Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][5] Core Viewpoints - The new tax policy for gold aims to clarify the usage of gold raw materials and implement differentiated tax management, guiding market participants to reduce speculative behavior and promote healthy competition within the industry [2] - The policy changes are expected to benefit leading companies with strong brand and product capabilities, such as Cai Bai Co. and China Gold, while potentially impacting the procurement and liquidity of physical gold for certain enterprises [2][3] - The tax policy adjustments are likely to enhance the competitive edge of leading enterprises, ensuring stable profit margins through differentiated products and service levels [3][16] Summary by Sections Tax Policy Changes - The new tax policy differentiates between investment and non-investment uses of gold, with specific tax implications for each category [4][10] - For investment purposes, the core change is that member units can only issue ordinary invoices to buyers, which cannot be used to deduct input tax, potentially increasing tax costs for businesses [4][7] - For non-investment purposes, the tax treatment shifts from "immediate tax refund" to "tax exemption," which reduces the financial burden on companies but increases the actual VAT payable due to a lower deduction rate [10][11] Impact on Companies - Listed gold jewelry companies, primarily engaged in jewelry retail, may face increased tax costs under the new regulations, but their core competitiveness will still rely on product and service quality [14][16] - The new tax regulations may lead to a shift in consumer purchasing behavior, encouraging purchases from member units of the Shanghai Gold Exchange [7][15] Recommendations - It is recommended to continue monitoring companies that engage in both investment gold and jewelry sales, such as Cai Bai Co., Lao Pu Gold, and traditional leaders like Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook Holdings, as they are expected to maintain stable profit margins due to their strong market positions and product differentiation [16]

Core Insights - The gold prices in China have shown significant discrepancies among different brands, with prices ranging from 920.8 yuan per gram for investment gold bars at Cai Bai to 1198 yuan per gram at high-end brands like Chow Tai Fook [1][3][5]. Price Discrepancies - On November 1, 2025, the price of gold at Chow Tai Fook was 1198 yuan per gram, while Lao Miao Gold was at 1193 yuan, and China Gold was at 1118 yuan, indicating a price difference of up to 80 yuan per gram among brands [1][5]. - Investment gold bars at Cai Bai were priced at 920.8 yuan per gram, closely matching the Shanghai gold spot price of 920.7 yuan per gram, while other brands like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang priced their investment gold at 1058 yuan per gram [3][5]. Market Dynamics - The price variations are attributed to recent fluctuations in international gold prices, which peaked at 4381.21 USD per ounce on October 20, 2025, before dropping below 4000 USD by October 28 [5][11]. - High-end brands maintain higher price points to preserve brand value, while mid-range brands are reducing price gaps to attract price-sensitive consumers [7][13]. Consumer Behavior - Young consumers prioritize style and brand over price differences, while middle-aged consumers are more price-conscious, often comparing prices across multiple stores [13][15]. - The gold recovery market is also active, with buyback prices ranging from 900 to 910 yuan per gram, indicating a profit margin for those who purchased gold earlier in the year [8][10]. Sales Trends - Despite high gold prices, sales have increased by 15% compared to the previous year, as consumers are concerned about potential future price increases [10][15]. - The market is witnessing a clear segmentation, with high-end customers opting for premium brands and middle-income consumers gravitating towards more affordable options [13][15].

Group 1 - Silchester International Investors LLP reduced its stake in Luk Fook Holdings (00590.HK) by selling 635,000 shares at an average price of HKD 25.8245 per share, amounting to approximately HKD 16.39986 million [1] - Following the sale, Silchester's total shareholding decreased to 75,912,600 shares, resulting in a reduction of its ownership percentage from 13.04% to 12.93% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Silchester International Investors LLP has reduced its stake in Six Fortune Group (00590) by selling 635,000 shares at a price of HKD 25.8245 per share, totaling approximately HKD 16.3986 million, resulting in a new holding of 75.9126 million shares, representing 12.93% of the company [1] Group 1 - Silchester International Investors LLP sold 635,000 shares of Six Fortune Group [1] - The sale price was HKD 25.8245 per share [1] - The total amount raised from the sale was approximately HKD 16.3986 million [1] Group 2 - After the reduction, Silchester's latest holding is 75.9126 million shares [1] - The new holding percentage is 12.93% [1]

香港联交所最新资料显示，10月27日，Silchester International Investors LLP减持六福集团(00590)63.5万 股，每股作价25.8245港元，总金额约为1639.86万港元。减持后最新持股数目为7591.26万股，最新持股 比例为12.93%。 ...

Core Insights - International gold prices have declined, leading to adjustments in domestic gold jewelry retail prices [1] - Major brands such as Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook have reduced their gold prices significantly [1][2] Price Adjustments - Chow Tai Fook's gold price is now set at 1198 CNY per gram, down by 25 CNY from the previous day [1] - Luk Fook's price has dropped to 1189 CNY per gram, a decrease of 34 CNY [1] - Other notable price changes include: - Lao Feng Xiang: 1202 CNY, down 18 CNY - Zhou Da Sheng: 1232 CNY, unchanged - Ya Yi Gold Store: 1192 CNY, down 28 CNY - Zhou Sheng Sheng: 1199 CNY, down 24 CNY - Lao Miao Gold: 1192 CNY, down 28 CNY [1][2] Brand Rankings - The ranking of gold jewelry prices among major brands is as follows: 1. Chow Tai Fook: 1198 CNY 2. Lao Feng Xiang: 1202 CNY 3. Zhou Da Sheng: 1232 CNY 4. Ya Yi Gold Store: 1192 CNY 5. Luk Fook: 1189 CNY 6. Zhou Sheng Sheng: 1199 CNY 7. Lao Miao Gold: 1192 CNY 8. Chao Hong Ji: 1223 CNY, unchanged 9. Cai Bai Jewelry: 1162 CNY, down 13 CNY 10. Xie Rui Lin: 1223 CNY, down 9 CNY [1][2]

