] - A comparison between traditional K-line charts and quantitative systems reveals the underlying dynamics of capital flow, showcasing the difference between surface-level analysis and deeper insights into market behavior [7][10] - The importance of understanding the "language of trading" is emphasized, where announcements may not have the expected impact if not accompanied by corresponding capital movements [8][10] Group 3 - The influx of 107 billion HKD into the market leaves traces that can be analyzed, such as changes in stock weightings or shifts in derivatives market positions, which can provide insights into institutional trading strategies [11][13] - The phenomenon of "shakeout behavior" often indicates that large funds are accumulating shares, leading to confusion among retail investors about stagnant stock prices despite strong fundamentals [13][11] - The increasing complexity of the financial market creates greater information asymmetry, making it essential for investors to utilize quantitative tools to gain insights into capital flows and identify potential investment opportunities [14][11]