美元兑离岸人民币再度跌破6.98关口，花旗预计人民币汇率将在未来6-12个月内升至6.8，人民币汇率的 升值抬升港股资产的吸引力，外资加速涌入港股市场。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 1月6日，AI产业链继续活跃，商汤、京东健康、同程旅行等涨幅靠前，恒生科技指数再度大涨，盘中 涨幅一度超2%，规模最大的恒生科技指数ETF（513180）成交活跃。 南向资金则在年后延续净流入态势，1月5日单日净买入超187亿港元；2025年全年超1.4万亿港元的南向 资金也为港股市场流动性提供了强力支撑。 ...

2025年A股一路攀升，港股中的医药股和科技股也一度走出非常凌厉的行情。但步入四季度，港股上涨 势头有所减缓。那么，2026年的港股市场会如何走？ 对此，华夏基金数量投资部行政负责人、基金经理徐猛表示，2026年港股将是估值收缩+盈利增长的年 份。领涨行业可归纳为两类：底部反转(盈利增速由负转正或大幅高增)和产业趋势或者长期逻辑加强(盈 利维持高增即可)。基于此逻辑，他相对更看好港股市场的弹性，其中科技板块的中长期投资价值更为 突出，短期回调为投资者提供了更好的配置机遇。 最后，从资金面看，徐猛预判2026年南向资金有望持续流入港股。此外，港股是外资投向中国资产 的"桥头堡"，与海外流动性相关性较高。美联储2025年9月开启新一轮降息周期，多重信号显示2026年 宽松大趋势仍将继续。因此在中美宽松周期共振下，徐猛认为有望支撑港股流动性保持充沛。 徐猛认为，首先从动量特征来看，恒生科技指数、恒生指数等核心指数一年期以上的长期动量保持向上 趋势。当前的短期回调符合预期，从机构配置视角看，这提供了较好的介入机会。 其次，港股科技板块基本面驱动明确。"港股通科技汇聚国产AI核心资产，涵盖算力、模型、软件应用 和硬件终 ...

今年以来，港股在全球主要股市中表现突出，恒生指数等年内涨幅超过20%。不过，自10月中旬以来， 港股市场进入调整阶段，波动有所加大，11月整体呈现震荡走势，12月以来的调整幅度有所加大。 港股作为典型的离岸市场，其流动性受海外环境影响显著，而基本面则与内地经济紧密相连。相比基本 面，流动性对港股行情的影响更为直接和迅速，其中科技类资产对利率变化更为敏感。 除了流动性，估值优势、资产质量提升与市场生态重塑多重因素，也将促使港股估值修复。多家券商机 构展望2026年港股行情时指出，随着港股基本面触底反弹，叠加其依旧显著的估值折价，港股市场在 2026年将迎来第二轮估值修复以及业绩进一步复苏的行情。 南向资金创纪录流入 2025年港股市场最显著的特征之一是南向资金的持续涌入，成为支撑港股今年整体表现较好的关键力 量。 数据显示，截至2025年12月15日，南向资金年内净买入额已达到1.39万亿港元，远超2024年全年水平， 创下互联互通机制开通以来的新高。在此情况下，南向资金通过港股通已累计净流入5.09万亿港元，距 离5.10万亿港元关口只有一步之遥。 这一资金规模不仅为港股市场提供了充沛的流动性，更显著增强了内 ...