Company Performance - The company reported a retail value growth of 18% year-on-year for 2QFY26, with retail values in mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and overseas increasing by 20% and 13% respectively [1] - Same-store sales in mainland China for self-operated and brand stores grew by 3% and 27%, while same-store sales in Hong Kong, Macau, and overseas markets increased by 11% [1] Retail Growth Acceleration - Retail growth in 2QFY26 accelerated compared to previous quarters, with group retail value and same-store sales increasing by 18% and 10% year-on-year respectively [1] - The growth in mainland China was primarily driven by priced gold products, which accounted for 15% of retail during the quarter [1] Gold Product Performance - Priced gold products continued to perform strongly, with same-store sales in mainland China for self-operated and brand stores growing by 3% and 28% respectively [2] - The same-store sales for priced gold products in Hong Kong, Macau, and overseas markets turned positive, increasing by 6% [2] October Sales Trends - Sales momentum continued positively in October, with same-store sales in mainland China and Hong Kong, Macau, and overseas regions growing by 16%/51% and 19% respectively during the period from October 1 to 14 [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for FY26 and FY27 at 2.55 and 2.99 HKD, with the current stock price corresponding to 10/9 times FY26/27 earnings [2] - The target price has been raised by 26% to 30.55 HKD, reflecting an 18% upside potential from the current stock price [2]

Core Viewpoint - The popularity of "fixed-price" gold is driven by consumers' careful selection, as its price is approaching that of weight-based gold, making it more attractive as the latter's price rises [1][2]. Price Adjustments - On October 26, Laopu Gold completed its third price adjustment of the year, with an increase of approximately 18%-25%, exceeding the previous maximum of 12% [2]. - Other brands like Chow Tai Fook are also raising retail prices for fixed-price gold products by 12%-18% by the end of October [2]. - A surge in consumer purchases occurred before these price hikes, leading to long queues at various stores [2][6]. Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly favoring "fixed-price" gold due to its perceived value compared to weight-based gold, which has seen rising prices [2][8]. - A consumer reported purchasing a "fixed-price" gold bracelet at a lower price per gram than the current weight-based gold price, indicating a trend towards value-seeking behavior [4][5]. Inventory Issues - Many stores are experiencing stock shortages of "fixed-price" gold items due to high demand, with some popular styles requiring several days for restocking [6][10]. - The cash flow pressure on gold retailers is increasing, as rising gold prices lead to higher procurement costs while consumer spending remains cautious [10][14]. Financial Performance - Despite the popularity of fixed-price gold, brands like Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook have reported overall revenue declines, with Chow Tai Fook's revenue down 17.5% to HKD 896.6 billion, despite a 105.5% increase in fixed-price gold sales [12][13]. - The financial reports indicate that while fixed-price gold has improved gross margins, the overall sales performance remains weak due to high costs and subdued market demand [14][15].

Group 1 - Recent decline in gold prices has created mixed feelings among consumers, with buyers feeling relieved and sellers concerned [2][4] - As of October 26, various brands have different gold prices, with 周生生 at 1224 CNY/g, 六福珠宝 at 1232 CNY/g, and 中国黄金 at 1125 CNY/g, indicating a significant price variation among brands [2][5] - The overall trend shows a consistent decline in gold prices, influenced by factors such as international market conditions, USD exchange rates, and seasonal demand in China [4][5] Group 2 - The price differences among brands are attributed to brand premium, craftsmanship, and product types, with investment gold generally priced closer to raw material costs [5] - For consumers considering purchases, the current lower prices may present a good opportunity for buying jewelry, while investment decisions should be made with a long-term perspective [7] - Market psychology plays a crucial role in gold price fluctuations, with consumer behavior often driven by fear of missing out during price increases and hesitation during declines [7][10] Group 3 - Platinum prices are also noted, with significant differences compared to gold, but gold remains a more favorable option for value retention [9] - The recent price drop in gold does not indicate a loss of value but rather a market adjustment, presenting opportunities for consumers and challenges for investors [10]

Core Viewpoint - The gold prices for various brands have significantly dropped, with notable declines observed across multiple retailers on October 27. Price Summary - The price of gold jewelry from 周六福 (Chow Sang Sang) is now 1144 RMB per gram, down by 20 RMB from the previous day [1] - 周大福 (Chow Tai Fook) and 六福珠宝 (Luk Fook) both report a price of 1223 RMB per gram, with a decrease of 9 RMB [1][2] - 老凤祥 (Lao Feng Xiang) and 老庙黄金 (Lao Miao Gold) have their prices at 1220 RMB per gram, down by 8 RMB [1][3] - 菜百首饰 (Cai Bai Jewelry) maintains a price of 1172 RMB per gram, showing no change [3] - 周大生 (Chow Tai Sheng) holds steady at 1232 RMB per gram, with no price change [3]