今年以来，港股在全球主要股市中表现突出，恒生指数等年内涨幅超过20%。不过，自10月中旬以来，港股市场进入调整阶段，波动有所加大，11月整体呈现震 荡走势，12月以来的调整幅度有所加大。 港股作为典型的离岸市场，其流动性受海外环境影响显著，而基本面则与内地经济紧密相连。相比基本面，流动性对港股行情的影响更为直接和迅速，其中科技类 资产对利率变化更为敏感。 除了流动性，估值优势、资产质量提升与市场生态重塑多重因素，也将促使港股估值修复。多家券商机构展望2026年港股行情时指出，随着港股基本面触底反弹， 叠加其依旧显著的估值折价，港股市场在2026年将迎来第二轮估值修复以及业绩进一步复苏的行情。 南向资金创纪录流入 2025年港股市场最显著的特征之一是南向资金的持续涌入，成为支撑港股今年整体表现较好的关键力量。 Wind数据显示，截至2025年12月15日，南向资金年内净买入额已达到1.39万亿港元，远超2024年全年水平，创下互联互通机制开通以来的新高。在此情况下，南向 资金通过港股通已累计净流入5.09万亿港元，距离5.10万亿港元关口只有一步之遥。 这一资金规模不仅为港股市场提供了充沛的流动性，更显著增强了 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has emerged as a "dark horse" leading global markets, with significant recovery since 2025, driven by valuation advantages, improved asset quality, continuous capital inflow, and market ecosystem reshaping [2][4]. Valuation and Investment Appeal - The Hong Kong stock market offers a notable valuation discount, with a current PE_TTM of 11.99, the lowest among major global indices, providing a substantial safety margin for future growth [4][6]. - The market has become a key observation point for China's new economic development, encompassing a complete AI industry chain and attracting high-quality A-share companies to list in Hong Kong [5][6]. Capital Inflow and Market Dynamics - Continuous inflow of "southbound funds" has redefined the pricing logic of the Hong Kong stock market, with net purchases reaching 1.38 trillion HKD by December 2, 2025, accounting for over 20% of trading volume [7][9]. - Long-term institutional investors, including insurance and public funds, now represent over 40% of southbound capital, enhancing market stability and investment value [9][10]. Market Activity and New Listings - The Hong Kong stock market has seen an average daily trading volume exceeding 200 billion HKD, doubling from the previous year, with 91 IPOs raising a total of 2590.65 million HKD [5][6]. - The new stock market has shown strong performance, with only 9 out of 48 new stocks declining on their debut, indicating robust investor confidence [5][6]. Future Outlook and Investment Strategies - The market is entering a value re-evaluation phase, with expectations of a second round of valuation recovery and performance resurgence in 2026, particularly in technology, healthcare, resources, consumer staples, and sectors benefiting from RMB appreciation [13][11]. - Index-based investment is highlighted as an efficient way for investors to participate in the Hong Kong market, with a diverse range of ETFs available to meet varying investor needs [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of the Hong Kong stock market is expected to continue until 2026, driven by technology, consumer sectors, and support from state-owned enterprises [1][4]. Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market has been one of the best-performing markets globally, with the Hang Seng Index outperforming major indices like Nasdaq and CSI 300 in 2025 [3]. - Technology and consumer sectors have shown the most significant performance in the Hong Kong market this year, with corporate earnings exceeding expectations [3]. - Factors such as the depreciation of the US dollar, inflow of southbound capital, supportive national policies, and a temporary easing of US-China relations are key drivers of the market's rise [3][4]. Group 2: Future Outlook - The current bullish trend in the Hong Kong stock market is not seen as a short-term phenomenon, with expectations of a favorable market environment in 2026, including large IPOs that could enhance investor interest [4]. - The three major opportunities for Chinese investment banks include leadership from technology and innovation enterprises, the consumer sector becoming a new growth line, and active support from state-owned and cornerstone investors [4]. Group 3: Internationalization of Chinese Investment Banks - Chinese investment banks face challenges in internationalization, including a lack of international talent outside Greater China and a limited range of product offerings [5][9]. - Cultural integration is identified as a significant challenge for the international development of Chinese investment banks, with efforts being made to promote cultural exchange and training [9]. Group 4: Achievements of Galaxy Securities - Galaxy Securities has made significant strides in internationalization through its entities, Galaxy International and Galaxy Overseas, with the former ranking among the top five Chinese brokers in IPO sponsorship [7]. - The firm has successfully completed several landmark projects and has a strong presence in Southeast Asia, covering 35 markets and 29 exchanges [8]. - Galaxy Securities is the only Chinese broker capable of hosting large-scale local roadshows in Southeast Asia, establishing close cooperation with local sovereign funds and large institutions [8].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has shown significant liquidity improvement in 2023, with strong inflows from southbound funds, which are expected to support a "slow bull" market trend in the long term [1][1][1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower but rebounded, with the innovative drug sector experiencing a substantial increase, while new consumption and technology sectors showed fluctuating gains [1] - As of 10:18 AM, the Hang Seng Technology Index and the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index both rose by 0.8% [1] Group 2: Liquidity and Fund Inflows - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market reached HKD 412.19 billion in the first nine months of 2023, marking a 126% year-on-year increase [1] - Southbound funds have injected significant vitality into the Hong Kong stock market, with net purchases amounting to approximately HKD 1.3 trillion year-to-date as of November 11, 2023, and over HKD 5 trillion since the program's inception [1] Group 3: Investment Outlook - According to China Merchants Securities, the continuous inflow of southbound funds is expected to drive the capital market back to fundamentals and value-driven approaches, optimizing corporate governance and protecting minority shareholders' interests [1] - Investors interested in the technology and new consumption sectors can consider products like the E Fund Hang Seng Technology ETF (513010) and the E Fund Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513070) for investment opportunities [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported better-than-expected performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with significant growth in both revenue and net profit driven by increased market trading activity [1][5] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, HKEX achieved revenue and other income of HKD 7.775 billion, a year-on-year increase of 44.73% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.70% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was HKD 4.900 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 55.80% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 10.31% [1] - Total revenue and other income for the first three quarters reached HKD 21.851 billion, up 36.63% year-on-year, marking a record high [1] Revenue Breakdown - In Q3 2025, trading fees and system usage fees, along with settlement and custody fees, accounted for HKD 5.484 billion, representing 70.53% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 77.30% [1] - For the first three quarters, these fees totaled HKD 14.213 billion, making up 65.05% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 57.05% [1] Market Activity - The trading activity in the Hong Kong stock market reached historical highs, with average daily trading (ADT) for Q3 2025 increasing by 144.80% year-on-year to HKD 2,863.58 billion [1] - Southbound capital inflows from mainland China totaled HKD 1,084.172 billion from January to September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 135.01% [1] IPO Activity - In the first three quarters of 2025, HKEX saw 68 new listings, raising HKD 187.745 billion, a year-on-year increase of 262.51% [2] - Q3 2025 alone had 25 new listings, with a fundraising amount of HKD 78.865 billion, up 86.79% year-on-year [2] Investment Income - Despite a decline in HIBOR rates due to the Federal Reserve's actions, investment income remained positive, with net investment income for the first three quarters reaching HKD 3.893 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.43% [3] - The annualized net investment return for margin and clearing funds was 1.98% and 1.85%, respectively, showing a decline compared to the previous year [3] Future Outlook - The company expects continued high performance in 2025, supported by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, ongoing southbound capital inflows, and the relative valuation advantage of Hong Kong stocks [4][6] - The projected target price for HKEX is HKD 543 per share, maintaining a "buy" rating based on historical valuation levels and market conditions [5][6]

Core Insights - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) reported a 56% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025, exceeding expectations by 7% [1] - The growth was primarily driven by robust core revenue growth, record average daily trading volume, and strong initial public offering (IPO) momentum [1] - Net interest income decreased by 13.6% to HKD 1 billion, impacted by a decline in Hong Kong interbank offered rates and reduced corporate investment portfolio returns [1] - The outlook for average daily trading volume in 2026 remains optimistic due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and strong southbound capital inflows [1] - The target price for HKEX has been raised to HKD 548, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed resilience, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 25,935.41 points, down only 16.99 points or 0.07% [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index closed at 5,785.85 points, down 32.44 points or 0.56% [2] Company Performance - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388.HK) reported a total revenue of HKD 21.851 billion for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 37%. The main business revenue was HKD 20.438 billion, up 41%, and net profit reached HKD 13.419 billion, up 45% [4] - In Q3 alone, the exchange achieved total revenue of HKD 7.775 billion, a 45% increase year-on-year, with main business revenue of HKD 7.484 billion, up 54%, and net profit of HKD 4.9 billion, up 56% [4] - Sirus (09927.HK) listed today, initially facing a drop below the issue price but later recovered to close at HKD 131.5 [5] - Zai Lab (02617.HK) surged by 26.3% following a partnership agreement with Neurocrine for the development of NLRP3 inhibitors, with a total potential value of approximately USD 882 million [7] Sector Performance - Mechanical stocks led the gains, with Weichai Power rising over 4%, Zoomlion up over 3%, and both China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and CRRC up over 2% [9] - In the coal sector, AnYue Asia increased over 4%, China Coal Energy rose over 3%, and Yanzhou Coal Mining gained over 2% [10] - Food and beverage stocks also performed well, with Master Kong Holdings up over 4%, Anjoy Foods up over 2%, and Haitian Flavoring & Food up over 1% [11] Capital Flow - Southbound funds recorded a net purchase of over HKD 10.3 billion in Hong Kong stocks by the market close [11] Market Outlook - Haitong International believes that Hong Kong stocks are undervalued compared to historical levels and major global indices, with long-term bullish drivers including foreign capital inflow expectations and sustained large-scale inflows of southbound funds, potentially exceeding RMB 1.5 trillion by 2026 [13]